Trade ideas
US100 A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for US100 below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 24.863
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 24.615
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NAS100 1H: Bulls vs Bears at the Line📊 NAS100 – 1 Hour Analysis
Hello friends,
Here’s my NAS100 analysis for you.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, I want to highlight a critical level.
👉 If NAS100 breaks above 25,038 and closes a candle there, the next move could point higher.
👉 If NAS100 fails to break 25,038, then a pullback toward 24,267 may come into play.
🙏 Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to everyone supporting me!
NASDAQ 100 – Technical Breakdown Meets Fundamental RealityAfter months of relentless buying, the tech sector’s engine is finally sputtering.
The recent sharp drop from the highs wasn’t random — it reflects growing macro tension and liquidity tightening that’s starting to bite risk assets.
🧩 The Fundamental Story
Yields & Liquidity:
Long-term Treasury yields remain stubbornly elevated despite the Fed’s cautious tone. This indicates the market is pricing in structural inflation rather than trusting the “soft landing” narrative. Higher yields mean tighter financial conditions — bad news for richly valued growth stocks.
Earnings Fatigue:
Recent earnings season showed early cracks: slowing cloud growth, cautious forward guidance, and shrinking profit margins. Even AI-related optimism can’t offset the broader deceleration.
China & Trade Risks:
Renewed U.S.–China trade friction and export restrictions on high-end chips are dampening sentiment in the semiconductor and tech hardware sectors — key NASDAQ components.
Fed Policy Uncertainty:
With inflation sticky above 3% and unemployment starting to rise, the Fed is cornered. A rate cut could come late — but only after more market pain.
📊 Technical Outlook (4H Chart)
The chart structure shows a clear break of the bullish sequence.
Support lost at 24,580 triggered heavy volume selling.
Current price is consolidating near 24,000 — the make-or-break zone.
Below 23,650, momentum sellers could accelerate the drop toward 23,000–23,050 (next key demand).
Any short-term bounce into 24,460–24,580 may act as a retest before another leg lower.
🎯 Trading Plan
Bias: Bearish below 24,460
Possible retest zone: 24,260–24,580
Main target: 23,050
Invalidation: Close above 24,880 with renewed bullish momentum
⚠️ Why It Matters
This isn’t just a pullback — it’s a repricing of risk driven by real-world fundamentals:
tightening liquidity, weak earnings, and policy uncertainty.
If the macro backdrop doesn’t shift fast, the NASDAQ could unwind a significant portion of its 2025 gains before year-end.
💬 Discussion
Do you think the Fed will pivot soon enough to save tech stocks from a deeper correction?
Or are we entering a new phase of the cycle where fundamentals finally catch up with price?
👇 Share your thoughts below and follow for more macro + technical insights every week.
Bearish ContinuationPrice has broken previous lows and currently correcting. On the 4hr tf, it is clear consolidation, however, looking for price to correct a little further to the upside then possibility of a bigger drop.
Patience is key.
NASDAQ Did the 1D MA50 just save the day??Nasdaq (NDX) suffered a historically strong daily sell-off on Friday following President Trump's tariff threats and touched (and closed on) its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Last time it hit that trend-line was on September 02 and that was a technical Higher Low on the 5-month Channel Up. Friday's Low was also very close to the bottom of this pattern. At the same time the 1D RSI hit and rebounded on its Lower Lows Support trend-line.
With the market rebounding and opening considerably higher today, it is more likely technically that we have started the pattern's new Bullish Leg. With the last two such sequences rising by at least +11.00%, we expect a new similar uptrend, which as long as the 1D MA50 holds, could hit at least 26000 within a 40 day horizon.
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two scenarios for NQ on October I currently have two scenarios for NASDAQ, and both are bearish.
Scenario 1: The downtrend has already started. If we see a pullback around the 0.5 Fibonacci level, I’ll look to short again and keep stacking sell positions
Scenario 2: NASDAQ might retest the previous high — the one where the sharp drop started — move sideways for a while, and then start another leg down.
P.S. Success depends on proper risk management.
#NASDAQ #NASDAQ100
USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Pressure Below 24,855USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Momentum Below 24,855
The index shows bearish momentum today as long as price trades below 24,855, after testing the resistance zone twice.
Failure to break higher keeps the pressure on the downside, with potential to drop toward 24,510 in the near term.
A 1H close above 24,855 would invalidate the bearish setup and trigger a strong bullish continuation toward the all-time-high (ATH) region near 25,035 → 25,200.
