DAX Breaks Monthly Range - Double-Sided Opportunity AheadDAX has broken out to the downside from its monthly range, forming an expanding wedge. This creates two high-probability setups: a short back to the bottom of the range, and a long from the bottom toward the top - supported by the prevailing uptrend and strong confluence at range lows. Either way, the range is likely to hold for now, offering clear directional plays.
GERMANY40CFD trade ideas
#DAXDate: 01-08-2025
#DAX Current Price: 23680
Pivot Point: 24193.295 Support: 23822.409 Resistance:24566.692
Upside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 24882.344
🎯 Target 2: 25197.995
🎯 Target 3: 25574.758
🎯 Target 4: 25951.520
Downside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 23505.502
🎯 Target 2: 23188.595
🎯 Target 3: 22811.833
🎯 Target 4: 22435.070
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GER4O1. Head of the European Central Bank (ECB)
As of August 2025, Christine Lagarde is the President (head) of the European Central Bank (ECB). She is responsible for leading eurozone monetary policy, representing the ECB at global forums, and setting the tone for financial and economic policy across Europe.
2. Fundamental Drivers of the GER40 (DAX 40)
The GER40, also known as the DAX 40, is Germany's blue-chip stock market index. Its performance is driven by the following key fundamentals in 2025:
Corporate Earnings & Sector Leaders: Major companies like SAP, Siemens, Allianz, and Linde have been driving index gains, contributing a significant portion of the upward momentum due to their market capitalization.
ECB Monetary Policy: Multiple rate cuts by the ECB in 2025 supported German and eurozone equities, lowering yields and easing financing for businesses. Expectations of further rate cuts or stability are closely monitored by the market.
Inflation Dynamics: Falling inflation across the eurozone in 2025 enabled the ECB to move from a restrictive to a more accommodative stance. Latest ECB projections see inflation averaging 2% in 2025 and slightly below target in 2026, allowing monetary loosening to persist.
Energy Prices: Declining natural gas and oil prices provided relief to Germany’s energy-intensive industries, aiding profitability and supporting DAX-listed industrials.
Government Policy & Fiscal Stimulus: Increased defense and infrastructure spending by the new German government under Chancellor Friedrich Merz has boosted selective sectors, including defense (e.g., Rheinmetall).
Global and Domestic Economic Conditions: While the eurozone and German economies have shown resilience with modest GDP growth (ECB forecast: 0.9% growth for 2025), there are headwinds from trade tensions, consumer demand, and sectoral shifts (notably auto and chemicals).
Trade Policy/Geopolitics: Ongoing global trade tensions, new tariffs, and geopolitical uncertainty remain sources of risk and volatility for the index. ECB President Lagarde has repeatedly warned that “trade tariffs are a negative demand shock” and could weigh on German growth prospects.
3. Current Outlook for GER40 (August 2025)
The index gained nearly 22% so far in 2025, surpassing 24,000 and even pushing toward record highs around 24,650. AI-based and institutional forecasters project continued bullish momentum, with most calling for stability or gradual increases but noting the potential for a market correction after strong gains.
Rate cuts, lower energy prices, and corporate strength are the main drivers for the recent rally, while persistent trade risks and sectoral weaknesses remain key downside risks.
Despite economic fragility, especially in manufacturing and energy costs, the DAX/GER40 remains resilient thanks to monetary policy support and selective corporate strength.
4. Recent ECB Actions & Commentary
At the July 2025 meeting, Lagarde and the ECB Governing Council kept rates steady after several cuts earlier in the year, citing moderate growth and disinflation as justification for their stance. The ECB remains “cautiously upbeat,” expecting a 2% average inflation rate and slow but positive economic growth.
The ECB noted that further escalation of trade tensions or unexpected inflation swings could prompt new policy responses.
Summary:
The GER40 is currently driven by accommodative ECB policy under Christine Lagarde, robust earnings from key blue-chip companies, lower energy prices, and government fiscal stimulus. Risks include trade uncertainty, sector-specific downturns, and any reversal in global economic momentum. The ECB’s current president, Christine Lagarde, continues to play a central role in shaping the environment for German and eurozone equities.
WATCH MY DEMAND FLOOR
DAX: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 23,502.95 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX - potential buyPotential buy on the German index as we are coming out of the 30min correction that followed a first small impulse to the upside. Conservative target is a move equivalent to the first 30 min setup. Optimal target are the break of the top and even better the 24.85 area. Levels on the chart. Trade with care.
