Trade ideas
NAS100 | Bullish Momentum ExpectedBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry at 25,196.55, which is a pullbakc support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 24,926.57, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 25,626.70, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Nasdaq100 Breakout Map – Bullish Targets Ahead?🕵️♂️ NDX/US100 “NASDAQ100” Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀
📊 Plan: Bullish Bias (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Entry Idea (Thief Layering Style):
Using a layering strategy (multiple limit orders). My preferred buy zones are:
🟢 24,300
🟢 24,400
🟢 24,500
🟢 24,600
(Feel free to adjust/add layers based on your own style — flexibility is key.)
🔒 Protective Stop (Thief SL):
❌ Around 24,000 (but note: this is just my map, you can manage risk as per your own plan).
💰 Target Area (Profit Zone):
🚧 25,500 = strong resistance barricade + overbought region + potential bull trap.
✅ My preferred exit: 25,400 (just before the “police barricade” 🚓).
⚠️ Note for Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending to only follow my SL/TP. This is an educational trade map, not a fixed financial call. Adapt, adjust, and take profits your way.
🔑 Key Catalysts & Correlation Map:
Tech Sector Strength: US100 often mirrors mega-cap tech momentum ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA ).
Risk-On/Off Mood: Watch TVC:VIX — if fear spikes, layers may fill quicker.
Dollar Impact: TVC:DXY weakness often fuels NASDAQ:NDX upside.
Bond Yields: Higher yields = pressure on tech. Keep TVC:US10Y in your radar.
📌 Other Related Charts to Watch:
SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! → Correlated US equity benchmark.
TVC:DXY → Inverse correlation (watch dollar moves).
TVC:VIX → Volatility indicator for risk sentiment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Risk sentiment cousin, moves with tech flows sometimes.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy Map — created for fun, educational purposes, and market observation only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ladies & gentlemen. 🕵️♂️💸
#NASDAQ100 #NDX #US100 #SPX #Stocks #Indices #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)-The Grand Super Cycle Journey🧠 The Grand Super Cycle Journey of NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Here's a comprehensive, narrative-style description of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) INDEX based on Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , Fibonacci Retracements/Extensions , Price Action , and Fundamentals across Super Cycle , Macro , and Micro Waves 🔍📈:
🌱 Super Cycle Wave 1: The Birth of Tech (1986–2000)
The journey begins with Wave 1 , ignited by the early tech boom — Microsoft, Intel, and the rise of Silicon Valley 🚀. This impulsive leg spans over a decade, culminating in the dot-com bubble peak in 2000.
🔹 Smart Money Insight: Early accumulation started in the '80s, followed by massive markup into the 1990s. Retail entered late, leading to the euphoric climax in 2000.
🔹 Price Action: Parabolic rallies, breakouts through historical resistance, ending in a massive overextension.
🔹 Fundamentals: Era of growth, innovation, low inflation, and initial internet adoption.
🌪️ Super Cycle Wave 2: The Great Correction (2000–2009)
The bursting of the dot-com bubble triggered a complex correction labeled as W-X-Y. This 9-year structure ends in the 2008–09 financial crisis low. The market retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level , a classic deep correction in a strong long-term bull market.
🔸 Smart Money: Distribution at the top → manipulation through global uncertainty (9/11, housing bubble) → reaccumulation near the 2009 lows 🧠📉.
🔸 Fundamentals: Enron scandal, 9/11, housing collapse, Lehman bankruptcy — a decade of fear and instability 🏚️.
🚀 Super Cycle Wave 3: The Exponential Phase (2009–2029)*
The most powerful leg — Wave 3 — is unfolding, targeting an eventual 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~85,000) . This wave is subdivided into 5 Macro Waves , each composed of 5 Micro Waves . Here's how the structure progresses:
⚙️ Macro Wave 1 (2009–2012)
Started at the GFC low, this wave marked the beginning of recovery, finishing with 5 orange micro waves .
