US100 = NASDAQ INDEX big short coming soon ?i think we are at the very end of a very long impulsive wave, we might even be finished it not certain but one thing is certain, we will see a big short in the coming months after another small impulse wave or some range to target wave 5 maybe. gonna be on the watch on this one, my last year target already reached so, add to watch list, might give us very good entry for another long term buy.
Trade ideas
BUY ZONE NAS100All timeframes are bullish
On 4 hr there is a CHoC - buyers took control
The CHoC comes from the OB that is imbalanced (30 min OB - IMB)
Inside the OB imbalanced 30 min fair value gap making zone a POI (point of interest)
Looking to take buys from 30 min OB - IMB
Before taking buys, will drop to lower time frame for execution
Consider the liquidity zone when taking an entry
TRADE WHAT YOU SEE & NOT WHAT YOU FEEL - GOOD LUCK
NASDAQ100 Breakout Watch — Is a New Upside Leg Starting Now?📈 NASDAQ100 Swing Trade Opportunity — Bullish Breakout Play
🟩 Asset: NASDAQ100 (Index CFD)
⚡ Trade Type: Swing Trade — Bullish Plan Confirmed
🧭 Trade Thesis
The index has confirmed a bullish setup following a Triangle + Moving Average breakout, strengthening upward momentum and favoring dip-buying behavior.
To reflect the Thief layering method, this plan uses multiple staggered limit orders to accumulate positions efficiently across volatility pockets.
📌 Entry Plan (Thief Layering Method)
💰 Entry Style: “Any price level allowed — Thief uses layers”
Buy Limit Layers:
24,900
25,000
25,100
25,200
(Feel free to increase or customize layers to fit your personal risk and liquidity preference.)
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL)
🔻 Thief SL: 24,500
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), adjust SL based on your personal risk and strategy.
This is not a fixed recommendation, only a reference zone.
🎯 Target (TP)
⚡ The High-Voltage Electric Gate Zone around 26,200 acts as major resistance because of:
Overbought readings
High-liquidity trap behavior
Historical reversal probability
Exit with profits before heavy sellers activate.
Again — you decide your own TP based on your risk tolerance, not mine.
📊 Market Logic Behind the Move
Breakout structure confirmed
Trend continuation supported by triangle compression
Index ETF flows show short-covering + rotation back into tech
Momentum accelerates above 25,200 zones
Cleaner upside path until liquidity wall at 26,200
🔎 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insight)
1️⃣ NASDAQ:NDX / NASDAQ:QQQ
Direct ETF mirror of NASDAQ100
Useful for checking volume, market depth, and real-time breakout confirmation
2️⃣ SP:SPX / NYSE:ES (S&P 500)
High correlation (approx. 0.85+)
A strong SPX supports tech continuation; weakness warns of index-wide pullback
3️⃣ TVC:VIX (Volatility Index)
Inverse correlation
If VIX stays below key volatility thresholds, bullish NASDAQ continuation is more reliable
4️⃣ FX:USDOLLAR / DXY
Tech usually performs better when the Dollar weakens
A rising Dollar can slow or cap NASDAQ bullish momentum
5️⃣ TVC:US10Y / Yields
NASDAQ moves inversely with yields
If yields drop, NASDAQ accelerates
If yields spike, prepare for turbulence or failed breakouts
📘 Summary
Bullish plan confirmed via Triangle + MA Breakout
Thief layering entries positioned smartly into volatility
SL/TP guidance flexible for trader customization
Strong correlation checks available across SP:SPX , TVC:VIX , TVC:DXY & yields
US100 Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
US100 shows price reacting inside a horizontal demand zone, with a clean liquidity sweep beneath recent lows. Structure suggests a retest of demand before expansion, aiming toward the next intraday target above.
--------------------
Stop Loss: 25,115
Take Profit: 25,601
Entry: 25,309
Time Frame: 5H
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Buy!
