WTI Oil Market Outlook: Sell Zones & Key LevelsOil is still respecting a broader downtrend structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price recently reacted from the $62–63 resistance zone (trendline + supply) confirming another lower high and maintaining bearish momentum. As long as oil stays below this zone the chart suggests a continuation toward the downside with next supports sitting near $56.30, $52.50 and potentially $50.00 if bearish pressure accelerates.
Only a clean breakout above $63 with strong candles would invalidate this bearish outlook and shift momentum toward the $66–70 zone.
🔻 Sell Setup 1
- Entry Zone: 62.00 – 63.00
- Stop Loss: 63.80
- Targets: TP1 59.00, TP2 56.30, TP3 52.50
🔻 Sell Setup 2
- Entry: Break below 57.50 and retest
- Stop Loss: 59.20
- Targets: TP1 56.30, TP2 52.50, TP3 50.00
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Trade ideas
Oil analysis that was in our weekly watchlistIn our weekly watchlist, we had a bullish outlook on Oil, and that analysis is still valid. The main reason for this bias is the multiple rejections of price from the resistance zone. There’s a strong possibility that price may break this level with a strong impulsive candle.
To avoid missing the move, using a Buy Stop order in such a scenario can be a smart approach
Potential bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 62.22
1st Support: 54.92
1st Resistance: 65.94
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
XTI/USD Short Bias – Can Sellers Maintain Control?🛢️ WTI/USOIL BEARISH SWING TRADE - ENERGIES MARKET OPPORTUNITY 📊
⚡ TRADE SETUP: SHORT OPPORTUNITY
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📍 ASSET: XTI/USD (WTI Crude Oil) | ENERGIES
⏰ TIMEFRAME: Swing Trade (4H - Daily)
📈 BIAS: BEARISH ⬇️
💼 ENTRY STRATEGY - "LAYERING METHOD" 🎯
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Use Multiple Limit Order Layers for optimal entry execution:
✅ Layer 1: $60.00
✅ Layer 2: $59.00
✅ Layer 3: $58.00
💡 Why This Works:
Averages down your entry price
Reduces slippage risk
Allows gradual position building
Maximizes fill probability
🔧 CUSTOMIZABLE: Adjust layers based on YOUR risk management & capital allocation
🛑 STOP LOSS ⛔
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📌 Recommended SL Level: $61.00 (above supply zone)
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a reference point only. Adjust YOUR stop loss based on:
Your risk tolerance
Account size
Trading strategy
Technical support/resistance
🚨 Risk Management First: Never risk more than 2-3% per trade
🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS 💰
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Primary Target: $53.00 ⬇️
📊 Technical Confluence at $53.00:
✓ Strong support zone (oversold recovery area)
✓ Reversal trap potential
✓ High probability profit zone
💡 Profit-Taking Strategy:
Scale out 1/3 at $56.00 (quick gains lock)
Scale out 1/3 at $54.50 (momentum confirmed)
Scale out 1/3 at $53.00 (final target)
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is guidance only. Your profit targets should align with YOUR strategy, market conditions, and risk/reward ratio. Take profits at YOUR comfort level.