Pivot: 24,855
Support: 24,660 – 24,520 – 24,350
Resistance: 25,035 – 25,200 – 25,400
NAS100 Forecast: A Fresh Bullish Impulse Toward New HighsThe NAS100 index is currently moving within a classic Elliott Wave structure. After completing wave (3), the market entered a correction phase that formed wave (4). This correction appears to have ended in the highlighted support zone, where buyers stepped in strongly. The five-wave pattern before wave (4) confirms a solid bullish trend. Now, the index seems to be preparing for the final upward move wave (5). This wave often represents the last push of a rally before a larger correction starts. As long as the price stays above the recent support near 24,400 , the next targets could be seen around 25,200–25,600 . In simple terms, the market is expected to continue its uptrend after a short pullback, following the typical Elliott Wave sequence of five upward waves and three corrective ones.
NASDAQ Bullish Continuation PatternsNAS100 is still pushing to the upside.
Currently on the H1 TF I am spotting a bullish flag. Confirmation to enter is on a breakout and a retest. Now, the thing about indices is that they love a nice false breakout, so expect the unexpected. Hence, the arrow points to the downside after the breakout and possibly retesting a support zone before we get a final bullish momentum.
Patience will pay you in this market.
The trend is still your friend.
I’m getting ready for potential short position |October 16 2025If today the price goes up and hunts the high from 10 AM yesterday (New York time) — meaning it grabs the liquidity and takes out the stops above that level — and then forms a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) followed by signs of weakness or a rejection structure (like a lower-timeframe break, divergence, or bearish confirmation candle), that scenario would be one of the best short setups of the day.
NASDAQ Faces Downside Risk Amid Tariff and Shutdown UncertaintyUSNAS100 – Technical Outlook Aligned with Fundamentals
The Nasdaq 100 fell sharply on Friday, losing nearly 1,200 points within six hours as it retreated from its all-time high.
The drop came amid renewed U.S.–China tariff tensions and growing uncertainty from the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which has delayed key economic data releases and weighed on sentiment ahead of third-quarter earnings season.
Technically, the index is showing clear bearish pressure, and sellers will likely maintain control while the price remains below 23,930.
A short-term corrective rebound toward 24,160 – 24,350 is possible before renewed downside momentum.
If the price closes a 1H or 4H candle below 23,930, it would confirm a continuation of the bearish trend, opening the way toward 23,700 → 23,500 → 23,350.
Conversely, as long as the index trades above 23,930, limited corrections may occur, but overall bias remains weak under current macro headwinds.
Pivot Line: 23,930
Support Levels: 23,700 / 23,500 / 23,350
Resistance Levels: 24,160 / 24,340 / 24,480
Summary:
Fundamental headwinds — from tariff threats to the shutdown’s data vacuum — are fueling pressure on tech stocks.
Technically, bias stays bearish below 23,930, with a potential correction toward 24,350 before continuation to the downside.
NQ,1H,wait for hunt yesterday high |October 14 2025I’ve decided that during this downtrend, if the market doesn’t go sideways and the bearish trend actually takes shape — because believe it or not, I’m not a fortune teller — I’ll share every single trade with you, whether it ends in profit or loss.
so my short vision is up but in higher timeframe is down
I'll wait for a short position
In about a month, I’ll also start accepting around 20 members to collaborate with me.
So if you don’t want to lose track of my page, make sure to follow.
USNAS100 Extends Losses After Resistance RejectionUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Momentum Below 24,510
The index maintains a bearish momentum after dropping from its recent resistance zone.
As long as price trades below 24,510, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 24,350 → 24,150.
A confirmed 1H close below 24,150 would extend losses toward the 24,000 area.
On the other hand, a 1H close above 24,550 would shift the structure bullish, opening the path toward 24,770 → 24,850.
Pivot: 24,510
Support: 24,350 – 24,150 – 24,000
Resistance: 24,700 – 24,850 – 25,000
Selling to Gap NAS100The picture says it all. I do not want to talk much. It is what it is. Risky trade as markey is bullish so risking small amount. Let us see.
US100 Bearish Bias!
HI,Traders !
#US100 keeps growing
But a horizontal resistance
Level of 25039.3 is nearby
So after the retest of the
Level we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
On Monday !
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NAS100 4HThe price is currently in a pullback zone near the trendline and a key resistance area; therefore, the possibility of a correction or another decline cannot be ruled out.
NAS100 4h Bearish move confirmed across multiple timeframes
Based on the breakout observed on the 4-hour timeframe and its confirmation on the 30-minute chart — which itself was validated by the M5 structure break within the highlighted golden zone — we expect the price to continue its decline toward the first daily support level.
This setup provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, as illustrated on the chart.
As always — stay patient, follow your plan, and trust your analysis.
US100 Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#US100 made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 24795.7
Which is now a resistance
And the breakout is confirmed
So after the potential pullback
And retest we will be expecting
A further bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
US100 BUY IDEA.NASDAQ100 is at a potential level for a buy opportunity. Yeah! We can see how price plummeted on Friday aggressively and closed at 24016 price level. Therefore, a buy opportunity is envisaged from the current price.
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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