TSLA 1D Time frame Tesla (TSLA) Daily Snapshot
Current Price: $346.97
Change: +0.61% from the previous close
Intraday Range: Not specified
Trend: Bullish continuation
🔎 Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $347.17 – $350.85 (short-term resistance zone)
R2: $360.56 – $362.90 (medium-term resistance zone)
Support:
S1: $324.94 – $330.14 (short-term support zone)
S2: $313.64 (trendline support)
S3: $302.62 (horizontal support)
📈 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): 57.10 — Neutral
MACD: 5.23 — Sell signal
Moving Averages:
5-day EMA: $339.84 — Buy
50-day SMA: $324.49 — Buy
200-day SMA: $330.33 — Buy
📌 Market Sentiment
Catalysts: Positive market sentiment, with TSLA outperforming key competitors in recent sessions.
Sector Performance: Tech sector showing strength, with TSLA leading gains among peers.
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $347.17 could lead to a push toward $360.56–$362.90.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $324.94–$330.14 may test support around $313.64.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with positive momentum but facing near-term resistance.
TSLA trade ideas
TSLA 4Hour Time frame 📊 Tesla (TSLA) Snapshot
Current Price: ~$346.97
Recent Range: ~$325 – $358
Intraday Change: Small gain (~+0.2%)
🔎 Key Levels (4H Focus)
Resistance: ~$347 – $351 (immediate ceiling)
Support: ~$325 – $330 (key downside buffer)
📉 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): ~57 → neutral with slight bullish bias
MACD: Positive → upward momentum
Moving Averages: Price trading above 20, 50, 200-period moving averages → bullish trend
Stochastics: Neutral → no overbought/oversold condition
📌 4-Hour Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above $347–348 could push price toward $358+.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below $330–332 could test support around $325.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish; momentum positive but needs to clear resistance for acceleration.
✅ Conclusion: On the 4-hour chart, TSLA is in a moderate bullish phase, trading above key moving averages. The key battle zone is $347–351 for resistance, and $325–330 provides support in case of a pullback.
Tesla: New Alternative Scenario Emerges Tesla continues to face significant upward pressure, repeatedly testing resistance at $373.04. As a result, we have dropped our previous alternative scenario of an early sell-off in favor of a new upside alternative. We now see a 37% chance that the stock will break above the $373.04 resistance, forming an early top for beige wave alt.x above the next key level at $405.54. However, our primary expectation is that TSLA will first pull back into our green Target Zone between $273.11 and $231.66, where we anticipate the low of green wave . Thus, this range could present new short- to medium-term long entry opportunities to capitalize on the subsequently expected rally, which is likely to culminate in the regular wave x high above $405.54. Following this top, we expect the final sell-off phase within the broader corrective structure: wave y should drive price down into the beige Target Zone between $157.88 and $46.70, where we project the low of blue wave (II). This range could present attractive opportunities for longer-term long positions. For potential long trades—whether in the green or the beige zone—a stop set 1% below the lower boundary of the respective zone can help manage risk.
Global Government Bond Trading1. Fundamentals of Government Bonds
1.1 What Are Government Bonds?
A government bond is a debt security issued by a country’s treasury or finance ministry to raise money. When an investor buys a government bond, they are lending money to the government in exchange for periodic coupon payments (interest) and repayment of the principal at maturity.
Coupon Bonds: Pay regular interest plus principal at maturity.
Zero-Coupon Bonds: Sold at a discount, repay face value at maturity.
Inflation-Linked Bonds: Adjust coupon/principal with inflation rates.
Savings Bonds / Retail Bonds: Targeted at individual investors.
1.2 Key Features of Government Bonds
Issuer: Sovereign state.
Maturity: Short-term (T-bills), medium-term (notes), long-term (bonds).
Yield: Return investors expect, inversely related to bond price.
Credit Risk: Higher in emerging economies; lower in developed ones.
Liquidity: Developed market bonds (like U.S. Treasuries) are highly liquid, emerging markets less so.
1.3 Importance in Global Finance
Provide a risk-free benchmark rate (e.g., U.S. Treasury yields influence global lending rates).
Used as collateral in repo markets.
Serve as safe-haven assets during crises.
Act as tools for monetary policy (quantitative easing, open market operations).
2. Structure of the Global Government Bond Market
2.1 Primary Market
This is where governments issue new bonds via auctions or syndications. Investors bid for these securities, and the government raises capital.
