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BTC 4H – Testing 116k, Key Supply AheadBitcoin bounced strongly from the 109k demand zone and broke above 114k. Now testing the 116k–117.2k supply zone, which is the key area to watch. ✅ Bullish: Break & hold above 117.2k opens the way to 118k – 120k. ❌ Bearish: Rejection from 116k–117.2k could trigger a pullback to 114k → 111k. Key Levels: Supports: 114k / 113k / 111k / 109k Resistances: 116k / 117.2k / 118k / 120k ⚡️ 116k–117.2k is the decision zone for the next move.
Long
by Mo_Alhameli
BITCOIN BTCUSDTi will be watching the buy power into 115,606-117,430 for possible rejection as seen on weekly time frame double top structure. the descending trendline will be watched for breakout ,if we break out of the trend then our target will 124k ,break of 124k will be 141k-139K zone on weekly time frame we are coming for retest into 117k-115,606,pls watch this zone because of bearish reversal.. watch bitcoin on daily time frame and the structure is clear on price action. if respected then the sell will drop below 107 zone and target will be 100k-98k zone and 93-94k layer by layer dont rush. #bitcoin #btc #btcusdt #crypto
Long
by Shavyfxhub
2
Next Volatility Period: Around October 3rd (October 2nd-4th) Hello, fellow traders! Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D Chart) This volatility period lasts until September 29th, but since the next volatility period is around October 3rd (October 2nd-4th), it's highly likely that the volatility period will continue until October 4th. Therefore, we need to see if the price can sustain above 11696.21 after the volatility period. If it fails to do so and falls below the 104463.99-108353.0 range, a sharp decline is likely. If a sharp decline occurs, we need to check for the formation of new indicators such as the DOM (-60) or HA-Low indicators. If new support is formed, it's important to determine whether there is support near that area. If support is not found, a step-down trend is likely. - It is currently located near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart. Therefore, if the price rises above 111696.21 and holds, further upward movement is likely. At this point, the key question is whether the price can rise above 115854.56 and hold. To sustain the uptrend, - The StochRSI indicator must show an upward trend. It must rise from the oversold zone. - The On-By-Signal (OBV) indicator must show an upward trend. It must rise above EMA 1 and, if possible, above the High Line and remain there. - The TC (Trend Check) indicator must show an upward trend. It must rise above the 0 point and remain there. If the above conditions are met, the uptrend is likely to continue above 111696.21. ------------------------------------------- The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a stepwise upward trend is likely, while if the price falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a stepwise downward trend is likely. Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach. This basic trading strategy principle was developed for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts. Adding the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts allows you to see the overall trend. The remaining indicators indicate support and resistance points or zones for chart analysis or trading strategies. Trading is all about reaction, so understanding support and resistance points or zones is crucial. However, you should interpret the charts based on core fundamental trading strategies. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here's an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
4
Bitcoin Bounces Strongly from Key Support – What’s Next?🔎 Technical Outlook (BTC/USDT, 4H): 1. Key Support: Bitcoin held the 110K – 112K zone, a historically strong demand area that triggered a solid rebound. 2. Channel Breakout: Price has broken out of a short-term descending channel, shifting momentum in favor of the bulls. 3. Immediate Resistances: • First resistance: 115.5K – 116K • Next major resistance: 118K – 120K (upper channel boundary) 4. Scenarios: • 🟢 A confirmed breakout above 115.5K opens the path toward 118K → 120K. • 🔻 Failure to clear resistance could trigger another pullback toward 112K or even a retest of 110K. 📌 Summary: Bitcoin has defended its major support and is showing bullish momentum in the short term. However, the upcoming tests at 115K+ will decide whether this move evolves into a stronger rally or just a corrective bounce.
by CryptoPilot
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – September 30, 2025Hello everyone, Today, as of September 30, I would like to share my perspective on a Bitcoin short position. Once again, I am leaning toward the possibility of a decline, and the basis for this view consists of two main points. First, from the perspective of Elliott Wave Theory, the ongoing 5th wave shows a 0.786 length ratio relative to the 1st wave. Traditionally, the 5th wave often has a specific proportional relationship with the 1st or 3rd wave, with the most ideal ratios being known as 0.618, 1.0, or 1.618. However, in actual markets, more unconventional ratios frequently appear, and one of these is precisely the 0.786 ratio structure of the 5th wave. While this ratio is not the textbook standard, it reflects market participants’ psychology and is repeatedly observed, which makes it a sufficiently valid analytical basis. In particular, at the current stage, the strength of the 5th wave’s advance is gradually weakening, and the typical characteristics of the end of a wave, such as the fading of buying momentum, are also being observed. Second, a 1.13 ALT BAT pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, has formed. While the standard BAT pattern is based on the 0.886 level, the modified ALT BAT pattern sets the 1.13 point as the critical turning area, forming a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). In the current chart, a price reversal is indeed observed at the 1.13 point, which can be regarded as a strong signal where pattern theory and real market movement align. This situation is not a mere coincidence but indicates that selling pressure has intensified in an area where supply zones and psychological resistance are concentrated. Based on these two factors, I set the average target for this decline around 111,633. Of course, since the market is fluid, I will continue to verify the validity of this idea as the chart develops and update it as necessary. Thank you for reading.
