US Real Estate Cycle – VNQVanguard Real Estate ETF tracking a diversified basket of US REITs across property sectors. Using S&D on higher timeframes to position for real‑estate upswings and yield‑driven flows.
Key stats
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Mean Reversion Setup: VNQ1. RSI in oversold region
2. Price likely to rebound back the the mean
Trade Rules:
Entry Trigger - RSI has cross below oversold region, enter limit buy at close price
Exit Trigger - Close at market when close price cross above exit trigger (Red Line)
Adding DRV in this area. VNQ going downThe golden age is over. Actually I have no idea what I am doing other than throwing darts at the dart board. This trade may work, it may not.
VNQ/SPY Stagflation trade?Surprised to see reits continue their underperformance against the S&P, I understand how most market participants view reits as a long term rate play (yields down reits up etc) however I think the market is not taking into account that reits should perform "relatively" well in a stagflationary envir
pivot playEntering here via DRV for a short trade. Bail if the daily closed above the entry (circle).
Low Risk via DRVUsing DRV to short VNQ off this pivot. Hopefully it holds, limited losses if the sell pivot holds.
A longer term entry for short VNQ via DRVI will be dabbling with DRV until this Monthly goes back to a buy. I think this is a position of maximum opportunity to enter short real estate.
Warning Shot Based on the previous CoT report, asset managers are short the Real Estate index 9,247 contracts which is 1,184% more than their average in 2020, and 840% more than their average 2019 positioning. Large deviations in asset manager positioning are good indicators of sentiment and risk.
For example,
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Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.
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Yes, VGSLX pays dividends to its holders with the dividend yield of 3.82%.