USTECH100MINICFD trade ideas
Nasdaq 100 – Key Entry Line at 23,413On this chart, my main focus is the entry line at 23,413.
I expect the price to make a move down toward this level.
The chart is kept simple — no unnecessary indicators — because the most important element here is the VWAP line, which also aligns with the manipulation zone where bigger players often create false moves.
If the market falls into the 23,413 zone, I’ll be watching closely for reactions and possible reversal setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer & Personal View:
This is not a signal service and I am not selling anything.
In my opinion, many signal providers fool their customers by showing only winning trades, promising unrealistic win rates, and hiding real risks.
Trading is never guaranteed — every trader must make their own decisions and manage risk properly.
My chart here is only my personal analysis and opinion, shared for educational purposes.
👉 Do you also want me to add targets (like 23,600 or 23,930) and possible stop-loss placement to make it look more complete for TradingView readers?
You said:
yes
ChatGPT said:
Perfect 👍 Here’s the expanded TradingView idea with entry, targets, and stop placement included:
📉 Nasdaq 100 – Key Entry Line at 23,413
On this chart, my main focus is the entry line at 23,413.
I expect the market to fall into this level, which I see as both the VWAP line and a potential manipulation zone used by bigger players.
Plan:
📍 Entry zone: around 23,413
🎯 Target 1: 23,600 (first reaction level)
🎯 Target 2: 23,930 (upper resistance and recent highs)
🛑 Stop-loss: below 23,300 (invalidation of setup)
The chart is intentionally kept simple, without unnecessary indicators, to highlight the importance of this single level.
⚠️ Disclaimer & Personal View:
This is not a signal service and I am not selling anything.
In my opinion, many signal providers fool their customers by showing only winning trades, promising unrealistic win rates, or using tricks like martingale strategies that can blow accounts.
Trading always involves risk. What I share here is only my personal analysis and opinion, not financial advice.
NAS100 (15M) – Breakout & Continuation SetupThe NAS100 is showing strong bullish momentum on the 15-minute timeframe with Heikin Ashi candles confirming trend strength.
🔹 Structure:
After multiple consolidations and corrections, price formed higher lows (blue lines) and broke out of recent resistance (red zone).
A clean bullish structure with impulsive legs is visible (green trend lines).
🔹 Indicators:
The Alligator lines are opening upward, signaling trend continuation.
RSI is holding above 70, confirming bullish strength (but caution for potential pullback).
🔹 Setup:
Entry near 23,693 – 23,699.
Stop loss below 23,617.
Target around 23,841, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
📈 Bias: Bullish continuation towards 23,800+ as long as support holds.
📉 A break below 23,617 would invalidate the setup.
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)The index is currently trading near the resistance level of 23,550.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
• A breakout and consolidation above 23,550 may support further upside toward 23,650 as the initial target, with a possible extension to 23,800 if momentum continues.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
• If the price fails to break and hold above 23,550, it is likely to head towards 23,375, which is considered a potential rebound zone.
US100 / NASDAQ Technical AnalysisThe Nasdaq index is currently trading near 23,400, heading for a price correction after its recent rally.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price remains consistently below the 23,400 area, it will likely test the 23,200 level, which is a potential bounce zone.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
Should a rebound signal appear and the price successfully breaks and holds above 23,560, this could support a continued rally toward 23,800.
NAS100 Buy Side Trade IdeaI have entered a buy position on NAS100 after a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline resistance. The price is holding above the Alligator moving averages, showing early bullish momentum. RSI is trading above the 60 level, indicating strengthening buying pressure. My entry is aligned with the breakout structure, with stop-loss placed below the recent support level and target positioned at the next resistance zone. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, anticipating a continuation of upward momentum.
NAS100 - Bearish Setup!Markets gaps to fill, starting off in the higher time frame price plumeted from the supply zone. From there we had a strong support thats been formed.
We are AIMING for that support zone. Change Of Character HAS been created already giving me confirmation to look for selling opportunities in this market range.
Reacting of the smaller supply zone I will be anticipating a 71% retracement back into the supply to fill imbalance before shorting into that support that we suggested would be our target.
