US100: Price action around important imbalance📊 SKILLING:US100 Analysis: Detailed trading scenario at key price level 24,443.6 🚀
The US 100 30-minute chart is currently illustrating a clear picture of price movements with significant support and resistance zones. At the moment, the price is undergoing a strong correction after a deep decline and is approaching crucial price areas, creating multiple potential trading opportunities for investors.
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Support Zone 24,284.6 – The starting point for a potential bounce 💥
Currently, the price is nearing the technical support level around 24,284.6 – a key support area that is expected to hold considerable buying interest, potentially triggering a short-term bounce. Buyers may step in here to prevent further declines and initiate a recovery trend.
Careful observation of price action around this zone is essential as it will determine the market’s next momentum: whether the price will rebound or break lower.
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Immediate Resistance Levels and the Imbalance Zone at 24,443.6 🔍
Following a bounce from the 24,284.6 support, the expected scenario is a gradual move upwards to test important resistance levels:
• First at 24,369.9, where initial selling pressure may emerge, challenging the upward momentum.
• Next at 24,443.6, identified as a significant imbalance zone on the chart — a price level where price previously moved rapidly, creating a notable supply-demand gap.
• This zone acts as a technical “wall,” a crucial checkpoint before the price can continue its upward trend or get pushed back down.
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Detailed Price Movement Scenario 🔄
1. Price bounces from the support at 24,284.6, setting the stage for a recovery leg.
2. Price moves up to test the first resistance at 24,369.9; the reaction here indicates the buyers’ strength.
3. Price then challenges the imbalance zone at 24,443.6 — where significant selling pressure may occur.
4. At this level, two scenarios may unfold:
• Price breaks above 24,443.6, confirming the uptrend and targeting the next resistance at 24,621.9.
• Price rejects this zone, leading to selling pressure that pushes price back to retest the 24,284.6 support or even lower.
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Downside scenario if support at 24,284.6 fails 🛡️
In the worst case, if price breaks below the crucial support at 24,284.6, further declines toward a broader support zone at 24,067.5 are likely. This level may act as the next key area for price stabilization and buyer interest before any potential rebound.
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Trade ideas
Weekly NASDAQ Outlook (NQ!)Last Friday, NQ! closed at 23,998.6, after a strong decline into the weekly close. When the market reopened on Monday, it gapped up — likely due to weekend events and news.
That gap has since been completely filled, and price has shown a solid push to the upside during the week.
For the coming week, I’m expecting NQ! to take out the all-time high and possibly form a new high.
However, before that happens, I’d like to see a retracement toward the 24,692.8 level, which could provide high-probability long setups.
There’s also a possibility that price won’t revisit this level and instead continues pushing higher directly, but a clean pullback into 24,692.8 would offer a great entry opportunity for longs.
📊 Outlook Summary:
- Expecting bullish continuation.
- Ideal retracement zone: 24,692.8.
- Main target: New all-time high above previous peak.
USNASDEQ100 STRUCTUREThe US100 is showing signs of bearish pressure as price action has tightened near the top resistance zone. Buyers appear to be losing momentum, and the recent structure suggests a potential rejection from the upper boundary.
A break below the current consolidation area could confirm a shift in sentiment toward the downside. If sellers maintain control, we could see a move toward the next major support area around the 23,000 level, which aligns with previous structure support and potential liquidity zones.
However, if the index holds above the current resistance-turned-support area and gains renewed buying interest, the bearish scenario may be invalidated.
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Nasdaq Nears Decision PointNasdaq remains within its bullish trend channel but is approaching a decision point. The 24,200 and 24,000 levels are two key supports holding back further downside. If these supports fail, it could trigger a multi-day selloff.
So far, the downward pressure has mostly come from regional banks, keeping the decline in Nasdaq limited. However, if concerns over the rare earth supply chain grow due to trade disputes between China and the US, this could trigger a broader selloff in Nasdaq.
NASDAQ Faces Downside Risk Amid Tariff and Shutdown UncertaintyUSNAS100 – Technical Outlook Aligned with Fundamentals
The Nasdaq 100 fell sharply on Friday, losing nearly 1,200 points within six hours as it retreated from its all-time high.
The drop came amid renewed U.S.–China tariff tensions and growing uncertainty from the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which has delayed key economic data releases and weighed on sentiment ahead of third-quarter earnings season.
Technically, the index is showing clear bearish pressure, and sellers will likely maintain control while the price remains below 23,930.
A short-term corrective rebound toward 24,160 – 24,350 is possible before renewed downside momentum.
If the price closes a 1H or 4H candle below 23,930, it would confirm a continuation of the bearish trend, opening the way toward 23,700 → 23,500 → 23,350.
Conversely, as long as the index trades above 23,930, limited corrections may occur, but overall bias remains weak under current macro headwinds.
