Short **Hedge** Predicting the double top on NDQ.Predicting the double top on NDQ.
I have longed a couple of assets i have been eying for a while during the correction at a good price, so this short is part of a hedging strategy I am taking.
2 entries, first (1/2) at fib 0.618 (reversed) the second (2/2) aiming for a double top.
My thought logic is like that:
If I fail to predict the double top on NDQ than my longs will most likely be much more profitable than my short.
Trade ideas
NASDAQ – Bullish Triangle Breakout LoadingI’m currently seeing a bullish ascending triangle forming on the Nasdaq indicating a strong accumulation phase before a potential breakout to the upside price has already started to bounce upward from this compression zone suggesting that buyers are taking control and preparing for a clean bullish continuation
If the breakout confirms, my target is around 27750$ aligns with
The projected target of the ascending triangle
A strong technical resistance zone
A logical extension given the current bullish structure
As long as price stays above the triangle support the bullish scenario remains the primary expectation
NAS100 I Potential break of 25,217 Resistance Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
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NAS100 H4 | Bearish Reversal Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is showing rejection from the sell zone, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The market remains below the descending trendline, supporting a bearish continuation bias.
Sell Entry: 24,926.07
Overlap resistance
78.6% Fibonacci confluence
Stop Loss: 25,314.56
Positioned above pullback resistance
Take Profit: 24,447.49
Pullback support zone
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NASDAQDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
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Potential bullish bounce?NAS100 is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 24,743.72
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 24,332.99
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 25,790.42
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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NASDAQ Santa Rally back to 26000 started?Nasdaq (NDX) rebounded on Friday after marginally breaching below its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since May 09! The continuation today is a sign of a potentially strong rebound, the traditional end-of-year rally that is know as 'Santa's rally'.
Based on the 2021 Bull Cycle, which after touching its own 1D MA100 it started a final rally that almost tested its ATH Resistance, we can expect Nasdaq to now rise towards the end of the year to potentially 26000.
Could this be the last rally before a new Bear Cycle in 2026?
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NASDAQ Analysis – Recovery Expected After an Overextended DropYesterday’s sharp Nasdaq drop was surprising, especially considering Nvidia’s exceptional earnings, renewed confidence that we’re not in a bubble, and the strong labor data from NFP. Under normal conditions, the market would likely have reacted with a 2%+ rally.
However, investors are now pricing in the idea that the Fed will not cut rates in December, which created fear-driven selling and an exaggerated move to the downside.
Today, I would like to see a relief recovery, as the index has started to form a double-bottom pattern, a typical structure before liquidity grabs to the upside. If confirmed, price could push back up to take out recent highs.
Historically, after large impulsive drops, the stock market tends to open in green, as investors take advantage of discounted prices. If momentum shifts, the Nasdaq could quickly reclaim lost ground.
NASDAQDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio.
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NSDQ100 oversold rally reaching resistance at 25285Equities:
Risk appetite improved again, with the S&P 500 +0.91% marking a third straight gain, and futures pointing higher this morning (+0.31%). The move was reinforced by a drop in yields, with the 10yr Treasury down to 4.00%, a four-week low.
Drivers of the Rally:
Dovish Fed momentum: Markets leaned further into December rate-cut expectations after softer US data. Bloomberg headlines that Kevin Hassett is now the frontrunner for Fed Chair added to the dovish tilt.
Geopolitics: European equities tracked higher (STOXX 600 +0.91%), supported by reports of progress in Ukraine peace talks.
US Data – All Dovish:
Consumer Confidence (Nov): 88.7, below every estimate and the lowest since April’s turmoil.
ADP private payroll proxy: Averaged –13.5k over the latest four weeks, signalling labour softness.
September revisions:
Retail Sales +0.2% (vs +0.4% expected).
PPI +0.3% (in line), but still consistent with cooling demand.
Stocks in Focus:
Nvidia –2.59% underperformed as Google’s Gemini 3 launch signalled intensifying AI competition.
Geopolitics:
Bloomberg reported the US sent negotiators to meet Putin in Moscow next week to discuss a Ukraine peace proposal, adding to the constructive tone in Europe.
Trading Takeaway
Rates: Further downside bias in yields if today’s data stays soft; the 4.00% level on the 10yr is key support.
Equities: Momentum remains positive, but tech leadership is wobbling—watch for rotation into cyclicals, financials, and Europe.
FX: Dovish Fed expectations should pressure USD on the margins.
Geopolitics: Peace-talk headlines may continue to support European assets and risk sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25285
Resistance Level 2: 25466
Resistance Level 3: 25390
Support Level 1: 24750
Support Level 2: 24600
Support Level 3: 24450
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NAS100How to become successful in forex and stock trading: 1.Master fundamentals and technical analysis. 2,Build and follow a solid trading plan. 3.Apply strict risk management (1–2% rule). 4.Stay disciplined—control fear and greed. 5.Record and analyze every trade. 6.Focus on high-quality setups only. 7.Diversify across assets and markets. 8.Keep evolving—study, adapt, and grow daily.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Strong Bullish Pattern
There is a high chance that US100 will rise
after a formation of a cup & handle pattern on a 4h time frame
with a breakout of its neckline with a bullish imbalance.
