Community discussions
Just posted this in ideas also. From Thursday's closed around 25 000, looks to me, like the downtrend channel may be maintained, with todays breakout failing. The 4 hourly rose up and was rejected at the 150 sma (pink arrow). So thinking it now will retest the 23850 lows.
I think it will do this in a 2 leg more or less equal measured move down. At an estimate first to ~24350, then less of a rally than the last couple we have had, and more of a slow retrace back to ~24500 - more flag like, then down 23850 ish. Though it could potentially do that in one move on friday. Possible, but a bit of a stretch for one day though, unless some rather dire news happens to coincide tomorrow. The visible range volume profile certainly seems to adequately accommodate a move to 24350, with little problem, while less so to ~24000k in my interpretation, yet, i still feel the price will need to go there as a significant low.
Of interest, it is also setting up to look similar to a period of last months chart - see set of three thin black arrows. If it stays similar this pattern, then that would suggest a one leg down move, like we had then. But that is a less probable scenario i think, barring any particularity bad news event. So this similarity is mentioned more as a point of interest, as it doesnt have a technical basis of which i am aware.
This could all be a load of nonsense of course, and it breaks out back up!

tradingview.com/x/AkdT0KzM/

