Get started

USD/JPY_TOMSPT - SWAP USD/JPY

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasDiscussionsSeasonalsEconomic Calendar

USDJPYTMSP trade ideas

Price Alert: USD/JPY Testing Key Trend SupportUSD/JPY is testing critical support this week at 146.54/70- a region defined by the March low and the 38.2% retracement of the April advance. Note that basic trendline support extending off the yearly low converges on this threshold into the October open and the focus is on a possible inflection off this key zone. Initial resistance is eyed with the 200-day moving average (currently ~148.30) and is backed by the December low / May high / 61.8% retracement of the August decline at 148.65/84- a topside breach / close above this threshold would be needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend. A break below this key threshold would threaten another bout of accelerated losses with subsequent support objectives seen at the May high-week close (HWC) at 145.63 and a key Fibonacci confluent at 144.10/52- look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Bottom Line: The October opening-range is taking shape just above multi-month uptrend support. A good zone to reduce short-exposure / lower protective stops- watch the weekly closes and look for a breakout monthly range in the days ahead of guidance here -MB
by FOREXcom
USDJPY Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Long
by Derry_Trades
1
In Charts We Trust – But the market has no mercyTrading & Faith: Why the Market and the Church Have a Hell of a Lot in Common Welcome, dear CFD newbies, Forex gurus, hobby traders, and hardcore investors. Let’s talk about a truth no broker, influencer, or financial media outlet will ever tell you: 👉 The market isn’t free. The market is a religion. Yes, you read that right. Trading is like church – just without the organ. And with more margin calls. 🙏 Thou shalt not know. Thou shalt believe. Just like the church tells you there’s a God you’ve never seen but must still worship, the financial market says: "The market is fair." "The market reflects supply and demand." "The market is rational." Sounds holy. But it's like a priest saying, “Rain is a blessing” – while you're soaked without an umbrella. 📉 Reality check: The market is not run by angels. It’s run by: 🧠 Algorithms 🏦 Hedge funds & market makers 📊 Banks with more data than you can imagine They see your: ❌ Stop-losses ❌ Limit orders ❌ Dreams of Lambo And they send you home with: "You just got unlucky, bro." But there’s no such thing as luck in the markets. There’s only ignorance. Or as the church would say: "You didn’t have enough faith." 🕊️ “God is testing you.” So is the market. Ask a trader about their loss: "Fakeout." "Manipulation." "The market’s testing me." No, bro. You just entered at the wrong level. No divine plan – just poor timing. ⛪ Church vs. Chart Church Market You give an offering You deposit capital You hope for blessings You hope for the pump You get “We’ll pray for you” You get a margin call 🤖 “But the market is free!” Just like they say, “We live in a free world.” Have you ever looked at an order book? Nothing is free. Every order is scanned Every stop hunted Every liquidity pool raided The market is programmed, just like a church service: Organ Sermon Collection Amen The market version? Fake breakout Stop hunt Pump Dump 🕵️‍♂️ And the media? They’re the altar boys of Wall Street. Always quick with headlines: “The dollar rose due to geopolitical tensions.” After it already happened, of course. No prophecy – just post-game commentary. 🎲 Conclusion The market is not a god. The market is not free. The market is a rigged game – and the smart survive. If you want to play: ✔️ Learn the game ✔️ Respect the risk ✔️ Trust the unseen hand (aka liquidity) Because just like in faith: 🔥 “You can believe – or you can know.” Those who believe get wrecked. Those who know stay patient. And maybe… just maybe… you won’t become a king – but a pawn who survives. And sometimes, surviving is the greatest trading result of all. 🙏 Amen.
Education
by WERKTrader
1
USDJPY Breakdown! Bears Target 145.00 After Supply Zone Rejectio🚨 USDJPY Breakdown! Bears Target 145.00 After Supply Zone Rejection USDJPY has confirmed a bearish shift on the 4H timeframe after breaking down from its rising channel. Price retested the 147.00 supply zone and was strongly rejected. Sellers are stepping in, pushing momentum back to the downside. As long as price stays below 147.20, bears remain in control. 📍 Key Levels: Resistance: 147.00 – 147.20 Support: 146.00 → 145.00 If momentum continues, we could see 145.00 tested soon. Only a clean break above 147.20 would invalidate this bearish outlook. 💡 Risk management is key. Don’t chase the move — plan your entries and protect your capital. 👉 Do you agree with this bearish continuation, or do you see USDJPY recovering back above 147.00?
