USOIL trade ideas
CRUDE OIL Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL keeps falling
In a downtrend which seems
To indicate that the market
Has its doubts about the
Economy, however, a strong
Horizontal support is ahead
Around 60.00$ and after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Sell!
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USOIL Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 61.941.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 58.529 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Potential bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 65.81
1st Support: 57.80
1st Resistance: 68.85
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USOIL BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 63.13
Target Level: 65.08
Stop Loss: 61.82
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL latest trend analysis and operation layout#USOIL
Crude oil continued to rebound in the European session, but the short-term 4H moving average was still pressing downward, and it was obvious that the short-selling momentum had not completely subsided. The overall trading rhythm is mainly based on rebound shorting. The short-term upper resistance level is 63.5-64.5. If it fails to break through effectively, crude oil will usher in a retracement, with the target looking at 62.5-61.5
🚀 SELL 63.5-64.5
🚀 TP 62.5-61.5
OILUSD – Demand Zone Reaction (4H Analysis)Price has been moving in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Recently, it tapped into a strong demand zone (blue box) and is now showing signs of a bullish reaction.
🔎 Key Points:
Price reacted strongly from the demand zone.
A trendline break is visible, suggesting bearish momentum is weakening.
Stop loss is placed below the demand zone (61.36).
Take profit is set at the next supply zone / resistance around 66.05.
💡 If buyers hold this level, we may see a strong push toward 66.05. But if demand fails, price could revisit lower levels.
WTI Oil Shorting Opportunity | Technical + Macro Confirm📌 WTI CRUDE OIL | Money-Making Thief Plan 🛢️ (Swing/Day Trade)
🗡️ Thief Strategy Plan (Bearish Bias)
Plan: Bearish setup confirmed — sellers in control after MA rejection of bulls 📉
Entry (Layered Style):
63.000 🔪
62.500 🔪
62.000 🔪
61.500 🔪
(You may increase or adjust layers based on your own plan)
Stop Loss (Thief SL): @64.000 ❌
⚠️ Adjust SL according to your risk & strategy
Target (Thief TP): Key resistance zone + overbought trap @4.6700 🎯
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I don’t recommend locking only my TP. Take your profits wisely & manage risk responsibly. 💰
❓ Why This Plan?
Moving average rejection confirms sellers’ dominance ⚔️
Technical indicators showing strong sell bias 📉
Layered entry strategy helps in catching moves efficiently 🎯
Oversupply risk + weak demand = bearish fuel 🔥
Retail & institutions both leaning short-side heavy 🐻
🔍 Market Analysis (Technical + Fundamental + Macro + Sentiment)
📊 Real-Time Price Action - Sep 05
Daily Change: -1.03%
Monthly Change: -2.84%
Yearly Change: -8.44%
😊 Retail & Institutional Sentiment
Retail Traders: 35% 🐂 | 55% 🐻 | 10% 😐
Institutional Traders: 30% 🐂 | 60% 🐻 | 10% 😐
🌡️ Fear & Greed Index
Current: 25/100 — Fear 😟
Mood: Cautious, driven by oversupply fears + weak demand
⚒️ Fundamental Score: 40/100 (Bearish)
U.S. crude inventories unexpectedly +2.42M vs. -2.19M expected 📈
OPEC+ considering production increase 🌍
Weak China demand signals 📉
🌐 Macro Score: 35/100 (Bearish)
Fed rate cut expectations (25bp likely in September) 💸
Global slowdown fears 🌎 (Europe + Asia weak data)
Geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine) limited impact 🚨
🏁 Overall Market Outlook: Bearish (Short Bias) 🐻
Declining prices + rising inventories + OPEC+ supply hike risk
Technicals = Strong Sell (daily/weekly)
Sentiment favors sellers across the board
🔮 Key Takeaway
WTI/USOIL remains heavy under supply pressure + demand weakness.
Market sentiment is fearful, with both retail & institutions leaning short.
⚡ Keep eyes on U.S. jobs data + OPEC+ decisions for any trend shifts.
📌RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH
BRENT CRUDE ( TVC:UKOIL ): $66.42 (-1.8% daily)
NATURAL GAS ( FX:NGAS ): $2.84 (-0.7% daily)
ENERGY ETFS: XLE, USO, UCO
OANDA:CADJPY : Oil-correlated currency pair
ENERGY STOCKS: NYSE:XOM , NYSE:CVX , NYSE:COP , NYSE:SLB
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#USOIL #WTI #CrudeOil #ThiefTrader #EnergyMarkets #Commodities #OPEC #SwingTrade #DayTrade #OilAnalysis
Potential bearish drop off?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 64.20
1st Support: 62.48
1st Resistance: 65.62
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short OilI don't trust it man. It's just a bunch of black liquid. It's messy too. It gets on the oceans. The turtles have to drink it. Ask the turtles, they'll also short it.
