Trade ideas
NASDAQ Double Bottom Rejection and Demand ZonesA few days ago I posted a nasdaq setup on the H4 TF showing that a Double Bottom Rejection was at play and would result in new ATHs. I also indicated a possibility of a retest before the rally began and so far this is going according to plan.
There is still room for price to rally and claim new ATHs.
I recommend using either one of these demand zones to validate your entries for longs and using them as your Stop Loss zones.
Nasdaq updatedLooking to short it from these 2handles…
$25,012.23 holds the answers on closures.
She can do it from here…
Big ask, but also big potential if this can hold below in the next 3hr 30 mins!!!
Willing to allow $25,100 for closures. That should be at max and will also determine the next sequence of numbers to run off!!!
Full target on here is $24,714!
Then it be back to layering into longs from the previous post.
LFG Traders!! 🙌🏾
NASDAQ Channel Up found support and aims for 25600.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 28 High and on Friday it tested its 1H MA100 (green trend-line) again and rebounded. That has been a bullish continuation signal within this pattern every time a 1H MA50/ 100 takes place.
On the previous Bullish Leg that confirmed the upside continuation all the way to the 2.382 Fibonacci extension before a 1H MA50/ 100 Bearish Cross and new Low.
As a result, the current short-term Target on Nasdaq is 25600.
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US100 Trading Plan ¦ Layering Strategy + Macro Sentiment Drivers🚀 NASDAQ100 / US100 Index – Thief Money Heist Plan 🎭
📌 Plan: Bullish Swing / Scalping Setup
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), here’s the heist-style breakdown for US100 🔑:
🏴☠️ Entry Style (Thief Layering Strategy)
Using layered limit orders for flexibility & precision:
• 23200.0
• 23250.0
• 23300.0
• 23350.0
(You may increase limit layers based on your strategy & risk appetite)
📉 Moving Average Pullback Entry Plan
• Buy entries on pullbacks to the Fibo level 382 Triangular Moving average zone.
• Look for bullish candles confirming the bounce from these MAs.
• This offers better risk-to-reward by catching momentum on retracements instead of chasing highs.
❓ Why This Works?
• Moving averages often act as dynamic support/resistance in trending markets.
• Institutional traders & algos track them heavily, making them high-probability zones.
• Combining with layering entries = higher flexibility + reduced risk of mistimed single entry.
🛡️ Stop Loss (Protect the Vault)
• Thief SL: @23000.0
• Reminder: Adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk tolerance.
🎯 Target (Escape Zone)
• Overbought + Trap Zone ahead!
• Escape target: @23750.0
• Note: Don’t rely only on my TP — secure profits at your own pace and risk.
📊 US100 Index CFD Real-Time Data Sep 03
📈 Daily Change: +133.47 (+0.57%)
📅 Monthly Performance: +0.76%
📆 Yearly Performance: +23.48%
😰😊 Fear & Greed Index
📊 Current Reading: 53/100 (Neutral)
🧐 Interpretation: Market sentiment is balanced, showing neither extreme fear nor greed. Investors are cautious but not panicked.
🧠 Retail vs. Institutional Sentiment
👥 Retail Traders: Moderately bullish (55% Long, 45% Short)
🏦 Institutional Traders: Slightly cautious (50% Long, 50% Short)
🔑 Key Drivers: Mixed signals from manufacturing data and upcoming labor market reports.
📉📈 Fundamental & Macro Score
📊 Macro Score: 6/10
Manufacturing PMI (48.7) still in contraction but improving.
Labor market data (JOLTS) awaited for clarity.
⚡ Volatility Score: 5/10 (Moderate)
VIX near average levels, indicating stable expectations.
💧 Liquidity Score: 7/10
Strong volume and breadth in large-cap tech stocks.
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
✅ Bullish (Long): 60%
Supported by strong yearly gains and resilience in big tech.
⚠️ Bearish (Short): 40%
Concerns over manufacturing contraction and inflation pressures.
💡 Key Takeaways
📈 US100 is trending mildly positive today (+0.57%).
😐 Sentiment is neutral—no extreme fear or greed.
📊 Macro data hints at cautious optimism but watch for upcoming labor reports.
🐂 Overall bias leans slightly bullish for long-term holders.
