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USOIL trade ideas

Oil Left Bulls Bruised and Bankrupt: A Silver Lining for RecoverFenzoFx—Crude Oil remains bearish, taking out bulls and breaking July's low this week—an unexpected move for the month. WTI Crude currently trades near $65.2, aligning with its prior market structure shift from bearish to bullish, marked by a bullish engulfing on June 6. Forecast : Immediate resistance stands at July's low of $65.5. If price breaks above, Oil may begin to recover some losses. Technically, the next upside target is the order block at $67.29.
CFI:WTILong
by FenzoFxBroker
UPDATE ON THIS MORNING'S TRADEEarly in the morning, I posted a trade (Sell USOIL) in which we trargeted the LQ level which the market came closer to and didn't touch, which isn't a big deal. As you can see on the chart, as I told my students during the LIVE TRADING SESSION they assisted, it's all about trade management. On the screenshot on the left, we added another order at 50% lvl of the FVG, xhich the market respected at that moment before giving us a double bottom which is a sign to the change of the movement of the market. For a safe closure of the trade, as you can see in the picture on the left, we waited for the market to break through the 5min LQ we have to close, and that's what exactly happened. We'll wait for another trade to take later in the US session. Follow for more!
FX:USOIL
by YassineAnalysis
Crude Oil (WTI / USOIL) Analysis:Crude oil is currently trading near a short-term support zone around $64.70. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below $64.00 and holds beneath it, we could see a decline toward $63.60 as the first target, followed by $62.00 as a secondary target. 🔺 Bullish Scenario: On the other hand, if the price regains bullish momentum and breaks above $65.00, we may see a retest of the $66.70 area, and with continued buying pressure, a potential move toward $67.50. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
TVC:USOIL
by Fadi_radar
OIL - shortFollowing our previous forecasted up-move, from now on we will switch to looking for sell setups only. We would normally expect the C wave of the corrective pattern retrace all the way to the 0.618 fib of the downward impulse, as the A wave had already retraced to the 0.382. But that isn't necessarily always the case. As long as the C retracement has broken the top of the A retracement, the pattern formally speaking can be complete. We will not be looking for further buys, therefore, from now on. Even if it does continue to the 0.618, we will skip the eventual buy and focus on the sells. At the same time, because the eventuality of more up exists, we will wait for a proper sell setup before we enter any short position. Updates will follow.
FX:USOILShort
by profxedge
OIL BUYIndia's purchases of Russian oil might come at a steep price if President Trump goes ahead with the implementation of extra 25% tariffs on New Delhi's goods. "Countries facing this potential secondary tariff must weigh the benefits of buying discounted Russian crude against the potential cost to trade with the U.S.," ING's Warren Patterson says. Indian exports to the U.S. amount to around $87 billion, while savings from discounted Russian oil would be around $6 billion, according to the firm. "While comments from India suggest that the country will do what's best for its citizens, reducing or stopping Russian oil purchases makes more sense," the head of commodities strategy says.
CFI:WTILong
by Osamudiameh
1
USOIL declines on possibility of geopolitical stabilityUSOIL declines on possibility of geopolitical stability Crude oil and gasoline prices fell August 6 after an early rally, as Trump announced "great progress" in U.S.-Russia talks to end the Ukraine war, reducing fears of new sanctions on Russian energy exports. Additionally, OPEC+’s planned 547,000 bpd production increase for September further pressured prices amid concerns of a global oil supply glut. Technically, USOIL broke crucial local support at 6,500.00. Currently, the price is retesting this level. The decline towards 6,300.00 is expected in short-term.
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by ProfessorSingapore
Could Oil (WTI) Be Breaking Out of its Range?Oil (WTI) has moved back to the forefront of traders thinking this week after OPEC+’s weekend decision to raise September production by circa 550k barrels per day. They also put traders on notice that all options remain open regarding further production increases to replace another output layer, amounting to 1.66 million barrels per day that has been offline since 2023. A decision on what comes next is due to take place at a meeting scheduled for September 7th. Perhaps unsurprisingly, this potential for extra production (supply) being unleashed into the market later in the year has led to some downside pressure for Oil this week. This is because it comes at a time of uncertainty surrounding Oil demand due to possible weaknesses in the global economy, created by President Trump’s tariff policies. Oil (WTI) prices have fallen 4.8% from opening levels on Monday to post a new 1 month low at 64.20 yesterday, a level that it currently holding (more on this in technical update below). Looking forward, one of the challenges traders are facing for where Oil moves next is President Trump’s August 8th deadline for Russia to end the war with Ukraine or face fresh sanctions on its energy exports. President Trump has also suggested he would increase tariffs on countries buying Oil from Russia, including China, although right now India is his initial focal point in this regard and yesterday, he doubled tariffs on Indian goods (25% to 50%) due to the country’s purchases of Russian Oil. These new tariffs are due to start in 3 weeks’ time. With so much uncertainty surrounding Oil prices, including reports of a possible meeting between President Trump and President Putin being scheduled at some stage next week, it could be useful to be prepared for a potential increase in Oil (WTI) price volatility. Technical Update: New Correction Lows Posted Having seen the sharp sell-off in Oil between June 23rd and 24th 2025, a period of more balanced activity developed, as a reaction to over-extended downside conditions in price. As the chart above shows, this resulted in a phase of sideways price activity between support marked by the 65.21 June 24th low, up to 71.34, which is equal to the July 30th failure high. However, price declines on Wednesday this week, have produced closes below 65.21, in the process of posting a new correction low at 64.20. While communications between the US and Russia