Good luck to anyone that follows
NAS100 - Stock Market, in the Work Week!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its short-term descending channel. If this channel is maintained and the specified range is reached, a close sale can be made with a suitable reward.
Economists anticipate that customs tariffs will push consumer prices higher while slowing economic growth in the coming months. Inflation is expected to accelerate, though not to the extreme levels of the 1970s when the term “stagflation” was coined to describe the combination of high inflation and economic stagnation. Unlike a recession—where the economy contracts and prices fall—stagflation features rising prices despite economic weakness. The U.S. economy could be heading toward a 1970s-style stagflationary environment, though analysts believe this time it will be far less severe.
Many experts argue that the U.S. is on the verge of a period of sluggish growth paired with accelerating inflation. The root cause lies in President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which simultaneously raise consumer costs and weigh on the labor market. However, economists expect this inflationary wave to be much milder than the double-digit annual increases that strained household budgets in the 1970s.
On the corporate front, Nvidia released its second-quarter earnings last week. Revenue reached $46.7 billion, exceeding analysts’ expectations of $46.23 billion. The company’s data center unit—the main growth driver—generated $41.1 billion, slightly below the $41.29 billion forecast. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.05, while the adjusted gross margin stood at 72.7%.
Looking ahead, Nvidia projected third-quarter revenue of around $54 billion, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2%. Its board also approved an additional $60 billion share repurchase program. Regarding China, the company reported zero sales of H20 chips to Chinese clients during Q2 and stated that no shipments are planned for that market in the near future.
In the earnings call, CEO Jensen Huang emphasized that the Chinese market could present a $50 billion opportunity for Nvidia this year. He estimated annual growth in China at nearly 50%, noting that the country is the world’s second-largest computing market and home to half of global AI researchers. Huang stressed that maintaining a presence in China is vital for the company’s long-term future, even amid ongoing political and trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.
On the monetary policy side, UBS warned that weakening the independence of the Federal Reserve—especially following Trump’s threat to remove Fed board member Lisa Cook—could have significant economic consequences. In its analysis of Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, UBS described it as “classic Powell”: hinting at the possibility of a September rate cut to offset tariff effects but lacking a broader long-term framework for the evolving economy.
UBS emphasized that failure to strongly defend Fed independence could heighten political risks and destabilize markets.The bank warned that if the central bank comes under political influence, potential outcomes include the reemergence of inflationary instability, a one-percentage-point increase in real borrowing costs, and negative effects on fiscal policy, corporate investment, housing affordability, household savings, and speculative activity.
This week begins with one fewer trading day due to the Labor Day holiday, yet the economic calendar remains packed, with the labor market at the center of attention. On Tuesday, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August will be released, followed by the JOLTS job openings report on Wednesday.
Thursday will be particularly important, bringing the August ADP private payrolls report, weekly jobless claims, and the ISM Services Index—all at once. These data points are especially significant given the recent large revisions to the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which have renewed focus on the degree of convergence or divergence between ADP and NFP figures.
Historically, ADP and NFP reports have often diverged, leaving traders mispositioned when relying too heavily on ADP data. A recent example occurred in July, when ADP reported a decline of 33,000 jobs, while NFP the following day showed a gain of 147,000—well above expectations of 110,000. However, after NFP revisions, the actual trend proved more consistent with ADP’s numbers.
The most important event of the week will take place on Friday: the release of the August U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. Investors will be monitoring it closely, as any signs of labor market weakness could reinforce expectations for a Fed rate cut in mid-September.
Despite growing stagflation risks and heightened market volatility, Bank of America (BofA) suggested that autumn could be an attractive entry point for bullish investors. The bank cautioned that while volatility may exert short-term downward pressure, potential pullbacks could serve as buying opportunities.
The VIX volatility index fell to its lowest level of the year following Powell’s dovish remarks at Jackson Hole. Still, concerns about stretched stock valuations, a potential AI-driven bubble, and political risks tied to Fed independence suggest that this calm may not last.
A case for a correction of the US100While the long-term trend remains bullish, several short-term factors suggest the index is poised for a significant pullback.