🟠 Micro Waves: A clean 5-wave impulse showing the early stages of structural strength.
📊 Price Action: Break of structure (BoS) confirms bullish reversal.
🏦 Fundamentals: QE1/QE2, low interest rates, tech stabilization, birth of FAANG era 💻.
📈 Smart Money: Institutions started accumulating in late 2009–2010, reflected in tight consolidations and sharp rallies.
🔁 Macro Wave 2 (2012)
A brief and shallow correction within the bullish context — a classic bullish flag in terms of price action. Quickly ended with higher lows.
🧠 SMC: Short manipulation phase to shake weak hands.
📉 Price Action: Pullback respected prior structure — no trend break.
💥 Macro Wave 3 (2012–2021)
This was the largest and most explosive wave , extending over 9 years and forming 5 purple micro waves.
🟣 Micro Waves: Clean impulsive structure, confirming a classic Elliott wave fractal.
💡 Fundamentals:
Rise of cloud computing
Mobile-first economy
AI, semiconductors, and social media explosion
COVID-19 crash and rebound — the fastest recovery in history
🔹 Fibonacci: No deep retracements — sign of a healthy, powerful wave 3.
🧠 Smart Money: Deep accumulation during COVID crash → massive expansion post-March 2020 📈.
🧱 Macro Wave 4 (2021–2022)
A healthy correction that reset the structure — completed around the 2022 low. This wave maintained market structure integrity.
🔻 SMC: Liquidity sweep of previous lows + mitigation of demand zones.
📊 Price Action: Range-bound, bearish to neutral.
🌍 Macro Headwinds:
Interest rate hikes
Inflation fears
Global instability (Russia-Ukraine, energy crisis)
🧬 Macro Wave 5 (2022–2029) – Now Unfolding*
This is the final thrust of the Super Cycle Wave 3 , subdivided into 5 micro waves (current count in progress):
🔸 Micro Wave 1 ✅
Initial rally from 2022 lows, showing strong impulsive behavior.
🧠 Smart Money: Confirmed shift from reaccumulation to expansion.
🔸 Micro Wave 2 ✅
Pullback formed higher low — acted as final reaccumulation.
🔴 Micro Wave 3 – In Process (2025–2026)
This is expected to be the strongest wave within Macro Wave 5, projected to peak near 36,000 (2.618 extension of micro 1–2).
📈 Price Action: Aggressive higher highs and shallow pullbacks.
🧠 SMC: Expansion with little liquidity left below — institutions pushing price up.
💡 Fundamentals:
AI hypergrowth
US tech dominance
AI chips, quantum computing, tokenization
Renewed bullish risk appetite 🌐
🟠 Micro Wave 4 (Expected 2026–2027)
A corrective wave likely to retest the macro structure — forming a flag or triangle.
📉 Price Action: Sideways to downward chop, retracing 0.382–0.5 of wave 3.
🧠 SMC: Inducement setup before final rally.
🌍 Macro: Possible geopolitical or monetary tightening phase.
🔵 Micro Wave 5 (Expected Top in 2029)
The final leg of Macro Wave 5 and Super Cycle Wave 3. Expected to top near 85,000 , a 2.618% Fibonacci extension of Super Cycle Waves 1–2.
🎯 Final Parabolic Blow-Off
📊 Price Action: Euphoria, exponential rally, low-volume melt-up
📈 Smart Money: Final distribution phase — retail FOMO peaks
🧨 Fundamentals: Mania phase — “everything AI/metaverse/tokenized” narrative, record valuations, IPO booms.
🔮 Looking Beyond: Super Cycle Wave 4 (Post-2029)
Once the 85K target is met, a multi-year correction is expected — possibly deep and drawn out. Historically, Wave 4s retrace 0.236% to 0.382% and take years to unfold.
🧠 Expect:
Systemic debt pressure
Currency shifts
Economic reset themes
Potential Fed policy overcorrection
Liquidity crunch
🌧️ Super Cycle Wave 4 may retest previous demand zones around 30–36K.
