WTI Oil Market Outlook: Sell Zones & Key LevelsOil is still respecting a broader downtrend structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price recently reacted from the $62–63 resistance zone (trendline + supply) confirming another lower high and maintaining bearish momentum. As long as oil stays below this zone the chart suggests a continuation toward the downside with next supports sitting near $56.30, $52.50 and potentially $50.00 if bearish pressure accelerates.
Only a clean breakout above $63 with strong candles would invalidate this bearish outlook and shift momentum toward the $66–70 zone.
🔻 Sell Setup 1
- Entry Zone: 62.00 – 63.00
- Stop Loss: 63.80
- Targets: TP1 59.00, TP2 56.30, TP3 52.50
🔻 Sell Setup 2
- Entry: Break below 57.50 and retest
- Stop Loss: 59.20
- Targets: TP1 56.30, TP2 52.50, TP3 50.00
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Trade ideas
Oil analysis that was in our weekly watchlistIn our weekly watchlist, we had a bullish outlook on Oil, and that analysis is still valid. The main reason for this bias is the multiple rejections of price from the resistance zone. There’s a strong possibility that price may break this level with a strong impulsive candle.
To avoid missing the move, using a Buy Stop order in such a scenario can be a smart approach
Potential bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 62.22
1st Support: 54.92
1st Resistance: 65.94
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
XTI/USD Short Bias – Can Sellers Maintain Control?🛢️ WTI/USOIL BEARISH SWING TRADE - ENERGIES MARKET OPPORTUNITY 📊
⚡ TRADE SETUP: SHORT OPPORTUNITY
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📍 ASSET: XTI/USD (WTI Crude Oil) | ENERGIES
⏰ TIMEFRAME: Swing Trade (4H - Daily)
📈 BIAS: BEARISH ⬇️
💼 ENTRY STRATEGY - "LAYERING METHOD" 🎯
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Use Multiple Limit Order Layers for optimal entry execution:
✅ Layer 1: $60.00
✅ Layer 2: $59.00
✅ Layer 3: $58.00
💡 Why This Works:
Averages down your entry price
Reduces slippage risk
Allows gradual position building
Maximizes fill probability
🔧 CUSTOMIZABLE: Adjust layers based on YOUR risk management & capital allocation
🛑 STOP LOSS ⛔
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📌 Recommended SL Level: $61.00 (above supply zone)
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a reference point only. Adjust YOUR stop loss based on:
Your risk tolerance
Account size
Trading strategy
Technical support/resistance
🚨 Risk Management First: Never risk more than 2-3% per trade
🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS 💰
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Primary Target: $53.00 ⬇️
📊 Technical Confluence at $53.00:
✓ Strong support zone (oversold recovery area)
✓ Reversal trap potential
✓ High probability profit zone
💡 Profit-Taking Strategy:
Scale out 1/3 at $56.00 (quick gains lock)
Scale out 1/3 at $54.50 (momentum confirmed)
Scale out 1/3 at $53.00 (final target)
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is guidance only. Your profit targets should align with YOUR strategy, market conditions, and risk/reward ratio. Take profits at YOUR comfort level.
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 📡
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. USD/CAD (USDCAD) 📈 POSITIVE CORRELATION
• Current: ~1.4320
• Why: Canada is oil-exporting nation. Oil ⬇️ = CAD weakens
• Action: Watch USD strength - if USD rises, more pressure on oil
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5 Relevance)
2. S&P 500 (US500) 📊 INVERSE CORRELATION
• Current Level: ~6,800+
• Why: Rising energy costs = lower corporate margins = stock weakness
• Action: If stocks fall, risk-off → oil likely continues lower
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5 Relevance)
3. US Dollar Index (USDZZ) 💵 STRONG NEGATIVE CORRELATION
• Why: Oil priced in USD. Strong dollar = cheaper oil for foreigners = lower demand
• Action: Monitor DXY strength - bullish USD = bearish oil
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5 Relevance)
4. Natural Gas (NATGAS/TradingView equivalent) ⚡ SECTOR CORRELATION
• Why: Both energy commodities, affected by demand
• Action: Watch as confirmation signal for energy sector weakness
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5 Relevance)
5. Russian Ruble (USDRUB) 🇷🇺 COMMODITY-LINKED CORRELATION
• Why: Russia major oil producer. Oil prices directly impact RUB
• Action: Weak ruble often signals oil pressure from supply concerns
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5 Relevance)
📋 TRADE CHECKLIST ✓
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ Check USD strength confirmation
✅ Verify oversold condition on daily chart
✅ Confirm supply zone rejection above $61
✅ Monitor correlated pairs for confirmation
✅ Set alerts on each layer ($60, $59, $58)
✅ Define your max loss amount (2-3% rule)
✅ Plan exit strategy BEFORE entering
⚡ KEY POINTS SUMMARY 🔑
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🎯 Entry: Layered approach ($60→$59→$58)
🛑 Stop Loss: $61.00 (adjust to YOUR strategy)
💎 Target: $53.00 strong support
📊 Risk/Reward: Define YOUR ratio before entry
🔔 Confirmation: Watch USD, stocks, CAD correlation
US-Oil will further push Down-sideHello Traders
In This Chart xtiusd HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XTIUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XTIUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USOIL H4 | Bearish Drop OffMomentum: Bearish
The price is currently moving along a descending trendline and remains below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating continued downside pressure.
