XRP Hovering Around 20-Day EMA — Possible Breakout Ahead?XRP has been trading near its 20-day exponential moving average, showing indecision in the short term. Price action over the past few sessions suggests traders are watching this level for clues on the next price move.
Holding above the 20-day EMA could signal renewed bullish momentum, potentially opening the way for a retest of recent swing highs.
On the other hand, sustained weakness below this dynamic support may shift sentiment towards the bears, increasing the probability of a pullback.
XRPUSDT.3L trade ideas
XRP Potential SND Flow MapHello,
This is a general overview of the XRPUSDT flow map, outlining potential price movements.
The price may experience a decline, followed by a pulse upwards before a final drop. Target zones have been identified, and following this, there is a possibility for the price to rally toward the 3.4 supply zone. This would establish the 2.4 to 2.2 range as a key potential bullish zone.
Happy Trading,
Khiwe.
Not trading advice
XRPUSDTTechnical Setup
Pattern: Bullish flag
Trendline: Respected ascending trendline; bounce from dynamic support
Fibonacci Levels: Entry near 0.5–0.618 retracement of prior leg; strong demand zone
RSI: Above 50 and curling upward → momentum building
Target (TP1): ~3.74 – aligns with prior structure and flag projection
Stop Loss: ~3.10 – below recent swing low and structure support
If price breaks and holds above ~3.30 with strong volume, the path to 3.74 opens up quickly.
Just monitor closely around 3.30 resistance — it’s your decision zone.
XRP 4H – Pullback Toward Fib Support ZoneXRP’s 4H chart shows a breakdown from a descending trendline, with price now heading toward the key Fibonacci retracement support zone between $2.80 and $2.30. Oversold Stoch RSI suggests a potential bounce setup, but a sustained move below the 0.618 level could open deeper downside toward the 0.786 retracement. A reclaim above $3.20 would invalidate the immediate bearish bias.
XRPUSDT Bearish Breakdown Setup From Range SupportAI Trade Setup Analysis
Timeframe: 4H (Four Hour)
Position Type: Short (Sell)
Entry Point: 3.1931
Positioned exactly between the stop loss and take profit zones, marking the breakdown level from a recent range structure.
Stop Loss (SL): 3.3600
Placed above the recent swing high and consolidation ceiling to protect against a false breakdown. Risk is approximately +5.23% from entry.
Take Profit (TP): 2.8200
Target set at a major support level, offering a potential downside of around -11.68% from entry.
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.24
A solid setup offering more than double the reward compared to the risk.
Technical Outlook:
XRPUSDT has broken below its recent range floor with strong bearish momentum, signaling potential for further decline. The breakdown from this consolidation zone increases the probability of continuation toward the $2.82 support.
Bearish Scenario: Continuation of selling pressure below 3.1931 could lead to a move toward 2.8200.
Bullish Invalidation: A sustained close back above 3.3600 would negate the breakdown setup and could trigger a reversal.
Summary:
This trade setup aims to capitalize on a confirmed breakdown from range support, with a well-defined stop above resistance and a target at the next key support, supported by a favorable risk/reward profile.
XRPUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on RIPPLE ?
On the XRP chart, we can see that after breaking the descending trendline and reaching a resistance level, the price has entered a corrective phase.
We expect this correction to continue down toward the support zone, which coincides with the ascending trendline. This area also represents a pullback to the previously broken bearish trendline.
Once the pullback is complete, we anticipate a bullish continuation toward higher targets.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XRPUSDT Bearish Reversal Setup From Resistance Level(AI) Trade Setup Analysis
Timeframe: 4H (Four Hour)
Position Type: Short (Sell)
Entry Point: 3.3200
Positioned exactly between the stop loss and take profit zones, providing an optimal short entry from a resistance zone.
Stop Loss (SL): 3.4100
Placed above the resistance area to protect against a bullish breakout. Risk is approximately +2.71% from entry.
Take Profit (TP): 3.1200
Target set at a notable support zone, offering a potential downside of around -6.02% from entry.
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.22
A moderately favorable setup with more than twice the reward potential compared to the risk.
Technical Outlook:
XRPUSDT is testing a resistance area after a short-term rally. This zone could act as a cap, potentially triggering a retracement back toward support.
Bearish Scenario: Rejection around 3.3200 could lead to a decline toward the 3.1200 target.
Bullish Invalidation: A sustained break above 3.4100 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger further upside momentum.
