GER40 Buyers at the ready ...Germany 40 CFD forum
GER40 Buyers at the ready ...
GER40 I will repeat again,that this is a sell, and here is why:1) Geopolitical tensions around ukraine eu russia is enormous, commands to shut down russian mil. planes, regain control of ua territories, is a clear escalation commando.
2)Economic outlook looms in the EU, since Trump demands to STOP buzing russian energo supplies = more pressure on industries
3)Investors and nearlz everyone, take profits or losses, because no one wants to stay in the market in this high-risk environment.
4)The economic outlook in the US looms as well, so the desperate search of partners in times of severe financial pressure in the EU and rising Chinese power, puts many questions for banks, whenever they try to invest, hence the upward move is limited.
5)the very well-known tiny man might, as he already did, provoke to pull NATO and or EU member states into escalation, which is the only way for them to win this war, and they don't even care what will happen afterwards...
6)Current market is not about 1H or 4H candles, or OB etc, current motto is mass psychology, so where the mass might step in to buy after sell off, that is why i mentioned in my previous post that the sell off will continue towards 22700ish ...
7)Wish us all, whatever the position you have, a very profitable trading
DE40 Last week sell orders were at ~780, this week sell orders gets triggered at ~710. it does look that market makers building up strong resistance lines
GER40FT ready for 24,000
GER40 price was so weird today
DE40 anyone see tri star doji on the monthly? for learning purposesGER40 This is again a SELL with potentially reaching up to 22750...
GER40 💰 Current Market PulseLive Price: 23,650 points
What's happening? The index dipped slightly (down 0.42% from yesterday's close), hovering in a consolidation phase after peaking at 24,639 in July. This reflects short-term profit-taking but stays well above year-start levels, up 24.90% over the past 12 months. Daily range: 23,527–23,607.
Why it matters: Steady trading volume suggests no panic selling – just a breather in an otherwise resilient uptrend. 📉➡️📈
🔍 Fundamental Score: 7/10 (Solid but Watch Costs)
Fundamentals look supportive for growth, driven by undervalued European stocks and policy boosts.
Key Drivers:
Corporate Earnings: Strong Q2 results from heavyweights like Siemens (up 4.57%) and Rheinmetall (up 3.29%), fueled by defense and tech demand. Overall S&P-like growth at ~13%, but mixed with laggards like SAP.
Valuation Edge: DAX trades at attractive multiples vs. overvalued U.S. peers, drawing capital inflows.
Challenges: Rising input costs from trade tensions could squeeze margins – score docked for that.
Simple Take: Like a well-built engine running hot – reliable power, but tune it to avoid overheating. Expect steady climbs if earnings hold. 🏭💪
🌍 Macro Score: 6/10 (Growth with Headwinds)
Germany's economy is grinding forward amid global shifts, with ECB easing as a tailwind.
Key Drivers:
GDP Outlook: Eurozone real GDP at 1.2% for 2025 (up from prior estimates), boosted by wage rises, infrastructure spending (€500B fund), and defense boosts. Germany's export machine benefits from a weaker euro.
Policy Support: ECB rate cuts (down to 2.15%) ease borrowing, while lower energy prices (oil/gas down 20-70% YoY) cut inflation to 2.2%. Unemployment steady at 6.3%.
Risks: Tariff threats (e.g., U.S. on EU autos) and sluggish industrial output cap upside – recent revisions show modest 0.9% Eurozone growth.
Simple Take: A sturdy ship in choppy waters – sails full from policy winds, but watch for tariff storms. Positive for long-haul voyages. ⚓🌊
😊 Trader Sentiment Outlook
Gauging the crowd’s vibe: Investor sentiment drives market swings—too bullish signals potential pullbacks, while fear can spark buying opportunities. Here’s the breakdown:
Retail Traders: 48% bullish (long), 52% bearish (short).
Mood: Cautious. Retail traders are mixed, leaning slightly bearish due to recent dips and trade concerns. Many are hedging with puts or favoring defensive stocks like utilities and defense.
Why it matters: Retail sentiment often lags, so this hesitation could flip to bullish if momentum builds.
Institutional Traders: 55% bullish (long), 45% bearish (short).
Mood: Neutral to bullish. Big funds are positioning for ECB rate cuts and a global demand rebound, with increased long positions in futures. Options activity shows light hedging, reflecting confidence tempered by caution.
Why it matters: Institutions lead trends—their slight bullish tilt suggests growing conviction in upside.
Overall Sentiment: 52% of traders (retail and institutional combined) lean bullish, favoring upside in the near term. Key Insight: The market’s mood is cautiously optimistic, with institutions driving the positive bias. Watch retail traders—if they turn bullish, it could amplify momentum. 🎯
😨 Fear & Greed Gauge: 63/ Table(Greed Zone)
Current Reading: Greed. Investors are confident but not overly euphoric, as the score sits above the neutral 50 mark.
Breakdown:
Positive momentum: Index trading above its 125-day average.
Mild volatility: Slight uptick in VIX-like measures due to ECB data.
Low safe-haven demand: Bonds and gold see reduced interest.
Balanced options activity: Even mix of puts and calls.
Simple Take: The market’s in a bold mood—like a lively party that hasn’t gone overboard. Greed often fuels rallies, but a drop below 45 could signal fear if trade tensions spike. 📈😎
GER40 Looking good so far...
GER40 will retest previous high of 23727 at least by the end of the day