Why the US100 Could Be Bearish
Several key factors point to a potential downturn for the US100 in the coming days:
Elevated Valuations and Overbought Conditions: The US100 has experienced a rapid and significant rally in recent months, fueled largely by the enthusiasm for AI and the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks. This has pushed the index to all-time highs, but it has also led to stretched valuations. Many technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), show that the index is overbought, indicating that momentum may be running out and a correction is due. 📉
Doubt on a Fed Rate Cut: While recent inflation data showed a slight cooling, some analysts are pushing back against the idea of a certain September rate cut. The core inflation number remains above the Fed's 2% target, and some Fed officials may express a more cautious or "hawkish" stance at this week's Jackson Hole Symposium. A hawkish surprise from the Fed would likely lead to a sharp sell-off in growth stocks, which are sensitive to interest rates.
Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainty: The ongoing trade tensions, particularly with China, continue to create a cloud of uncertainty. While a temporary truce has been announced, any renewed rhetoric or action could trigger a flight to safety, with investors pulling money out of riskier assets like technology stocks.
Slowing Economic Growth: The U.S. economy's underlying health remains a concern. GDP growth in the first half of the year was modest, and the labor market has shown signs of weakening. This economic softness, combined with the potential for tariffs to increase inflation in the second half of the year, could lead to a less optimistic outlook for corporate earnings, especially for multinational tech companies.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
A breakdown of key support and resistance levels can help define the potential bearish path.
Primary Resistance Zone: The immediate overhead resistance is the all-time high zone, which sits between 23,875 and 24,000. A failure to break above this area would confirm a bearish bias.
Immediate Support: The first critical support level is around 23,690. A sustained break below this would likely trigger further selling.
Correction Targets: A deeper correction could see the index fall toward the 23,500 zone, which represents a key technical support level. If that level breaks, the next target for bears would be the 22,800 mark.
In summary, while the long-term trend remains positive, the confluence of high valuations, potential hawkish Fed commentary, and a weakening economic outlook creates a significant risk for a bearish correction in the US100 over the next two weeks.
NSDQ100 awaits Fed Powwell's tone at Jackson Hole Key Drivers
Powell @ Jackson Hole (10am EST):
July FOMC was hawkish on labour, but payroll revisions weaker since → tone today could soften.
Market focus: whether Powell leans on labour weakness vs still-solid inflation & activity.
Outcome = pivotal for Fed cut expectations and tech valuations.
Macro/Policy Noise:
Halts & policy risks: immigration and visa restrictions could tighten labour supply, indirectly feeding wage/inflation concerns. NIH funding cuts add fiscal uncertainty.
Geopolitical chip tension: Nvidia halting H20 AI chip production under Beijing pressure raises supply-chain risk. Negative for semi names in the NASDAQ-100 (NVDA, AMD, AVGO).
US stance on chipmakers: No forced equity stakes → removes one overhang, but policy risk still high.
NASDAQ-100 Implications
Powell dovish → likely risk-on, tech rally (rate-sensitive growth).
Powell hawkish / inflation-first → risk-off, higher yields weigh on big tech multiples.
Chip news: Nvidia headline is a near-term drag; could spill over to the semiconductor complex (SOX index).
Net read:
Short-term cautious bias into Powell due to Nvidia headline + policy noise.
Direction after 10am EST depends on Fed tone—dovish shift = upside reversal, hawkish = further pressure on NASDAQ-100.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23480
Resistance Level 2: 23720
Resistance Level 3: 23950
Support Level 1: 23100
Support Level 2: 22985
Support Level 3: 22740
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Profit-taking hits NASDAQ100: Uptrend still intact? The NASDAQ100 extended its losing streak as investors keep taking profits in tech stocks
Advanced Micro Devices and Broadcom each lost around 1%. Intel slid over 7%. Apple , Amazon , Alphabet , and Tesla also posted losses. Market volume typically falls in late August, which can lead to wilder swings.
The index has now broken below 23,600 and is trading near 23,300, marking its steepest pullback since late June. The short-term trend that began in mid-July is still possibly intact, with higher highs and higher lows. However, volume on down days suggests sellers are active, which may reinforce near-term downside pressure.
