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West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Futures

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USOIL.F trade ideas

Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 65.944.Colleagues, I previously recommended moving trades to break-even, and for good reason. It is always necessary to hedge and reduce losses—this is part of professional work. (Breakeven=Risk Free: Move Stop loss to the entry level). The price has nevertheless shown a stronger correction, and I now believe that the medium-term “ABC” waves have not yet formed, nor has the large “Y” wave. This means that I expect the completion of wave “B” and then a continuation of the downward movement in wave “C.” I consider the support area of 65.944 to be the minimum target. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
9
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Technical Analysis:WTI is currently trading near the $65.90 support zone after a strong break below $67.00, indicating increased downside risk if no buying interest appears. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below $65.00 and holds, the next support target may be around $62.00. 🔹 Bullish Scenario: If the price recovers and breaks above $67.00, it could move to retest $69.50, and if bullish momentum continues, potentially extend to $70.50. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
TVC:USOIL
by Fadi_radar
How long can the decline in US crude oil prices last? 💡Message Strategy On Monday (August 4) during the Asia-Europe session, WTI fell for three consecutive days, with a drop of 1.16% today, trading around 66.55. OPEC+'s decision to increase production, coupled with geopolitical and economic policies, has jointly formed the expectation that oil prices will be "weak and volatile, dominated by downward pressure." Short-Term: Increased Supply Drives Price Decline OPEC+'s decision to increase production directly led to further declines in oil prices on Monday (Brent crude fell 0.28% to $69.23/barrel, and WTI fell 0.46% to $67.01/barrel), extending Friday's decline. Market expectations of oversupply reinforced bearish sentiment, particularly as the UAE's additional production increase (accounting for 2.4% of global demand) further amplified the signal of easing supply. However, India's announcement to continue purchasing Russian crude oil partially offset the impact, limiting the price decline and failing to shift the short-term downward trend. Medium-Term: Supply-Demand and Policy Risks Intertwine On the Supply Side: OPEC+'s production increase plan may be paused after September, as Goldman Sachs anticipates accelerated OECD inventory accumulation and fading seasonal demand support. However, if US shale oil production is forced to cut production at break-even points due to low oil prices, OPEC+ may adjust its strategy and even consider further releasing the remaining 1.66 million barrels/day of production capacity, which would continue to suppress oil prices. Long-Term: Market Share Competition and Structural Overcapacity OPEC+'s production increase strategy aims to reshape the global oil landscape by squeezing out high-cost producers, such as US shale oil, through low prices. Due to rising equipment costs driven by tariffs and low oil prices, US shale oil companies have cut capital expenditures, resulting in a decline in the number of active drilling rigs and a slowdown in production growth. This strategic game is likely to keep oil prices in a low range for a long time, with significant long-term downward pressure. Unity within OPEC+ and coordination between Saudi Arabia and the UAE will be key to policy implementation. 📊Technical aspects Crude oil's short-term (1H) trend has reversed downward from its highs. The moving averages are diverging and aligning downward, indicating a downward trend in the short term. The K-line chart has continued to close with small real bodies, and the MACD indicator is about to form a golden cross near the zero axis, signaling weakening downward momentum and a bullish bias on pullbacks. Crude oil is expected to remain weak and downward today, with a potential correction near $65.00.
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
Today's crude oil strategy sharingToday's Crude Oil Charlie Recommendation: 📥📥📥. Short at $68.05, stop loss at $68.50, take profit at $66.10. (For aggressive shorting, try $67.85; for a more conservative approach, go short at $68.60).🔥🔥🔥 If the market falls to $66.50 before the New York market opens, go long at $67.70. Set the stop loss at $66.❤️‍🔥❤️‍🔥❤️‍🔥 ⚠️⚠️⚠️The market is risky; participate rationally. FX:USOIL MARKETSCOM:USOIL FX:USOILSPOT FX:USOILSPOT MARKETSCOM:USOIL
TVC:USOILShort
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
2
USOIL Is Bearish! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 69.178. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 66.684 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
3
WTI Crude Oil Technical Outlook – Key Breakout or BreakdownWTI Crude Oil 4-hour chart suggests a potential inflection point after a strong bullish breakout from a larger symmetrical triangle pattern in late July. The price surged past key resistance levels and is now consolidating in a smaller symmetrical triangle formation just below the psychological $70 mark. This indicates a phase of indecision following a strong move, with market participants awaiting further confirmation. Price is currently hovering around $69.82, with key levels marked at $71.03 (resistance) and $69.05 (support). The short-term price action within the tight triangle could determine the next move, with both bullish continuation and bearish reversal scenarios on the table. Prices remain supported by supply concerns after Trump threatened to impose 100% secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian crude and warned China, a major oil consumer of severe penalties if it continues its purchases of Russian oil. 