BTCUSDT 4H
🔎 Chart Context
• Pair: BTC/USDT
• Exchange: Binance
• Timeframe: 4H (240M)
• Date: 19 August 2025
This chart is mapped using liquidity zones, supply/demand levels, and structural market shifts to project BTC’s likely next move.
📊 Key Observations
1. Current Price Action
• BTC is trading around 114,050, following a sharp decline from the 124,000–125,000 resistance zone.
• The structure shifted bearish after rejection from the upper supply block.
• Current momentum is pushing toward deeper demand levels.
2. Support & Demand Zones
• 112,000–111,000: Nearest significant demand zone; previously acted as strong support after July accumulation.
• 108,000: Major liquidity target marked on the chart — a strong confluence area where large stop orders and institutional bids are likely to be placed.
3. Resistance Zones
• 118,000–119,000: Nearest overhead supply zone; likely to act as resistance on any short-term bounce.
• 124,000–125,000: Major resistance block that caused the latest rejection.
4. Liquidity Behavior
• BTC has already swept liquidity at 116,000–115,000 zone, triggering further downside.
• Liquidity magnets now sit lower, especially at 108,000, which is the projection target.
• Expect volatility as price interacts with the 111,000–112,000 demand block.
5. Projected Path
• Base case scenario (drawn on chart):
• Drop into 111,000–112,000 demand zone.
• Relief bounce toward 116,000–118,000 (supply retest).
• Continuation lower into 108,000 liquidity sweep.
📈 Bullish Case (Lower Probability, Countertrend)
• If BTC holds 112,000–111,000 demand zone strongly and invalidates supply at 118,000–119,000:
• First target: 120,000.
• Second target: 124,000–125,000 retest.
• Requires strong volume and supportive macro flows (e.g., USD weakness, strong equities).
📉 Bearish Case (Higher Probability)
• Structure favors downside continuation.
• Path:
• Retest of 116,000–118,000 supply zone (failed rally).
• Breakdown continuation to 108,000 liquidity target.
• This scenario aligns with broader DXY/EURUSD outlook where USD remains weak short-term but BTC could still flush liquidity before next bullish cycle.
⚡ Trading Plan
• Short Bias (Preferred Play):
• Entry: Relief rallies into 116,000–118,000.
• TP1: 112,000
• TP2: 108,000
• Stop: Above 120,000
• Long Setup (Risky, Countertrend):
• Entry: 111,000–112,000 demand zone.
• TP: 118,000
• Stop: Below 108,000