Summary:
This trade setup is structured to capture a short-term pullback from a resistance level, with a well-defined stop loss and target, supported by a clear risk/reward profile.
XRP Price Analysis and ProjectionOn 1 day timeframe, the price action of XRP is described via Smart Money Concepts showing various key levels and zones over a period of little over year-to-date
NOTE 1:
From YTD (Jan 2025 - Aug 2025), XRP was moving sideways until the recent the upside movement
On observing end of June 2025 to Aug 2025 on the same timeframe
NOTE 2:
two trend lines can drawn which suggest the following
-- price may reach upto $3.8 if steeper trend lines is followed
-- price may consolidate between the two FVGs around $3.1 & $3.4
(both estimations are valid till August 30, 2025)
On 45 mins timeframe, the price is tracked by EMA with bollinger bands helping visualizing the volatility and strength of the move with probable highs and low points. It also contains RSI showing overbought and oversold conditions neatly
NOTE 3:
In previous 7 days,
-- 14 Points of Interest (price crossing/touching EMA line) can be observed
-- 10 oversold (buying chance) and 7 overbought (selling chance) can be seen via RSI
-- Price may fall down today (14th Aug 2025) to the steeper trend line (marked on 1D)
-- RSI suggesting buying chance is around the corner
On 3 mins timeframe, price is observed over three 8-hours session-a-day. A LSMA and Supertrend is used to carve-out 1 or 2 good moves in a session.
NOTE 4:
In today's first 8 hour session,
-- an upside move followed by a sharp downside move can be seen
-- both moves had good volume
-- LSMA sugggested potential reversal to downside before it actually happened
-- Supertrend highlights the trend in the session
SUGGESTION
1. Use RSI for signals of buy / sell, on 45 min timeframe (higher timeframe signal)
2. Use Supertrend as confirmation of the RSI signal (lowe timeframe confirmation)
3. Build the position over next dew days
TIP:
Wait for the RSI (yellow) line to overlap the red line and show the green line before entry
:)
FTMO PASSED! (Maybe)Documenting the point when I pass (or not 😜) my current FTMO funded account verification stage for a $50k account
I've tried a bunch of times and failed but feel this time will be it
Stage 1 passed in 7 days with 10% gain and I'm now on day 4 of the verification stage 😀
Both trades are active with the newest trade stoploss at breakeven
XRPUSDTprobably this expectation will be real until end of tomorrow. let see what will happen. but if give some info regarding setup. internal structer bring high and it created fvg and idm also there is mitigation below of them. even if mitigation or fvg does not bring new high it will give powerfull reaction .
XRP - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 13.08.25Greetings, this is our updated Elliott Wave Count for XRP.
This one is slightly more complex as we got two cases to discuss, so bear with me!
We assume that we are in an impulse to the upside in a five wave move displayed as white.
We finished white Wave 1 and 2 and started working on the Wave 3. In this white Wave 3 we have finished green Wave 1 and potentially green Wave 2.
Case 1 (very bullish):
Assuming the low of the 12th August was the green Wave 2 we would look for strong move up now in a 3rd Wave. In this move we have a blue five wave move of which we finished blue Wave 1 and potentially blue Wave 2 in the yellow ABC. Due the yellow B Wave being an overshooting B Wave it is possible that the yellow C Wave was very shallow and we already finished it. Next we would look for a strong Wave 3 which could take us to a new ATH with only shallow pullbacks in wave 4's. For this case we want to stay above the 0.786 FIB of the blue Wave 2 support area which is at 3.1535 USD, dropping below it would shift probabilities heavily to case 2.
Case 2 (bullish):
In this case we still finished the green Wave 1 but we didn't finish the green Wave 2 which would unfold as a bigger correction displayed as red ABC. The 12th August low was only the A Wave and the rally afterwards was the red B wave. Assuming the red B Wave is finished we would look for the C Wave next which should re-enter our green Wave 2 support area. The Wave 2 support area lies between the 0.5 FIB at 3.1420 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 3.0044 USD. The 1 to 1 FIB target for the C Wave is at 3.0552 USD which is right below the golden pocket.