When Could Nasdaq's Bearish Momentum Shift ?U.S. stock indices are showing slight declines as investors digest mixed corporate earnings and await key signals from the Federal Reserve, as well as a report from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, which warned against the hype surrounding artificial intelligence, noting that this technology needs more time to clarify the extent of its reliance. Weak retail results, including a sharp drop in Target’s sales, weighed on market sentiment, while traders remain cautious ahead of the release of the Fed’s July meeting minutes and the upcoming remarks from Chair Jerome Powell on Friday, August 22, at the Jackson Hole conference, searching for clues about the future path of interest rates.
The Nasdaq Composite, dominated by the technology sector, closed Tuesday down 1.4%, marking its largest one-day drop since August 1, while maintaining its downward momentum on Wednesday, August 20.
What can be monitored from a technical perspective to anticipate a potential correction in this index?
Traders should watch the exponential moving average (5), which indicates market momentum (positive when the fast moving average (5) is below the price, and negative when it is above the price). This indicator provides short-term signals of momentum shifts in the markets. As seen in the chart above, if the price rises above the exponential moving average (5) and closes a candle above it on the four-hour timeframe, one should then watch the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to move above 50. In this case, we could see a temporary shift in Nasdaq’s downward momentum toward a short-term upward momentum.
NAS100 - Where will the stock market ?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and has re-entered its ascending channel. If this channel is maintained, its upward path to the specified price target will be possible, but before that, the downward trend line must be broken in a valid way. If the channel is lost, the index's downward path will continue to around 23,000 points.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest remarks, delivered in a dovish tone, boosted bullish sentiment in financial markets and sparked a new wave of optimism among Wall Street investors and market participants. Following Powell’s speech, U.S. stock benchmarks surged sharply, with capital flows notably directed into the Russell 2000 index of small-cap companies, which jumped 3.86%—its strongest gain since April 9.
During his keynote at the Federal Reserve’s annual symposium, Powell implicitly suggested that an interest rate cut could come as soon as next month. At the same time, he warned of rising inflation risks and signs of slower economic growth, stressing that although risks are relatively balanced, the current environment may require an adjustment in monetary policy. He stated: “Given that monetary policy remains in a restrictive stance, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant a reassessment of our policy stance.”
Naeem Aslam, chief investment strategist at Zaye Capital Markets, described Powell’s comments as a turning point for markets, saying: “Powell’s dovish tone came as a real surprise to many market participants who did not expect such an approach from the Fed Chair. His remarks were clearly interpreted as a dovish signal.”
Following Powell’s comments, traders raised their expectations for a September rate cut. Barclays revised its forecast and now expects the Federal Reserve to deliver two 25-basis-point cuts this year—in September and December.
Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings affirmed the U.S. sovereign credit rating at AA+ with a stable outlook, a decision made despite significant political uncertainty. According to Fitch, rising trade tariffs, government spending cuts, stricter border controls, and increased deportations have heightened policy uncertainty, weighing on household consumption and business investment.
Fitch projects that the U.S. economy will remain in recession in 2026, growing only 1.5%, as elevated inflation and policy uncertainty continue to dampen consumer spending. However, the agency expects that faster rate cuts that year could boost domestic demand, helping growth rebound to 2.1% in 2027.
This week, two key reports are in focus: the second estimate of Q2 GDP and July’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. The initial GDP estimate showed a 3% expansion, and consensus forecasts anticipate confirmation of this figure. In contrast, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model projects a 2.3% growth rate, which, while lower, still points to economic resilience and suggests no urgent need for accelerated rate cuts—even as political pressure from the White House on Powell continues. Notably, GDPNow will be revised on Tuesday ahead of the official release.
Inflation data, however, carry greater weight. The core PCE index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, has closely tracked core CPI for the past decade. With July’s core CPI climbing from 2.9% to 3.1%, there is a risk that PCE will follow the same path. Such a scenario would signal persistent inflationary pressures and significantly reduce the likelihood of a second rate cut this year.
If these data confirm stronger inflation, the U.S. dollar will likely strengthen further, while equities could come under additional pressure. A slower pace of monetary easing diminishes the present value of future cash flows for growth-oriented companies, explaining why Wall Street’s corrective phase may persist.