Auction System: Used by the U.S., UK, Japan. Competitive and non-competitive bidding.
Syndicated Issuance: Banks underwrite and distribute bonds, common in Europe.
2.2 Secondary Market
Bonds are traded between investors after issuance. This provides liquidity and continuous price discovery.
Over-the-Counter (OTC): Majority of global bond trading occurs OTC via dealers.
Electronic Trading Platforms: Growing importance (e.g., Tradeweb, MarketAxess).
2.3 Major Bond Markets
U.S. Treasuries: World’s largest, deepest, and most liquid government bond market.
Eurozone Bonds: German Bunds are benchmark safe assets, Italian and Spanish bonds carry higher yields.
Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs): Very large market but often low yields.
UK Gilts: Highly liquid, influenced by Bank of England policy.
Emerging Market Bonds: Offer higher yields but with currency and default risks (Brazil, India, South Africa).
3. Key Participants in Global Government Bond Trading
3.1 Central Banks
Major holders and buyers of government debt.
Conduct monetary policy through bond purchases (QE) or sales.
Hold government bonds as foreign reserves.
3.2 Institutional Investors
Pension funds, insurance companies, and mutual funds allocate heavily to sovereign debt for predictable returns.
3.3 Hedge Funds & Proprietary Traders
Trade bonds to profit from interest rate changes, arbitrage opportunities, or global macro strategies.
3.4 Foreign Governments & Sovereign Wealth Funds
Invest in foreign government bonds for diversification and reserve management.
3.5 Retail Investors
Participate via government savings bonds, ETFs, and mutual funds.
4. Trading Mechanisms
4.1 Cash Market Trading
Direct purchase/sale of government bonds in the secondary market.
Prices fluctuate with interest rates, inflation expectations, and credit risk.
4.2 Derivatives Market
Futures, options, and swaps based on government bonds or yields.
Example: U.S. Treasury futures (CME), Bund futures (Eurex).
4.3 Repo Market
Repurchase agreements use government bonds as collateral.
Essential for liquidity in the global financial system.
4.4 Electronic Platforms & Algorithmic Trading
Rapid growth in e-trading platforms.
Algorithmic and high-frequency trading now account for a significant share.
5. Factors Affecting Government Bond Prices and Yields
5.1 Interest Rates
Bond prices move inversely with interest rates. Central bank policy shifts directly impact yields.
5.2 Inflation
High inflation reduces real returns, pushing yields higher. Inflation-indexed bonds mitigate this risk.
5.3 Economic Growth
Stronger growth can lead to higher yields due to expectations of rate hikes.
5.4 Fiscal Deficits & Debt Levels
Higher government borrowing can push yields upward due to increased supply and perceived risk.
5.5 Currency Movements
Foreign investors consider exchange rate risks; weaker local currency may deter bond purchases.
5.6 Geopolitical Risk
Wars, sanctions, and political instability drive safe-haven flows into bonds of stable nations.
6. Global Government Bond Trading Strategies
6.1 Buy and Hold
Conservative investors, like pension funds, hold bonds to maturity for stable income.
6.2 Yield Curve Strategies
Steepener: Betting long-term rates rise faster than short-term.
Flattener: Opposite bet.
Butterfly Trades: Exploiting mid-term vs short/long-term curve differences.
6.3 Relative Value / Arbitrage
Traders exploit mispricing between different government bonds.
Example: Spread between U.S. Treasuries and German Bunds.
6.4 Global Macro Plays
Hedge funds trade bonds based on global interest rate cycles, inflation, and geopolitical events.
6.5 Carry Trade in Bonds
Borrowing in low-yield currencies and investing in higher-yield government bonds elsewhere.
7. Risks in Government Bond Trading
7.1 Interest Rate Risk
Sharp changes in central bank policy can cause bond price volatility.
7.2 Inflation Risk
Unexpected inflation erodes real returns.
7.3 Credit Risk
Even sovereigns can default (examples: Argentina, Greece).
7.4 Liquidity Risk
Smaller bond markets may not provide adequate trading liquidity.
7.5 Currency Risk
Foreign bond investors face exchange rate fluctuations.
7.6 Geopolitical Risk
Trade wars, sanctions, and political instability can disrupt markets.
8. Role of Government Bond Markets in Global Economy
Benchmark Rates: Government bond yields influence corporate borrowing costs.