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Nas to ATHHere is the evidence from the chart supporting a "dip to POC and rally" scenario rather than a drop to VAL as I previously thought could happen:
firstly the change in Momentum (Min Delta Analysis)
The most telling clue is the Min Delta row (the lowest point of net selling during the session).
Previous Days: In the middle of the rally, sellers were able to push Delta down slightly (e.g., -1,291 or -273) before buyers took over.
Latest Session (Far Right int table ): The Min Delta is +1,479.1. This is extremely bullish. It means that from the moment the session opened, aggressive buyers were so dominant that the cumulative delta never even went negative.
my view is that Sellers are currently too weak to push price down deep. A drop to 25,100 would require significant selling pressure that simply isn't present right now.
secondly building a Floor with POCs
The Point of Control has been stepping up clearly, acting as a support ladder:
key points: Breakout started after 25,300 - Consolidated at 25,575 (held for two sessions) - Current POC moved up to 25,685.
If the price pulls back, it will likely find strong support at the 25,575 node (the high-volume ledge) or, at worst, the breakout origin at 25,300
in my view the The Likely Scenario
More Likely: Price dips into the 25,575 – 25,685 area (current and previous POCs) where passive buyers are waiting to reload, followed by a continuation up.
Less Likely: A drop to 25,300. This level is now far below the active auction. For price to visit there, we would need to see a day with massive negative Delta (e.g., -5k or more) to erase the last four days of buying progress.
nas100 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NAS100 Trade Set Up Dec 3 2025Price failed to create a new HH and swept PDH so i will want to see how price reacts to PDL area, if it sweeps it and make 1m-5m bullish IFVG/CISD i will look for buys but if price trades through it and makes bearish internal structure i will look for a continuation lower to SSL
NAS100 DAILYNAS100 Technical Analysis (Daily Chart)
chart presents a medium-term bearish outlook, followed by a long-term bullish reversal. combining Fibonacci retracements, cycle timing (bars/days), moving averages, and wave projections to create a full market roadmap.
Below is a structured analysis:
1️⃣ Current Market Structure
NAS100 reached a major top near 26,000 before reversing.
Price broke below the short-term trendline and is dropping toward deeper support.
The red zig-zag pattern reflects expectation of continued selling pressure.
This suggests the index is entering a medium-term correction.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels (Key Zones Identified)
chart uses multiple retracements:
Current swing retracement levels
0.25 – 23,869
0.5 – 21,383
0.75 – 18,993
These levels match the projected downward path.
Major support zone
Large green rectangular zone near 16,300 – 17,000
This is aligned with:
Long-term Fibonacci support
Previous accumulation zone
Blue dotted long-term rising trendline
This zone is likely the macro bottom of the cycle.
3️⃣ Moving Averages (Trend Signals)
using:
Green MA (short-term)
Red MA (medium-term)
Blue MA (200-day long-term)
Current price is:
Breaking below the green and red MAs
Approaching the 200-day MA around 21,000
A break under the 200-day MA confirms a total trend shift to bearish.
4️⃣ Cycle Timing (Bars/Days)
chart marks three key cycles:
🔹 From the top to first support:
31 bars, 43 days
🔹 Next consolidation period:
30 bars, 42 days
🔹 Full correction phase to the bottom:
105 bars, 147 days
This indicates a highly structured time cycle, showing the correction may last until August–September 2026.
5️⃣ Expected Bearish Phase (Primary Scenario)
red path suggests:
Continued decline from current levels
Multiple lower highs and lower lows
A temporary bounce around 21,800
Then deeper drops toward 18,600 – 19,000
Extended capitulation down to the 16,300 zone (major support)
This zone is highlighted heavily, suggesting it is final bearish target.
6️⃣ Recovery Phase (Bullish Scenario)
After the bottom:
🟦 Bullish reversal zone: 16,300
The blue dotted line indicates:
A multi-month recovery
Strong upside momentum
Reestablishment of a long-term bullish trend
Possible return to previous highs later
This forms a textbook "macro correction → macro rally" cycle.
