GER40-DAX 4H – Waiting like a lion, no move till the level hits📊DAX/GERMANY40 | GER40 - 4H Analysis: Buy Setup
Hello Guys,
Here’s my 4-hour GER40 analysis for you.
These are the exact buy levels I’ll be watching:
🔵BUY level: 23918.2
🔴 Stop level:23590.6 (or adjust based on your own margin)
🟢 TP1: 24046.1
🟢 TP2: 24260.7
🟢 TP3: 24539.6
Risk-to-reward ratio on this setup: 2.00
If GER40 reaches these levels, I’ll definitely take a buy position.
Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to everyone supporting me!
Trade ideas
DAX Bullish as long as the 1D MA50 holds.DAX (DE40) has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up and tested today its 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the 3rd time in the last 6 days.
As long as this holds, we expect a rebound targeting at least the bottom of the Resistance Zone at 24530. A break (and 1D candle close) below the 1D MA50 however, targets at least the top of the Support Zone at 23480.
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ShortTrading the DAX (German stock index) involves significant risk. The DAX is highly volatile and can move sharply in either direction due to economic data, political events, or global market sentiment.
When trading the DAX — whether through CFDs, futures, or ETFs — you are often using leverage, which means you control a large position with a small amount of capital. While leverage can increase potential profits, it can also magnify losses, and you may lose more than your initial investment if risk is not managed properly.
The Hidden Power of Timeframes – Part 2 🔮 The Hidden Power of Timeframes – Part 2 Connection Confluence” – The Invisible Architecture of Precise Trades
Seeing the Invisible
Welcome to Part 2.
If Part 1 gave you clarity on how timeframes interact, we now go one level deeper — into the unseen forces that move beneath the surface of every chart.
🧠 The question is:
“How can I recognize where structure is headed — before it even forms?”
🧠 It’s Not Just About Alignment – It’s About Multi-Timeframe Confluence
The magic doesn’t lie in one indicator or one pattern.
It’s born in the interplay of powerful concepts:
🌀 Wolfe Waves forming at the edges of Order Blocks
🧬 Harmonic Patterns merging with RSI or MACD divergences
🔢 TD Sequential counts signaling exhaustion at precise turning points
🕯️ Japanese Candlesticks confirming what orderflow already whispers
🔐 Smart Money footprints revealing where the crowd dreams — and where those dreams get crushed
This is more than technical analysis.
This is about reading intention — before it becomes visible.
⏳ Multi-Timeframe Fractals – The Echo of the Market
The market is fractal.
What unfolds on a 15-minute chart can mirror the Daily — and often previews the next big move on the Weekly.
📌 Example Scenario:
✅ Bullish divergence on the 4H chart
✅ Aligns with a Gartley pattern on the Daily
✅ Completes just as a TD9 count signals exhaustion on the Weekly
✅ While retesting a monthly liquidity pool
That’s not coincidence — that’s Signal Confluence.
And those who read it are always one step ahead of the market.
🛰️ Smart Money & Orderflow – Trade the Why, Not Just the What
Smart Money doesn’t chase candles.
It trades intent, imbalance, and psychology.
🛠️ Tools of the Trade:
Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Order Blocks
Liquidity Sweeps
Breaker Blocks
Displacement & Inducement
Retail traders chase patterns.
Smart Money chases the dreams of retail.
🔗 The Real Edge: Seeing Connections Others Miss
A Wolfe Wave is just a shape
An Elliott Wave is just a count
A TD9 is just a number
But when…
🌀 A Wolfe Wave forms during the 5th Elliott Wave
🔢 Ends with a TD9 at a liquidity high
🔐 Inside an Order Block...
💥 That’s not just technicals — that’s chess on the chart.
That’s how real precision is born.
That’s how you anticipate moves weeks — or even months — in advance.
🧭 The Meta Skill: Navigating Confluence Across Timeframes
You don’t need to know everything.
You just need to:
✔️ Recognize when timeframes align
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✔️ Avoid forcing trades when there’s no synergy
✔️ Only act when the market’s story is consistent across all levels
A true edge doesn’t come from more tools —
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🧩 Bonus Insight: Alignment Within a Single Timeframe
Timeframe confluence is powerful.
But don’t underestimate the strength of multiple high-probability signals inside just one timeframe.
Example:
In a 4H chart:
Wolfe Wave
Harmonic Pattern
Orderflow Zone
Divergence
…all pointing to the same reversal area.