Safe-Haven Assets: During crises, investors flock to bonds like U.S. Treasuries.
Monetary Transmission: Central bank policies work through bond markets.
Fiscal Policy Financing: Governments rely on bonds for infrastructure and welfare spending.
Global Capital Flows: Sovereign bonds drive cross-border capital allocation.
9. Case Studies in Global Bond Markets
9.1 U.S. Treasury Market
Largest and most liquid in the world (~$25 trillion outstanding).
Yields serve as a global reference for risk pricing.
Highly responsive to Federal Reserve policies.
9.2 European Sovereign Debt Crisis (2010–2012)
Greek, Portuguese, Spanish, and Italian bonds saw yield spikes.
Investors demanded higher compensation for perceived default risk.
ECB intervention (OMT, QE) stabilized the markets.
9.3 Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs)
Extremely low or negative yields for decades due to deflationary pressures.
Bank of Japan’s Yield Curve Control (YCC) dominates the market.
9.4 Emerging Market Bonds
Offer higher yields but riskier (Argentina default, Turkey’s currency crisis).
Depend heavily on foreign investor confidence.
10. Future of Global Government Bond Trading
10.1 Digital Transformation
Rise of electronic trading platforms.
Algorithmic and AI-based trading strategies.
10.2 Green & ESG-Linked Sovereign Bonds
Growing issuance of “green bonds” by governments to fund climate projects.
10.3 Impact of Global Debt Levels
Post-pandemic debt burdens remain high.
Long-term sustainability of government borrowing under scrutiny.
10.4 Geopolitical Realignment
U.S.–China rivalry may reshape global bond investment patterns.
“De-dollarization” efforts could impact U.S. Treasury dominance.
10.5 Central Bank Balance Sheets
Unwinding QE will affect bond market liquidity.
“Higher for longer” interest rate regimes may redefine yield structures.
Conclusion
Global government bond trading is the foundation of modern financial markets. It balances risk and safety, yield and liquidity, domestic policy and international capital flows. From U.S. Treasuries as the world’s risk-free benchmark to the volatile sovereign bonds of emerging markets, this market reflects the health of economies, the credibility of fiscal policy, and the confidence of investors.
In times of crisis, investors flock to safe government bonds. In times of growth, they may chase higher yields elsewhere. But regardless of market cycles, government bond trading remains central to how money moves across borders, how interest rates are set, and how nations finance themselves.
As the world transitions into an era of high debt, climate financing, digital trading, and shifting geopolitics, global government bond markets will only grow in importance. Understanding their mechanics is crucial for traders, investors, policymakers, and anyone seeking to grasp the pulse of global finance.
TSLA $352.50 Call—Capture Momentum Before Thursday!Here’s a **TradingView-friendly, viral-ready summary** for your TSLA weekly trade with punchy readability and attractive titles:
---
⚡ **TSLA Weekly Options Alert — Tactical Short-Duration Play**
**Directional View:** **Moderate Bullish** 💹
**Confidence:** 65%
**Trade Setup:**
* **Instrument:** TSLA
* **Strategy:** BUY CALL (single-leg)
* **Strike:** \$352.50
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (4 DTE)
* **Entry Price:** \$5.00
* **Entry Timing:** Market Open
* **Size:** 1 contract
**Targets & Risk:**
* **Profit Target:** \$8.00 (\~60%+ gain)
* **Stop Loss:** \$2.50 (\~50% loss)
* **Max Hold:** No later than Thursday close (avoid Friday gamma/theta)
**Why This Trade?**
✅ Options Flow: Call/Put skew 1.35 → institutional call concentration \$350–\$355
✅ Daily Momentum: RSI 58.5 rising → near-term bullish signal
✅ Volatility: Low VIX (\~15–16) → cheaper premium, supportive environment
✅ Strike & Liquidity: \$352.50 slightly OTM with strong OI (5,781)
**Key Risks:**
⚠️ Weak weekly volume (0.9x) → institutional confirmation limited
⚠️ Short DTE → high theta/gamma; strict stop mandatory
⚠️ Negative news/catalyst risk → potential gap or intraday pullback
⚠️ Bid/ask spreads → manage fills carefully
**Quick Takeaway:**
* Tactical, short-duration directional trade leveraging **options flow + daily momentum**
* Strict risk management: **50% stop + exit by Thursday**
* Not high-conviction (>75%) — suitable for **speculative, nimble traders**
**Alternate Strikes / Ideas:**
* None provided — \$352.50 balances premium and upside potential for this 4-DTE window
---
📊 **TRADE DETAILS (JSON for precision)**
```json
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 352.5,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 8.00,
"stop_loss": 2.50,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 5.00,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-08 11:49:21 UTC-04:00"
}
```
TSLA Market Preview for Monday, September 8, 2025,
Price Action & Market Structure
* TSLA is trading around 354–356, up +3.6% overnight, showing relative strength compared to SPY.