Expect a rise at least to 24850
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NAS long idea for market open 25/11/2025Currently in a range between H1 polarity/M1 polarity at the top, mirrored to H1/M1 polarity at the bottom.
H4 range trend just below polarity, price comes down to M1 polarity, taps the H4 range trend, absorbs previous H4 low, back up to fail the top of the range and onto the H4 range trend above
Nasdaq 100 under pressureAfter the Nasdaq 100 fell by more than 3% in the week ending Friday 21 November, the index may extend those losses in the coming days. Recently, the Nasdaq 100 has been trading in a downtrend. Momentum has weakened, as indicated by the relative strength index (RSI), which formed a bearish divergence from mid-September when it began making a series of lower highs while the Nasdaq 100 itself made higher highs. Currently, the RSI is around 43, indicating that the Nasdaq 100 is not yet oversold and may have further downside potential.
However, after trading along its lower Bollinger Band last week, the Nasdaq 100 yesterday recovered some of its recent losses and rose above that lower band. The index broke above resistance at 24,500 early on Monday and went on to pierce the 10-day exponential moving average near 24,700 as it climbed to 24,870 by Monday’s close. Whether this proves to be a temporary rebound remains to be seen, but for now the next significant resistance level is around the trendline near 25,000, followed by the 20-day moving average near 25,250.
Despite yesterday’s bounce, there has been considerable technical damage to the Nasdaq that needs to be repaired if the index is to make further gains. In the near term, the prevailing trend is likely to remain bearish. A break below 24,000 could set the stage for a decline towards 22,700.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
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NAS100 (Buy)All trades and analyses presented here are based on the **Smart Money Concept (SMC)**.
These analyses reflect only my personal perspective on market structure and price behavior, with charts clearly illustrating the details. The main purpose of sharing this content is strictly for **educational purposes** and to exchange personal experiences in trading.
⚠️ **Disclaimer:**
This content does not constitute financial advice, investment signals, or any guarantee of profitability. Financial markets inherently involve risk, and losses are possible. Each individual is fully responsible for their own trading decisions and outcomes. It is strongly recommended to consult with licensed financial advisors before making any investment decisions.
NAS100 at Crossroads: Bulls Eye 25K Breakout or Pullback Trap?Spot Price: 24,875 | Session: London-NY Overlap | 09:43 UTC+4
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🔎 Market Structure Overview
Price action on NAS100 reveals a consolidation phase following last week's bullish momentum. The index is currently hovering near a critical demand zone, with buyers defending the 24,800 handle aggressively. On the higher timeframes, the trend remains intact, but shorter intervals suggest a potential retracement before continuation.
📈 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
5M & 15M: Minor bearish divergence forming on RSI as price prints higher highs while momentum weakens. Watch for a pullback toward 24,820 for scalp entries.
30M: Price respecting the ascending trendline from Friday's lows. A breach below 24,790 invalidates this structure.
1H: Ichimoku Cloud providing solid support – Tenkan crossing above Kijun signals short-term bullish bias.
4H: Bollinger Bands tightening, hinting at an imminent volatility expansion. VWAP anchored at 24,850 acting as intraday pivot.
🧠 Technical Confluence Zones
Key Resistance: 24,950 – 25,020 (psychological barrier + prior swing high)
Key Support: 24,780 – 24,720 (demand cluster + 50 SMA on 1H)
⚡ Pattern Recognition
A potential ascending triangle is developing on the 30M chart, with horizontal resistance near 24,920 and rising lows. A decisive breakout above this ceiling could trigger acceleration toward 25,050. Conversely, failure at resistance may initiate a corrective wave toward the 24,700 region.
📐 Wyckoff & Elliott Perspective
Current price action resembles Phase C of accumulation under Wyckoff methodology – a spring or shakeout below 24,800 would confirm smart money absorption before markup. From an Elliott standpoint, we appear to be completing wave (iv) of a larger impulse sequence, with wave (v) extension targeting 25,100+.
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🎯 Trade Setup – Intraday Long
Entry Zone: 24,820 – 24,850 (on pullback to demand)
Stop Loss: 24,740 (below structure invalidation)
Take Profit 1: 24,950 (initial resistance)
Take Profit 2: 25,020 (extended target)
Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2.5
🎯 Alternative Setup – Short Scalp (Counter-Trend)
Entry: 24,940 – 24,960 (rejection at resistance)
Stop Loss: 25,010
Take Profit: 24,850
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⚠️ Risk Note: Monitor US economic calendar for potential catalysts. Thin pre-holiday liquidity could amplify volatility – adjust position sizing accordingly.
Trade wisely. Protect capital first. 💼






