That’s not clutter — that’s weighted confluence.
These moments often deliver the most decisive trades.
💬 Comment below – or share this with someone who’s always fighting their own timeframes.
🚀 Let’s trade with precision — not prediction.
Bullish continuation setup?GER40 has bounced off the support level, which is an overlap support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 24,325.85
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 24,080.78
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 24,794.25
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
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DAX is approaching the decision point 24000 LevelDAX 40 drop from ATH 24770 to recent lowest 24000 and keep above the this support zone for a week. DAX40 is now in a short term downtrend and if it breaks 24000 level. it will break further downside to 23500 level.
if not, It may rebound from 24000 level and continue to break above.
It will be more cautious to look at the lower timeframe change in 24000 level.
Happy Friday!
GER40 (DAX) Bulls in Control, But Overbought Signals Flash
GER40 (DAX) Bulls in Control, But Overbought Signals Flash Technical Forecast:
Asset: GER40 (DAX Index)
Closing Price: 24,190.7 (as of 11th Oct 2025) USTC+4
Analysis Timeframe: Intraday (1H/4H) & Swing (D/W)
1. High-Level Market Structure & Context
The GER40 maintains a robust bullish trend on higher timeframes, trading well above its key Daily and Weekly Moving Averages. However, the recent ascent has pushed the index into overbought territory on intraday charts, suggesting a potential for a short-term pullback or consolidation before the next leg higher. Geopolitical stability and ECB policy expectations remain key drivers.
2. Multi-Timeframe Technical Breakdown
Primary Trend (Daily/Weekly): Bullish
Elliott Wave: The index appears to be in a powerful Wave 3 impulse wave on the daily chart. A minor Wave 4 pullback is anticipated, which would be a healthy correction and a buying opportunity for the subsequent Wave 5.
Ichimoku Cloud: The price is far above the Daily Cloud (Kumo), confirming the strong bullish trend. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is also well above the price action of 26 periods ago.
Moving Averages: The Golden Cross (50 EMA > 200 EMA) is firmly intact on the daily chart, providing dynamic support.
Short-Term Outlook (4H/1H): Caution - Overbought
RSI Divergence: The 4H RSI is showing a clear bearish divergence, forming lower highs while price makes higher highs. This is a strong warning sign of weakening momentum and an impending pullback.
Bollinger Bands: The price is riding the upper band on the 4H chart, a classic sign of an overextended move.
Wyckoff Theory: The market shows signs of a potential upthrust or a bull trap formation near the 24,250 resistance. A failure to hold gains here could lead to a reaction back to the support zone.
3. Key Price Levels & Patterns
Resistance: 24,250 - 24,350 (Recent highs & Upper Bollinger Band)
Immediate Support: 24,000 (Psychological level & recent swing low)
Strong Support: 23,800 (50-period EMA on 4H & Fibonacci 38.2% retracement)
Major Support: 23,500 (200 EMA on Daily & Wave 4 target)
A Bearish Gartley or Bat harmonic pattern is forming, suggesting a potential reversal at the 24,250-24,350 PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone).
4. Actionable Trading Plan
Intraday Strategy (Next 1-2 Days):
Scenario A (Short Setup): Look for a rejection at the 24,250-24,350 resistance zone, confirmed by a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star) and a turn down in the RSI.
Sell Entry: 24,260 - 24,320
Stop Loss: 24,450
Take Profit 1: 24,050
Take Profit 2: 23,850
Scenario B (Long Setup): A buy-the-dip opportunity emerges on a pullback to the 23,800 - 23,850 support cluster, with a bullish reversal candlestick and RSI recovering from oversold (<40).
Buy Entry: 23,820 - 23,870
Stop Loss: 23,700
Take Profit 1: 24,100
Take Profit 2: 24,250
Swing Trading Strategy (Next 1-2 Weeks):
Bias: Bullish overall. The primary goal is to enter long on dips.
Ideal Long Entry: A deeper pullback to the 23,500 - 23,600 zone would present a high-probability, low-risk long entry for a swing trade targeting new highs above 24,500.
Invalidation: A daily close below 23,450 would invalidate the immediate bullish Elliott Wave count and suggest a deeper correction is underway.
5. Volume & Momentum Insight
VWAP & Volume: The Anchored VWAP (from a recent low) shows the price is extended above it, supporting the overbought thesis. Volume has been declining on the most recent push higher, indicating a lack of strong conviction—a characteristic of a bull trap.