* Price broke out of a descending wedge, now consolidating near upper channel resistance.
* Momentum is cooling after the strong overnight run, but structure remains bullish unless price loses 352 support.
Key Levels
* Resistance Zones (Upside Targets):
* 357.5–360 → Near-term rejection zone.
* 362.5 → 365.0 → GEX cluster + Call Wall resistance.
* 370.0 → Major Gamma Wall / Highest positive NET GEX.
* Support Zones (Downside Risk):
* 352.8–354.0 → Local breakout retest support.
* 343.8–345.0 → Strong structural support + previous demand zone.
* 335.0 → HVL anchor + Put hedge support.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Balanced but slightly tilted bullish → Calls 49.4% vs Puts 3.5%.
* IVR: Low at 8.5, options are cheap → potential for strong directional move.
* Gamma Walls:
* 370 → Strong Call Wall (cap).
* 335 → Strong Put Support (floor).
This positioning suggests TSLA is “boxed” between 335 support vs 370 resistance, with intraday swings possible.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Just made a bearish crossover after extended green histogram → short-term pullback risk.
* Stoch RSI: Rolling down from overbought → signals cooling momentum.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (favored if 352 holds):
* Hold 352–354 support → reclaim 357.5.
* Targets: 362.5 → 365 test, with potential extension to 370 Gamma Wall.
Bearish Case (watch if 352 breaks):
* Lose 352 → retrace quickly to 345 zone.
* If heavy market weakness (SPY fails), could extend to 335 HVL.
Trading Thoughts
* Scalp Longs: Look for bounces near 352–354 support, aiming for 360+.
* Fade Shorts: If price rejects 357.5–360 zone without volume confirmation.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 352.
* Shorts → above 360.5.
Summary
TSLA remains stronge as long as 352 holds, bulls have room to test 360–365 and possibly squeeze toward 370. If 352 fails, expect a deeper retrace to 345–335. Options flow leans bullish, but intraday volatility is likely.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Manage risk and confirm with live price action before trading.
Tesla Pops on Musk’s $1 Trillion Bonus. Here’s How Insane It Is.The mother of all KPIs.
Elon Musk has a new carrot dangling in front of him, and it’s not a Mars colony or a flamethrower.
Tesla’s board is asking investors to approve a bonus so massive, so absurd, so galaxy-brained, that it makes past compensation packages look like pocket change.
Ready? We’re talking about the potential for a $1 trillion payday if Musk manages to drag Tesla to an $8.5 trillion valuation. In ten years.
That’s nearly eight times where it is today. So let’s unpack just how unhinged this deal really is, why Tesla stock popped on the news, and what it would take for Musk to collect.
🚀 The Trillion-Dollar Tease
Tesla stock NASDAQ:TSLA climbed 3.6% Friday on the back of this announcement, not because anything happened then and there, but because something could happen ten years out.
The board dropped the proposal in a securities filing, outlining that Musk could receive up to 423 million shares – worth over $1 trillion – if Tesla smashes through a series of market cap and operational milestones.
In other words, the board is looking to lock Musk in and make sure he doesn’t get distracted by rocket launches, robot brains, or tweeting memes about NPCs at 2 a.m.
💰 What’s the Catch?
The catch is that this isn’t free money. To claim the full $1 trillion, Musk has to lead Tesla into uncharted corporate territory: Boost Tesla’s market cap from $1 trillion to $8.5 trillion by 2035. That’s more than double Nvidia’s NASDAQ:NVDA current valuation ($4.2 trillion) and equal to the GDP of Japan, Germany, and the UK, combined.
Deliver 12 million more EVs (as of this summer, Tesla has managed about 8 million in its entire history).
Land 10 million autonomous driving subscriptions.
Register and operate 1 million robotaxis (Not on the market right now).
