Trade ideas
USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Pressure Below 24,855USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Momentum Below 24,855
The index shows bearish momentum today as long as price trades below 24,855, after testing the resistance zone twice.
Failure to break higher keeps the pressure on the downside, with potential to drop toward 24,510 in the near term.
A 1H close above 24,855 would invalidate the bearish setup and trigger a strong bullish continuation toward the all-time-high (ATH) region near 25,035 → 25,200.
Pivot: 24,855
Support: 24,660 – 24,520 – 24,350
Resistance: 25,035 – 25,200 – 25,400
NASDAQ 100 – Technical Breakdown Meets Fundamental RealityAfter months of relentless buying, the tech sector’s engine is finally sputtering.
The recent sharp drop from the highs wasn’t random — it reflects growing macro tension and liquidity tightening that’s starting to bite risk assets.
🧩 The Fundamental Story
Yields & Liquidity:
Long-term Treasury yields remain stubbornly elevated despite the Fed’s cautious tone. This indicates the market is pricing in structural inflation rather than trusting the “soft landing” narrative. Higher yields mean tighter financial conditions — bad news for richly valued growth stocks.
Earnings Fatigue:
Recent earnings season showed early cracks: slowing cloud growth, cautious forward guidance, and shrinking profit margins. Even AI-related optimism can’t offset the broader deceleration.
China & Trade Risks:
Renewed U.S.–China trade friction and export restrictions on high-end chips are dampening sentiment in the semiconductor and tech hardware sectors — key NASDAQ components.
Fed Policy Uncertainty:
With inflation sticky above 3% and unemployment starting to rise, the Fed is cornered. A rate cut could come late — but only after more market pain.
📊 Technical Outlook (4H Chart)
The chart structure shows a clear break of the bullish sequence.
Support lost at 24,580 triggered heavy volume selling.
Current price is consolidating near 24,000 — the make-or-break zone.
Below 23,650, momentum sellers could accelerate the drop toward 23,000–23,050 (next key demand).
Any short-term bounce into 24,460–24,580 may act as a retest before another leg lower.
🎯 Trading Plan
Bias: Bearish below 24,460
Possible retest zone: 24,260–24,580
Main target: 23,050
Invalidation: Close above 24,880 with renewed bullish momentum
⚠️ Why It Matters
This isn’t just a pullback — it’s a repricing of risk driven by real-world fundamentals:
tightening liquidity, weak earnings, and policy uncertainty.
If the macro backdrop doesn’t shift fast, the NASDAQ could unwind a significant portion of its 2025 gains before year-end.
💬 Discussion
Do you think the Fed will pivot soon enough to save tech stocks from a deeper correction?
Or are we entering a new phase of the cycle where fundamentals finally catch up with price?
👇 Share your thoughts below and follow for more macro + technical insights every week.
NASDAQ This bullish squeeze can push it to 26300.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 23 Low on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line). It appears that the index is getting out of the red Bearish Leg, which on the whole pattern serves as a Bull Flag for the next rally (Bullish Leg). Once the 4H RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, it will confirm the new Bullish Leg.
The last such RSI Lower Highs break-out was on June 23 when a similar 4H MA50/ 100 Bullish Squeeze took place. That was almost in the middle of a +14.63% rally in total before the index pulled back to its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
As a result, once the 4H RSI break-out is finalized, we expect this run to reach at least 26300 (+14.63%).
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Is the NASDAQ Ready to Drop to 23,000?🏔️ NASDAQ Weekly & Daily Analysis | Bulls vs Bears 🐂🐻
Hey traders! 💥
In the weekly timeframe, NASDAQ is still holding its strong bullish trend, showing solid momentum on higher timeframes.
However, in the daily chart, due to the recent fundamental tensions between China and the U.S., we’re starting to see bearish signs forming.
📊 Trading Plan:
If the market opens without a gap, we may expect a downward move after a possible retest of the Pro Key Level, with the target around 23,000.
Remember — the market is never 100% certain, so make sure you manage your risk and enter only after confirmation in lower timeframes.
⚠️ Heads-up: Tomorrow is a Bank Holiday, so expect lower liquidity and potentially tricky moves.
Trade smart, stay patient, and let the market come to you.
💬 I’d love to hear your thoughts — what’s your bias for NASDAQ this week?
👇 Drop your analysis or opinion in the comments!
