Dow Jones Analysis (US30 / Dow Jones):The index is currently trading in a long-term bullish trend, while moving within a corrective bearish channel on the hourly timeframe.
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (More Likely):
If bullish momentum continues and the index holds above 45,000, it may target 45,200. Sustained buying pressure could push the price toward a new high.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 44,870 and stabilizes under it, the index could retest 44,700, with further downside potential toward 44,500 if selling pressure persists.
WALLSTREETMINICFD trade ideas
DowJones range trading below ATHKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45400
Resistance Level 2: 45660
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44380
Support Level 2: 44080
Support Level 3: 43675
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US30 Outlook: Earnings in Focus, 44,950 Key PivotUS30 Overview
The price action today is likely to be influenced by Home Depot NYSE:HD earnings.
If the 4H candle closes above 44,950, this would strengthen the bullish outlook, opening the way toward 45,100 and 45,285.
However, as long as the index trades below 44,950, the bias remains bearish, targeting 44,720 and 44,610.
In summary, while below 44,950, the market remains in a bearish trend.
Support Levels: 44,720, 44,610, 44,470
Resistance Levels: 45,100, 45,285
US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/19/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/19/2025
US30 is currently trading around 44,859, pulling back after failing to sustain above 45,200. Price rejected from the upper range and is now sitting just above the 44,761 support zone.
The EMAs are flattening, showing momentum stalling. If 44,761 gives way, bears could press back toward 43,982. Bulls must reclaim 45,000–45,200 to regain control.
📊 Current Market Behavior:
📉 Rejected from 45,200 high
📊 Testing support at 44,761
📉 EMAs flattening → neutral momentum
⚠️ Range-bound between 45,200 & 44,761
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
45,000–45,200 → Immediate barrier
45,400–45,600 → Next upside zone
🔹 Support Zones:
44,761 → Key intraday support
43,982 → Demand base
43,471 → Major swing low
🧠 Bias:
📉 Short-term Neutral / Bearish tilt
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 18 August 2025
- Dow Jones reversed from strong resistance level 45000.00
- Likely to fall to support level 44500.00
Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the resistance zone located between the strong resistance level 45000.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of 2024) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star.
Given the strength of the resistance level 45000.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 44500.00.
US30 UPDATE - Preparing to SHORTDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Zoomed in on 1HR
Price is at a very strong resistance area at this time.
Multiple rejections especially on bigger timeframes increases the potential to
to fall towards the PIVOT/POC area as per my 4HR analysis.
Keynote:
Only a clear and decisive breach above 45018, can potentially rally towards 45140
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
Dow Jones Index Analysis (US30 / Dow Jones):The index is currently trading in a bullish trend on the broader outlook, while moving within a corrective downward channel on the hourly timeframe.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the bullish momentum continues and the price holds above the 44,970 level, it may target 45,000 followed by 45,200.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below the nearby support at 44,870 and stabilizes under it, this may push the index toward testing 44,770, and continued selling pressure could extend the decline toward 44,500.
US30 | Geopolitics in Focus – Key Pivot at 44950US30 Overview
Geopolitics dominates before the Fed takes the stage.
Putin’s position remains that Ukraine should cede all territory Russia has occupied — and even areas it has failed to capture in more than three years of fighting. This has been firmly rejected by Zelenskiy and European leaders, who will be alongside him in Washington when he meets Trump later today.
Technical Outlook:
The price holds bearish momentum toward 44720 and 44610 as long as it trades below 44950.
A 4H close above 44950 would shift the bias bullish toward 45100 and 45285.
Support: 44720, 44610, 44470
Resistance: 45100, 45285
US30 H4 | Falling towards overlap supportDow Jones (US30) is falling towards the buy entry, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the swing high.
Buy entry is at 44,267.74, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 43,469.37, which is a swing low support.
Take profit is at 45,275.09, which is a swing high resistance.
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US30 – Retest at 44,922.00After touching 45,280.00 resistance, US30 is pulling back and testing the 44,922.00 level. A hold here could keep bullish momentum intact, while a break lower may open the way toward 44,700.00 and 44,507.30.
Support at: 44,922.0 🔽 | 44,700.0 🔽 | 44,507.3 🔽
Resistance at: 45,280.0 🔼 | 45,500.0 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Holding above 44,922.0 could lead to another attempt at 45,280.0.
🔽 Bearish: A breakdown below 44,700.0 would weaken structure and expose 44,300.0.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
US30 BUY SETUPAccording to SMC, US30 is in a bullish trend, and there is an inducement at approximately 45,175. If order blocks are observed before the inducement, there is a valid order block at 44,798 and a valid fare value gap. A buy setup trade could be executed if the market reaches 44,798. Before executing the trade, wait for confirmation from ChoCH, candlestick analysis, or divergence.