No but really it's overbought, it's time for a retrace, and $70 looks like good support.
OIL PRICE IS RISING!Oil price currently trade at $62.4 per barrel. I anticipate further rise in. My target profit is at $64 and $64.5 level. This is a potential buy trade which I believe it has a good probability.
Technically, we can spot equal lows from the H4 timeframe which is a bullish signal.
WTI: weekly seller targets reached, monthly targets still lowerHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
The sellers have reached the targets mentioned in the previous review (65.628 and 64.378).
What to expect next.
Daily timeframe
On the daily timeframe (D1) for WTI, we see a manipulation of the 65.771 level, which may indicate that the market is moving toward the monthly targets I mentioned earlier — 61.818 and 58.504.
Hourly timeframe
On the hourly timeframe (H1), this manipulation appeared as a false breakout of the upper boundary of a sideways range. The range boundaries are clearly defined: the upper boundary at 65.771 and the lower boundary at 63.580.
Wishing you profitable trades!
USOIL--SHORT--monthly bearish
--weekly bearish
--daily bearish
--tp and entry levels are as shown on chart
Crude Oil (USOIL) – Long SetupOil is currently trading around $63.20 and has formed a clean ascending structure, pushing into the breakout zone. Price is respecting the trendline well and is consolidating just below the EMA cluster – a breakout could be next.
We're currently in a narrow entry zone where bulls may gain control if we see a clean break above the local resistance range.
Trade Setup:
Entry: within the purple box (current zone)
Stop Loss: $62.60 just below the trendline – invalid if broken
Breakout Confirmation: clear candle close above $63.45
Targets:
T1: $63.70
T2: $64,60
Why Long?
Trendline support is holding – price has been bouncing cleanly off the rising line.
Momentum building – repeated tests of resistance without strong rejection.
EMA cluster as magnet – price may want to retest and potentially break through the EMA zone sitting above.
Summary:
Crude oil is coiling tightly just below resistance and trendline support is holding strong.
If we get a push above the breakout zone, I expect follow-through toward T1 = $63.70 and T2 = $64.60
Setup becomes invalid if the ascending trendline breaks clearly to the downside.
No financial advice – just how I see the chart.
OIL SetupClearly oil seems on the upside, according to supply and demand and price action. I took this long with seems to be a very high probability to tp.
Brent Crude Futures Remember when Oil was $100 a barrel??? Looks like we are headed right back there.
Every 90 weeks we get a "change in trend" for Brent. This week Brent is 180 weeks down from high and 90 weeks from low. It is time for a turn. Brent was up 1.4% August 26. It is turning higher in sync with this 90-week cycle. And when you see a close above 72.65, be ready for "panic buying" and an oil shock.
But we all can use a little exercise. Time to either ride bikes, car share or SAVE and MANAGE money for Gas!!
Oil near $63 as Middle East tensions and tariff risks drive gainOil near $63 as Middle East tensions and tariff risks drive gains
WTI crude traded around $63 August 10, marking a third day of gains as Middle East tensions escalated after Israel struck Hamas leadership in Qatar. The move adds to years of regional operations and heightens supply concerns, supported by OPEC+’s smaller October output hike.
Meanwhile, U.S. President Trump urged the EU to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese and Indian goods to pressure Russia, with Washington ready to match. U.S. crude inventories rose 1.25M barrels, tempering the rally. Global stocks gained and the dollar steadied ahead of key U.S. inflation data, while gold held near record highs.
Range formationAs we analyzed yesterday and mentioned, the price was likely to form a range, and now this range has been activated. We need to wait and see whether the price breaks the range from the top or from the bottom. My personal opinion is that the probability of an upside breakout is higher due to the current conditions.
US OIL LONG RESULT US OIL price was consolidating inside a bullish pennant from which I took the long trade to the major resistance and it broke out as expected to the upside but didn't reach the major TP, but I managed to close before the tumble down with some good profits.
Complicated situation in the Middle EastThe downtrend in oil is quite clear to everyone, and naturally, oil prices are heavily dependent on war and insecurity news in the region. If the Middle East were in a normal state, oil prices should have been much lower. However, despite the ongoing downtrend, I don’t think it will drop below \$61. We might see a range forming, and there’s also a chance that a single piece of news could reverse the trend.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Breakout!
With a strong bullish rally, WTI Crude Oil violated a significant
daily resistance cluster yesterday.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose an important
demand zone now.
I will expect a bullish continuation from that.
Next resistance - 66.6
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