🚀 Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts.
Follow 👉 parisa_tl for more liquidity setups and weekly insights 💙
#NASDAQ #TradingAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #DayTrading #SwingTrading #RiskManagement #TradingCommunity #TradeSmart
two scenarios for NQ on October I currently have two scenarios for NASDAQ, and both are bearish.
Scenario 1: The downtrend has already started. If we see a pullback around the 0.5 Fibonacci level, I’ll look to short again and keep stacking sell positions
Scenario 2: NASDAQ might retest the previous high — the one where the sharp drop started — move sideways for a while, and then start another leg down.
P.S. Success depends on proper risk management.
#NASDAQ #NASDAQ100
NAS100 Forecast: A Fresh Bullish Impulse Toward New HighsThe NAS100 index is currently moving within a classic Elliott Wave structure. After completing wave (3), the market entered a correction phase that formed wave (4). This correction appears to have ended in the highlighted support zone, where buyers stepped in strongly. The five-wave pattern before wave (4) confirms a solid bullish trend. Now, the index seems to be preparing for the final upward move wave (5). This wave often represents the last push of a rally before a larger correction starts. As long as the price stays above the recent support near 24,400 , the next targets could be seen around 25,200–25,600 . In simple terms, the market is expected to continue its uptrend after a short pullback, following the typical Elliott Wave sequence of five upward waves and three corrective ones.
Sell US100NAS100 Support and Resistance Trade. Price is ranging from the resistance to the support at 24000. A bearish flag has been printed. We can expect sharp bearish moves this week
USNAS100 | Weakness Persists Below PivotUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Bias Below 25,035
USNAS100 has stabilized below the pivot zone at 25,035, indicating potential downside movement toward 24,860.
A break below 24,860 would strengthen the bearish trend, targeting 24,750 → 24,510 in the short term.
On the other hand, if price closes a 1H candle above 25,035, it would confirm a bullish reversal, opening the path toward 25,200 → 25,400.
Pivot: 25,035
Support: 24,860 – 24,750 – 24,510
Resistance: 25,200 – 25,400 – 25,540
USNASDAQ100 Consolidation to downside correctionThe NASDAQ 100 started the week on solid ground, supported by gains in mega-cap stocks. However, investor sentiment remains cautious ahead of a wave of corporate earnings and a critical inflation report, both of which could determine the next major market move.
🔍 Outlook
If sellers maintain control, the USNAS100 could correct toward 25,300 initially. A break below this level would open the door toward the 24,550 support area. However, a rebound from 25,300 could trigger a short-term recovery — but the broader outlook remains bearish unless price regains ground above 26,000.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
I’m getting ready for potential short position |October 16 2025If today the price goes up and hunts the high from 10 AM yesterday (New York time) — meaning it grabs the liquidity and takes out the stops above that level — and then forms a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) followed by signs of weakness or a rejection structure (like a lower-timeframe break, divergence, or bearish confirmation candle), that scenario would be one of the best short setups of the day.
NQ,1H,wait for hunt yesterday high |October 14 2025I’ve decided that during this downtrend, if the market doesn’t go sideways and the bearish trend actually takes shape — because believe it or not, I’m not a fortune teller — I’ll share every single trade with you, whether it ends in profit or loss.
so my short vision is up but in higher timeframe is down
I'll wait for a short position
In about a month, I’ll also start accepting around 20 members to collaborate with me.
So if you don’t want to lose track of my page, make sure to follow.
USNAS100 Extends Losses After Resistance RejectionUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Momentum Below 24,510
The index maintains a bearish momentum after dropping from its recent resistance zone.
As long as price trades below 24,510, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 24,350 → 24,150.
A confirmed 1H close below 24,150 would extend losses toward the 24,000 area.
On the other hand, a 1H close above 24,550 would shift the structure bullish, opening the path toward 24,770 → 24,850.
Pivot: 24,510
Support: 24,350 – 24,150 – 24,000
Resistance: 24,700 – 24,850 – 25,000
US100 Bearish Bias!
HI,Traders !
#US100 keeps growing
But a horizontal resistance
Level of 25039.3 is nearby
So after the retest of the
Level we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
On Monday !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Selling to Gap NAS100The picture says it all. I do not want to talk much. It is what it is. Risky trade as markey is bullish so risking small amount. Let us see.