Technical Analysis for US30 (Dow Jones) Closing Price: 44,935.4 (16th Aug 2025, 12:50 PM UTC+4)
Analysis Methods: Japanese Candlesticks, Harmonic Patterns (ABCD, M/W), Elliott Wave, Wyckoff, Gann Theory (Time/Square of 9/Angles), Ichimoku, RSI, Bollinger Bands, VWAP, Moving Averages (MA/EMA/SMA/WMA).
1. Long-Term Trend (Weekly/Monthly)
Elliott Wave:
US30 is in Wave 5 of a bull cycle (Wave 3 peak: 45,500, Wave 4 correction to 42,800).
Target: 46,200–46,800 (1.618 extension of Wave 1).
Gann Price Forecasting:
Square of 9: √44,935.4 ≈ 212.00 →
Key resistance: 213² = 45,369, 214² = 45,796
Critical support: 211² = 44,521, 210² = 44,100
Break above 45,369 targets 46,000 (psychological level).
Ichimoku (Monthly):
Tenkan (9): 43,800 > Kijun (26): 43,200 → Bullish crossover.
Price above thick Senkou Span (42,500–43,000) – structural bullishness.
Moving Averages:
Weekly EMA(100): 43,000 (major trend support).
Swing Outlook: Bullish. Wave 5 targets 46,200–46,800.
2. Medium-Term Swing (4H/Daily)
Harmonic Patterns:
Bearish ABCD on Daily:
A: 45,200 → B: 44,300 → C: 44,900 → D: 45,050–45,150 (1.272 BC extension).
Bullish Crab (W Pattern) near 44,400 (0.886 XA retracement).
Wyckoff Phase:
Distribution above 44,900:
Upthrust rejection at 45,000 (16th Aug) on fading volume.
Weakness in rallies above 44,950.
Gann Theory:
Time Window: Aug 19–22 (Square of 9 reversal cluster).
Gann Angle: 1x1 support at 44,800 (45° angle from Aug 14 low).
Price-Time Squaring: 44,935 aligns with Aug 16 – consolidation expected.
Indicators:
RSI(14) + Bollinger Bands (Daily):
RSI: 65 (neutral-bullish, no divergence).
Price testing upper BB(20,2) at 45,050 → band expansion signals volatility.
VWAP (Weekly): 44,600 (swing support).
Swing Trade Setup:
Short near 45,050–45,150 → Target 44,500. Stop-loss: 45,300.
Long near 44,400 → Target 45,500. Stop-loss: 44,200.
3. Intraday Outlook (5M–4H)
Key Levels:
Resistance: 45,000 (psychological), 45,100 (Gann 1x1), 45,200 (ABCD target).
Support: 44,850 (VWAP), 44,750 (Ichimoku cloud), 44,600 (200-EMA).
Indicators:
Ichimoku (1H):
Tenkan: 44,920, Kijun: 44,860 → Price above both (short-term bullish).
Cloud: Bullish (44,780–44,840) – intraday support zone.
RSI + Bollinger Bands (4H):
RSI(14): 61 (neutral).
Price near mid-BB(20,2) at 44,900 → break below signals bearish momentum.
VWAP + MAs:
VWAP: 44,880 (intraday pivot).
EMA(20): 44,940 (resistance).
Candlestick Patterns:
4H Shooting Star at 45,000 → Bearish reversal signal.
1H Bearish Harami below 44,950 → Confirms selling pressure.
Gann Intraday Squaring:
Time Cycle: 14:00–16:00 UTC+4 (NY open) for volatility surge.
Price Harmony: Close below 44,900 targets 44,800 → 44,700.
Intraday Trade Plan:
Sell below 44,900 → Target 44,800 (VWAP) → 44,700 (Gann support).
Buy above 45,050 only if RSI <65 → Target 45,150.
Stop-Loss: 40–50 points.
Summary of Key Signals
Time Frame Bias Entry Target Stop-Loss
Intraday Bearish <44,900 44,880–44,900 44,700–44,800 45,000
Swing Bullish 44,400–44,450 45,200–45,500 44,200
Swing Bearish 45,050–45,100 44,500–44,600 45,300
Critical Events:
Gann Reversal Window: Aug 19–22 (watch for Fed minutes/retail data).
Daily Close >45,200 invalidates bearish patterns and targets 45,796.
Risk Note: US30 is sensitive to Dow components’ earnings and USD moves. Use tight stops during NY session.
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I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
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Shunya.Trade
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
US30 - Potential Targets Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
As long as price maintains above PIVOT-POC area, potential for
bullish continuation remains high.
Key resistance to breach @ 45140 for new ATH's
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
Backtesting Saturday :)oday I’m doing backtesting, putting into practice some concepts that I’ve identified as having worked correctly. I like this format of recording because it gives me the opportunity to review concepts we sometimes overlook, and it also reminds us how well we can perform technical analysis.