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 📡
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. USD/CAD (USDCAD) 📈 POSITIVE CORRELATION
• Current: ~1.4320
• Why: Canada is oil-exporting nation. Oil ⬇️ = CAD weakens
• Action: Watch USD strength - if USD rises, more pressure on oil
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5 Relevance)
2. S&P 500 (US500) 📊 INVERSE CORRELATION
• Current Level: ~6,800+
• Why: Rising energy costs = lower corporate margins = stock weakness
• Action: If stocks fall, risk-off → oil likely continues lower
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5 Relevance)
3. US Dollar Index (USDZZ) 💵 STRONG NEGATIVE CORRELATION
• Why: Oil priced in USD. Strong dollar = cheaper oil for foreigners = lower demand
• Action: Monitor DXY strength - bullish USD = bearish oil
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5 Relevance)
4. Natural Gas (NATGAS/TradingView equivalent) ⚡ SECTOR CORRELATION
• Why: Both energy commodities, affected by demand
• Action: Watch as confirmation signal for energy sector weakness
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5 Relevance)
5. Russian Ruble (USDRUB) 🇷🇺 COMMODITY-LINKED CORRELATION
• Why: Russia major oil producer. Oil prices directly impact RUB
• Action: Weak ruble often signals oil pressure from supply concerns
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5 Relevance)
📋 TRADE CHECKLIST ✓
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ Check USD strength confirmation
✅ Verify oversold condition on daily chart
✅ Confirm supply zone rejection above $61
✅ Monitor correlated pairs for confirmation
✅ Set alerts on each layer ($60, $59, $58)
✅ Define your max loss amount (2-3% rule)
✅ Plan exit strategy BEFORE entering
⚡ KEY POINTS SUMMARY 🔑
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🎯 Entry: Layered approach ($60→$59→$58)
🛑 Stop Loss: $61.00 (adjust to YOUR strategy)
💎 Target: $53.00 strong support
📊 Risk/Reward: Define YOUR ratio before entry
🔔 Confirmation: Watch USD, stocks, CAD correlation
US-Oil will further push Down-sideHello Traders
In This Chart xtiusd HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XTIUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XTIUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USOIL H4 | Bearish Drop OffMomentum: Bearish
The price is currently moving along a descending trendline and remains below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating continued downside pressure.
Sell entry: 60.35
Pullback resitance
Stop loss: 61.42
Pullback resistance
Take profit: 58.21
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Crude Market Stalls as Prices StruggleCrude Market Stalls as Prices Struggle
Fundamental Analysis
1. USOIL remains under pressure on persistent oversupply concerns, with weak economic activity weighing on demand.
2. This is further compounded by a stronger U.S. dollar, which continues to pressure oil prices.
Technical Analysis
3. Technically, USOIL is trading within a descending channel, making lower swings while a bearish EMA stack confirms the prevailing downtrend.
4. The recent rebound lacked momentum and quickly slipped back below the EMA stack, suggesting it was only a short-term rally within a broader bearish trend, with no signs of a bullish reversal so far. Any rebound would be an opportunity to make a lower high.
5. The rejection of resistance around 61.50 signals renewed downside risk, opening the way for a potential move back toward the previous low near 55.00.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Bearish bar signals risk of deeper crude slideUnable to climb above the 50-day moving average and having just delivered an almighty bearish bar, is WTI crude about to revisit the October lows—an outcome that could put a retest of the YTD lows on the cards? With momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD swinging sharply lower, signaling building downside strength, the risk of such a move is growing.
$58.00 is a minor level to watch near term, having acted as support and resistance at times last month. Should price trade beneath this level, shorts could be established on the break with a stop above for protection, targeting a run toward the October swing low of $56.00. The preference would be to see a back-test and rejection of the level before entry.
While short setups are favored given recent price and momentum signals, should WTI manage to hold above $58.00 during Thursday’s session, the option would be there to flip the setup, allowing for longs with a stop beneath for protection. $60.00 screens as an appropriate initial target, even with the messy price action around it recently.
Plenty of fundamental catalysts were bandied around to explain Wednesday’s abrupt drop, most linked to an EIA report warning of market oversupply. It undoubtedly contributed to the bearish move, but the seeds were sown well before the event given how poorly WTI traded at the 50DMA in recent weeks.
Good luck!
DS
USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) Long Trade ENtryAnalysis:
Price recently formed a strong bullish reaction after an extended down-move. The market pulled back to retest intraday support around 58.60 and is showing signs of stabilization. A bounce from this level could trigger a continuation move toward the 61.20–61.30 resistance area.
Setup Type: Long Position
Entry: Around 58.60 (support retest)
Stop Loss: 57.94
Target: 61.28
Bias: Bullish above 58.60
Invalidation: Break and close below 57.94
#USOIL #WTICrude #CrudeOil #OilMarket #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #LongSetup #CommodityTrading #MarketAnalysis
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Strong Selling Imbalance
Look at a large selling imbalance candle that was formed
on an hourly time frame after a test of falling trend line on a daily.