Sell entry: 60.35
Pullback resitance
Stop loss: 61.42
Pullback resistance
Take profit: 58.21
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
WTI Crude Returns to the Year’s LowsIn recent trading sessions, WTI crude oil has posted three consecutive losing sessions, recording a decline of more than 4.7% in the short term. Selling pressure remains steady, driven by concerns over a potential market oversupply, especially with the upcoming OPEC+ meeting in December. Additionally, weaker market confidence has raised expectations of lower short-term demand for oil, reinforcing a sense of uncertainty in crude price movements. If this trend persists, it could result in stronger selling pressure in the coming sessions.
Downtrend Remains Firm
For now, the downward movements have maintained a bearish trendline that has persisted over recent months. So far, buying attempts have not been strong enough to challenge this structure. As the price approaches the year’s lows, the downtrend could become even steeper in the coming sessions.
RSI
The RSI indicator continues to show consistent oscillations below the neutral 50 level, suggesting that the average momentum over the past 14 sessions remains predominantly bearish. If the RSI continues to decline, this could indicate stronger selling pressure in the next few sessions.
TRIX
Meanwhile, the TRIX indicator remains below the neutral 0 level, signaling that the average strength of the exponential moving averages continues to favor a bearish bias. As long as this sentiment persists, selling momentum is likely to remain dominant in WTI crude’s price action.
Key Levels to Watch:
$57 – Key Support: Represents the year’s low zone and serves as the main bearish barrier. A break below this level could reinforce the ongoing downtrend and extend selling pressure in the coming sessions.
$60 – Nearby Barrier: Corresponds to the 50-period simple moving average. Price movements returning to this level could trigger indecision and lead to a short-term sideways range.
$64 – Major Resistance: Aligns with the 200-period moving average and represents the most important bullish barrier in the short term. If the price reaches this level, it could revive buying momentum and challenge the current bearish structure.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
Crude Market Stalls as Prices StruggleCrude Market Stalls as Prices Struggle
Fundamental Analysis
1. USOIL remains under pressure on persistent oversupply concerns, with weak economic activity weighing on demand.
2. This is further compounded by a stronger U.S. dollar, which continues to pressure oil prices.
Technical Analysis
3. Technically, USOIL is trading within a descending channel, making lower swings while a bearish EMA stack confirms the prevailing downtrend.
4. The recent rebound lacked momentum and quickly slipped back below the EMA stack, suggesting it was only a short-term rally within a broader bearish trend, with no signs of a bullish reversal so far. Any rebound would be an opportunity to make a lower high.
5. The rejection of resistance around 61.50 signals renewed downside risk, opening the way for a potential move back toward the previous low near 55.00.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
The Contango Conundrum: Why Crude’s Price Power WanesThe global crude oil market is signaling sustained weakness. A clear sign is the Contango in the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures curve for most of 2026. This structure prices future oil deliveries higher than immediate ones, strongly indicating a global supply glut. Major forecasting bodies like the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) now confirm a record surplus looms in 2026, reversing previous tight market expectations. Understanding this decline requires a multidisciplinary lens, examining supply resilience against sluggish demand across several domains.
Geostrategy and Geopolitics: Production Over Protocol
Geopolitical decisions, paradoxically, contribute to oversupply. OPEC+ members are gradually unwinding previous voluntary production cuts, adding millions of barrels back to the market. This production boost, formalized in their latest agreements, increases supply visibility and dampens price spikes. Simultaneously, sustained geopolitical tensions between major powers often lead key consumers like China to ramp up Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) , effectively soaking up immediate surplus but reducing future demand visibility. This policy-driven stockpiling mitigates immediate price falls, but structural oversupply persists.
