VNQ is setting up for a Blue Sky Breakout above $108 in time
We can see the most recent pivot low holding around $101
With a mini pivot vs $104
We would look to entry above $108 with a stop vs the pivot low of $101
The mortgage applications print today was somewhat rough and represented an overheated market that's priced out the average citizen homebuyer. Mortgage apps actually declined in growth while building permits exceeded expectations. We can see that VNQ has been highly rangebound since the Covid rally and has failed multiple times to clear local highs at 107....
Vanguard Real Estate is showing some interesting things after quietly consolidating since early June. And now, it finds itself in the midst of a breakout of its previous all time high at $105.77. It is still very early, but if the VNQ can confirm any sort of sustained price action above the $105.77 price level on the daily and weekly time frames, fireworks could...
VNQ is one of the most popular REIT ETFs . The fund follows an index of corporations involved in the ownership and operation of real estate in the United States.
Property is definitely the "real good" par excellence, or at least it has been so far. And it is also true that the cycles of inflation and housing are still interdependent.
This ETF is in overbought...
Idea for Housing/REITs (VNQ):
- The Housing Market will crash. I am short REITs.
- Lumber rose 400% in a year during a global crisis and then dropped 50% in a month... This is not a correction, but a bubble pop.
- China reining in commodity prices. They announce that they will soon release state stockpiles of...
There have been two main reasons when VNQ has outperformed SPY.
1. When Real Estate was the hottest thing since sliced bread
2. When SPY Has gone into a sideways or down market
With Real Estate prices being hot while commercial beaten up
VNQ net has out gains but subpar to SPY. That seems to be changing
based on this ratio setup. I venture to say it will likely...
EMA50/EMA200 as support
Near demand Zone
Plan A: Sell PUT under 80 for now.
Plan B: Buy Call spread in the demand Zone
I am not a PRO trader. I trade option to test my trading plan with small cost.
The max Risk of each plan is less than 1% of my account.
If you like this idea, please use SIM/Demo account to try it.