7️⃣ Summary of Your Market View
📉 Short-Term Bias: Strongly Bearish
Market breaking structure
Cycle timing supports continued decline
Price heading for deeper Fibonacci levels
📉 Medium-Term Bias: Bearish
Expecting multiple waves of selling
Target zone: 18,600 then 16,300
📈 Long-Term Bias: Bullish
After the cycle completes, NAS100 should resume its uptrend
Blue dotted projection shows a long rally into late 2026 and 2027
✔️ Final Outlook
chart shows a well-planned, detailed scenario:
A multi-leg correction
Followed by a strong, long-term bullish cycle
The 16,300 zone is the “macro bottom”
Timing suggests bottoming around August–September 2026
analysis is consistent, logical, and follows smart technical principles.
Bullish continuation setup?USTEC has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 25,166.38
1st Support: 24,913.61
1st Resistance: 25,736.27
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NASDAQ NAS100 Analysis and My Trade Plan📊 Currently analysing NAS100 (NASDAQ), we can see that price has broken structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent. Right now, NAS100 is retesting the value area and the Point of Control (POC) on the volume profile — a critical zone to watch 👀📈
⚠️ Price action is a bit precarious. After a strong impulsive move, we’ve now seen a deep and aggressive retracement, which opens the door for potential bearish movement this week.
📆 However, my higher-timeframe bias remains bullish, with the weekly chart still supporting upward continuation.
📌 My plan:
If price holds above the current POC, then breaks and retests cleanly, I’ll be looking for long opportunities. If it breaks below the POC, I will step aside and abandon the long bias 🚫
This is not financial advice — just my personal market outlook. 💬📉📈
NAS100 — Bearish Below 25,333 with Target at 25,054Price remains capped below the 25,333 key level, keeping the market in a clear bearish structure. As long as price trades under this zone, bullish attempts are likely to fail, and any rebounds should be viewed as corrective only. A sustained move below the intermediate supports at 25,181 and 25,166 strengthens the downside momentum and confirms continuation toward the primary bearish target at 25,054. Momentum and structure remain aligned to the downside while the key level holds.
USNAS100 Consolidation Positive Holds Strong range momentumUS100 shows price action moving within a rising channel after recovering from previous lows. The market is currently trading near 25,686, approaching a key resistance zone around 25,800 – 26,205. This area has been marked as the upper boundary where price may face rejection or potentially break out.
Technically US Stocks closed out the trading week with slight gains on Friday as the latest flurry of economic data kept elevated expectation for federal reserve interest rate cut next week intact,
Remember if Price could hold above support and continue upward along the upper channel, targeting the major resistance at 26,205 Price may dip back into the support zone before attempting another move upward.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
Nasdaq Hits Resistance: Pullback Before the Next Bullish Move?📊 Nasdaq – Technical Setup & Market Catalysts
The index recently tested a previously unfilled Fair Value Gap (H1 timeframe) and swept liquidity from last week’s accumulation — a process that often precedes new directional moves. The move cleared many trapped positions and reset the orderbook.
Currently, Nasdaq is sitting below a strong resistance zone; price appears to be weakening, which increases the probability of a short-term pullback toward the Previous Day Low (PDL) to collect more liquidity before any further upside attempt.
Momentum indicators and price structure suggest caution: while the general uptrend remains, a lack of upward acceleration and signs of hesitation point toward a possible consolidation or retracement.
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Context
Optimism remains in markets thanks to rising investor expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this December. This sentiment supports risk assets, and tech stocks in particular — historically sensitive to interest rates and discounting future earnings.
However, some analysts warn that valuations in the tech sector — which heavily influence Nasdaq — are rich relative to earnings. The forward P/E ratio sits well above long-term averages, increasing vulnerability if economic data disappoints or if rate cuts are delayed.