US100 currently showing signs of persistent bearish pressureThe US100 index is currently showing signs of persistent bearish pressure. Following Friday’s pullback, futures rose slightly on Monday as investors reacted to a softer tone from Donald Trump, which eased some concerns over renewed U.S.–China trade tensions. However, broader market uncertainty remains elevated due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and cautious sentiment in equities.
From a technical perspective, the US100 is maintaining a bearish trend structure. If price action fails to sustain above current levels and instead tests the resistance zone before reversing, it could confirm continued weakness. If sellers regain control near resistance, we may expect potential downside targets around 24,200 and also 23,600m Momentum remains on the downside as long as price stays below the resistance threshold, suggesting sellers are still dominating the short-term outlook.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Suipporitng.
NAS100 4h Bearish move confirmed across multiple timeframes
Based on the breakout observed on the 4-hour timeframe and its confirmation on the 30-minute chart — which itself was validated by the M5 structure break within the highlighted golden zone — we expect the price to continue its decline toward the first daily support level.
This setup provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, as illustrated on the chart.
As always — stay patient, follow your plan, and trust your analysis.
NASDAQ Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is my 4H Chart on Nasdaq , We Have A Clear Breakout and the price closed above my old res and new support with daily candle and we have a very good bullish Price Action on 1 And 2 Hours T.F Also the price trying to retest the area now and giving a good bullish price action on smaller time frames , , So i see it`s a good chance to buy this pair when it back to retest the broken res and we can targeting from 100 to 200 pips . and if we have a daily closure again below my new res then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Get Ready for Breakout
Nasdaq index is currently testing a resistance based on a current
all-time high.
With a high probability, the market is going to break that.
A daily candle close above will confirm a violation.
A further growth will be expected at least to 25500 level then.
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NASDAQ Bullish Continuation PatternsNAS100 is still pushing to the upside.
Currently on the H1 TF I am spotting a bullish flag. Confirmation to enter is on a breakout and a retest. Now, the thing about indices is that they love a nice false breakout, so expect the unexpected. Hence, the arrow points to the downside after the breakout and possibly retesting a support zone before we get a final bullish momentum.
Patience will pay you in this market.
The trend is still your friend.
NAS100 Technical Outlook (18–25 Oct 2025)Trend Summary:
NASDAQ 100 remains in a corrective phase after rejecting near the 25,200–25,300 resistance zone. Recent price action forms a potential Wave 4 retracement within a medium-term bullish Elliott structure.
1D Chart View:
The index is hovering around key support at 24,750, aligned with the 3 8.2% Fib retracement of the prior leg and near daily EMA50. A bullish reversal from this zone would confirm continuation toward 25,800–26,000.
4H Structure:
A descending channel is observed, acting as a corrective pullback. Ichimoku Cloud shows price testing the lower edge; a break above 25,050 could signal momentum recovery. Volume divergence hints at accumulation beneath.
1H / 30M:
RSI forming a higher low while price prints a lower low — a bullish divergence setup. Bollinger Bands are tightening, suggesting volatility expansion ahead. Watch VWAP reclaim above 25,000 for confirmation of short-term trend reversal.
15M / 5M Intraday Bias:
Short-term traders should monitor the 24,800–24,750 zone for a bounce. Failure below this area exposes 24,620, while a decisive break above 25,050 may trigger an intraday rally targeting 25,250–25,300.
🎯 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Buy Zone: 24,750–24,800
Targets: 25,050 → 25,250 → 25,800
Stop Loss: 24,580 (below structure low)
Bearish Scenario (alternative):
Sell Zone: 25,250–25,300 (resistance rejection)
Targets: 25,000 → 24,750 → 24,620
Stop Loss: 25,400
🔍 Confluence Factors:
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction likely ending.
Fibonacci: 38.2–50% retracement aligning with structure support.
Ichimoku: Testing lower cloud — potential bullish crossover setup.
RSI Divergence: Positive momentum building.
VWAP: Reclaim signals early buyer strength.
Volume: Accumulation noted during low volatility phase.
📘 Outlook Summary:
Bias remains cautiously bullish above 24,750, targeting 25,800–26,000.
Break below 24,620 invalidates bullish structure and opens path to 24,300–24,200.
NAS100 traders should monitor intraday reactions and volume confirmations near key zones. This week may define whether the correction phase transitions into a new impulsive wave or deeper retracement.
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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