Short
by PULSETRADESFX
USDJPY H4 | Bearish DropUSD/JPY is reacting off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 147.56, which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 148.36, which is a pullback resistance. Take rpofit is at 146.22, which is a multi swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Bears Overextended at Key Support - Bulls Coil📊 **To view my confluences and linework:** Step 1️⃣: Grab the chart Step 2️⃣: Unhide Group 1 in the object tree Step 3️⃣: Hide and unhide specific confluences one by one 💡 **Pro tip:** Double-click the screen to reveal RSI, MFI, CVD, and OBV indicators alongside divergence markings! 🎯 Title: 🎯 USDJPY: Bears Overextended at Key Support - Bulls Coil The Market Participant Battle: Bears have pushed USDJPY aggressively lower from the 150.00 psychological level down to the critical 146.60-147.00 support zone, exhausting their momentum in the process. This relentless selling pressure has created a classic trap scenario: sellers drove price through multiple supports, but failed to achieve follow-through below 146.60, while buyers absorbed this volume at a critical technical level. The evidence shows bulls quietly building strength at this multi-tested support zone (marked as point 2 in the analysis), with price now closing above the 147.00 handle - a clear sign that buyers have seized control from overextended sellers. We expect a return move to 148.40-149.00 as profit-taking forces bears to cover and fresh bulls enter at this value zone. The battle has shifted: sellers got their move, but couldn't capitalize. Now it's the bulls' turn to strike back from this coiled spring position. Confluences: Confluence 1: Bull Trap Spring Pattern (2H Chart - Anti-Butterfly + Double Bottom) The 2-hour chart reveals a textbook spring pattern where price action at point 3 (near 150.00) marked the exhaustion high, followed by aggressive selling that brought us down to point 2 (146.60 area). However, this wasn't weakness - it was a shakeout. Price then closed decisively above point 1's level (approximately 148.00), confirming that the selloff was absorbed by institutional buying. The "Anti-Butterfly" harmonic pattern visible on the chart suggests a bullish reversal setup, while the double bottom structure at 146.60 has now printed a clear higher low at point 4. This structure screams one thing: bears are trapped, and the spring is loaded. The fact that we're seeing bullish candle reactions at point 4 with price attempting to close above the neckline zone (147.20-147.50) validates the setup. Entry trigger confirmed when price closed above 147.00. Confluence 2: Bullish Divergence Trifecta (8H Chart - RSI, MFI, CVD) The 8-hour chart provides the smoking gun for this bullish setup. From point 2 to point 4, we witness a textbook higher low in price structure, but here's where it gets interesting: RSI shows a lower low, MFI shows a lower low, and CVD Candles display a lower low - creating a triple bullish divergence. This is a powerful signal that selling pressure is evaporating despite price making a similar low. Both RSI and MFI are deeply oversold at these levels, historically a high-probability reversal zone for USDJPY. The divergence tells us that each successive test of support is weaker than the last, meaning bears are running out of ammunition. Additionally, the most recent large green candle that shows negative delta is concerning at first glance, but it's actually a sign of absorption - institutional players are taking the opposite side of retail sellers. More importantly, the most recent red candle with large activity shows bullish delta, meaning buyers are stepping in aggressively even on down candles. This absorption pattern is classic institutional accumulation behavior. Confluence 3: Anchored VWAP Institutional Footprint (8H Chart) Anchored VWAP from point 1 (148.00 area) provides critical institutional context. Price dropped below the first standard deviation of the AVWAP, reaching an extreme discount level where institutional buyers historically accumulate positions. The key signal: price closed back above the first deviation after the pierce, indicating that smart money stepped in to defend this level. This isn't retail behavior - retail panics at these drops. Institutions methodically accumulate. The price action suggests a completed shake-out below VWAP followed by immediate reclamation, a pattern that typically precedes strong upward moves as institutions defend their average entry price. The AVWAP continues to provide dynamic support, and the successful retest validates the bullish thesis. Confluence 4: Schiff Pitchfork + Fibonacci Confluence (Multiple Timeframes) The Schiff Pitchfork anchored from the swing structure perfectly catches point 4 at the median line - a high-probability reversal zone within the pitchfork structure. This isn't coincidence; it's market geometry playing out. Additionally, the Fibonacci extension from points 2→3 shows