Pivot Line: 23,930
Support Levels: 23,700 / 23,500 / 23,350
Resistance Levels: 24,160 / 24,340 / 24,480
Summary:
Fundamental headwinds — from tariff threats to the shutdown’s data vacuum — are fueling pressure on tech stocks.
Technically, bias stays bearish below 23,930, with a potential correction toward 24,350 before continuation to the downside.
NAS100 - High Volume Control🔶 USTEC Trading Card
🔑 Pivot Zone: 24,600 - 24,700 (Primary Demand)
📊 Context: Bullish trend in correction | Current 24,776.9
⚠️ Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance = 25,080 - 25,180 (Major Supply)
Lower Support = 24,280 - 24,380
Deep Support = 23,670 - 23,820
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🟢 Bullish Scenario
Bias Flip: Already active (pullback within uptrend)
Trigger: Long from 24,600-24,700 when price shows upward demand - wick below
🎯 T1 = 24,900
🎯 T2 = 25,080
🎯 T3 = 25,180
❌ Invalidation: Back below 24,500
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🔴 Bearish Scenario
Bias Flip: Clear breach below 24,600
Trigger: Short on break below 24,600 with downward supply confirmation
🎯 T1 = 24,330
🎯 T2 = 24,038
🎯 T3 = 23,820
❌ Invalidation: Back above 24,800
US100: Breakout signals a strong second bullish leg🧩 Market Context
On the 30-minute chart, SKILLING:US100 index shows renewed bullish momentum after a phase of sideways consolidation. Following a deep correction, price action has started forming higher highs and higher lows, suggesting that buyers are gradually regaining control.
🔍 Price Structure and Breakout
Price has recently broken out above a short-term consolidation zone and a rising trendline.
This breakout reinforces the short-term bullish bias and could mark the start of a second upward leg in the current recovery.
Statistically, when a breakout happens after tight accumulation, the next bullish leg often becomes equal to or larger than the previous one, as momentum builds and buyers gain confidence.
📈 Key Price Levels
• Resistance 1: 24,914 – prior rejection zone in the last upward move.
• Resistance 2: 25,074 – distribution area before the previous drop.
• Support: 24,700 – 24,750 (former resistance now acting as potential support).
⚙️ Trading Scenarios (for observation only)
• After the breakout, price may retest the previous resistance zone (around 24,700–24,750) before continuing higher.
• If buyers defend this level, the second bullish leg could extend toward 24,914 and possibly 25,074.
• Conversely, a close back below 24,700 may trigger a deeper pullback before any continuation attempt.
🧠 Summary
The technical structure on US100 favors a short-term bullish outlook. A successful retest of the breakout zone could pave the way for a second upward leg, potentially matching or exceeding the size of the previous rally.
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📌 This analysis is for educational and technical purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
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NAS100 Technical Outlook (18–25 Oct 2025)Trend Summary:
NASDAQ 100 remains in a corrective phase after rejecting near the 25,200–25,300 resistance zone. Recent price action forms a potential Wave 4 retracement within a medium-term bullish Elliott structure.
1D Chart View:
The index is hovering around key support at 24,750, aligned with the 3 8.2% Fib retracement of the prior leg and near daily EMA50. A bullish reversal from this zone would confirm continuation toward 25,800–26,000.
4H Structure:
A descending channel is observed, acting as a corrective pullback. Ichimoku Cloud shows price testing the lower edge; a break above 25,050 could signal momentum recovery. Volume divergence hints at accumulation beneath.
1H / 30M:
RSI forming a higher low while price prints a lower low — a bullish divergence setup. Bollinger Bands are tightening, suggesting volatility expansion ahead. Watch VWAP reclaim above 25,000 for confirmation of short-term trend reversal.
15M / 5M Intraday Bias:
Short-term traders should monitor the 24,800–24,750 zone for a bounce. Failure below this area exposes 24,620, while a decisive break above 25,050 may trigger an intraday rally targeting 25,250–25,300.
🎯 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Buy Zone: 24,750–24,800
Targets: 25,050 → 25,250 → 25,800
Stop Loss: 24,580 (below structure low)
Bearish Scenario (alternative):
Sell Zone: 25,250–25,300 (resistance rejection)
Targets: 25,000 → 24,750 → 24,620
Stop Loss: 25,400
🔍 Confluence Factors:
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction likely ending.
Fibonacci: 38.2–50% retracement aligning with structure support.
Ichimoku: Testing lower cloud — potential bullish crossover setup.
RSI Divergence: Positive momentum building.
VWAP: Reclaim signals early buyer strength.
Volume: Accumulation noted during low volatility phase.
📘 Outlook Summary:
Bias remains cautiously bullish above 24,750, targeting 25,800–26,000.
Break below 24,620 invalidates bullish structure and opens path to 24,300–24,200.
NAS100 traders should monitor intraday reactions and volume confirmations near key zones. This week may define whether the correction phase transitions into a new impulsive wave or deeper retracement.