Macroeconomics and Economics: Slowdown Meets Resilience
A deceleration in global oil demand growth meets unexpectedly resilient supply . Macroeconomic headwinds, including trade tensions and a sluggish global economic outlook, suppress consumption growth below historical trends. This tepid demand environment is exacerbated by expanding production from non-OPEC+ nations. Crucially, the United States, Brazil, Canada, and Guyana lead this non-OPEC+ supply expansion, challenging the cartel’s market dominance. The resulting imbalance, production exceeding demand, creates the chronic oversupply driving WTI into contango.
Technology and High-Tech: Efficiency Enhances Supply
Advancements in extraction technology dramatically boosted supply, particularly within the US shale sector. Continuous innovations in horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing sustain high US output, even as prices soften. Furthermore, the rapid expansion of Electric Vehicle (EV) sales and increasing vehicle fuel efficiencies represent a major technological headwind for transportation fuel demand. This shift, supported by global patent activity in battery and wave energy technology, structurally limits long-term oil consumption growth.
Patent and Science Analysis: The Energy Transition
Patent activity confirms the directional shift away from fossil fuels. While patents related to downhole completion systems and drilling fluid prediction remain, increased patenting in Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) [/b and Green Hydrogen signals the industry's necessary pivot. The science of energy transition, focusing on low-carbon solutions, suggests a future where oil remains a critical input but faces mounting competition from technological substitutes. This long-term displacement risk pressures oil prices, even if demand remains firm in the short run.
Cyber and Strategic Risk: Supply Chain Security
The increasing reliance on complex digital infrastructure across the oil value chain introduces cyber risk . Successful attacks on pipeline operators or refineries can cause temporary supply disruptions and price spikes. However, the market currently views such disruptions as temporary events rather than long-term structural issues affecting the overall supply-demand balance. The oversupply acts as a buffer, with floating storage and ample inventory mitigating the impact of short-term, localized outages.
Investment Outlook: Watching Spreads
The market signals clearly indicate supply strength and demand vulnerability. The widening WTI contango structure provides a clear arbitrage opportunity for traders willing to finance storage. Investors should closely monitor the Brent-Dubai Exchange of Futures for Swaps (EFS), which is turning negative, underscoring specific weakening in the Atlantic Basin. Barring a sharp, coordinated OPEC+ cut or an unexpected large-scale geopolitical conflict, pricing pressure should persist into 2026. Traders must prioritize futures spread analysis over simple outright price forecasting.
Bearish bar signals risk of deeper crude slideUnable to climb above the 50-day moving average and having just delivered an almighty bearish bar, is WTI crude about to revisit the October lows—an outcome that could put a retest of the YTD lows on the cards? With momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD swinging sharply lower, signaling building downside strength, the risk of such a move is growing.
$58.00 is a minor level to watch near term, having acted as support and resistance at times last month. Should price trade beneath this level, shorts could be established on the break with a stop above for protection, targeting a run toward the October swing low of $56.00. The preference would be to see a back-test and rejection of the level before entry.
While short setups are favored given recent price and momentum signals, should WTI manage to hold above $58.00 during Thursday’s session, the option would be there to flip the setup, allowing for longs with a stop beneath for protection. $60.00 screens as an appropriate initial target, even with the messy price action around it recently.
Plenty of fundamental catalysts were bandied around to explain Wednesday’s abrupt drop, most linked to an EIA report warning of market oversupply. It undoubtedly contributed to the bearish move, but the seeds were sown well before the event given how poorly WTI traded at the 50DMA in recent weeks.
Good luck!
DS
A buying opportunity for oil — although it’s risky. Oil analysisAfter a strong rejection at the $61 resistance, oil is now approaching the $56–$57 support zone.
This is a time when it’s worth placing a stop in exchange for the potential of a good profit.
The yellow circle area marks the range where it’s worth entering a position.
Of course, the stop for any buy entry should be set below $55.700.
USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) Long Trade ENtryAnalysis:
Price recently formed a strong bullish reaction after an extended down-move. The market pulled back to retest intraday support around 58.60 and is showing signs of stabilization. A bounce from this level could trigger a continuation move toward the 61.20–61.30 resistance area.