📊 Related Pairs to Watch
FOREXCOM:SPX500
TVC:DJI
TVC:VIX
NASDAQ:NDX
FX:USDOLLAR
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #NDX #SPX500 #DJI #TradingView #SwingTrade #ScalpTrading #LayeringStrategy #MarketAnalysis
Nas100 Trade Set Up Oct 6 2025Price is bullish making HH/HL on the 1h and has swept PDH so i am overall bullish. I would want to see price trade into the 1h FVG, respect it and form internal 1m bullish structure to look for buys or trade higher above recent swing highs, sweep internal SSL and go higher
www.tradingview.com
US100: Strong resistance sell setup on the 30-minute chart
📈 SKILLING:US100 — Technical Analysis: Sell Setup Near Strong Resistance
🔍 Technical Analysis:
• Currently, US100 price is approaching a significant resistance zone (highlighted in red). This area has acted as a strong ceiling in recent sessions, where sellers tend to emerge.
• The price has rallied back after a sharp decline but is showing signs of slowing momentum as it nears this resistance. This often leads to a rejection rather than a clean breakout, especially on a 30-minute timeframe.
• Below, the light blue zones represent key support levels, which could serve as realistic targets if sellers regain control. These zones are important areas where buyers previously stepped in, creating potential bounce points.
• The drawn dashed lines illustrate a possible price path: a test of the resistance level, failure to break higher, followed by a pullback and continuation of the downward trend.
• For confirmation of the sell setup, traders should look for reversal candlestick patterns such as rejection wicks (long upper shadows), bearish engulfing candles, or pin bars at the resistance zone. These signals help validate that sellers are gaining dominance.
• Volume and momentum indicators should also be monitored for divergence or weakening bullish pressure near resistance to strengthen the case for a sell.
📊 Trade Considerations:
• Entering a sell position should be done only after clear confirmation of price rejection at resistance.
• Setting a stop loss slightly above the resistance zone helps manage risk in case of a false breakout.
• Targets can be placed near the support zones (light blue areas), with partial profit-taking to lock gains while allowing some position to run if price reacts there.
📌 Summary:
The technical structure of US100 on the 30-minute chart suggests a high probability of price reversal from the strong resistance area. A cautious sell setup is favored, waiting for confirming price action signals to reduce risk. Proper risk management is essential to navigate potential volatility near this key level.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
NAS100 - Stock Market on Federal Holiday!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the upward momentum decreases, we can expect a correction to the demand zones and buy Nasdaq in that range with an appropriate reward for the risk.
Traders in prediction markets now estimate that the U.S. federal government shutdown could last more than a week and potentially extend into mid-October. These projections suggest that Washington’s political environment has reached a deadlock, making a swift agreement in Congress increasingly unlikely.
The shutdown began early Wednesday morning after Democrats and Republicans—along with President Donald Trump—failed to reach a compromise on a temporary funding bill. As a result, hundreds of thousands of federal employees have been placed on unpaid leave, and numerous government programs and public services have been suspended.
According to data from Bank of America, since 1990, U.S. government shutdowns have lasted an average of 14 days. Although the S&P 500 has typically risen about 1% during such periods, an extended impasse could weigh heavily on an already fragile economy and markets near record highs.
The credit rating agency Fitch stated that the current shutdown will not have a direct impact on the United States’ credit rating, which remains at AA+ with a stable outlook. However, the agency noted that repeated reliance on short-term funding resolutions reflects persistent weaknesses in U.S. fiscal governance. Still, Fitch expects the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency to remain intact in the near future.
Fitch also added that a short-lived shutdown is unlikely to affect most public-finance credits, though a prolonged one could pose negative risks for bond issuers—particularly those dependent on federal funding in areas such as healthcare, housing, and higher education.
Meanwhile, UBS argued that concerns over the U.S. government shutdown have been overstated, predicting that its economic impact will be limited and short-lived. The bank advised investors to look beyond political noise and instead focus on Federal Reserve rate cuts, corporate earnings, and opportunities in artificial intelligence.
Economists at Citi expect the Federal Reserve to implement two 25-basis-point rate cuts in October and December, in line with its Dot Plot projections. However, the shutdown could delay access to key labor and inflation data, forcing investors to rely more heavily on private sources such as ADP reports.
Similarly, Bank of America forecasts a rate cut in October but notes that markets have already priced in this outcome, assigning a 95% probability for October and 85% for December. In essence, this projection merely aligns with the consensus that has already formed among traders.
