DowJones retest of pivotal 46680 level? Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46680
Resistance Level 2: 46875
Resistance Level 3: 47060
Support Level 1: 46190
Support Level 2: 45965
Support Level 3: 45700
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Trade ideas
US30 – 45,000.00 Level Under Pressure: Wait or Act?After the sharp selloff that followed the tariff announcement shock, US30 broke below 46,400.00 and 45,700.00, plunging toward the key 45,000.00 psychological zone.
This level coincides with prior demand from mid-August and could act as the first real test of buyers’ strength after the October breakdown.
Support at : 45,000.00 🔽 44,000.00 🔽 43,323.50 🔽
Resistance at : 45,700.00 🔼 46,400.00 🔼 47,000.00 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Only if 45,000.00 holds and price reclaims 45,700.00 — showing that buyers are defending the zone despite tariff fears.
🔽 Bearish: If price closes below 45,000.00 daily, momentum could accelerate toward 44,000.00 and 43,323.50 before November’s policy deadline.
📊 Fundamental Note:
Markets are hypersensitive to trade news. The tariff agreement between Trump and China (deadline Nov 1) is likely to dictate direction. Until clarity comes, volatility and uncertainty will dominate — meaning patience could be wiser than premature entries.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
US30 Technical Breakdown – 10/16/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 10/16/2025
US30 showing strength again after defending the 46,200 zone 💪 Bulls holding control short-term but facing heavy resistance near 46,480–46,680. Market looks coiled for a breakout move soon ⚡️
📊 Market Behavior:
🔹 Strong bounce off 46,200 support zone
🔹 EMAs crossing bullishly on lower timeframes
🔹 Price retesting mid-range resistance — watching for momentum continuation
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
46,485 → intraday barrier
46,632 → strong resistance
46,680 → breakout confirmation 🚀
46,893 → extended target
🔹 Support Zones:
46,282 → short-term support
46,200 → major pivot
45,837 → lower demand
🧠 Bias:
Bullish–Neutral 🟢
➡️ Above 46,680 → room toward 46,900
⬅️ Below 46,200 → momentum shift back to bears
US30 H4 | Bullish RiseDow Jones (US30) has reacted off the buy entry at 45,831.82, which is a pullback support and oculd potentially rise from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 45,441.31, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 46,530.01, which is an overlap resistance.
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Dow Jones v/s Gold Ratio — History Repeating?Currently both DJI & Gold are at there peak levels, but the ratio has already breached a historical support, signaling further downfall.
Whenever the Dow-to-Gold ratio tests or breaks the 12.0 level, stories are created in history.
* 1929: Great Depression hit — stocks crashed, gold outperformed.
* 1973: Oil shock & stagflation — gold surged as inflation soared.
* 2008: Global Financial Crisis — stocks collapsed, gold became the safe haven.
- 2020: COVID tested the level but failed to break it.
Now, in 2025, the ratio has again breached the historic level of 12.0 — the same zone that preceded past market meltdowns.
Each time stocks looked strong relative to gold, the cycle turned
* Gold rallied.
- Stocks corrected.
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What is the Dow-to-Gold Ratio?
Dow/Gold Ratio = Value of Dow Jones Index ÷ Price of Gold (per ounce)
This ratio tells us how many ounces of gold it takes to buy one unit of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
For example:
If Dow = 46,000 and Gold = 4000 → Ratio = 11.5.
That means it takes 11.5 ounces of gold to buy one unit of Dow.
If the ratio falls to 6, which the chart is signaling, then it will mean:
1. Stocks might weaken or
2. Gold might become stronger or
3. If both weaken, then stocks will fall more than gold
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Interpretation
1. Whenever the ratio is high, it means stocks are expensive compared to gold (risk-on period) .
2. Whenever the ratio falls, it means gold is outperforming stocks (risk-off, crisis or correction phase) .
Overall, the Dow to Gold ratio suggests that this is not a normal period - a period of crisis & correction - a risk-off period
Each time this ratio reached around current levels, a major stock market downturn followed
US30 – Short-Term Correction Expected After Record HighUS30 – Overview
The Dow Jones reached a new record high, but now shows signs of a short-term correction before the next move.
A minor pullback toward 46,680–46,610 is possible before the next directional breakout.
Technical Outlook
A break below 46,400 would confirm a shift to a bearish trend, with potential downside continuation.
On the other hand, a confirmed break above 46,925 would reinforce the bullish momentum, targeting 47,090 → 47,200 in extension.