Short
by SeoVereign
BTCUSD trading plan Hi traders we are still in a strong bull run however many get confused during pull backs,note that we have a gap at 110 am expecting it to be close before take off if not its gonna be closed after some few mouths note that we do left some gaps but always come bek for them,am not going to change any trend before its done my first target for btc is 150k followed by 180k then we can sell higher but anything that is happening now is pure manipulation n am aware of that,use each dip as a chance to position yourselfs people's will always come with different opinions make sure you follow the right once,this the trend its up to you,do the work.
Long
by mulaudzimpho
2
BTC BREAKING KEY LEVEL — $115K TO $119K MOVE INCOMING?Bitcoin just tested $113K support and bounced hard — now eyeing $117K resistance. This setup is primed for momentum traders looking to catch the next leg up. Critical Price Action Price is hovering around the $115K psychological level, which has become the make-or-break zone for bulls. Support at $113K represents the ultimate safety net — lose this on 4-hour or daily timeframes and Bitcoin will probabilistically head lower toward retest of sub-$112K levels. The chart shows multiple touches confirming this as a legitimate demand zone where institutional buyers are stepping in. The Setup (High Probability Trade) ✅ Trade Condition: Close above $113.5K on 4H → Confirms bullish reversal and momentum shift. This breakout would signal that buyers have absorbed selling pressure and are ready to push toward liquidity pools sitting between $118K-$119K. 🎯 Target Zones: First target $117,000 as immediate resistance, then If momentum sustains, liquidity grab could extend toward $118K-$119K where October forecasts project continuation. 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $113k — this invalidates the bullish structure and suggests bears maintain control. Why This Works Strong bounce from ~ $113K base equals momentum building. This is a classic support-to-resistance move where former resistance (the $115K zone) now acts as support, creating asymmetric risk-reward for bulls. Volume analysis shows accumulation patterns consistent with institutional buying ahead of Q4 volatility. Watch for Confirmation — No Fakeouts The key is waiting for 4-hour candle close (min 1hr) above $114.5K with volume confirmation. Fakeouts are common at psychological levels, so patience prevents getting stopped out prematurely. Monitor order book depth and funding rates for additional confluence. #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #DayTrading #Breakout #BullishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoSignals #BTCAnalysis #TradingView
by SwingSamurai_QMA
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion🌋🚀 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion. 🔓💥 The breakout over 114900 has happened. After 2 rejections, years of preparation, and countless fakeouts… Bitcoin has finally cleared the $114,921 barrier. We are now officially in price discovery mode within the upper resistance channel. 📍 As long as BTC stays above $114,900 – we are long. This level is now our trigger line. Lose it? Flip back to short bias. Hold it? There’s only one word: 🚀 🔑 Context: We’ve tracked this structure since 2023 using a 1-2-3 model based on macro highs. The third test is always the decider — and this time, we broke through. ✅ Test 1: Rejected (2021) ✅ Test 2: Rejected (2025) ✅ Test 3: Breakout confirmed (July 2025) Now compare that to previous cycles: 2016 halving → ATH in 2017 2020 halving → ATH in 2021 2024 halving → ATH coming by end of 2025? 🧭 Based on this map, BTC’s next structural targets are: → $137K → $160K → $182K+ But there’s a catch: if we fall back below 114,900, the entire breakout thesis is at risk. This is now a binary zone. ⚠️ What to Watch: 📌 Support Retests: Expect volatility around the 114.9–116K level. This zone will now be stress-tested. 📌 Media Frenzy vs Structure: As hype increases, stick to levels — not noise. 📌 Ultimate FOMO vs Breakdown: Hold structure = ATH potential Lose structure = Down we go, potentially hard. 🎥 Missed the full structural breakdown? 👉 Watch “Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8” for the blueprint 👉 This is now Part 9 – The terminal move has begun We are now playing for cycle maturity – this could be the final leg before topping out in late 2025. Let’s trade it with clarity, not emotions. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈 🚨 BITCOIN HAS BROKEN OUT but keep in mind: under 114900 be OUT!