Conclusion: While the long-term trend for the GER40 is unequivocally bullish, the short-term setup favors a corrective pullback. Intraday traders can scout for short opportunities at resistance, while swing traders should patiently wait for a better risk/reward long entry at lower support levels. Always manage your risk.
Disclaimer: This is technical analysis, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
GER30 H4 | Sharp Bearish Decline ExpectedGER30 has rejected the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance, and could drop from this level to the downside
Sell entry is at 24,394.58, which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 24,656.71, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 23,844.94, whichis a pullback support that aligns with he 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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GER40 Review October 16 2025Short-term price movement ideas.
After testing the daily short FVG, the price provided further confirmation on the daily chart, indicating the potential to continue working in the downward direction. At the moment, the main area of interest is the 4H short FVG. If it gets confirmed on the 1H timeframe, a short position can be considered next, with the target being the equal lows.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
DAX Set for a London Session Breakout?Price is currently ranging above a fair value gap (FVG) after a strong sell-off. The market is showing signs of potential accumulation, holding above this imbalance zone. As we head into the London session, I’ll be watching for bullish momentum and a possible push upward if price continues to respect this area.
My bullish positionYou saw what happened at the beginning of Q4 how indices fell then Trump announced a cooling pressure but an ice meltdown to the dollar so
All indices will go long till next year, bye dollar shorts, welcome zzzusd longs contiunation. Hedge funds already bought till last year now they just adding on dips
📈📉📊📈📉📊🗂️📂
DAX overbought pullback supported at 23970The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23970 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23970 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24490 – initial resistance
24580 – psychological and structural level
24770 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23970 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23870 – minor support
23770 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23970. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish drop off?DAX40 (DE40) has rejected off the pivot and oculd drop to the 78.6% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 24,182.71
1st Support: 23,718.92
1st Resistance: 24,455.09
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DAX: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 24,193.45 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 24,328.,98 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is back in a neutral trend after a false break to new highs, trading at 24,374 near its VWAP of 24,025. The RSI at 57.9 suggests modest bullish sentiment. Support is at 23,256, with resistance at 24,795.
UK 100 is in a bullish trend but currently in a pullback phase, trading at 9,430, just above the VWAP of 9,373. The RSI at 56 signals stable but slowing momentum. Support is at 9,148, while resistance stands at 9,598.
Wall Street remains in a bullish trend but undergoing a correction after Friday’s sharp drop, trading at 45,915, slightly below its VWAP of 46,366. The RSI at 45 reflects a cooling market. Support is at 45,718 and resistance is at 47,015.
Brent Crude continues in a bearish trend but holding in a range phase, currently at 6,341 and below its VWAP of 6,597. RSI at 37.8 indicates weak buying pressure. Support is at 6,219 and resistance at 6,975.
Gold maintains its explosive bullish impulsive trend into a fresh record high on Monday, trading at 4,069 above its VWAP of 3,865. The RSI at 83 shows extreme overbought conditions. Support lies at 3,631, with resistance at 4,099.
EUR/USD is still in a broader range phase. After a false break to new highs a fortnight ago, it is now breaking down toward the bottom of the range - trading at 1.1614 just below its VWAP of 1.1699. The RSI at 41 suggests weakening momentum. Support is at 1.1567 and resistance at 1.1831.
GBP/USD is testing the lower bounds of its longer term price range, trading at 1.3350 slightly below the VWAP of 1.3424. The RSI at 42 indicates lack of bullish strength. Support is at 1.3301 and resistance at 1.3545.
USD/JPY despite a pullback on Friday, the pair continues its bullish impulsive move, trading at 151.84 above the VWAP of 149.56. The RSI at 64 signals strengthening momentum. Support lies at 145.66, while resistance is at 153.46.
DAX/GER30 - DOOR OF OPPORTUNITY OPENING Team, I've been lazy the last few days, but I did very well with DAX scalping from 24025 toward 24175 and 24250. I have discussed all the trade in my room discussion.
Let's go LONG at 23996-24025 ranges STOP loss 60 points or 23950
Once it hit 24100 - take partial and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 24175-24250
LETS GO
DAX, Weak StillDespite the huge recovery in US indices over the past few days, DAX continued to be weak and even made new lows yesterday. Could see further downside to 23700-800 or so, confluence of supports before a strong bounce.
Of course, a lot depends on how US indices perform today. SPX need to hold at current 6730 level, NDX 24980 and come down for this plan to work out.