Broader macro conditions remain fragile: global yield curves and bond markets show signs of stress, which could add volatility. Also, inflation trends and upcoming U.S. data releases could shift sentiment quickly.
🎯 What to Watch Next
Pullback zone: Look for support near the PDL or recent liquidity area — potential buying zone if price stabilizes.
Breakout zone: If Nasdaq breaks above resistance with strength and volume, upside is open toward higher targets set pre-rally.
Catalysts: Fed rate-cut expectations, upcoming economic data (inflation, employment, PMI), and tech sector earnings will influence direction strongly.
2 DEC 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPJUST JOURNALLING
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The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
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This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
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NSDQ100 positive lead from futures and improving risk sentimentUS markets saw a modest risk-on tone yesterday as stronger-than-expected labour data pushed investors to price in fewer Fed rate cuts for next year. That supported equities, with the S&P 500 extending its winning streak, and futures are pointing to further upside this morning. This provides a supportive near-term backdrop for the Nasdaq 100 into today’s session.
However, the hawkish repricing in rates is a growing headwind for tech. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to a two-week high of 4.10%, and global bond yields continued to climb, amplified by renewed expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike. Rising long-end yields typically pressure rate-sensitive growth stocks, which could cap upside in the Nasdaq despite positive futures.
The drop in jobless claims to 191k reinforces the view that the US labour market remains resilient, supporting risk appetite but also reducing the urgency for Fed easing. That combination often favours cyclicals over long-duration tech when yields are rising.
On the corporate side, Netflix is in focus following reports of exclusive talks to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and HBO Max. This could drive sector-specific volatility across streaming and media names, with potential spillovers into Nasdaq sentiment.
Broader risk sentiment remains constructive, with the VIX slipping to a two-month low, and the continued rally in US transport stocks signalling confidence in economic momentum. That supports equities overall, but the Nasdaq’s direction today is likely to hinge on bond yields:
Stable or lower yields would allow tech to participate in the broader rally.
Further yield upside risks triggering profit-taking in mega-cap growth.
Bottom line: The Nasdaq 100 opens with a positive lead from futures and improving risk sentiment, but rising global bond yields remain the key short-term risk to sustained upside. Streaming and large-cap tech could see elevated volatility today.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NAS100 Decoded: The Anatomy of a CRT SetupMost traders see random candles; we see a structured story. On this 4H NAS100 chart, we are witnessing a textbook example of Candle Range Theory (CRT) in motion.
If you understand the "Three-Phase Engine" inside every candle, the next move becomes clear.
The 3-Step Logic Behind This Setup:
The Purge (Accumulation): Notice how price dipped to sweep the CRTL (Candle Range Theory Low). This wasn't a random breakdown; it was a Purge Phase designed to grab liquidity and trap retail shorts. By sweeping the low (PL), the market collects the necessary fuel for the reversal.
The Mitigation (The Current Trap): Price has reclaimed the range and is currently mitigating within the FVG (Fair Value Gap). In CRT, this is the Mitigation Phase, where price returns to balance or "Equilibrium" (EQ) to fill imbalances before the real move begins. This phase often confuses traders, but it is simply smart money rebalancing positions.
The Expansion (The Delivery): With the internal liquidity harvested and the imbalance filled, the logic dictates a move toward the CRTH (Candle Range Theory High). This is our Expansion Phase, targeting the "Expansion Level" (EL). The "eye" icon on the chart represents the Draw on Liquidity (DOL)—the magnetic attraction pulling price toward the liquidity pools resting above the highs.
💡 The Lesson: Don't chase the red candles during the purge. Wait for the mitigation. As the theory states:
"The Purge phase creates the opportunity, the Mitigation phase provides the entry, and the Expansion phase delivers the profit".
Are you watching this FVG hold, or are you waiting for a break of structure confirmation? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Greetings,
MrYounity






