Long
by FX_Professor
1
Trigger: 4h-close above 114,826 (Donch-H20)Snapshot of the last 4h candle + what does it mean Price: ~114 314.7 VWAP (the entire period): ~114 199.5, z(Price−VWAP) ≈ 0.36 — the price is moderately higher than the "fair" price over 100 candles; there is no overheating according to VWAP, but there is a positive slope. aVWAP (multiple anchors): start 114 199.5 / 60d 114 096.5 / from swing low 112 682.1 / from swing high 112 128.1 — trading above all aVWAP, trend support from below. Donchian 20/55: 20: H 114 825.7 / M 111 969.8 / L 109 113.9 — channel of the last 20 candles; exit above H = update of the loc. extremum. 55: H 115 623.8 / M 112 086.9 / L 108 550.0 — wider context of the range. Volume Profile (~60d): POC ~115 112.5 / VAL ~109 261 / VAH ~120 964 — currently slightly below POC, within the value zone (VAL↔VAH). POC is a magnet; VAH is the top of the demand corridor. HVN/LVN landmarks: maximum volume nodes near POC ~115k and in the area ~121k (closer to VAH); thin spots (LVN) — ~109–110k. RSI(14): ~67.5 — close to the overbought zone, bullish momentum. MFI(14): ~81.1 — overbought by money, the movement was driven by volume inflow. CMF(20): ~+0.27 — steady positive cash flow (buyers control). MACD(12,26,9): 838 > 558, hist +280 — bullish momentum persists. ADX(14): ~41.4; +DI 33 / −DI 15 — the trend is strong and upward. ATR(14): ~928$ — average true range; used for buffers/stops. Keltner: Upper 114 202 / Mid(EMA20) 112 377 / Lower 110 553 — we are standing right above the upper edge, a sign of a trend "throw." Bollinger(20,2): Upper 115 722 / Mid 111 760 / Lower 107 798 — there is still room for the BB-Upper; there is no compression. z(Price−VWAP) : 0.36 — a small premium to the "fair" price, allows the trend to continue without mandatory unloading. OBV z-scores: z50 +1.54 / z100 −0.43 / z200 −0.96 — short-term inflow, medium-/long-term — not yet fully confirmed (traces of previous outflow). OBV ROC(10) ≈ −0.28 — the inflow rate has cooled locally. Open Interest: ~67.44k, z(168) ≈ −0.79, ROC(5/10) ≈ −1% / +4% — OI is below average: some of the growth may have been due to the covering of shorts rather than the addition of fresh longs. For a sustained uptrend, it would be desirable to see a stabilization/growth in OI. Latest divergences (by auto-detector) RSI: bullish 22 Sep 07:00 → 22 Sep 19:00, bullish 22 Sep 19:00 → 23 Sep 19:00 MACD: bearish 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00 OBV: bearish 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00 MFI: bullish 23 Sep 19:00 → 25 Sep 23:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00 How to interpret: a bullish divergence increases the likelihood of a rebound/continuation upwards; a bearish divergence increases the risk of a rotation/correction. Signals are more reliable when confirmed by a candlestick pattern + OBV/CMF. What does this mean now The momentum is strong: MACD↑, ADX>40, CMF>0, and the price is in a trending mode at Keltner-Upper. Position relative to the profile: we are inside the VA and close to POC ~115k, which is an area of equilibrium; the market likes to test/balance around POC. Risks of "hotness": RSI≈68 and MFI>80 indicate short-term overheating of money; without OI support, there may be откаты к средним значениям перед новым импульсом. VWAP context: z(Price−VWAP) is low (≈0.36), and all aVWAP are lower, indicating that buyers are in control. Key levels Resistances: 114 826 (Donch-H20) → 115 113 (POC) → 115 624 (Donch-H55) → ~118k (inter-nodal zone) → 120 964 (VAH). Supports: 114 202 (Keltner-Upper/Return boundary) → 114 096 (aVWAP 60D) → 112 377 (EMA20/Keltner-Mid) → 112 087 (Donch-Mid55) → 111 970 (Donch-Mid20) → 109 261 (VAL) → 109 114 / 108 550 (Donch L20/L55). Scenarios and triggers (not the financial council) A) Continuation of the upward trend is the basic trend. Why is it the basic trend: convergence of momentum metrics (MACD+, ADX>40, CMF>0, aVWAP control), moderate z(Price−VWAP), and proximity to POC (often broken by the trend). Trigger: 4h-close above 114,826 (Donch-H20) with buffer ≈ +0.1·ATR ≈ +93$ → > 114,920, with CMF>0 and OBV z50 ≥ 1.0. Targets: 115 113 (POC) → 115 624 (H55) → ~118k → 120 964 (VAH) with normalization/growth of OI. Invalidator: quick rollback and fixing below 