US100 - BEARISH POSSIBILITYPrice is already bearish in higher timeframe (H4). And is currently creating bearish tendency in the lower timeframes. We can observe a slow support breakout which can be a crucial confirmation of a bearish continuation. This is purely ideas purpose only and should not be used alone to take on a trade. Good profits traders.
BIAS FOR THE WEEK: 20 OCT TO 24 OCT 2025AN IDEA OF WHAT I WOULD LIKE TO SEE OCCUR IN PRICE.
IF NOT, THEN I WILL LOOK TO ADJUST MY BIAS ACCORDINGLY.
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Can NASDAQ100’s Retest Turn Into a Full-Fledged Rally?⚡ NASDAQ100 — “The Wall Street Engine” Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing / Day Trade)
Plan:
📈 Bullish confirmation awaited at the Hull Moving Average retest.
When price respects that dynamic zone and momentum aligns, the Thief layers up — ready to stack positions like a pro!
💰 Thief Strategy Playbook:
Thief’s weapon? Layering entries — the art of scaling in like a patient hunter.
Multiple buy limit orders are placed around:
🔹 24,400 🔹 24,500 🔹 24,600
(You can adjust or add more layers based on your own trading structure and capital.)
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
This is the Thief’s SL → @24,200
🕵️♂️ Note to all Thief OGs:
I’m not recommending that you copy my SL — risk management is your call.
Remember: Make money, then take money at your own risk.
🎯 Target Zone:
@25,300 — where the POLICE BARRICADE (resistance) stands tall!
⚠️ The zone aligns with overbought levels + liquidity trap potential, so don’t overstay your welcome.
Escape with profits like a smart thief before the market cuffs you! 💨
🕵️♂️ Note again to Thief OGs:
Targets are flexible — adapt based on your execution and structure confirmation.
🔍 Correlated Assets to Watch:
SP:SPX (S&P500) — often mirrors NASDAQ’s overall direction.
TVC:DJI (Dow Jones) — gives early risk-on/risk-off sentiment clues.
TVC:US10Y (US Treasury Yield) — rising yields can pressure tech stocks.
TVC:VIX (Volatility Index) — watch for volatility spikes; they often precede reversals.
Correlation Key Insight:
When the dollar weakens and yields cool, NASDAQ tends to fly 🚀 — liquidity rotation favors growth stocks and tech-heavy indices.
⚙️ Quick Recap:
✅ Bias: Bullish (with retest confirmation at Hull MA)
💸 Entry Zone: 24,400 → 24,600 (Layered limits)
🧱 SL: 24,200 (risk-controlled zone)
🎯 TP: 25,300 (liquidity + resistance zone)
⚠️ Risk: Adjust position size and trail stops as structure evolves
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📜 Disclaimer:
This is a Thief-style trading strategy — designed for entertainment, education, and market storytelling. Trade responsibly; it’s just for fun, not financial advice.
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #IndexTrading #HullMA #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #DayTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingCommunity #ThiefTrader #ChartArt #EditorPickCandidate
Big Bearish Day- A Weakness or Buying OpportunityNasdaq is in a strong uptrend. It broke above 23,966 and shot up to 25,191
As it has been taking support at 50EMA multiple times on daily chart, the recent fall of more than 1200 points was contained exactly near the same level.
From the price action point of view-
The fall ceased near the previous breakout zone near 23966, previous resistance acted as support.
A single candle on the daily chart with no continuation has to be an attempt to sweep liquidity below important swing lows near 24200 and 24000 (see 4H chart).
The action near 24250 is also reflecting absorption.
The psychological round number of 25000 could stay as resistance for some time and again push it back in the 24,400 to 24,500 zone offering a short-term low risk buying opportunity.
In this backdrop, 24000 to 24250 zone, accompanied by the strong trend in the background, may again cushion the price back to new highs.
What is your point of view?
Is the recent fall a sign of weakness or an opportunity to buy?
#Educational post not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Us100 - Breakout Setup In PlayThe market has formed a rising channel after a significant bullish reversal marked by a Change of Character (CHoCH) and a Break of Structure (BOS). Price is currently consolidating near the midline of the ascending channel.
🔍 Key Insight:
We're in a wait-and-watch zone — a breakout from this channel in either direction could set the tone for the next move.
Trading Plan:
Upside Breakout: Watch for a breakout above the upper boundary of the channel with strong bullish momentum. Target the projected move equal to the height of the channel.
Downside Breakout: If price breaks below the lower channel support, expect a potential bearish move toward the lower target zone marked on the chart.
Important: Wait for a clear breakout and confirmation before entering a trade. Avoid entering inside the channel to minimize risk from false moves.
15 OCT 2025: OUTLOOK2 SCENARIOS TO CONTEMPLATE
- Will observe price action and react accordingly
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Enjoy Trading ;)