Sell 1 million AI robots (Not on the market right now).
Increase adjusted earnings from $13 billion to $400 billion. That’s a 24x jump in profit.
Next stop? Tesla’s earnings report ( Earnings Calendar for reference) in about a month from now.
🪄 The Board’s Spin
Tesla Chair Robyn Denholm called the package “fundamental to Tesla becoming the most valuable company in history.” Translation: Elon, please.
In a letter to shareholders, the board said the award “aligns extraordinary long-term shareholder value with incentives that will drive peak performance from our visionary leader.”
Which is corporate-speak for: We know he’s mercurial, but this should keep him tethered for at least a decade.
⚡ The Stakes for Tesla
Tesla’s stock reaction says investors are cautiously optimistic – emphasis on cautiously. Shares have been down nearly 30% since mid-December, plagued by slowing EV sales , rising competition, and Musk’s very public political feuds (including an ongoing rift with President Trump that’s cost Tesla federal EV incentives).
To make matters trickier, Tesla’s brand halo isn’t as shiny as it used to be. EV rivals like BYD, Rivian, Hyundai, and Mercedes are cutting into Tesla’s dominance, while price cuts have compressed margins.
Analysts expect Tesla to deliver 1.6 million vehicles this year, down from last year’s totals. On top of that, revenue continues to slide, lower by 12% in the last quarter , indicating a shrinking business.
So why the big gamble? Because if this plan works, Tesla wouldn’t just catch up – it would become the undisputed king of EVs, autonomous driving, AI robotics, and energy storage. In other words, a full-blown tech empire.
💰 Musk’s 25% Solution
Part of Musk’s motivation here isn’t just about the money – though a trillion-dollar payday to one person is actually insane. Musk has repeatedly said he wants at least 25% voting control over Tesla to feel “comfortable” keeping his focus there.
Under the proposed plan, if Musk hits every target, his stake in Tesla would rise to 25% from his current holdings of 12%, giving him outsized influence over its future direction. That means if Tesla’s valuation is at $8.5 trillion, he’d be holding shares worth $2.12 trillion. But if he misses? He gets nothing. Zero.
It’s a high-wire act for both Musk and shareholders: reward him with historic wealth if he delivers, but don’t overpay if he falls short.
🤖 Robotaxis, Humanoids, and AI Dreams
A key piece of this plan hinges on Musk’s boldest vision yet: turning Tesla into an autonomous AI platform. Forget just cars – think fleets of robotaxis generating recurring subscription revenue and Optimus humanoid robots replacing repetitive labor in warehouses, factories, and maybe even households.
If this strategy pays off, Tesla won’t just be an automaker – it’ll be an AI-powered infrastructure company. But right now, that future is priced into a present that still depends on selling Model Ys and Cybertrucks.
🔍 The Market’s Split Personality
Wall Street’s reaction has been mixed, and here’s why:
The bulls argue that Tesla has the innovation engine, the brand, and, yes, the Musk factor to make the impossible happen. They point to SpaceX’s reusable rockets and Nvidia’s AI dominance as proof that moonshots sometimes land.
The bears see the trillion-dollar pay package as monopoly money that’ll never be real. Between slowing EV demand, Tesla’s underwhelming Q2 deliveries, and Musk’s penchant for side quests, they’re skeptical Tesla can hit even half of these KPIs.
🏁 The Bottom Line
Tesla’s proposed Musk mega-package is nothing short of audacious. It’s an all-in bet on:
Explosive growth in EVs and autonomous driving
Turning Tesla into an AI + robotics powerhouse
Keeping Musk’s focus locked on Tesla instead of Mars, memes, or political campaigns
Is the plan bold? Absolutely. Is it risky? Without a doubt.
Off to you : Do you believe Musk deserves the “One-Trillion-Dollar Man” (or $2T) title? Or is all that a desperate move to keep him around? Share your thoughts in the comments!
TSLA - LongTSLA looks to be heading to the 25% of the Inside Bar on the monthly. Need to have strict risk management on this incase it falls through. Weekly looks good, with targets of 25% and 50% of the Inside Bar quadrant. TSLA also moves an average 40 points per week, so the upside looks more accurate then downside.