114 202 (return to Keltner) and below aVWAP 60d 114 096. B) Rotation to the averages / reload. Trigger: 4h-closing below 114 202, RSI < 60 / MFI < 70, weakening of the MACD histogram, while OI↑ on the fall. Targets: 112 377 (EMA20) → 112 087 / 111 970 (Donch Mid 55/20) → 109 261 (VAL) → 109 114 / 108 550 (L20/L55). Cancel: return and hold above 114 826 with OBV recovery. C) Quick short squeeze up. If a set of shorts (OI↑) starts near POC and the price does not give back, a breakout > 114 920 with a fall in OI on a green candle ⇒ closing shorts and accelerating to 115.6k → 118k → 121k. Tactics (example of logic) Impulse long: after fixing > 114 920. Partial fixation at 115 113 and 115 624, then a trawl to the zone 118k → 121k. Stop under 114 202 (or under the retest level). Reversal long (conservative): zones 112.4k–112.1k (EMA20 / Donch-Mid55) at signs of demand (CMF>0, candle reaction, OBV z50 turns up). Stop — below 111.9k, targets — 114.2k → 114.8k/115.1k. Contra-trend short: only if 114.8k–115.6k is rejected + RSI/MFI reversal down and weak MACD histogram. Targets are 114.2k → 112.4k → 111.9k, stop at 115.7k. In short: what to expect The bullish trend is active, but the money is overheated (MFI>80), and the OI is below average. If we consolidate above 114.9k, it is logical to break through to 115.1k → 115.6k → 118k, and with a good flow, to 121k (VAH zone). If we return below 114.2k, a rotation/reboot to 112.4k–112.0k is likely; a deep scenario leads to VAL ~109.3k.
Long
by AlexeyBullBear0297
BTC — Diamond Apex in Rising ChannelThesis (1D pattern, 4H execution): BTC is coiling in a diamond nested inside a rising channel. Neutral pattern with a slight bull bias. Trade the break + retest, not the guess. Structure & Key Levels Pattern: Diamond (expansion → contraction) approaching apex. Boundaries: Resistance ~116k • Support ~108k. Measured height: ~8k → projection ~7–8k from the break. Context: Supply near prior ATH/“TP-1” band above; demand zone ~100k (“TP-1” down) with deeper confluence near ~92–94k (“TP-2” down). Channel top aligns with “TP-2” up.
by MyTradingJournal6th
Bitcoin False breakout a bullish longer-term correction phaseBitcoin’s price has recently broken below a key trendline support despite a generally positive fundamental backdrop and an ongoing bullish longer-term trend. This suggests that the market may currently be undergoing a counter-trend correction phase. One contributing factor to this short-term weakness appears to be the decline in U.S. interest rates, which has unexpectedly had a negative impact on the cryptocurrency market as a whole. From a technical perspective, I have identified several important levels: A breakout and confirmed close above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum and potentially trigger a positive market reaction. and there target will be 113K to 118K You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Long
by MrMartin_11
11
Bitcoin HOLDING THE MAIN TREND.. UPDATE 30-09-2025BTC/USDT Update 🔻 Bitcoin is currently trading below the low time frame zone, showing short-term weakness. ✅ However, BTC is still holding the main trend, which keeps the bigger picture positive. 📊 As long as the main trend support (around $110K) is defended, the market structure remains intact. 🚀 A rebound from this area could bring BTC back into the low time frame range and open the way toward $115K+. 📌 Summary: BTC lost the low time frame, but the fact that it’s holding the main trend is a key positive signal. This level is crucial for maintaining the bullish outlook.
Long
by SatochiTrader
BTC 4H – Rejection at 114k, Eyes on 113k SupportBitcoin bounced strongly from the 109k demand zone, but faced a clear rejection at the 114k resistance. 🔹 Current 4H Outlook: Price is testing 113k support after the pullback. Losing 113k could trigger a deeper move toward 111k → 109k demand zone. If bulls reclaim 114k and hold, upside targets are 116k → 118k. 📊 Scenarios: ✅ Bullish: Hold above 113k and reclaim 114k → continuation to 116k – 118k. ❌ Bearish: Break below 113k → correction down to 111k and possibly 109k demand zone. 🎯 Key Levels: Supports: 113k / 111k / 109k Resistances: 114k / 116k / 118k ⚡️ 113k is the key level to watch — decision point for the next move.
by Mo_Alhameli