📚 Final Thoughts
Our analysis represents an extraordinary blend of Elliott Wave fractals , institutional behavior (SMC) , and macro-fundamental alignment . We are in the late phase of a historical Super Cycle rally — but Wave 3 still has room to run 📈.
✅ Wave Count Aligned
✅ Fibonacci Extensions Respected
✅ SMC Structure Intact
✅ Macro-Fundamentals in Sync
📌 2025–2029 could be the final push before a generational correction. Smart investors must watch for distribution signs post-36K 📊.
"Trust the waves, not the noise." – FIBCOS 🌊
📘 Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management.
#FIBCOS #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #NASDAQ #XAUUSD #SuperCycle #MacroTrend #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #PriceAction #Commodities #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermOutlook
NAS100 Why I'm Watching for a Countertrend Short on US100The NASDAQ (US100) has pushed aggressively into fresh all-time highs, tapping into a key liquidity zone where buy-side liquidity sits above previous swing highs. 📈💧
Price has extended without any meaningful pullback, suggesting we may soon see exhaustion and a corrective move. As we approach the end of the week, institutional traders often rebalance or close positions, which can trigger short-term retracements. 🏦🔄
If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll be watching for a counter—
residing in a premium zone to—butter to the downside swings—for a potential countertrend—but—
🛑 Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
US100 STRONG BREKAOUT|LONG|
✅US100 Price has successfully broken through the key resistance and all-time-high level, confirming bullish intent. As long as the breakout holds above structure, we anticipate continuation toward the next premium zone and liquidity resting at higher highs. Time Frame 3H.
LONG🚀
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Lower CPI Data – But Don’t Be Fooled by “Good” Inflation Numbers
Summary:
Markets cheered on lower CPI data, but the optimism might be misplaced. A softer inflation print gives the FED more flexibility, yet it also reduces the urgency for two rate cuts this year — something traders had already priced in.
Logic:
CPI came in weaker → short-term bullish sentiment.
But the real driver of rates is not CPI alone — it’s the balance between inflation and growth.
With inflation easing and economic activity still stable, the FED doesn’t need to cut twice in 2025.
Futures market (CME FedWatch) was pricing two cuts, which means that optimism is already priced into NASDAQ valuations.
Scenario Outlook:
If CPI remains stable and growth holds → only one cut or delay, not two.
That means tech valuations might need to reprice lower, especially high beta names.
NASDAQ could revisit support around 17,000–17,200 before finding balance again.
Trading View:
Watch for rejection near 18,000–18,200 (overextension after CPI rally).
Short-term bias: bearish / correction mode.
Long-term bias: still bullish, but needs valuation reset.
US100: Nasdaq Faces Selling Pressure Below 25,200US100: Nasdaq Faces Selling Pressure Below 25,200
US100 faced strong resistance around the 25,190–25,200 zone, where price was rejected again after a sharp bullish move. This area continues to act as a major supply zone, limiting further upside potential for now.
If the bearish momentum continues, the index could correct lower toward the 24,840 level as the first target. A deeper pullback could extend to 24,610, and eventually toward the 24,350 support zone.
A clean break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook and open the way for new highs.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
USTECUSTEC price is in the resistance zone 25237-25264. If the price cannot break through the 25264 level, it is expected that the price will likely go down in the short term. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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USTEC rebounds on trade optimism. Potential for further gains?USTEC rose as confirmation of the Trump–Xi meeting lifted sentiment and offset mixed corporate earnings. Tesla (TSLA) rebounded despite uneven results, while IBM (IBM) slipped on softer software revenue. However, the company's broader performance remained resilient, with strong demand in AI and automation services driving solid growth in its infrastructure and hybrid cloud segments. Investors remain cautious ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, with sentiment hinging on upcoming policy signals and trade developments.