Setup Type: Long Position
Entry: Around 58.60 (support retest)
Stop Loss: 57.94
Target: 61.28
Bias: Bullish above 58.60
Invalidation: Break and close below 57.94
#USOIL #WTICrude #CrudeOil #OilMarket #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #LongSetup #CommodityTrading #MarketAnalysis
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Strong Selling Imbalance
Look at a large selling imbalance candle that was formed
on an hourly time frame after a test of falling trend line on a daily.
I think that there is a high chance that WTI Crude Oil will
continue falling now.
Goal - 59.6
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTI OIL Successive 1D MA50 rejections. Sell Signal.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Down with the price experiencing successive rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since the October 24 Lower High.
Given that the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level was also filled (as on the previous Lower High), we expect this inability to break above, to kickstart the new Bearish Leg.
As previously, the Target is the Support at $56.00.
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
---
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Oil Under Pressure!Crude oil futures rose more than 1% toward $60 per barrel on Friday, heading for an end to a two-week losing streak, supported by supply risks linked to geopolitical tensions. The impact of U.S. sanctions also began to appear early, as major Russian companies announced reductions in their oil-trading activities. Analysts warned that a large portion of Russia’s seaborne oil exports may face disruptions due to rerouted shipments and slow unloading, while purchases from some Asian countries have declined.
Meanwhile, bearish pressure persisted as the International Energy Agency projected a growing supply glut, with global output expected to exceed demand by around 2.4 million barrels per day this year and 4 million next year. OPEC data also indicated a surplus in the third quarter, alongside rising U.S. production and increasing inventories.
On the technical front, crude oil prices continue to trade in a overall downtrend, forming lower lows and maintaining a negative structure, with the next target located at $58.93. The downtrend would shift to an uptrend if the price rises above $61.403 and forms a higher high on the 4-hour timeframe.
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Bearish OutlookOil is showing clear signs of weakness after rejecting the 61.80–62.00 resistance zone, which has acted as a strong supply area multiple times before. The price failed to maintain bullish momentum and is now turning lower, confirming potential bearish continuation.
The RSI is also pointing down from mid-levels, supporting further downside pressure. If sellers remain in control, a drop toward the 58.00–56.30 zone looks likely.
🔹 Resistance: 61.80 – 62.00
🔹 Support: 58.00 / 56.30
🔹 Bias: Bearish below 61.80
🔹 Timeframe: 4H
Structure remains bearish as long as price trades under the resistance zone — next wave down could be strong.
USOIL Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 59.819.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 60.500 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
HTF - Crude Oil AnalysisOn the HTF, we can see Crude oil has overall been bearish since 2022 because :
- Geopolitical tensions priced in and faded out.
- Decreased oil consumption of oil. Demand reduced
- Oversupply concerns - OPEC maintained higher levels of oil product. Too much supply & less supply hence lower oil Prices.
· Historically, The markets keep an equilibrium on the price of oil which healthy prices being around $40 - $80 per barrel. This is where oil spends most of its time.
They wouldn’t let oil price drop too low since it would cost producers too much & if its too high, then the consumers will suffer so price always remain a balance.
Future Analysis/forecasts:
· Now we are seeing that Major central banks around the world adopting loose monetary policies and cutting interest rates following suits with the Federal Reserve.
-This would result in more economic activity, more manufacturers using oil etc therefor the demand for Oil will pick up again and we can see price start to rise.
US CRUDE OIL (WTI): Classic Trend-Following Setup I spotted a very classic bullish model on 📈USOIL.
Following a strong bullish wave, the market started to correct within a bullish flag pattern.
The resistance breakout of this pattern consistently provides a reliable confirmation to consider a buy.
I anticipate a rise to 62.50 at this time.
WTI Crude Oil – Update
I’ve entered a short position around this zone.
I don’t predict the market — I just follow opportunities.
It doesn’t matter what happens after entry; I simply follow my plan.
Those who’ve been following me know my system:
At a 1:1 reward, I close half of my position — that means zero risk.
If the market reverses and hits my stop, I lose nothing.
If it keeps moving, I use a trailing stop to catch as much of the move as possible.
That’s what real position management looks like.
And if my level breaks, I don’t just sit and watch — I’ll go long with the market.
I don’t predict or guess the future;
I trade with discipline, patience, and respect for the market.
I’m a trader, not a fortune teller.
Oil - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Downtrend line breakout.
Higher highs.
No opposite signs.
Until the two strong support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
USOIL Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 60.422.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 65.013 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!






