GER/DAX - TIME FOR RECOVERTeam, this morning, the DAX target hit our target 1, we took some profit, we set a stop loss at BE, and it got stopped out
Time for us to re-enter the DAX again at 23880-23855
STOP loss 23780
Once the price move at 23950 - bring STOP LOSS TO BE
Target 1 at 23985-24015
Target 2 at 24065-24096
lets go
DAX sideways consolidation support at 24070The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24070 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24070 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24605 – initial resistance
24740 – psychological and structural level
24910 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24070 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23935 – minor support
23820 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 23925. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 24,252.78 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX oversold rally support at 23925The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23925 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23925 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24605 – initial resistance
24740 – psychological and structural level
24910 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23925 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23835 – minor support
23750 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 23925. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX / GER - ANOTHER ROUND OF ENTRY LONGTeam, we have successfully short DAX.GER earlier today with more than 300 points. both target hit
However the market has exceeding the dropping. We decide to go LONG
at the price range 23964-23945
With STOP LOSS at 23865-82
Once the trade hit above 21030-45 - BRING STOP LOSS TO BE
Target 1 at 21080-24115 = please take 50-70% volume target
30% Target remaining at 24165-24196
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 remains in a bullish trend and is currently in a pullback phase. It trades at 24,308, almost identical to its VWAP of 24,307.5. The RSI at 54 suggests a pause in momentum. Support is found at 23,786 and resistance at 24,650.
UK 100 is in an impulsive bullish phase, breaking above previous highs with price at 9,145 well above the VWAP at 8,970. The RSI is at 73, indicating strong buying pressure. Support is at 8,748 and resistance is at 9,101.
Wall Street continues its bullish trend, pausing near recent highs. The price is at 44,880, above its VWAP of 44,445. RSI at 63 confirms steady bullish momentum. Support sits at 43,921 and resistance at 44,880.
Brent Crude remains in a broad neutral trend with short-term range-bound action. Price is at 6,768, just under VWAP of 6,866. RSI at 45 reflects a lack of directional conviction. Support is at 6,717 and resistance at 7,015.
Gold continues to trade sideways within a broad range. It trades at 3,337, nearly equal to its VWAP. The RSI at 47 suggests balance. Support is found at 3,290 and resistance at 3,407.
EUR/USD holds a bullish trend while undergoing a correction. It trades at 1.1740, close to its VWAP at 1.1699. The RSI at 59 shows mild positive momentum. Support is at 1.1585 and resistance at 1.1814.
GBP/USD is in a bullish trend but under corrective pressure and seemingly turning rangebound. The price is 1.3433, slightly below the VWAP of 1.3511. RSI is at 42, hinting at waning momentum. Support is 1.3336, resistance at 1.3687.
USD/JPY continues in a neutral trend but could be about to break higher, currently ranging around 147.66 and VWAP at 147.00. RSI at 57 shows a modest bullish bias after having pulled back from overbought territory. Support is at 144.54 and resistance at 149.46.
DAX/GER - PREPARE TO SHORT on DAX market opening Team,
We all know that the European Union and the United States agreed on Sunday to a broad trade deal that sets a 15 per cent tariff on most E.U. goods, including cars and pharmaceuticals.
The 27-nation bloc also agreed to increase its investment in the United States by more than $600 billion above current levels.
If the DEAL does not go through, it would be nasty to the market—especially to the Europeans, who are likely to get hurt by the export cost to the United States, especially the Car. The EUROPEAN is currently facing many challenges from Chinese car manufacturing.
We have been trading very well with the DAX in the past. We expect that when the market opens, we should short-range at 24530-60 - GET READY.
Stop loss at 24620-50
Please NOTE: once the price pulls back toward 24475-50, bring our STOP LOSS TO BE (Break even)
Our 1st target at 24425-24400
2nd Target at 24350-24300
Last Friday, in OUR LIVE TRADING, we mentioned that LONG DAX at 24100
GER40 | Consolidation Range 24,600 – 24,000 With Breakout TargetGER40 is consolidating within a clear range between 24,600 resistance and 24,000 support. The lower boundary (24,000) aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from the 23,050 → 24,600 impulse leg. A confirmed breakout above the range projects a measured move target of 25,197.2, which is derived from the 600-point height of the range between 24,000 and 24,600.
Support at: 24,000.00 / 23,678.5 / 23,050.00 🔽
Resistance at: 24,600.00 🔼
Range Target: 25,197.2 🎯
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Clean break and hold above 24,600 confirms range breakout with target at 25,197.2.
🔽 Bearish: Break below 24,000 brings 23,678.5 and 23,050 into view.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
GER40 | Cools Below ResistanceThe DAX rallied aggressively into 24,618.3, but price action has since turned sideways. The index is now ranging just below resistance, as bulls and bears battle for direction in this consolidation phase.
Support at: 24,000.00 / 23,687.21 / 23,500.00 / 23,047.01 🔽
Resistance at: 24,618.30 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Clean break and close above 24,618.30 targets fresh highs.
🔽 Bearish: Break below 24,000 may confirm short-term distribution toward 23,687 and 23,500.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.