On the corporate front, Nvidia’s CEO said that the ability to ship its H20 chip to China is highly valuable and poses no national security concerns. He added that the decision to supply a next-generation AI data center chip to China, which will succeed the H20, is not within Nvidia’s direct control. The company is set to report earnings on Wednesday and remains in discussions with the U.S. government, though no resolution has yet been reached. The CEO also mentioned that his brief visit to Taiwan would mainly involve a dinner with TSMC executives. He revealed TSMC’s new “Rubin” architecture, comprising six new chips, and announced that Nvidia will hold its GTC conference in Washington, D.C. for the first time.
Separately, Meta has halted AI hiring after onboarding more than 50 specialists with lucrative compensation packages. The freeze affects both new hires and internal transfers, unless personally approved by Alexander Wang, head of AI. In recent months, Meta has reorganized its AI division into four separate teams to advance its “superintelligence” projects. Analysts have warned about rising costs and equity grants, framing the hiring pause as part of broader budget control and organizational restructuring efforts.
NAS100: BUY OPPORTUNITY AT H4 ORDERBLOCKHello traders Here's my point of view about PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
TECHNICALLY:
Price this week was very bullish until today FRIDAY. AS you can see price reached the psychological area of 23.000. Currently, price action seems to reject and print pin bars at the H4 ORDERBLOCK. This is a make-or-break area.
As long as we stay ABOVE 23 000 we can consider to look for BUY entries but only if fundamentals, confluences & confirmations. Otherwise, the area will be completely invalidated
I personally took a quick buy at the 23 080 AREA.
FUNDAMENTALLY:
All eyes on TRUMP speech today as well as Jackson Hole Symposium
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck! MAKE SURE TO STAY STRICT WITH YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day.
NAS100 Comprehensive Technical Analysis & Daily Trading Strategy# NAS100 Comprehensive Technical Analysis & Daily Trading Strategy
**Current Position**: 23,514.5 (Aug 23, 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
* 🎯 Executive Summary
Multi-theory convergence analysis indicates NAS100 at critical inflection point with 65% probability of upward continuation to 24,000-24,600 zone, contingent on breaking 23,640 resistance.
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# 📊 MULTI-TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
**INTRADAY ANALYSIS (5M - 4H)**
**5-Minute Timeframe Analysis**
** Candlestick Patterns
*Current Formation**: Potential inside bar consolidation
*Key Patterns to Watch**: Hammer/Doji near 23,500 (bullish), Shooting star above 23,580 (bearish)
*Volume Confirmation**: Required for breakout validation
** Technical Indicators
*RSI(14)**: ~48-52 (Neutral zone, watch for divergence)
*VWAP**: 23,508 ± 15 (Dynamic S/R level)
*Bollinger Bands**: Squeeze pattern suggesting breakout imminent
*EMA(20)**: 23,495 (immediate support/resistance)
**15-Minute Timeframe Analysis**
** Harmonic Patterns
*Active Pattern**: Potential ABCD completion at 23,350-23,380
*Butterfly Pattern**: Target projection 24,580-24,650
*Fibonacci Confluence**: 61.8% retracement at 23,420
** Wyckoff Analysis
*Phase**: Testing phase after potential accumulation
*Volume**: Decreasing on declines (bullish sign)
*Price Action**: Higher lows formation developing
*Next Expected**: Markup phase if 23,450 holds
**30-Minute Timeframe Analysis**
** Elliott Wave Count
*Primary Count**: Wave (4) correction nearing completion
- Wave A: 23,690 → 23,350
- Wave B: 23,350 → 23,580 (current)
- Wave C Target: 23,200-23,300
*Alternate Count**: Wave (5) impulse beginning