From a technical perspective, USTEC rebounded from the ascending channel's lower bound and support at 24000. A break above the 25200 resistance may prompt further upside toward the channel's upper bound and 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at 26000. Conversely, a bearish breakout of the channel and a close below 24000 may prompt a further decline toward the following support at 23000.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
NDQ100 (15M) Bullish Analysis. (SMC)🧩 Market Context
After a strong bearish move marked by a 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), the market started to show institutional accumulation.
A Change of Character (ChoCh) and a Break of Structure (BOS) confirm a shift to bullish momentum.
The identified Order Block (OB) acts as a key mitigation point supported by a well-defined support zone.
💥 Entry Idea
• Buy: 25,124
• Stop-Loss: 24,979
• Take-Profit: 25,530
• Risk/Reward: 1 : 2.6
After a Fake Out (bearish liquidity trap), price shows strong bullish reaction, indicating institutional intention to mitigate the OB and reach the Buy-Side Liquidity above.
📊 Technical Confirmations
• The SMA starts to act as a dynamic support.
• Rejection from the OB validates structure change.
• The target (25,530) aligns with a distribution zone and liquidity pool, perfect for partial or full take-profit exits.
🧭 Conclusion
Clean structure, strong institutional logic, and confluences in harmony.
This setup illustrates the accumulation → mitigation → distribution sequence, where the market sweeps liquidity before expanding upward.
A perfect example of professional market reading. 🚀
GOOD LUCK TRADERS 🦾🤓✌🏻
NASDAQ 100-15m Bullish Setup/RiskyChartStructure Breakdown:
Liquidity Sweep: The equal lows taken out near 25,050 indicate engineered liquidity collection.
Displacement: Bullish impulse broke short-term structure, confirming buyers stepping in.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The shaded blue zone marks the imbalance target where price may rebalance before deciding next direction.
Target Zone: 25,420–25,450 (FVG midpoint / supply area)
Invalidation: A clean 15m close below 25,050 would invalidate bullish bias.
Setup Type: Liquidity Sweep + Displacement + FVG Target
Entry Idea: Buy within the discount range (gray zone) after bullish confirmation
Take Profit: 25,420
Stop Loss: Below 25,050
Risk–Reward: ≈ 1:3 potential
NAS100 H4 | Bearish Reaction off FVGNAS100 is now rising towards our sell entry at 25,883, which aligns with the H4 Fair Value Gap and 71% Fibonacci retracement. We shall see how price reacts to this area after it breaks through the previous 2 swing high resistance levels.
The stop loss is at 26,167, which is a swing high resistance level, while the take profit is at 25,313, which is a swing low support level.
Once price reacts bearishly, do take note of the above swing low support level at 25,581 as well.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
5 NOV 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPBREAD & BUTTER SETUP
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NQ is in a reversal mood, non-reversal traders, go cautiously!
NQ is in a reversal mood and a support area. non reversal traders, it is better to wait until thursday shows a clear direction of the market to uptrend or break low retest and then down trend. Such bumpy locations are when we stay put and wait until when this brief storm is over.
NAS100 LongMarket Structure
Clear bearish displacement from the previous highs (~25 850–25 900).
Market made a strong lower low, then broke short-term structure (10 m BOS) to the upside.
That BOS signals a potential short-term reversal or at least a retracement toward a supply zone.
🔹 Key Zones
Demand zone (orange)
Origin of the BOS; clean mitigation of previous imbalance.
This area around 25 330–25 380 is holding as short-term demand.
Supply zone (gray box at top right)
Target zone between 25 550–25 580.
This is the most recent bearish order block before the impulse down, so it’s your liquidity target for longs and potential reversal point for shorts.
Liquidity zones
Equal highs around 25 480 → buy-side liquidity resting above.
Equal lows near 25 340 → sell-side liquidity, which price already swept during the last mitigation.
4 NOV 2025: HTF US100 MARKET RECAPDISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.






