Trade safe <3
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
XRP Forms Fifth Wave and Bullish Flag With Potential Breakout AbAccording to wave analysis, XRP is trying to form a fifth fall, according to wave analysis, after breaking through the fifth wave , price growth is often observed
There is also an attempt to exit the descending corridor, which forms the bullish flag pattern
The descending corridor was formed after exiting the global butterfly pattern
On the minute timeframe, we see two patterns that tried to break through the upper border of the descending corridor, these are the head and shoulders, and the butterfly
Current price: $3.2830
If there is a breakthrough of the upper border of the descending level, according to the bullish flag pattern, the price is more likely to rise to the level of $3.30 , after which it can go to the levels of $3.33
Also, if the price does not hold after the breakthrough, it can fall to the level of $3.2637 and below
XRP 4H – Holding Above $3.20 Trendline, Eyeing $4.00 TargetXRP continues to hold its ascending trendline from early July, maintaining $3.20 as a key pivot level. The $2.00–$2.20 zone remains the major long-term support after the breakout in mid-July. Price action is forming higher lows, with bulls targeting a breakout above $3.40 to open the path toward the $3.80–$4.00 range. A breakdown below the trendline could shift momentum toward $3.00 and potentially deeper into the $2.50 zone.
XRP – Dual Trends Active, Ready to Outperform - $7 Incoming
Two active trends on CRYPTOCAP:XRP right now—monthly and weekly confirmations are in, which significantly boosts the probability of hitting the first target.
Honestly, I see this outperforming CRYPTOCAP:ETH , though both are worth holding.
With both timeframes aligned, I’m expecting a strong move.
Targeting $7 on CRYPTOCAP:XRP and over $7k on $ETH.
XRPUSDT - UniverseMetta - Analysis#XRPUSDT - UniverseMetta - Analysis
Potential continuation of the bullish trend
🗓 W1 — Weekly Timeframe
🔹 XRP is currently within a potential 5th wave of the broader uptrend
🔹 A down fractal has formed — a key signal indicating a possible end of correction
🔹 If the bullish structure continues to develop:
🎯 Long-term target (W1): $4.36
📉 D1 — Daily Timeframe
🔹 The correction appears to have completed as an ABC structure
🔹 Price broke above the trendline and is now retesting it
🔹 This retest could serve as the launch point for a new impulse upward
🎯 Potential extended target: $5.13
⌛ H4 — 4H Timeframe
🔹 Price is moving within a descending corrective channel
🔹 For confirmation of bullish continuation, we need a breakout above the channel
🔹 Ideal entry scenario: formation of a 3rd wave to the upside
🎯 Local targets:
▫️ $3.43
▫️ $3.55
⚠️ If price falls back inside the channel — the idea is invalidated.
Stop-loss should be placed below recent key lows.
🎯 Trade Setup:
#XRPUSDT #BUY
Entry: 3.3105
Take Profits (TP):
▫️ 3.4383
▫️ 3.5556
▫️ 3.8311
▫️ 4.2406
Stop Loss: 3.0897
‼️ Total risk should not exceed 1–3% of your portfolio
This signal/idea is not investment advice
The Path to $30 XRP: Why This Bull Cycle Could Be DifferentIs a $30 XRP Price a Real Possibility for This Bull Cycle? A Deep Dive into the Perfect Storm Required
The cryptocurrency market is once again buzzing with audacious predictions, and at the heart of many speculative discussions is XRP, the digital asset native to the XRP Ledger. Following historical patterns of explosive, 10x or greater gains in previous bull markets, a vocal portion of the investment community is eyeing a monumental target: $30 per XRP by the end of the current cycle, potentially by mid-2026. This would represent an unprecedented surge, catapulting its market capitalization into the trillions and reshaping the hierarchy of the digital asset world.
While some market analyses project a climb toward the $34 mark, citing long-term technical patterns, the path to such a valuation is fraught with immense challenges and requires a "perfect storm" of legal, technological, and market-wide catalysts. This article will dissect the fervent bull case for a $30 XRP, weigh it against the significant bearish headwinds, and offer a balanced perspective on what it would take for such a dream to become a reality.
The Bull Case: Charting a Course to the Stratosphere
The optimism surrounding XRP is not unfounded but built on a combination of historical precedent, bullish technical setups, fundamental developments, and favorable macroeconomic tailwinds. The argument for a parabolic rise is multi-faceted, weaving together past performance with future potential.
Echoes of Bull Runs Past
History is a powerful psychological driver in financial markets, and for seasoned crypto investors, it often rhymes. XRP has a documented history of parabolic advances during bull cycles. In past market-wide rallies, the asset has demonstrated an ability to multiply its value in spectacular fashion, delivering gains that far outpace many of its peers. Proponents of a new all-time high believe these past performances are a prelude to future potential. They argue that the asset is coiled for another breakout and that a tenfold gain from its recent highs is not just possible, but consistent with its historical behavior during periods of market euphoria.