TESLA Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the TESLA next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 350.79
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 354.45
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 343.14
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TESLA: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
TESLA
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short TESLA
Entry Point - 350.79
Stop Loss - 354.84
Take Profit - 342.83
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
$TSLA showing multi year VCP & a breakout would be Bullish+++AB = CD pattern could emerge once broken out of this multi-year VCP / consolidation pattern that is developing in $TSLA.
Price action seem to indicate $280 - 310 is the likely bottom and odds favor a signficant move up!
Let's see how it pans out.
I am bullish.
We are not positive about TeslaFollow us and don't miss a next idea on Global Markets
The impact of tariffs and expiring EV credits is expected to pressure future US deliveries and regulatory credit revenue in the near term
Elon Musk: Well, we're in this weird transition period where we will lose a lot of incentives in the US. Slab incentives actually in many other parts of the world. But we'll lose them in the US. Across all of it at the relatively early stages of autonomy. On the other hand, autonomy is most advanced and most available from a regulatory standpoint in the US. Does that mean we could have a few rough quarters? Yeah. We probably could have a few rough quarters. I'm not saying that we will, but we could. Q4, Q1, maybe Q2.
Revenue -12% y/y ( decline for the first time in 10 years)!!!
EPS 0,27 $ agj vs 0,39 $ estimated
FCF -89% y/y but still positive ( just 146 M$)
CAPEX for 2025 increased
EBITDA dropped by 7.8%.
Price to Sales 12,7
P/B 14
Expensive
We expect declining of the stock price to 210 $
And, yes, many still regard Tesla as a car manufacturer, but this is not a correct view of the company. Later in our blog we will touch on the question of how to correctly look at the brainchild of Elon Musk.
BMW Puts on the Techie Suit to Challenge Elon🚘️ BMW Puts on the Techie Suit to Challenge Elon
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
BMW (Ticker AT:BMW) has fired up its engines in the technology race against Tesla. The Bavarian brand is launching the Neue Klasse, a platform that promises to revolutionize the electric car and will debut with the new iX3, unveiled ahead of the Munich Motor Show.
This is not just another electric SUV: the company has invested more than €10 billion to turn the car into a “superbrain on wheels.” Four central chips manage everything from infotainment to autonomous driving, with 20 times more computing power than current systems. Added to this are headline-grabbing features: 800 kilometers of range and 350 km of charge in just 10 minutes.
BMW, however, does not manufacture its own batteries. Instead, it relies on Chinese giant CATL (SSE:300750), with whom it has developed new cylindrical cells that halve costs and increase energy density. Six gigafactories spread across China, Europe, and North America will guarantee supply.
Shift to E-Mobility
The shift toward electrification does not come without sacrifices. In 2024, the group saw its net profit fall 37%, to €7.68 billion, due to heavy spending on R&D. However, pure EV sales grew 13.5%, supporting the transition.
BMW benefits from structural reductions in battery production costs, a diversified portfolio supported by solid alliances that integrate electric, hybrid, and combustion models under the same digital platform, and a premium positioning that continues to attract loyal customers. The risk lies in massive spending eroding margins at a time when Tesla (Ticker AT:TSLA) and Chinese manufacturers like Xpeng (NYSE:XPEV) are advancing aggressively.
Technical Analysis
BMW shares on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange show a consolidation trend after a volatile 2024 marked by profit cuts. The current key support at €88.18 seems to be holding, while resistance lies between €88.85 and the unbroken highs of €91.72. This resistance has repeatedly pushed the stock back to support levels after each upward attempt. Breaking through current highs would open a path toward €110, and possibly new yearly highs, while a drop below support could shake investor confidence and push the stock toward the Point of Control (POC) around €86.60.
The 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages have contracted sharply over the past month, which could indicate declining confidence if confirmed. On the other hand, the RSI at 42.05% signals oversold conditions, while the MACD is negative but with a histogram turning positive—another possible signal of recovery. Lastly, the ActivTrades Europe Market Pulse indicator shows a contraction back to neutral territory, suggesting investors may be returning to support the market.
BMW (Ticker AT:BMW)
Trend: Bullish in the medium and long term, with potential lateralization or short-term reversal.
Resistance: Strong zone at the highs of €91.72.
Supports: Key levels between €88 and €88.50, with critical supports at €88.22, €88.18, POC €86.60, €85.18, €83.18, €81.60, and €79.70.
Point of Control (POC): €86.60.
Technical Conclusion: Recent sideways consolidation, with upside potential if the €91.50–91.72 zone is broken.