I think that there is a high chance that WTI Crude Oil will
continue falling now.
Goal - 59.6
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Oil Under Pressure!Crude oil futures rose more than 1% toward $60 per barrel on Friday, heading for an end to a two-week losing streak, supported by supply risks linked to geopolitical tensions. The impact of U.S. sanctions also began to appear early, as major Russian companies announced reductions in their oil-trading activities. Analysts warned that a large portion of Russia’s seaborne oil exports may face disruptions due to rerouted shipments and slow unloading, while purchases from some Asian countries have declined.
Meanwhile, bearish pressure persisted as the International Energy Agency projected a growing supply glut, with global output expected to exceed demand by around 2.4 million barrels per day this year and 4 million next year. OPEC data also indicated a surplus in the third quarter, alongside rising U.S. production and increasing inventories.
On the technical front, crude oil prices continue to trade in a overall downtrend, forming lower lows and maintaining a negative structure, with the next target located at $58.93. The downtrend would shift to an uptrend if the price rises above $61.403 and forms a higher high on the 4-hour timeframe.
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Bearish OutlookOil is showing clear signs of weakness after rejecting the 61.80–62.00 resistance zone, which has acted as a strong supply area multiple times before. The price failed to maintain bullish momentum and is now turning lower, confirming potential bearish continuation.
The RSI is also pointing down from mid-levels, supporting further downside pressure. If sellers remain in control, a drop toward the 58.00–56.30 zone looks likely.
🔹 Resistance: 61.80 – 62.00
🔹 Support: 58.00 / 56.30
🔹 Bias: Bearish below 61.80
🔹 Timeframe: 4H
Structure remains bearish as long as price trades under the resistance zone — next wave down could be strong.
USOIL Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 59.819.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 60.500 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WTI OIL Successive 1D MA50 rejections. Sell Signal.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Down with the price experiencing successive rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since the October 24 Lower High.
Given that the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level was also filled (as on the previous Lower High), we expect this inability to break above, to kickstart the new Bearish Leg.
As previously, the Target is the Support at $56.00.
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
---
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
US CRUDE OIL (WTI): Classic Trend-Following Setup I spotted a very classic bullish model on 📈USOIL.
Following a strong bullish wave, the market started to correct within a bullish flag pattern.
The resistance breakout of this pattern consistently provides a reliable confirmation to consider a buy.
I anticipate a rise to 62.50 at this time.
HTF - Crude Oil AnalysisOn the HTF, we can see Crude oil has overall been bearish since 2022 because :
- Geopolitical tensions priced in and faded out.
- Decreased oil consumption of oil. Demand reduced
- Oversupply concerns - OPEC maintained higher levels of oil product. Too much supply & less supply hence lower oil Prices.
· Historically, The markets keep an equilibrium on the price of oil which healthy prices being around $40 - $80 per barrel. This is where oil spends most of its time.
They wouldn’t let oil price drop too low since it would cost producers too much & if its too high, then the consumers will suffer so price always remain a balance.
Future Analysis/forecasts:
· Now we are seeing that Major central banks around the world adopting loose monetary policies and cutting interest rates following suits with the Federal Reserve.
-This would result in more economic activity, more manufacturers using oil etc therefor the demand for Oil will pick up again and we can see price start to rise.
WTI Crude Oil – Update
I’ve entered a short position around this zone.
I don’t predict the market — I just follow opportunities.
It doesn’t matter what happens after entry; I simply follow my plan.
Those who’ve been following me know my system:
At a 1:1 reward, I close half of my position — that means zero risk.
If the market reverses and hits my stop, I lose nothing.
If it keeps moving, I use a trailing stop to catch as much of the move as possible.
That’s what real position management looks like.
And if my level breaks, I don’t just sit and watch — I’ll go long with the market.
I don’t predict or guess the future;
I trade with discipline, patience, and respect for the market.
I’m a trader, not a fortune teller.