that price pierced below the 0.705 level for three consecutive candles but couldn't close below it. This failure to break through Fibonacci support, combined with price now attempting to move above the 0.62 retracement, suggests the correction has run its course. The confluence of pitchfork median line + Fibonacci support + horizontal structure creates a triple-layered support zone that has proven too strong for bears to crack. The geometry is screaming "bottom is in." Confluence 5: OBV Bollinger Band Extreme (Technical Indicator) On-Balance Volume (OBV) shows price has pierced and is trading below the lower Bollinger Band line - a statistically rare event that strongly hints at an imminent reversal. In the OBV indicator panel, price is also below the Bollinger Band lower line, creating a double extreme reading. Bollinger Band extremes are mean-reversion setups by nature, and when both price and OBV are at extremes simultaneously, the probability of a bounce increases significantly. This technical setup has a strong historical track record on USDJPY, particularly when combined with oversold momentum indicators. The bands are likely to contract soon, and price should snap back toward the mean. Web Research Findings: - **Technical Analysis:** Current technical consensus on USDJPY is mixed to bearish in the very short term, with Investing.com showing "Strong Sell" signals on hourly and daily timeframes. However, key support is identified at 146.60-147.50, with multiple analysts noting that this zone has held firm. Resistance is seen at 148.00-148.80, then 149.00. The broader technical picture shows USDJPY still in a long-term uptrend supported by the 50-week SMA, with the current pullback viewed as a corrective phase within the larger bullish structure. Several TradingView analysts are calling for bounces from the 147.00-147.50 support zone with targets at 148.80-150.00. - **Recent News/Earnings:** The Bank of Japan held its most recent policy meeting on September 19, 2025, keeping interest rates unchanged at 0.5% as widely expected. Governor Ueda signaled the BoJ would continue to raise rates gradually if economic conditions warrant, but emphasized patience given Japan's political uncertainty. The BoJ also announced a very gradual plan to reduce ETF holdings over the next 100+ years, which has minimal near-term market impact. On the US side, recent ADP private payroll data showed a 32K decline in September employment, increasing expectations for Fed rate cuts. The Fed delivered a 25bp cut as expected, with markets now pricing an 86% probability of another cut in December. This interest rate differential dynamic (Fed cutting while BoJ eventually hikes) is a key medium-term driver for potential yen strength. - **Analyst Sentiment:** Analyst opinion is divided but not overwhelmingly bearish. Approximately 50-60% of recent technical commentary leans bearish for the very short term, citing downside momentum and break of key levels. However, many analysts acknowledge that the 146.60-147.50 support zone is critical and holding, with several calling for bounces from this level. Long-term forecasts remain constructive on the dollar, with projections suggesting USDJPY could reach 149-151 by end of October 2025. The divergence in views creates a contrarian opportunity - when consensus is mildly bearish but support holds, it often signals a bottom is forming. - **Data Releases & Economic Calendar:** No major high-impact events are scheduled for USDJPY within the next 24-48 hours. The next BoJ meeting is not until late October 2025. US economic data this week includes labor market reports which could influence Fed rate cut expectations. The next significant catalyst would be October's BoJ meeting where markets are pricing approximately 39% probability of a 25bp rate hike. Japanese manufacturing sentiment improved to the highest level since late 2024, which has supported the yen recently. - **Interest Rate Impact:** The interest rate differential between the US and Japan remains the dominant medium-term driver for USDJPY. With the Fed expected to deliver approximately 50bps of additional cuts before year-end (on top of the recent 25bp cut) and the BoJ potentially hiking 25bp in October or December, the carry trade appeal of USDJPY is diminishing. This fundamental backdrop suggests medium-term headwinds for aggressive USDJPY bulls, but creates opportunities for tactical bounces as the pair adjusts to the new rate environment. The technical oversold condition combined with rate differential repricing creates an interesting setup for a counter-trend bounce. Layman's Summary: In simple terms, here's what's happening: The US Dollar has been falling against the Japanese Yen because traders expect US interest rates to keep dropping while Japan's rates might go up. This has pushed USDJPY down to a very important support level around 146.60-147.00. However, several things suggest the selling has gone too far and we're due for