Tesla
Following political frictions between Elon Musk and Trump, Tesla’s stock has been recovering, moving sideways between May and August, with a slightly upward bias within the range of $361.93 to $291.37. A mid-range area has formed around the POC of $311.43, acting as support for the latest rally.
The RSI stands at 53.96%, a relatively neutral level, while the MACD remains neutral with a histogram gradually entering negative territory, pointing to a strong consolidation move. Meanwhile, the ActivTrades US Market Pulse indicates the American market is in extreme RISK-ON, suggesting potential adjustments due to excessive greed.
Tesla (Ticker AT:TSLA)
Current Trend: Short-term bullish recovery after weeks of lateral consolidation, with positive signs from regaining key moving averages.
Resistances: Strong resistance around $361.93, which could open the way toward $420, the next major level lost in February’s death cross.
Supports: Key support at the POC of $311.43, followed by $291.37, $274.75, and $225.58.
Technical Conclusion: Tesla is at a decisive range. A break above recent highs could trigger an upward move toward $420 or beyond. Conversely, a drop below $320 would increase bearish pressure, potentially driving the stock down to test $291.
Conclusion
The Neue Klasse is not just a product launch—it is BMW’s boldest and riskiest bet in decades. The German manufacturer wants to stop being solely a premium icon and transform into a fully-fledged tech player. Elon Musk no longer runs alone: the racetrack is filling up with rivals hungry for disruption.
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TSLA Creeping up from original triangle, but still in a larger tNASDAQ:TSLA continues to take the stairs of worry up to my trading signal target from the original triangle analysis, $386, but the pattern has morphed into what appears to be a barrier triangle now as price struggles at $360 with a series of higher lows.
RSI is comfortable at the EQ with room to grow while price remains above the daily pivot.
Analysis is invalidated below wave (C) $284
Safe trading
Tesla Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 090425Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 335/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks.
If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
Tesla Short: Expecting Wave 3 of 3 DownIn this video, I go through the Elliott Wave Analysis for Tesla in detail and talk about how the final corrective wave may not be ideal but is still al valid place for a short. In essence, I think that Tesla should be going for a wave 3 of 3 down that will see it going to $273 for a short-term target and even below $214 based on the general market condition that I have previously discussed.
The stop loss for this idea is above 349.54 but I recommend setting it higher around 351.85.
Good luck!
TSLA – Daily Fib Continuation: Watch $350–355 for Break & Go (taTL;DR: TSLA is holding above the 0.5 retrace (~$334). A daily close above $355 opens $366 → $372 → $381. Lose $334 → $330 and the setup degrades toward $324/314.
Thesis
The prior swing’s Fibonacci map shows confluence at $350–355 (0.786/0.886 + round-number supply).
Structure is compressing above $334–335 support. A clean break/hold above $355 would likely trigger an extension leg to 1.272/1.414/1.618 at $366.7 / $372.5 / $381.0.
Below $334, momentum likely rotates back into the $330 → $324 → $314 demand ladder.
Key Levels
Support: $334.5 (0.5), $330.0 (0.382), $323.9 (0.236), $314.2 base
Trigger/Resistance: $347–350 (0.786–0.886), $355.5 (1.0)
Upside Targets: $366.7 (1.272) / $372.5 (1.414) / $381.0 (1.618) then $396.7 / $408.0 / $422.2 / $444.9
Trade Plan (alerts + confirmations, no auto-trading)
Scenario A – Break & Go (preferred)
Confirmation: Daily close above $355.
Execution: Drop to M15 for structure; take a retest of $350–355 as support.
M5 confirm: Bullish engulfing + MACD uptick.
Risk: Invalidation below $347 (or last M15 swing-low).
Targets: $366.7 → $372.5 → $381.0 (scale out).
Scenario B – Pullback Buy
Price tags $334–336 and holds (wicks rejection).
M15 forms HL; M5 prints engulfing + MACD cross.
Risk: Invalidation below $329.9.
Targets: $347 → $355 → $366.7.
Scenario C – Bearish Breakdown
Invalidation of bull idea: Full M15 body below $329.9 → look for $324 → $314. No longs until reclaimed.
Risk (keep it tight)
Risk %: 0.5–1% per idea.
Placement: Below invalidation or last M15 swing.
Scaling: 30/30/40 across targets; move stop to breakeven after Target 1.