🔍 Potential Scenarios - Bullish Breakout Scenario If price breaks out of the smaller symmetrical triangle to the upside and clears the $70 resistance level with strong momentum, it may quickly test the $71.03 zone. A clean break above $71.03 would confirm the continuation of the previous uptrend, potentially opening room toward $72.50 and beyond in the medium term. The pattern would resemble a bullish pennant — a continuation pattern following the late July rally. -Bearish Rejection and Breakdown Conversely, a failure to sustain above $70 followed by a break below the lower boundary of the smaller triangle could lead to a sharper decline. The first critical level to watch would be $69.05; a break below this would likely invalidate the bullish setup and initiate a retest of the previously broken upper trendline of the larger triangle near $67.50. A further breakdown could lead price towards the larger support zone around $65–$66. 📈 Trend Outlook - Short-Term: Neutral to Bullish — Consolidation in a smaller symmetrical triangle suggests a pause before continuation. However, the structure is still technically bullish unless $69.05 is broken. - Medium-Term: Bullish Bias — The breakout from the large symmetrical triangle in late July indicates a shift in market sentiment, favoring higher prices unless the price fails to hold above $67.50. - Long-Term: Cautiously Bullish — As long as WTI holds above the $65–$66 structural support area, the longer-term outlook remains constructive. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by SibiSh
Crude Oil drops below $70, reversal on the radar?Oil opened the week under pressure after OPEC+ confirmed a 547,000 bpd increase for September, completing a 2.5 million bpd reversal of past cuts—about 2.4% of global demand. The group is now undecided—future moves could be more hikes, a pause, or even cuts, depending on market conditions. Actual supply growth may be closer to 1.7 million bpd due to member constraints, while expectations are that this could be the last hike amid slowing demand and rising non-OPEC output. With oil demand softening, a Q4 surplus looming, and prices under $70, holding steady seems likely for now. Meanwhile, geopolitical pressure from Trump over Russian oil adds more uncertainty, where a final call by OPEC may come at the next meeting on September 7. On the technical side, the price of crude oil is currently testing the support of the 50% weekly Fibonacci retracement level while the moving averages are still validating a bullish trend in the market. The Bollinger bands are expanding, showing that volatility is picking up in the market for crude oil, while the Stochastic oscillator is approaching extreme oversold levels, hinting that a bullish correction might be on the horizon in the upcoming sessions. If this scenario becomes reality, then the first area of potential resistance might be seen around the $70 level, which consists of the psychological resistance of the round number, the upper band of the Bollinger bands, and the previous medium-term high since late July. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
TVC:USOIL
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
USOIL declines for the 3 days in a row. What's next?USOIL declines for the 3 days in a row. What's next? Since the last post the USOIL has already declined on 2.5%, currently rebounding from SMA50 on 4-h chart. 2 main reasons are behind this. On August 3, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their partners, collectively known as OPEC+, decided to increase oil production by 547,000 barrels per day in September, the latest in a series of swift production boosts aimed at regaining market share. They cited a robust economic outlook and low inventories as the reasons for their decision. However, Friday NFP report may signal of a potential recession risk in the United States, the biggest oil consumer in the world. Here is what the Goldman Sachs writes down in x.com: "The decline in employment growth over the previous two months in the July report was one of the largest since 1960 and was accompanied by several months of similar revisions earlier. Corrections of this magnitude are extremely rare outside of the recession period." So, fundamentals don't favor oil and despite the current rebound from SMA50, there are low chances of developing some bullish momentum here. The pullback from 6,800.00 is expected with the following decline towards 6,500.00
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by ProfessorSingapore
9
WTI: downside potentialHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Weekly timeframe A buyer initiative is tentatively developing, yet the strongest buyer candle (highest volume) produced no follow-through. It was followed by two buyer candles on weak volume. Last week volume expanded again and clustered around 69.975, showing that sellers are still defending this level. Weekly seller targets: 65.628 and 64.378. Daily timeframe Sellers remain in control. The chart clearly shows volume manipulation around 69.975. Daily seller targets: 65.628 and 64.736. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Crude Oil Price Action & Pattern Analysis Bearish Wedge Breakdown: The price was consolidating in a descending triangle / wedge pattern. It has now broken below the wedge, suggesting potential bearish continuation. Key Support Zones: Immediate support near 68.60 - 68.80 (highlighted in blue). FOREXCOM:USOIL The break of the 68.60 level with a strong bearish candle would serve as confirmation of a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern , with solid bearish implications. Stronger support around 66.20 - 66.50 , which is a previous demand zone. Resistance Zone: The red zone around 69.40 - 69.50 represents a rejection area , and the price failed to break above it.
TVC:USOILShort
by SaklainManzoor