a bounce. First, technical indicators are showing "oversold" readings - like a rubber band stretched too far that wants to snap back. Second, big institutional traders appear to be buying at these low levels based on volume patterns. Third, the price tried to break below key support levels multiple times but couldn't hold below them - this is called a "failed breakdown" and often leads to sharp reversals. For this specific trade, the technical setup looks good for a bounce to 148.40-149.00 in the short term. The main risks are: (1) if the dollar keeps weakening dramatically, (2) if Japan unexpectedly hikes rates sooner than expected, or (3) if we break below 146.60 support on a closing basis. The risk/reward looks favorable for a quick tactical long play given how oversold we are, but this isn't a "buy and hold forever" setup - it's a bounce play in a market that has medium-term headwinds. Machine Derived Information: - **Image 1 (2H Chart - Pattern Overview):** Shows Anti-Butterfly pattern and Double Bottom formation with price breaking above consolidation zone. - **Significance:** Confirms bullish reversal structure with point 3 as exhaustion high, point 2/4 as double bottom support, and successful breakout above neckline. This is a textbook spring pattern where bears trapped themselves. - **AGREES ✔** - **Image 2 (8H Chart - Trend Context):** Displays broader downtrend from 150.00 with uptrend rejection followed by sharp decline to support zone. Shows trend strength indicator confirming downtrend but approaching potential reversal zone. - **Significance:** Provides context that we're in a downtrend attempting to reverse, which means we're catching a falling knife. However, the trend indicators show weakening downside momentum, suggesting the trend may be exhausting. - **PARTIALLY AGREES ⚠️** (Confirms we're counter-trend but shows exhaustion signals) - **Image 3 (8H Zoomed - V-Shaped Recovery Setup):** Closeup view of the V-shaped potential reversal from point 2 to point 4, showing the spring compression phase. - **Significance:** The tight compression and bullish candle reaction at point 4 suggests strong buying interest. This V-shape pattern often precedes violent reversals when combined with oversold conditions. - **AGREES ✔** - **Image 4 (8H Chart - Divergence Analysis with Indicators):** Shows RSI, MFI, CVD, and OBV panels with clear bullish divergences marked. RSI and MFI both show lower lows while price makes higher low. - **Significance:** Triple divergence (RSI + MFI + CVD) is one of the strongest reversal signals in technical analysis. The divergence confirms that selling pressure is diminishing despite similar price levels. Critical confluence for the bullish thesis. - **STRONGLY AGREES ✔✔** - **Image 5 (8H Chart - Bollinger Band Analysis):** Displays Bollinger Bands with moving average overlays showing price action relative to the bands. Point 2 and 4 marked as potential reversal zones. - **Significance:** Price is at the lower extreme of the Bollinger Band structure, a mean-reversion setup. The bands should contract and price should return toward the middle band (around 148.50). - **AGREES ✔** - **Image 6 (Same as Image 5):** Duplicate of Image 5 showing Bollinger Band context. - **Significance:** Reinforces the mean-reversion opportunity from oversold Bollinger Band extremes. - **AGREES ✔** - **Image 7 (8H Chart - Pitchfork Geometry):** Shows Schiff Pitchfork with median line catching point 4 perfectly, demonstrating market geometry at work. - **Significance:** The pitchfork median line is a high-probability reversal zone. Price respecting this geometry suggests the structure is valid and the bounce should continue toward the upper parallel channel line. - **AGREES ✔** - **Image 8 (8H Chart - Fibonacci + Support/Resistance Levels):** Displays horizontal support levels at 146.60 and resistance zones with Fibonacci extensions showing 0.62 and 0.705 levels. - **Significance:** The multiple failed attempts to close below Fibonacci 0.705 support, combined with horizontal structure support at 146.60, creates a high-conviction support zone. Price now attempting to reclaim 0.62 Fibonacci level is bullish. - **AGREES ✔** Actionable Machine Summary: The machine-derived analysis from the chart images paints a compelling bullish picture: We have a confirmed spring pattern where bears exhausted themselves at a critical support zone (146.60-147.00), creating a textbook bull trap scenario. The triple bullish divergence (RSI, MFI, CVD) provides high-conviction evidence that selling pressure has evaporated, while the Bollinger Band extremes suggest a mean-reversion bounce is imminent. The Schiff Pitchfork geometry and Fibonacci confluence add structural support to the reversal thesis. The only caution flag is that we're trading counter to the prevailing short-term downtrend, meaning this is a reversal play rather than a trend-following setup. However, the exhaustion signals are strong enough to justify