Trade ideas
Nasdaq Diverges From Dow Gains — Will It Follow?From a daily perspective, the Nasdaq is testing the upper bound of a parallel channel that has been respected since the August 2025. Price action previously broke to the mid-zone of the duplicated channel near 26,300, declined to the lower border of the original pattern near 24,650, and has since rebounded toward the upper edge around 25,700.
The scenarios from here are as follows:
• Bullish case: A confirmed hold above 25,700 could redirect gains toward 26,300, after which another bullish projection targets the upper boundary of the duplicated channel near 26,800–27,000.
• Bearish case: A drop back below 25,200 could pull prices toward 24,650, with further downside potential extending below the August–November support zone toward 23,900, 23,500, and, in extreme cases, 22,700.
As the longest U.S. government shutdown in history comes to an end, the Dow has extended its gains toward new records near 48,500, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 remain in a neutral hold, raising questions about the sustainability of further highs in 2025.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
USTEC - Shorts - In the money!!!!🔥 USTE/15 — Morning Sell Trades Explained (Who Caught These With Us?)
This morning our system printed two clean SELL signals — both highlighted on the chart.
📉 Sell #1 — Momentum Flush
Price tapped into a short-term premium zone and immediately rejected.
Our system triggered the orange SELL candle right at the top of the move.
Within minutes, momentum collapsed and delivered a clean downside push.
📉 Sell #2 — Premium Retrace + Rejection
After the first drop, price pulled back into our sell zone again.
The system flagged a second SELL opportunity (again marked in orange).
The rejection was instant — textbook continuation setup.
Both entries respected the exact rules of the system:
✔️ Trend alignment
✔️ Premium pricing
✔️ Momentum shift
✔️ Clear rejection candle
No guessing. No emotion. Just execution.
💬 Who caught these sells with us today?
Drop a comment below if you took the trades — or if you’re testing the system and saw the same signals!
US100 | Building Liquidity for a Potential Push Toward 26,000NASDAQ (US100) is consolidating between 25,400–25,750, forming a potential accumulation zone below short-term liquidity. A clean break and retest above 25,750 could trigger a bullish expansion toward the 26,000–26,200 range, where major buy-side liquidity sits.
Market Structure:
Bias: Bullish (HTF structure shifting higher)
Key Demand Zone: 25,400 – 25,450
Breakout Zone: 25,750
Target Zone: 26,000 – 26,200
Invalidation: Below 25,400
Concepts: Liquidity Grab | Market Structure Shift | Demand Zone | Breaker Block | Smart Money Flow
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Nasdaq Holds Firm After Support Rebound| Focus on 25820 BreakoutUSNAS100 | Overview
The price retested our support at 25430 and bounced perfectly, just as outlined in the previous analysis.
After reaching the resistance zone, the index is now consolidating between 25700 and 25820, awaiting a decisive breakout.
A 1H close above 25820 would confirm bullish continuation, targeting 25960 and 26170.
However, a 4H close below 25700 would indicate the start of a bearish correction, with downside potential toward 25570 and 25430.
Pivot Line: 25700
Resistance: 25820 · 25960 · 26170
Support: 25570 · 25430 · 25230
Outlook:
USNAS100 remains bullish while above 25700, with upside targets at 25960–26170.
A confirmed 4H close below 25700 would shift the short-term tone to a bearish correction toward 25570–25430.
Will NAS100 Sustain Its Bullish Momentum After the Pullback?NAS100 🚀 Bullish Swing Setup | SuperTrend Pullback & Layered Entry Strategy
🎯 TRADE IDEA: NAS100 (US100) BULLISH SWING
Capitalize on a structured pullback in the NASDAQ 100! This plan leverages a proven indicator confluence for a high-probability long opportunity.
📊 ANALYSIS & CONFIRMATION:
Trend: Primary Bullish Trend is intact. ✅
Trigger: Price is pulling back into a demand zone, offering a favorable risk-to-reward entry.
Indicator: The SuperTrend ATR Line is acting as dynamic support on the 4H/Daily timeframe. A bounce from this level confirms our bullish bias.
⚡ STRATEGY: "THE THIEF" LAYERED ENTRY
This method uses multiple limit orders to average into a position, perfect for volatile markets like the NASDAQ.
Entry Zone: Look for entries between 25,200 - 25,600
Layer Example:
🟢 Limit Order 1: 25,600
🟢 Limit Order 2: 25,400
🟢 Limit Order 3: 25,200
👉 You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital and risk appetite.
❗ RISK MANAGEMENT:
Stop Loss (SL): A decisive break below 24,800 would invalidate the bullish structure.
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY protective stop. Dear Thief OG's 👑, you MUST adjust your position size and SL based on your personal risk management strategy. Protect your capital first!
🎯 PROFIT TARGETS:
Primary Target: 25,600 (Initial resistance & profit-taking zone).
Key Reasoning: We anticipate a reaction here due to:
Moving Average resistance.
Potential overbought conditions on lower timeframes.
A "trap" for late buyers.
👉 Smart Move: Consider taking partial profits at 25,600 and trailing your stop for the remainder. Escape the trap with your profits! 💰
⚠️ REMINDER: Dear Thief OG's 👑, your Take Profit (TP) is your own decision. Secure gains based on your trading plan and market behavior.
🔍 RELATED ASSETS & MARKET CORRELATION:
Watching these related instruments can provide confirmation and a broader market view.
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): 🟡 NEGATIVE CORRELATION
A weakening Dollar ( TVC:DXY DOWN) is generally bullish for Nasdaq. If the Dollar is falling, it adds confidence to this long thesis.
USTECH (CFD on Nasdaq 100): 🟢 DIRECT CORRELATION
Moves in sync with NAS100. Perfect for cross-verifying price action and volume.
NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:TSLA (Mega-Caps): 🟢 HIGH IMPACT
These heavily weighted Nasdaq components drive the index. Bullish momentum in these stocks supports a rising NAS100.
FOREXCOM:SPX500 (S&P 500): 🟢 POSITIVE CORRELATION
A strong S&P 500 often lifts the Nasdaq. Monitor for overall U.S. market strength.
💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
What's your entry strategy for the NAS100 this week?
#NAS100 #US100 #TradingView #SwingTrading #Bullish #SuperTrend #TradingStrategy #IndexTrading #LayeredEntry #ThiefStrategy
NAS100: Threshold Analysis & Decision FrameworkNAS100: Threshold Analysis & Decision Framework | November 12
Reference Point: 25,625 | 08:45 UTC+4
MARKET PREMISE
The Nasdaq 100 has stabilized within a confined bandwidth, presenting traders with a defined set of bifurcated outcomes. The micro-structure reveals a market in the midst of accumulation, where directional bias remains contested between competing institutional flows.
TECHNICAL ASSESSMENT MATRIX
Primary Trend (Dow Theory Lens): Uptrend remains intact; lower-bound support at 25,500 preserves bullish structure. Failure to maintain this floor signals potential regime shift.
Pattern Development: A Symmetrical Triangle is in formation across the 1H/4H timeframes. Contraction suggests breakout imminent—directional confirmation required.
Elliott Wave Interpretation: Wave IV consolidation underway. Upon completion, Wave V upleg anticipated toward fresh resistance territories.
Harmonic Configuration: Potential bearish Bat pattern exists if price recedes; conversely, completion of bullish Crab pattern supports upside continuation above 25,750.
INDICATOR CONFLUENCE TABLE
| Indicator | Timeframe | Status | Signal |
|-----------|-----------|--------|--------|
| Ichimoku Kumo | 4H | Price-Kumo Contact | Neutral-to-Bullish |
| RSI(14) | 4H | ~50 Median | Energy Stored |
| VWAP Proximity | Intraday | At Fair Value | Equilibrium |
| EMA(50) Stack | 1H | Bullish Alignment | Support Intact |
| Bollinger Squeeze | 30M | Band Tightening | Volatility Expansion Pending |
OPERATIONAL TRADE MATRIX
Bullish Engagement (Primary):
- Activation: Hourly close above 25,700 (Triangle apex breakout)
- Entry Coordination: 25,720–25,750
- Protective Stop: 25,580
- Profit Sequencing: 25,900 (T1) → 26,150 (T2)
- Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.4
Bearish Contingency (Secondary):
- Activation: Sustained close below 25,500 (Foundation breach)
- Entry Coordination: 25,480–25,450
- Protective Stop: 25,650
- Profit Sequencing: 25,250 (T1) → 25,000 (T2)
- Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1.8
GANN TEMPORAL OVERLAY
Key cyclical windows on the 4D chart suggest consolidation resolution within the 12–15 hour window. Volume profile at the 25,650 level indicates potential liquidity pool; breakouts through this zone warrant heightened position management.
TRADE DIRECTIVE: Await breakout confirmation with concurrent volume expansion. Triangle compression suggests potential catalytic move. Disciplined position-sizing essential given binary outcome structure.
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
US100 – Bullish Reversal Setup-H4: Turning bullish with a new high at 25,667.
Pullback: Formed a lower high, now H1 shifting bullish again.
Plan: Looking for buys above 25,542, SL below last H1 LH.
Adjustment: If another H1 LH forms and breaks upward, trail SL for tighter risk.
-Fundamental: Shutdown-end hopes , supporting the bullish scenario.
US100: Bullish Divergence Meets Institutional SupportUS100 1H Analysis – Bullish Divergence at Strong Support
Price is compressing within a descending channel, currently testing a multi-touch support zone around 24,730–24,490. Volume shows signs of accumulation, and RSI reveals bullish divergence, hinting at potential reversal. If support holds, a bounce toward 25,900–26,250 is likely. Breakdown below 24,490 invalidates the setup.
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