Technicals Flashing Green
Several technical analysts have laid out a roadmap that could, in theory, lead to astronomical prices. These analyses focus on long-term chart patterns that have been developing over several years.
One of the most cited bullish patterns is a massive, seven-year double-bottom structure. In technical analysis, a double-bottom is a classic reversal pattern that indicates a major shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. A breakout from such a long-term formation is often considered a powerful signal of sustained upward momentum. Some chart interpretations suggest that a confirmed breakout from this pattern, followed by a successful retest of the breakout level as new support, could launch the price on a trajectory toward the $30-$34 range.
Furthermore, other analytical frameworks like Elliott Wave theory are being applied to forecast XRP's potential path. This theory posits that markets move in predictable, repetitive wave patterns driven by investor psychology. According to some of these models, XRP may be in the midst of a powerful "Wave 3" surge, which is typically the longest and most powerful wave in an uptrend. These projections offer various potential price targets, with the most ambitious scenarios pointing to a price corridor between $27 and $30.
The End of a Legal Saga
Perhaps the most significant fundamental development has been the resolution of the nearly five-year-long legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). For years, this lawsuit cast a long shadow over XRP, creating immense uncertainty and suppressing its price while the rest of the market soared.
The landmark court ruling, which determined that programmatic sales of XRP on public exchanges do not constitute securities transactions, provided crucial legal clarity. The subsequent finalization of this matter has removed a massive overhang, boosting investor confidence and, more importantly, paving the way for greater institutional adoption. With the legal ambiguity resolved in the United States, exchanges that had delisted the asset can relist it, and financial institutions that were hesitant to engage with XRP now have a clearer regulatory framework to operate within. This legal victory is widely seen as a foundational catalyst for the next phase of growth.
The Promise of a Spot ETF
Following the watershed moment of the successful launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, the market is overwhelmingly optimistic about a spot XRP ETF. The precedent has been set, and many believe an XRP ETF is not a matter of if, but when. Market sentiment suggests a very high probability of approval by late 2025 or early 2026.
A spot ETF would be a game-changer for accessibility. It would allow traditional investors, wealth managers, and large institutions to gain exposure to XRP through their existing, regulated brokerage accounts, without the complexities of managing private keys or using cryptocurrency exchanges. The resulting inflows of capital could be substantial. If an XRP ETF were to capture even a fraction of the capital that flowed into Bitcoin ETFs, it would create immense buying pressure and could significantly propel the price. Some forecasts suggest an approved ETF alone could be the primary driver of a rally toward the high double-digits, a figure that aligns with the most bullish technical targets.
Ecosystem Growth and Utility
Beyond speculation and market structure, the XRP Ledger itself is evolving. Proponents argue that its underlying utility is growing, providing a fundamental basis for a higher valuation.
A key area of growth is the tokenization of Real-World Assets (RWAs). The XRPL is gaining traction as an efficient and low-cost platform for creating digital representations of tangible and financial assets. The value of tokenized assets on the ledger has seen explosive growth, driven by institutional interest in bringing assets like U.S. Treasuries, real estate, and private credit onto the blockchain.
Simultaneously, the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystem on the XRPL is expanding. While still nascent compared to competitors, its Total Value Locked (TVL) has been steadily increasing. The introduction of new stablecoins, including an upcoming offering from Ripple itself and the integration of established stablecoins, is expected to further enhance the ledger's utility for payments, trading, and other decentralized financial applications. This growing utility, bulls argue, will eventually be reflected in the price of the native asset, XRP.
The Bear Case: The Immense Hurdles on the Path to $30
While the bull case is compelling, the journey to $30 is littered with formidable obstacles. A sober analysis reveals that such a price target may be more of a dream than a realistic probability for this cycle, requiring a suspension of disbelief regarding market dynamics and valuation principles.
The Staggering Market Cap Requirement
The single greatest argument against a $30 XRP is the sheer market capitalization it would require. This is not a matter of opinion, but of simple mathematics. With a total supply of 100 billion tokens, a price of $30 per XRP translates to a market capitalization of $3 trillion.
To put this number into perspective:
• Bitcoin's all-time high market cap is approximately $1.4 trillion.
• The entire cryptocurrency market at its absolute peak valuation was around $3 trillion.
• Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, reached a peak market cap of roughly $550 billion.
For XRP to reach a $3 trillion valuation, it would need to become more than twice as valuable as Bitcoin has ever been. It would have to single-handedly equal the value of the entire crypto asset class during the peak of the last bull run. This would require an unprecedented and arguably unrealistic inflow of capital into a single altcoin within one market cycle, an event for which there is no historical precedent.
The Glaring Valuation Disparity
A major red flag for fundamentally-oriented investors is the massive disconnect between XRP's market capitalization and the actual economic activity occurring on its ledger. A common metric used to gauge this is the market-cap-to-TVL ratio. Even at more modest valuations, XRP's market cap has often been thousands of times greater than the Total Value Locked in its DeFi ecosystem.
This indicates that the valuation is overwhelmingly driven by speculation on future utility rather than current, tangible use. While the promise of RWA tokenization is exciting, the current on-chain metrics remain weak in comparison to the asset's valuation. Critics point out that daily trading volumes on the ledger's decentralized exchange can be surprisingly low, and nascent sidechain projects have yet to gain significant traction or attract substantial capital. This stark contrast with platforms like Ethereum, where a robust and multi-billion dollar DeFi ecosystem provides a much stronger fundamental underpinning for its valuation, suggests XRP may be significantly overvalued on a utility basis.
Intense Competition
Ripple and XRP do not operate in a vacuum. The problems they aim to solve are being tackled by a host of powerful and innovative competitors.
In the cross-border payments arena, where XRP was a pioneer, it now faces a crowded field. Traditional systems like SWIFT have not stood still, upgrading their services to improve speed and transparency. More importantly, the rise of stablecoins presents a formidable challenge, as they offer a stable unit of account for remittances and have seen massive adoption. Furthermore, a new wave of fintech solutions and central bank digital currencies are all vying for a piece of the global payments market.
As a smart contract platform, the XRP Ledger is competing in the brutal Layer 1 blockchain race. It is up against the entrenched network effects of Ethereum and the high-speed, rapidly growing ecosystems of alternatives like Solana, all of which are battling for developers, users, and capital.
Tokenomics and Sell Pressure
XRP's large total supply of 100 billion tokens is a persistent point of concern for some investors, as it creates a different price dynamic than scarcer assets like Bitcoin. Additionally, after a significant run-up in price, a very large percentage of the circulating supply is often held at a profit. This raises the risk of significant sell-offs as the price climbs. Long-term holders and early investors may be tempted to take substantial profits at key psychological levels, creating persistent headwinds that could challenge sustained upward momentum toward extreme targets like $30.
Conclusion: A Possible Dream, An Improbable Reality
So, is a $30 XRP a real possibility for this bull cycle? The answer is nuanced. While not mathematically impossible, it resides firmly in the realm of extreme optimism and would require a confluence of events so perfect it borders on miraculous.
For XRP to reach a $30 valuation, the following would likely need to happen:
1. Massive Institutional Inflows: A spot XRP ETF would need not only to be approved but also to attract hundreds of billions of dollars in a short period, dwarfing the initial success of the Bitcoin ETFs and signaling a seismic shift in institutional asset allocation.
2. Explosive Utility Growth: The XRP Ledger would need to see an exponential, near-vertical increase in real-world adoption for payments, DeFi, and RWA tokenization. Its on-chain economic activity would need to grow by orders of magnitude to begin to justify a multi-trillion-dollar valuation.
3. Unprecedented Market-Wide Euphoria: The entire cryptocurrency market would likely need to swell to a valuation of $10 trillion to $15 trillion or more, with XRP simultaneously capturing a disproportionately large share of that new capital.
4. Sustained Macroeconomic Tailwinds: A continued global economic environment of high liquidity and strong investor risk appetite would be necessary to fuel such a speculative rally across all risk assets.
More conservative, yet still very bullish, price targets tend to fall in the $5 to $13 range. These projections, while less sensational, represent substantial gains from recent levels and are grounded in more realistic assumptions about market growth and adoption.
Ultimately, while the dream of a $30 XRP fuels excitement and captures the imagination, investors should remain grounded. The journey ahead will be defined by tangible progress in the Ripple ecosystem, the real-world utility of the XRP Ledger, and the broader health of the global financial markets. The leap from its current standing to a $3 trillion asset is not a single jump but a vast chasm that is exceptionally unlikely to be crossed in a single bull cycle.