In actual market developments, expectations have shifted back toward easing policies. Over the past two weeks, the hawkish pressure that had supported the dollar has eased, and markets are once again pricing in a lower-rate trajectory. Currently, about 105 basis points of rate cuts are priced in for next year, compared with a previous low of 94 basis points—a shift that favors equities while weighing on the dollar.
According to Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, the government shutdown will not significantly impair the Fed’s ability to assess labor market conditions. “The Fed relies more on its proprietary datasets than on official government statistics,” he explained. “Even amid a shutdown, policymakers maintain a fairly accurate picture of the economy.”
After a week dominated by employment data—some released and others delayed due to the shutdown—the upcoming week is expected to be relatively quiet for official U.S. economic releases unless a resolution is reached.Instead, market attention will pivot toward remarks from Federal Reserve officials.
On Wednesday, the minutes of the September FOMC meeting will be released, offering deeper insight into policymakers’ views on the rate path and inflation risks. Then, on Friday, the University of Michigan’s preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index for October will shed light on household perceptions of the economy and their financial conditions—a key gauge for domestic demand strength.
In addition, investors will closely monitor speeches from several Fed officials, including Bostic, Bowman, Miran, Kashkari, Barr, and Musalem. Their comments could directly influence market expectations for monetary policy and shape trading sentiment in the days ahead.
US100 Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for US100 below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 24770
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 24845
Safe Stop Loss - 24731
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US100 Technical Update – Supply Pressure at Highs, Demand Holds 1H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: Major Supply / Rejection Zone
This area marks the upper extreme of the recent rally and represents a clear supply pocket where sellers previously stepped in aggressively. Until price reclaims and holds above 25,000, this zone should be treated as short-term resistance. A clean breakout and acceptance above could open the door to further upside continuation.
Zone 2: Intraday Resistance / Retest Level
This mid-level zone has acted as both support and resistance over recent sessions, making it an important pivot area. Price is currently testing into it from below; failure to clear this level may attract renewed selling pressure and confirm the zone as intraday resistance.
Zone 3: Key Demand / Short-Term Buy Zone
This is the most significant near-term support. Price reacted strongly from this level during the last sell-off, showing clear buyer absorption. As long as this demand zone holds, short-term market structure remains bullish. A decisive break below would likely trigger a deeper correction.
Sentiment and the most recent macro developments:
The US100 is holding near record highs, but the tone across markets has turned cautiously optimistic rather than euphoric. Investors continue to favor large-cap tech and AI-driven names, which remain the primary source of market strength. Falling bond yields and growing confidence that the Federal Reserve will be forced to cut rates sooner rather than later are also helping sustain upside momentum.
At the same time, recent economic data has shown clear signs of cooling. The ISM Services PMI dropped sharply to 50.0 in September, signaling that the U.S. service sector, which drives most of the economy, has essentially stalled. The employment component within the report fell further into contraction territory, confirming softness already seen in the ADP jobs report earlier in the week. Combined with an ongoing government shutdown that delays official data releases, investors are trading in an information vacuum, relying more on expectations and positioning than hard fundamentals.
Overall, sentiment on US100 remains bullish but fragile. The index is being lifted by liquidity, AI optimism, and rate-cut hopes rather than strong macro performance. This creates a market that can continue drifting higher in the short term, but is increasingly vulnerable to reversals if inflation surprises on the upside or if economic weakness deepens beyond what investors currently expect.
NASDAQ 100 (1W) – Elliott Wave + Smart Money Analysis by FIBCOSThe index (NASDAQ) continues its macro impulsive structure, now expanding through Wave (3) — targeting the 2.618 Fibonacci extension near 26,997( 27K ).
Smart Money is driving this leg with clear bullish order flow, creating multiple Fair Value Gaps and Breaks of Structure along the way.
After this expansion, we expect a Wave (4) correction between 22,000–17,500, where institutional demand zones await for re-accumulation before the next macro bullish leg (Wave 5) toward 35,000–38,000.
📊 Confluence Highlights:
Wave (3) → 2.618 extension (target zone: 26.9K–27K)
Wave (4) → 0.382–0.618 retracement (zone: 22K–18K)
Wave (5) → 1.618 projection (target zone: 35K–38K)
🧠 Elliott Wave Theory Interpretation
① Wave (1) — The Initial Expansion (2020–2021)
Early bullish impulse following pandemic recovery.
Represents Smart Money accumulation followed by a breakout.