- Target: 24,200-24,600
** W.D. Gann Analysis
*Square of 9**: 23,490 and 23,625 critical levels
*Time Theory**: Next major turn window Aug 26-28
*Angle Theory**: 1x1 Gann line at 23,200 (major support)
**1-Hour Timeframe Analysis**
** Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
*Tenkan-sen (9)**: 23,520 (resistance)
*Kijun-sen (26)**: 23,465 (support)
*Kumo Cloud**: 23,420-23,480 (support zone)
*Chikou Span**: Above price action (bullish)
*Future Cloud**: Bullish twist expected in 26 periods
** Moving Averages Confluence
*SMA(50)**: 23,380
*EMA(50)**: 23,425
*WMA(50)**: 23,448
*Golden Cross Formation**: EMA crossing above SMA (bullish)
*# **4-Hour Timeframe Analysis**
** Advanced Pattern Recognition
*Head & Shoulders**: Potential inverse H&S with neckline at 23,580
*Flag Pattern**: Bullish flag consolidation after impulse move
*Support/Resistance**:
- Major Support: 23,200-23,300
- Minor Support: 23,420-23,465
- Minor Resistance: 23,580-23,625
- Major Resistance: 23,690-23,750
---
# 📈 SWING ANALYSIS (4H - Monthly)
**Daily Timeframe**
*# Elliott Wave Analysis
*Supercycle**: Wave (III) of Grand Supercycle in progress
*Cycle**: Wave 3 of (III) potential completion
*Primary**: Wave (4) correction expected
- Target: 22,800-23,200 (38.2%-50% Fibonacci)
- Duration: 3-8 weeks
- Pattern: Likely flat or triangle
*# Wyckoff Market Structure
*Phase**: Distribution testing vs. Reaccumulation
*Volume Profile**: High volume nodes at 23,300 and 22,800
*Composite Man Activity**: Accumulation signs if above 23,200
*Spring/Upthrust**: Watch for false breakdowns below 23,200
*# Gann Time & Price Forecasting
*Time Cycles**:
- 90-day cycle: Peak expected late August
- 180-day cycle: Next major turn October 2025
*Price Squares**:
- 23,400 = 153² ÷ 10
- 24,000 = 155² ÷ 10
- 25,000 = 158² ÷ 10
**Weekly Timeframe**
*# Long-term Elliott Wave
*Grand Supercycle**: Wave III from 2009 lows
*Supercycle**: Wave (3) extension phase
*Cycle**: Wave 3 of (3) nearing completion at 25,000-26,000
*# Harmonic Analysis
*Shark Pattern**: Completion at 25,200-25,400
*Crab Pattern**: Deep retracement target 20,800-21,500
*ABCD Extensions**: 1.618 projection at 26,000
* **Monthly Timeframe**
*# Macro Elliott Wave Structure
*Primary Degree**: Wave (5) of III in progress
*Intermediate**: Wave 3 of (5) targeting 28,000-30,000
*Minor**: Current correction within larger impulse
*# Gann Annual Forecasting
*2025 Projection**: 24,000-26,000 year-end target
*Seasonal Tendency**: Q4 traditionally strong for tech
*Master Time Cycle**: 7-year cycle supportive through 2026
---
# 📋 KEY LEVELS & TARGETS
**Critical Price Levels**
*# Immediate (Next 48 Hours)
*Ultra Resistance**: 23,690-23,750
*Strong Resistance**: 23,625-23,640
*Minor Resistance**: 23,580-23,600
*Pivot Point**: 23,514 (current)
*Minor Support**: 23,465-23,480
*Strong Support**: 23,420-23,450
*Ultra Support**: 23,350-23,380
*# Short-term (1-2 Weeks)
*Bull Target 1**: 24,100-24,200
*Bull Target 2**: 24,600-24,800
*Bear Target 1**: 23,000-23,100
*Bear Target 2**: 22,600-22,800
*# Medium-term (1-3 Months)
*Primary Upside**: 25,000-25,500
*Extended Upside**: 26,000-26,800
*Primary Downside**: 21,500-22,000
*Extended Downside**: 20,000-20,500
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# 📅 DAILY TRADING STRATEGIES (WEEK OF AUG 26-30, 2025)
**MONDAY, AUGUST 26, 2025**
*# Market Context
*Gann Time Window**: Major turn date (High probability reversal)
*Volume Expected**: Above average due to Monday open
*Key Events**: Watch for gap up/down at open
*# Intraday Strategy
**Pre-Market Analysis (Before 9:30 AM EST)**
*Gap Assessment**:
- Gap Up >23,550: Look for continuation to 23,625
- Gap Down <23,480: Target 23,420 support
*Volume Profile**: Confirm with higher volume for gap sustainability