the counter-trend position. **For trade execution:** Look for entries near current levels (147.00-147.20) with stops below 146.60 on a closing basis. First target is 148.40-148.80 (resistance zone), second target is 149.20-149.50 (prior consolidation area). This is a tactical bounce play with a favorable risk/reward of approximately 2:1 to first target and 3:1 to second target. Consider taking partial profits at first target and trailing stops thereafter. **Time horizon:** 3-7 days for targets to materialize based on 8H timeframe setup. Conclusion: **Trade Prediction: SUCCESS** ✅ **Confidence: MEDIUM-HIGH** **Key Reasons for Success:** 1. **Triple Bullish Divergence:** RSI, MFI, and CVD all showing bullish divergence between points 2→4 is one of the most reliable reversal signals in technical analysis. This indicates sellers are losing control despite similar price levels. 2. **Critical Support Zone Holding:** The 146.60-147.50 support zone has held firm across multiple timeframes and test attempts. Failed breakdowns below key support often lead to sharp reversals as trapped sellers cover positions. 3. **Institutional Accumulation Evidence:** The Anchored VWAP analysis shows smart money stepped in below first standard deviation and defended the level. Combined with the bullish delta on red candles, this suggests institutions are accumulating positions at value levels. 4. **Oversold Extremes Across Multiple Indicators:** RSI, MFI, OBV Bollinger Bands all showing oversold readings simultaneously. Mean reversion probability is high from these extreme conditions. 5. **Geometric Confluence:** Schiff Pitchfork median line + Fibonacci support + horizontal structure creating a triple-layer support zone that has proven too strong for bears to crack. Market geometry is perfectly aligned for a reversal. **Key Risks/Reasons to Manage Carefully:** 1. **Counter-Trend Play:** We're buying into a prevailing short-term downtrend, which inherently carries more risk than trend-following setups. If downward momentum resumes aggressively, we could see follow-through below 146.60. 2. **Mixed Delta Signals:** The recent large green candle with negative delta is somewhat concerning, though it can be interpreted as absorption. This creates some uncertainty about the conviction of the buying. 3. **Medium-Term Fundamental Headwinds:** With Fed cutting rates and BoJ potentially hiking, the fundamental interest rate differential story is negative for USDJPY over the next 3-6 months. This is a tactical bounce play, not a long-term structural trade. 4. **Short-Term Technical Consensus Bearish:** Approximately 50-60% of technical analysts and automated indicators are showing bearish signals for the very short term. If we're wrong about the reversal, the consensus trade is still down. 5. **Tight Stop Loss Required:** To maintain favorable risk/reward, the stop loss must be placed just below 146.60, which is relatively tight (60-70 pips from entry). A spike below this level would stop us out even if the longer-term reversal thesis is correct. **Risk/Reward Assessment:** The risk/reward on this trade is **favorable at approximately 2:1 to first target (148.40-148.80) and 3:1 to second target (149.20-149.50)**. With entry around 147.00-147.20, stop loss at 146.55 (45-65 pips risk), first target at 148.50 (130-145 pips reward), and second target at 149.30 (210-225 pips reward), the mathematics justify the trade. The confluence of multiple technical factors supporting the bullish case tips the scales in favor of attempting this counter-trend reversal. **Final Recommendation: TAKE THE TRADE WITH REDUCED SIZE** 💰 This setup has enough technical merit to warrant a position, but the counter-trend nature and mixed short-term sentiment suggest using 50-70% of normal position size rather than a full-size allocation. The technical confluences are strong, the support zone has held firm, and the risk/reward is favorable. However, respect the stop loss religiously - if we close below 146.60, the reversal thesis is invalidated and deeper losses could follow. Consider scaling in: Enter 40% of position at current levels (147.00-147.20), add another 30% on a break and retest of 147.50, keeping 30% dry powder. Take 50% profit at first target (148.50), move stop to breakeven, and let the remainder run toward 149.30 with a trailing stop. This is a tactical swing trade with a 3-7 day time horizon - not a position trade. Monitor price action closely, especially around the 148.00 resistance level, as this could determine whether the bounce gains momentum or fails. **Risk Management Imperative:** If USDJPY closes below 146.60 on an 8H candle, exit immediately regardless of loss. If we see major USD weakness (like a surprise hawkish BoJ announcement or dramatic Fed dovishness), exit even if stop loss isn't hit - the fundamental story would change. Honor your risk parameters and remember: surviving to trade another day is more important than any single trade.