USOIL Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 60.422.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 65.013 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL: Q4/2025 Q1 2026 Action PlansSentiment:
- The broader market is cautious in a risk-off environment, which typically translates to concerns about demand and the strength of the US dollar. However, the market is not in a state of panic as the Fear Index is at around 30, opening room for either direction.
- Social Media (X/Twitter): The current tone is positive, as participants expect USOil to rise within the range of 57.50-65.00 in the near term, anticipating an upcoming upward breakout.
- The COT report shows extremely bearish sentiment regarding the latest data from 26/9 (following the US government shutdown), so we can only have a snapshot of more than a month ago. Although the current sentiment may or may not be as extreme (we need to wait for the latest data), it still reflects the state of market positioning.
- I think that Retail is unaware of positioning extremes and is more focused on technical breakout. It may lead to a sentiment shift as a result of a technical breakout and changes in the fundamental narrative.
Fundamental:
A. OPEC+ Production Shift:
- Narrative: OPEC+ has pivoted to MORE cautious supply management. After nine consecutive monthly increases, the group is now implementing only a modest 137k bpd increase for Dec 2025, followed by a production pause for the entire first quarter of 2026.
- Rationale: Healthy market fundamentals, low inventory levels, seasonal demand
- It means more supportive than what we observed earlier in 2025. Q1 2026 pause suggests OPEC+ acknowledges oversupply risks and is being disciplined. One more thing to note is that the current price is also not entirely factored into this narrative.
B. Geopolitical Risk Premium Returning:
- Narrative: Recent US/EU sanctions on Russian energy companies and escalating tension in oil-producing regions are providing price support.
- Market impact: This narrative provides a fundamental floor for price at least till the end of this year.
C. Bearish Fundamentals - Oversupply into 2026:
- Narrative: Despite the OPEC+ pause, global oil inventories are expected to rise through 2026 on weak demand growth and non-OPEC supply increases (such as the US production)
- Factors: global inventories forecast to rise through 2026, weak demand from China, tariff uncertainties and US production at record levels.
- Market impact: Bearish medium-term outlook for Q1-Q2 2026.
Technical:
- USOIL broke the small blue channel and is expected to reach the measured level at around 65, confluence with the Sep resistances.
- If USOIL can hold above 60 (retest the broken channel), it may resume its momentum to retest the key resistance at 62 first, then 65, as measured by the move upon breaking.
- Conversely, closing below the support at 59.30 may invalidate the short-term upward view and open the door for further decline, potentially retesting the swing low at 56.80.
Conclusion:
- Despite a short-term upward momentum until year-end, the prospect for USOIL in 2026 is not as promising.
- Therefore, a range of 65-70 is possible for the short term upward plan; however, any surge bejond that may open another opportunity for counter-trade setups in Q1-Q2 2026.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
USOIL🧩 Chart Type
• 1-hour timeframe (CFDs on WTI Crude Oil)
• The chart is mainly based on Elliott Wave and harmonic pattern analysis.
⸻
🔍 Key Observations
1. Falling Wedge / Channel
• The price is moving inside a descending wedge pattern (two converging trendlines).
• This usually signals a potential bullish reversal once the pattern completes.
⸻
2. Wave Structure (Elliott Waves)
• The chart labels show A-B-C corrective waves inside the wedge.
• Currently, the market seems to be completing a C wave downwards within a complex correction.
⸻
3. Harmonic Pattern (Possibly a Bat / Gartley)
• There are multiple X-A-B-C-D harmonic projections.
• The final D point appears around 57.8 – 58.0 USD, where Fibonacci extensions (1.618 and 2.24) align.
• This area is likely a potential reversal zone (PRZ).
⸻
4. Expected Move
• After completing the downward C or D leg near $57.8–58.0,
the chart projects a strong upward move — shown by the large vertical arrow.
• This suggests a bullish reversal is expected once the final leg finishes.
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 60.33
Target Level: 59.05
Stop Loss: 61.18
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 5h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅






