regarding the war in Ukraine are on-going, this type of break lower in the Oil price is no guarantee of future declines, so it could be helpful to assess what could be the potential support and resistance levels to focus on, just in case the outcome of these events lead to an increase in Oil price volatility. Possible Next Support Levels: As we have said above, the August 6th price weakness has seen a new correction low posted at 64.20, and this may now be viewed as the first support focus. Closes below 64.20 might then lead to a more extended decline in price. Such moves would indicate the potential of further price weakness, with the next support possibly marked by the May 30th session low at 60.17, perhaps further towards 55.64 (May 5th low), if this level in turn gives way. Potential Resistance Levels: On the topside, within a period of price weakness, it can be the declining Bollinger mid-average that reflects the first possible resistance, and for Oil this currently stands at 67.44. Closing breaks above 67.44, if seen, could prompt further attempts to develop price strength to test higher resistance levels. The first possible level would appear to be marked by 71.34, which is the July 30th session high. If this level was broken on a closing basis, it might then lead to tests of 73.29, which is equal to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the June 23rd to June 24th sell-off. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE
by Pepperstone
WTI Under Attack – Rob the Market with This Bear Setup🛢️💣 WTI Oil Short Raid: Bearish Heist Activated! 💣🛢️ 📉 Thief Trader’s Limit-Layered Attack Plan 🔐 💥 Attention Market Robbers & Chart Breakers! 💥 We're about to break into the XTIUSD / US Oil Spot vault — Bearish style. 🚨 The Setup: This ain’t your average breakout — we’re talking high-precision, multi-layered entries on a downside raid. 🧠 Thief Trader Strategy: Drop limit orders at key zones like trip wires. Let price walk into your trap. 🎯 Plan: 🧱 Entry: Any level after MA resistance confirmation. Layer multiple limit orders — DCA-style — after trend shows weakness. 🛑 Stop Loss: 66.300 🔒 Protect your vault. Place SL just above major 4H rejection zone. 🎯 Target: 60.000 💰 Profit at exhaustion level. This is where bulls cry, and we cash out. 🧠 Robbery Logic Backed By: COT Data 📊 Crude Oil Inventories 🛢️ Macro + Sentiment Flows 🌐 Technical MA Break + Retest Patterns 🎯 🔥 Why this isn’t a random short? Because thieves do research — not guesswork. Bulls have overextended. Oil’s price is reacting to strong supply pressure and weakening demand outlook. ⚠️ Risk Note: No entry without trend confirmation. No blind shots — place alerts and wait for the setup. This is a sniper job, not a shotgun spray. 💬 Join the Robbery Crew Smash that ❤️ & Boost if you're riding with the thieves! Drop your charts, entries, or sniper shots in the comments 💬 We rob together. We win together. 🔔 Follow for more heist plans – next market break-in coming soon. 💰 Rob Smart. Trade Sharp. Exit Clean. 🏴‍☠️
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by The-Thief
USOIL 2H – Trendline Break Sell Setup✅ Key Observations: 1. Chart Type: Candlestick chart (2h interval). 2. Trend Line: An uptrend line (red) is drawn, now broken to the downside. 3. Ichimoku Cloud: Price has broken below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling potential bearish momentum. 4. Red Arrow: Indicates a potential short entry point where price broke below the trendline. 5. Downside Targets: 1st Target Point: $64.00 2nd Target Point: $60.00 6. Bearish Projection: A large blue arrow pointing downward from the breakdown level implies a strong sell setup. --- 🎯 Your Trade Setup (based on chart): Entry (Sell): Around $67.25–$67.50 Stop Loss: Above recent high or Ichimoku resistance, approx $68.70 Target 1: $64.00 Target 2: $60.00 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, around 1:2.5 or better depending on entry
TVC:USOILShort
by ALGO_Trading_point
6
Crude Oil Analysis (WTI / USOIL):Crude oil is currently trading near a key resistance area around $66.30. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: A break and close below $65.50 may lead to a decline toward the next major support at $64.50. 🔺 Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks back above $66.35 and holds, we may see a retest of the $66.90 zone. 📈 Continued bullish momentum could drive the price toward $67.50. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
TVC:USOILLong
by Fadi_radar
WTI Crude key support zone at 6553The WTI Crude Oil remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 6553 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 6553 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 6850 – initial resistance 6950 – psychological and structural level 7090 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 6553 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 6400 – minor support 6310 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Neutral bias remains intact while the WTI trades around pivotal 6553 level. A sustained break below or above this level could shift momentum. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
2
WTI Crude: Bulls on the Back FootWTI crude oil has found plenty of willing buyers beneath $65 per barrel recently, often acting as a launchpad for abrupt squeezes higher. But with supply gushing as OPEC+ returns 2.2 million barrels per day to market at a time when concerns about the U.S. economy are growing, whether that continues remains debatable—especially after the sharp $5-plus slide over the past week. With the price closing at its lowest level since early June on Tuesday, traders should be alert to the risk of an extension of the bearish move. Given how often the price has been bid up beneath $65, the inclination is not to act immediately if Tuesday’s lows are taken out. Instead, $63.70 is a level to watch, having acted as resistance through May and June. A break below there would create a cleaner setup for shorts, allowing positions to be initiated with a stop just above for protection. $62.00 saw some action earlier in the year, but $60 looks the more compelling downside target. RSI (14) is beneath 50 while MACD is negative, having already crossed below the signal line—both hinting that selling rallies may work better than buying dips near term. Of course, if the contract can’t break $65 meaningfully despite the bearish backdrop, the setup could be flipped, allowing for longs to be established above with a stop beneath, targeting either the 200-day moving average or $68.44 resistance. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by FOREXcom