Pivot: 46,925
Support: 46,680 – 46,600 – 46,400
Resistance: 47,090 – 47,200 – 47,350
DowJones consolidation supported at 46420Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46930
Resistance Level 2: 47060
Resistance Level 3: 47200
Support Level 1: 46420
Support Level 2: 46290
Support Level 3: 46190
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES waiting for a rebound on its 4H MA50.Dow Jones (DJI) gave us last week (October 01, see chart below) an excellent Buy Signal on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line) that almost instantly hit our 47000 Target:
This time it is the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) that is providing the new buy opportunity as following the 47000 Higher High of the Bullish Leg, the index pulled-back on a Bearish Leg.
As you can see, the symmetry within this pattern remains high with all three Bullish Legs so far rising by around +2.75% and the 4 MA50 / 4H MA100 providing support for the Bearish Legs.
As a result, we expect a new short-term rebound, as long as the 4H MA50 holds, targeting the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at 47180.
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Us30 in FridayToday is Friday, the last trading day of the week. Despite the absence of major economic news releases, the following forecast for the Dow Jones Index is highly probable.
Upon market open and with an increase in trading volume, we anticipate an upward move. After registering a new price high, the index is expected to decline to approximately the 46,160 level.
Entering short positions within the specified target zone presents a favorable opportunity to capture profits. May it be profitable.
Please note: This is solely a trading idea. The responsibility for any trading decision rests entirely with the individual.
MARKETS AT CROSSROADS... THE STORIES OF TOMMORROWA picture is worth a thousand words.
We are comparing the 7-months cycle currently unravelling with its fractal counterparts that have repeated with striking periodicity in the past.
We will compare the trends that follow the completion of the cycle in each of the fractals.
Fractal 1 - (28/06/1965 - 07/02/1966) compared to (07/04/2025 to present)
Fractal 2 (19/10/1987 - 16/07/1990) compared to present
Fractal 3 (07/10/2002 - 16/10/2007) compared to present
In the last two shots, we have represented the entire 5-year cycle so we could see the entire picture for a clearer view. It is interesting to note that the last 7-months cycle is itself a fractal of the entire 5-year cycle.
There are several of them but we would represent only three to make the illustrations simpler.
FOR THE TRENDS THAT FOLLOW THE COMPLETION OF THESE FRACTALS...
April 1930 - July 1932
Feb 1966 - October 1966
July 1990 - October 1990
October 2007 - March 2009
5 out of 5 the market corrected at completion of this cycle. Also by observation the declines are sharp and the recoveries are massive, starting a second wave of hyper-bullish trends
TWO OCCASSIONS WHERE THE CORRECTION WAS PROLONGED
WHATS AHEAD...?
Markets are running into a correction, between October 2025 to February 2026, we expect wide asset classes and global indices to stage a correction. The correction should be quick and sudden which likely would complete in April 2026. A second wave of sharp bullish trend would follow into 2027. We expect a second correction that could start from Feb/March 2027 making a bottom in October 2027. This bottom will be the base for the next 5-year hyper-bullish trend completing the entire 13-year Cycle from 2020.
Follow and check back for the price levels breakdown
Trade safe and good luck.
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 46,388.60
1st Support: 45,835.17
1st Resistance: 47,231.62
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US30US30 – H4 Chart Analysis
Price action currently forming Higher Highs and Higher Lows, confirming a bullish structure.
After the recent Higher High, price retraced back to the zone where it had previously formed a Higher Low.
📍 From this Higher Low to Higher High, a Fibonacci Retracement was applied.
✅ Entry taken from the 0.5 Fibonacci level, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL) placed just below the previous Higher Low for structure-based invalidation.
🎯 Risk to Reward: 1:1
Structure: Bullish
Strategy: Pullback Entry in Uptrend
Timeframe: H4
Tool: Fibonacci Retracement
US30 Possible False Breakout and Short-Term The US30 has recently shown strong consolidation near its top resistance zone, forming a new record high around 47,100. However, the breakout above this level appears to be losing momentum, raising the possibility of a false breakout.
If price fails to hold above 47,100 and shows signs of rejection, this could trigger a short-term corrective move each key support and resistance zone highlighted on the chart remains critical to watch. The market’s reaction — whether a clean breakout or a rejection — will likely determine the next directional move should the index respect the current resistance and reverse, the next significant short-term support to monitor is located near 45,500.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of luck.
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