Retail participation remains limited; institutional footprints dominate.
② Wave (2) — Corrective Pullback (2022–2023)
Sharp decline toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
This phase was a liquidity grab — Smart Money re-entering after shaking out weak hands.
Price formed a higher low , maintaining long-term bullish structure.
③ Wave (3) — The Power Leg (2023–2026)
The strongest and most extended wave — aligned perfectly with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~26,997 zone).
Confirms institutional markup phase , where:
Retail short sellers are trapped.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are created during impulsive moves.
Continuous Break of Structure (BOS) validates bullish order flow.
Smaller degree sub-waves (1–5) visible inside, confirming internal impulse rhythm.
④ Wave (4) — The Upcoming Correction (2026–2027)
Expected macro re-accumulation zone , likely between 22,000 – 17,500 .
Market may enter a sideways complex correction (W–X–Y)/(W-X-Y-X-Z) pattern.
This is the Smart Money re-accumulation phase — liquidity collection before the next macro expansion.
Demand zones: previous unmitigated order blocks around 20,000–18,000 area.
⑤ Wave (5) — The Final Expansion (2028–2029)
After consolidation, the index may aim for new all-time highs toward 35,000–38,000 range.
This represents a distribution phase , where Smart Money offloads positions near cycle tops.
Expect divergence in momentum indicators , hinting at the end of the 5-wave structure.
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💡 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Confluence
Concept | Observation | Implication
Liquidity Sweep - Below 2022–2023 lows (Smart Money accumulation confirmation)
Order Blocks - 22,000–18,000 zone {Institutional demand zone for Wave (4)}
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) During Wave (3) impulsive rise {Will likely get mitigated during Wave (4)}
Break of Structure (BOS ) Continuous bullish BOS confirms institutional intent
Premium/Discount Zones Current price at premium (above equilibrium) Ideal region for institutional profit-taking
🧭 Smart Money Flow:
Accumulation → Expansion → Re-accumulation → Final Distribution
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📐 Fibonacci Confluence Levels
Wave (3) → 2.618× extension of Wave (1–2) → ~26,997 (expected macro resistance).
Wave (4) → retracement likely between 0.382–0.618 → 22,000–17,500 zone.
Wave (5) → projected 1.618× of Wave (1–3) → 35,000–38,000 .
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🧭 Market Outlook Summary
Timeframe | Bias | Expectation
Short-Term (2025–2026) 📈 Bullish Continuation toward 26,900–27,000
Medium-Term (2026–2027) ⚠ Corrective Re-accumulation phase, smart money reloads
Long-Term (2028–2029) 🚀 Bullish Wave (5) macro expansion toward 35K–38K
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🔖 FIBCOS Summary
> NASDAQ 100 Weekly Chart (Elliott + SMC)
Currently expanding through a powerful Wave (3) toward the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~27K).
After completion, a macro correction (Wave 4) is expected, providing the next Smart Money accumulation zone between 22K–18K before the final Wave 5 expansion toward new highs beyond 35K.
📘 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Educational purpose only.
#FIBCOS #NASDAQ100 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #MarketCycle #Fibonacci
NASDAQ Hits Historic High – 3 Key Scenarios for the Trading Day🚀 NASDAQ Weekly & Daily Update 🚀
Nasdaq is currently in a strongly bullish trend, and this week marks a significant historic high. Most likely, we’ll see the index touch 25,500. Both the weekly and daily round levels are perfectly aligned, as it has just broken its previous high.
For the upcoming trading day, I’m considering 3 potential scenarios:
1️⃣ Scenario 1: Price may initially move downwards, gathering liquidity at the New York session low, then correct, and after touching the Pro Key level, rebound upwards.
2️⃣ Scenario 2: Price might move upwards first, hit the order block that aligns with the daily pivot, then retrace downwards to collect liquidity, and finally, after touching the Pro Key level, move upwards.
3️⃣ Scenario 3: Price might not reach the Pro Key level directly, react at the upper order block, break it, and continue strongly upwards.
💡 Key Points:
Each scenario’s price reaction depends heavily on the session.
Using the AMD concept, positions can be taken once confirmation is received.
This analysis is valid until the end of the trading day, so always wait for confirmation before entering trades and manage your capital.
⚠️ Disclaimer: All trading decisions are your responsibility.
I’d love to hear your thoughts and see your analysis! Let’s grow and learn together! 🙌
#NASDAQ #TradingView