**Morning Session (9:30 AM - 12:00 PM EST)**
**Setup 1: Breakout Play**
*Entry**: Break above 23,580 with volume
*Stop Loss**: 23,530
*Target 1**: 23,625
*Target 2**: 23,690
*Risk/Reward**: 1:1.8
**Setup 2: Support Bounce**
*Entry**: Bounce from 23,450-23,465 zone
*Stop Loss**: 23,420
*Target 1**: 23,520
*Target 2**: 23,580
*Risk/Reward**: 1:2.6
**Afternoon Session (12:00 PM - 4:00 PM EST)**
**Setup 3: Range Trading**
*Buy Zone**: 23,465-23,485
*Sell Zone**: 23,565-23,585
*Stops**: Outside range by 25 points
*Scalping Opportunity**: 5-15 minute timeframes
**Daily Risk Management**
*Max Risk**: 2% of account
*Position Size**: Adjust for increased volatility (Gann date)
*News Watch**: Fed officials' speeches, tech earnings
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**TUESDAY, AUGUST 27, 2025**
*# Market Context
*Technical Focus**: Follow-through from Monday's action
*Volatility**: Expected to decrease from Monday
*Pattern Completion**: Watch for harmonic pattern triggers
*# Intraday Strategy
** **Pre-Market Setup**
*Trend Continuation**: If Monday bullish, look for higher lows
*Reversal Signs**: If Monday bearish, watch for oversold bounce
** **Trading Sessions**
**Setup 1: Trend Following**
*Bullish Scenario**:
- Entry: Pullback to 23,500-23,520
- Stop: 23,465
- Targets: 23,625, 23,700
*Bearish Scenario**:
- Entry: Rally to 23,540-23,560
- Stop: 23,590
- Targets: 23,450, 23,380
**Setup 2: Wyckoff Spring/Upthrust**
*Spring Play**: False break below 23,420, quick reversal
*Upthrust Play**: False break above 23,640, quick rejection
*High probability setups with tight stops**
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**WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 28, 2025**
*# Market Context
*Mid-week Dynamics**: Typically consolidation day
*Technical Pattern**: Triangle/flag pattern completion expected
*Volume**: Usually lower, range-bound trading likely
*# Intraday Strategy
**Setup 1: Breakout Preparation**
*Consolidation Range**: 23,480-23,580
*Volume Spike Required**: For any breakout attempt
*False Breakout Fades**: High probability trades
**Setup 2: Scalping Strategy**
*Timeframe**: 5-15 minutes
*Range**: 23,500-23,550
*Multiple small profits**: 15-25 point targets
*Tight stops**: 10-15 points maximum
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**THURSDAY, AUGUST 29, 2025**
*# Market Context
*Elliott Wave**: Potential completion of correction wave
*Momentum Building**: For Friday breakout
*Options Activity**: Weekly expiration influence
*# Intraday Strategy
**Setup 1: Pre-Breakout Positioning**
*Accumulation Zone**: 23,450-23,500
*Distribution Zone**: 23,580-23,630
*Position for Friday's move**
**Setup 2: Momentum Trading**
*Morning Gap**: Trade in direction of gap
*Volume Confirmation**: Essential for sustainability
*Extended Targets**: If momentum strong
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**FRIDAY, AUGUST 30, 2025**
*# Market Context
*Week-End Positioning**: Major moves often occur
*Monthly Close**: Important for larger timeframe analysis
*High Volume Expected**: Options expiration
*# Intraday Strategy
**Setup 1: Weekly Close Play**
*Above 23,580**: Bullish for next week, target 23,700-23,800
*Below 23,450**: Bearish setup, target 23,300-23,200
*Volume Crucial**: For weekly close significance
**Setup 2: Gap & Go/Gap & Reverse**
*Gap Analysis**: Size and volume determine strategy
*Large Gap**: Look for exhaustion and reversal
*Small Gap**: Expect filling and continuation
---
# ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK
**Position Sizing Formula**
*Conservative**: (Account Size × 1%) ÷ Stop Loss Distance
*Moderate**: (Account Size × 2%) ÷ Stop Loss Distance
*Aggressive**: (Account Size × 3%) ÷ Stop Loss Distance
**Daily Limits**
*Maximum Daily Loss**: 3% of account
*Maximum Positions**: 3 concurrent trades
*Win Rate Target**: >55% (Given R:R ratios)
**Technical Stop Levels**
*5M Chart**: Beyond recent high/low + spread
*15M Chart**: Beyond support/resistance + 15 points
*1H Chart**: Beyond key levels + 25 points
*4H Chart**: Beyond major levels + 40 points
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# 📈 PROBABILITY MATRIX & SCENARIOS
**Scenario Analysis**
*# **Bull Case (65% Probability)**
*Catalyst**: Break above 23,640 with volume
*Targets**: 24,100 → 24,600 → 25,000
*Timeline**: 2-6 weeks
*Volume Profile**: Above average confirmation needed
**Consolidation Case (25% Probability)**
*Range**: 23,200-23,700
*Duration**: 4-8 weeks
*Pattern**: Triangle or flag formation
*Resolution**: Eventually bullish
**Bear Case (10% Probability)**
*Catalyst**: Break below 23,200 with volume
*Targets**: 22,800 → 22,200 → 21,500
*Timeline**: 3-10 weeks
*Warning Signs**: Distribution volume patterns
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# 📊 WEEKLY PERFORMANCE TRACKING
**Key Metrics to Monitor**
*Win Rate**: Target >55%
*Average Risk/Reward**: Target >1:2
*Maximum Drawdown**: Limit to 5%
*Sharpe Ratio**: Track risk-adjusted returns
*Best/Worst Days**: Analyze for patterns
**Weekly Review Questions**
1. Were stop losses appropriate for volatility?
2. Did volume confirm price movements?
3. Which timeframe analysis was most accurate?
4. What patterns repeated throughout the week?
5. How did news events impact technical levels?
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# 🚨 CRITICAL ALERTS & WATCHPOINTS
**Immediate Alerts (Next 24-48 Hours)**
*23,640 Break**: Bullish acceleration likely
*23,420 Break**: Correction deepening
*Volume Spike**: >150% average confirms breakout
*News Flow**: Fed communications, tech earnings
**Weekly Watchpoints**
*Elliott Wave Count**: Validation/invalidation levels
*Harmonic Pattern Completion**: Entry opportunities
*Gann Time Windows**: Reversal probability
*Wyckoff Phases**: Institutional behavior clues
**Monthly Considerations**
*Seasonal Patterns**: September historically weak
*Options Expiration**: Third Friday volatility
*Earnings Season**: Individual stock impacts on index
*Federal Reserve**: Policy meeting outcomes
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**⚡ FINAL NOTE**: This analysis represents a convergence of multiple technical methodologies. Always combine with fundamental analysis and maintain strict risk management. Market conditions can change rapidly, requiring strategy adjustments.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade)
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
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Shunya.Trade
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
NAS100 – Strong Bullish Structure Points to 25,000 TargetThe NAS100 has been respecting a clear bullish market structure, forming consecutive higher highs and higher lows since June. After completing an uptrend continuation pattern, the index broke above the resistance area and is now consolidating near a weak high, signaling potential for further upside momentum.
🔹 Market Structure:
Bottom 1 → BOS → Bottom 2 → BOS → Bottom 3 formed a solid base for continuation.
A strong breakout confirmed the bullish bias.
Demand zones have been respected multiple times, showing institutional buying pressure.
🔹 Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 23,800 – 23,900
Major Target Zone: 25,000 psychological level
Support Levels: 23,200 (short-term), 22,800 demand zone, 21,600 major support
🔹 Bullish Outlook:
If the price holds above 23,600 and buyers defend the resistance area, we could see a strong rally toward the 25,000 mark. The trend remains bullish unless the market closes below 22,800 demand zone, which would indicate weakness.
Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Positive
Targets: 25,000 short-to-medium term
Risk Level: Moderate.