Long
by jacesabr_real
USD/JPY - Multi Timeframe analysis🚀 USD/JPY – Forecast Breakdown 🚀 Let’s cook this pair up across the timeframes 👇 🕰 Weekly View Price has been battling along that weekly liquidity trendline. After months of chop, buyers finally punched through the consolidation zone and are now aiming higher. Big picture → the path of least resistance points north toward the 152–154 zone. But, keep in mind, weekly still has major resistance around 150 lurking. 📅 Daily Structure Daily chart shows a clean BOS after running stops. Price cleared liquidity above 149, tapped into the daily imbalance, and is reacting nicely. If bulls keep control, momentum could carry us toward 151. But if daily sellers defend that major resistance, we could see a dip back to 148 (daily demand). ⏱ 4H Breakdown On the 4H: Fresh BOS + 71% fib reaction 🔥 Price grabbed liquidity below before rocketing higher. Market is now stalling under 149.5 – 150 major resistance. Short-term scenario: Possible pullback into 148.3 – 148.5 (4H demand) before another leg up. If that zone holds, bulls likely reload and push us toward 151+. 🎯 Summary Weekly : Breaking higher, aiming for 152–154 🎯 Daily : Strong BOS, but resistance at 150 needs clearing ⚔️ 4H : Demand at 148.3–148.5 is the key re-entry zone 🟩 Bias → Bullish overall, with healthy pullbacks likely. Watch 150: break it clean and we’re on rocket mode 🚀; rejection could mean a retest of 148 support. ⚠️ Risk note: USD/JPY is a stop-hunter — mind your entries and size.
Long
by jamesibartram
USDJPY - Red Low or Orange Resistance: Your Trigger Map!USDJPY squeezed off 146.0 and is testing the 148.8–149.2 orange resistance on the 4H while momentum cools. Here’s the plan 🔑 If the last low in red is broken downward, the bears take over, and I’ll look for 147.2 first, then the 146.0 support zone. If the orange resistance is broken upward and holds, I’ll expect continuation toward the upper supply at 150.7–151.0 (with 150.0 as a waypoint). What’s your move => fade a failure at the orange band, or buy a clean break and hold into 150s? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
4
USDJPY- SETUP(Support confirmation)Currently, USDJPY is showing bullish momentum after forming a rejection from the support zone around 147.200 – 147.350. Price has broken above short-term resistance and is now retesting as support, giving a potential continuation entry opportunity. Entry Idea: Buy from the current level (147.60 – 148.00 zone) Targets: 149.000 (first resistance / partial TP) 150.068 (second resistance / strong TP zone) 150.900 – 151.000 (extended target if bullish structure continues) Invalidation / Stop-Loss: Below 146.900 (if price closes below this support, bullish idea is invalidated)
Long
by Fm254
Bearish reversal off 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 148.58 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 149.83 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance level. Take profit: 147.04 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY – Testing Ascending Trendline Support After Fibonacci ReUSD/JPY has pulled back sharply after failing to sustain above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level (149.35). The pair is now retesting the ascending trendline support that has held since March, making this a pivotal zone for the next move. The 50-day SMA (147.80) and 200-day SMA (148.34) have converged just above price, turning into a key resistance cluster. Meanwhile, momentum indicators show a mixed outlook: MACD is flattening just above the zero line, suggesting fading bullish momentum. RSI has slipped toward 45, pointing to weakening momentum but not yet oversold. If the ascending trendline holds, buyers may attempt another push toward the 149.35–151.60 resistance zone, where Fibonacci retracements and moving averages converge. However, a clean break below 146.50–146.00 would confirm a bearish shift, potentially opening downside toward 144.00 and below. Overall, the market is at a critical inflection point: holding the trendline keeps the medium-term bullish bias intact, while a breakdown could signal the start of a broader reversal. -MW
by FOREXcom
USDJPY Technical Analysis! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.98 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 148.78 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
USDJPY H4 | Bullish bounce aheadUSD/JPY is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside. Buy entry is at 147.86, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 146.99, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 149.81, which is a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu