US SMALL CAP 2000 - CASH forum
๏ปฟ๐ Trading Plan (Swing / Day Trade)
Strategy: Bullish LSMA moving average pullback plan ๐
Thief Style Entries (Layering Method):
Multiple buy-limit layers at 2340 / 2350 / 2360 / 2370
You can increase layers based on your own strategy & risk ๐งฉ
Stop Loss (SL): Thief SL @ 2310 (adjust based on your own plan & risk) ๐ก๏ธ
Target (TP): Strong resistance at 2450 โ ๏ธ โ โPolice barricadeโ ๐
Note: This is not a fixed TP recommendation. Thief OGโs ๐ญ, take profits where it fits your risk and reward. ๐ฐ
โ Why This Plan? (Thief Logic)
๐น Technical (Thief Strategy)
Bulls loading pressure with LSMA pullback signals ๐.
Layered entries reduce timing risk and allow multiple profit grabs.
Strong resistance ahead at 2450 = escape zone before โpolice barricadeโ ๐จ.
๐น Sentimental Reasoning
Retail sentiment 58% bullish ๐ข vs. 32% bearish ๐ด โ optimism is leaning upward.
Institutions also show 52% bullish bias, confirming retail direction โ๏ธ.
Fear & Greed index at 52/100 = Neutral ๐ โ balanced emotions, not overheated.
๐น Fundamental Reasoning
Earnings growth ~12% expected in 2025 ๐ผ supporting equity demand.
Consumer spending still rising (+0.5% in July) ๐๏ธ keeps the economy resilient.
Fed policy steady at 4.25%โ4.50% ๐ฆ = stable environment for stocks.
๐น Macro Reasoning
Inflation above Fed target (Core PCE 2.9% y/y) ๐ = caution flag.
Trade tariffs ๐ add uncertainty, but no crash-level risk.
Fed rate cut expected in September ๐ฝ = bullish fuel if confirmed.
๐ Thief Conclusion: Fundamentals ๐ผ + Sentiment ๐ง + Macro ๐ align with a slightly bullish thief setup. The layering style plan matches the market bias โ stack the layers, steal the profits, and escape before 2450 barricade hits ๐๐ฐ.


๐ Breakout Entry @ 2370.00 โก โ Robbery starts here!
๐ Layered Buy Limit Orders: (2370.00) โ (2360.00) โ (2350.00) โ (2340.00)
๐ Add more layers if you want, but only activate after breakout confirmation!
๐ Set Alarm in TradingView โฐ to know the exact breakout moment.
(Thief Rule: Using multiple entries = more bags of cash ๐ฐ. Donโt be lazy โ set layers smartly!)
๐ Stop Loss (SL) โ Thief Protection Line
๐ Thief SL @2300.00 (place AFTER breakout)
๐ Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and how many layers youโve stacked.
๐ Remember: Stop loss is the alarm system โ place it wisely or police will catch you ๐จ.
๐ดโโ ๏ธ Target ๐ฏ โ Escape Point
๐ 2440.00 = Police Barricade!
Escape with stolen profit bags before they lock down the road ๐.
๐ You can take profit earlier if you see police headlights flashing ๐ฎโโ๏ธ.
๐งฒ Scalpers Note ๐
โก Rob fast, rob clean โ only scalp long side.
If youโre rich ๐ โ straight breakout entry.
If youโre patient thief โ layer it like an OG.

๐ Index Value: 2,353.99
๐ Daily Change: +14.82 (+0.63%)
๐๏ธ Monthly Performance: +4.31%
๐ Yearly Performance: +6.85%
๐ฎ Q3 2025 Forecast: 2,331.67
๐ฐ๐ Fear & Greed Index
๐ Current Sentiment: Greed
๐ Value: 59 / 100
๐ก Explanation:
Greed โ Optimistic investor behavior.
50 = Bullish momentum ๐
Drivers โ Strong momentum + Low volatility.
๐๐ Retail & Institutional Sentiment
๐จโ๐ผ Retail Traders
๐ Sentiment: Moderately Bullish (60% Long)
โ Why: Small-cap momentum + Fed rate cut expectations.
๐ฆ Institutional Traders
๐ Sentiment: Cautiously Optimistic (55% Long)
โ Why: Watching valuation gaps (Russell 2000 vs S&P 500).
๐ Key Focus: Fed policy pivots in Q4 2025.
๐๐ Fundamental & Macro Score Points
๐ฒ Valuation: Russell 2000 = Cheap vs. S&P 500 (near ATHs).
๐ฆ Fed Policy: Extremely sensitive to cuts โ โReal pivotsโ could boost small caps.
๐ Volatility: Bond market calm (MOVE Index <50) supports bulls.
๐ Breadth: Expected to expand if Fed cuts rates โ small caps benefit.
Economic Sensitivity: Small caps = domestic focus โ more vulnerable to U.S. economy shifts.
๐๐ป Overall Market Outlook
๐ Bullish (Long): 70%
๐ป Bearish (Short): 30%
๐ Reason: Strong technicals + Greed sentiment + Fed policy support > Risks (tariffs, inflation).
๐ก๐ฅ Key Takeaways
๐ข US2000 gaining momentum (+0.63% today).
๐ข Sentiment = Greed (59/100) โ bullish driver.
๐ข Fundamentals point long-term bullish for small caps.
๐ก Watch Fed Q4 2025 decisions โ major directional cue.

๐ Plan: Bullish (Swing / Scalping Pending Orders)
๐ฅ Breakout Entry: 2280.0 โก
๐ Pullback Entry: 2230.0
๐ Thief Layering Strategy:
We donโt enter like amateurs โ we layer our buy limits after breakout confirmation.
Example (use your own flexibility):
Layer 1๏ธโฃ: 2280.0
Layer 2๏ธโฃ: 2270.0
Layer 3๏ธโฃ: 2260.0
Layer 4๏ธโฃ: 2250.0
Layer 5๏ธโฃ: 2230.0
(Add more layers if youโre greedy, but remember: thieves escape before cops arrive ๐จ)
๐ Stop Loss (Thief Escape Routes):
Breakout Entry SL ๐ชค: 2240.0
Pullback Entry SL ๐ชค: 2200.0
โ ๏ธ Adjust your SL based on your own risk appetite โ every thief runs differently.
๐ฏ Target Vault:
๐ High-voltage resistance zone = 2400.0
Get in, grab the loot, and escape before alarms ring! ๐ฅ
๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ Notes for Thief Traders:
Use multiple buy layers (limit orders) to secure loot at better prices.
Watch for fakeouts & traps โ the guards (bearish traders) will try to block you.
Scalpers: Grab smaller bags ๐. Swing traders: Hold until the grand vault ๐ฐ.
Always trail your SL once in profit. Protect your loot like a pro! ๐
๐ If you support this heist plan, hit that BOOST button โก๐ to power up the Thief Crew.
Together, we rob the marketโฆ one index at a time! ๐

๐ผ Daily Change: +3.70 (+0.17%)
๐ Day Range: 2,214.27 โ 2,228.30
๐ 52-Week Range: 2,054.57 โ 2,466.49
๐ Fundamental & Macroeconomic Data Points
๐ Economic Indicators:
๐ GDP Growth: US GDP growth slowed to 2.5% annualized in Q2 2025 (latest data) โ small-cap companies are sensitive to domestic slowdowns.
๐ฐ Interest Rates: Fed Funds Rate at 5.25โ5.50% (unchanged as of August 2025) โ high rates increase borrowing costs for small-caps.
๐ Inflation: CPI cooled to 3.2% YoY (July 2025) โ below expectations, easing pressure on small-caps and sparking rate cut hopes.
๐ท Employment: Non-farm payrolls grew by 180,000 (July 2025) โ steady but below forecasts.
๐ Consumer Confidence: Conference Board Index at 70.1 (July 2025) โ cautious optimism supports retail/consumer small-caps.
๐งโ๐ป Retail & Institutional Trader Sentiment:
๐ Retail Sentiment:
๐ Bullish: 55%
๐ Bearish: 45%
(Aggregated retail positioning data, early August 2025)
๐ฆ Institutional Sentiment:
๐ Net Short Interest: Increased 300% from early July to early August
๐ Net Position: -90,000 contracts net short (CFTC Commitment of Traders, Aug 2025) โ bearish conviction.
๐ Fear & Greed Index:
๐ Current Level: 45 (Neutral, leaning toward Fear) โ driven by volatility, momentum, and trading volume.
๐ Key Points:
โก Volatility: 18.55 (30-day avg) โ choppy trading conditions.
๐ Recent Performance: -2.24% over past 30 days, ๐ +6.00% over 90 days โ mixed trends.
๐ฏ Sensitivity: Small-caps highly sensitive to interest rate changes & consumer demand shifts.
๐ Watchlist: Keep an eye on US retail sales data & Fed announcements for potential rate cut signals that could boost small-cap stocks.