litwizard

litwizard

Gemini Space Station (GEMI) priced its IPO at $28/share. If opening trades push it far above the IPO level, the setup resembles Firefly Aerospace (FLY). Recall: FLY priced at $45, opened near $70 (+55%), then retraced as institutions took profits and retail demand cooled. The mechanics are similar: IPO allocations often exit after early gains, while retail hype...

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The key fundamental driver now is Amazon’s expansion into same-day grocery delivery. That’s a strong negative for Instacart and should keep pressure on the stock. The business model is also less sophisticated compared to peers. In Germany, for example, Knusper runs its own warehouses with automated, AI-driven logistics and in-house software. Instacart by...

litwizard

Applied Materials traded near $188 before its August Q3 2025 earnings. Results were strong — EPS $2.48 vs $2.36 expected, revenue $7.30B vs $7.21B. The problem was guidance: management projected Q4 revenue ~$6.7B and EPS ~$2.11, both below consensus. That triggered a sharp slide into the 150s. We’ve seen this type of fear before. On April 3, 2025 , when...

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Picture this: a company wants to go public. They don’t just toss shares on the market like a garage sale. No. The sequence is distinct. First, the company sits down with the sharpest pencils on Wall Street—the underwriters. These aren’t TikTok stock gurus; they’re analysts whose job is to tear apart every balance sheet and market forecast. They value the...

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Thesis Quantum sector trades on hype. Companies like Rigetti (still pre-commercial, burning cash) and D-Wave (more advanced) move in the same patterns. Market treats all projects alike at this stage, similar to early crypto. Sorting by real business models comes later. For now, price action is driven by sector sentiment. Market Context Overlapping trend legs,...

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The July 2025 surge was fueled by a technical breakout, Bitcoin’s broader rally, Trump’s pro-crypto stance, Ripple’s SEC settlement, renewed institutional interest, and bullish trading forecasts. Now, after the sharp move, XRP is consolidating in a triangle pattern and defining new territory. If no major news arrives, expect price to bounce inside the...

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It´s hot sector for the future, but at this point the valuation does not make sence. It´s going down. The only problem with this trade is that we do not know when. Commercial service expected post‑2025 at earliest; certification delays, FAA regulatory environment, infrastructure buildout, and low public adoption slow momentum. No confirmed pre-orders yet—only...

litwizard

Instacart (CART) popped to ~$51 after strong earnings but sold off fast when Amazon announced a grocery delivery push. Investors fear Amazon could undercut prices and steal market share. History shows Amazon plays two games: Direct competition when they have home-field advantage (very possible here in the U.S.). Partnerships when a rival has unique reach or...

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My Bookie Doesn’t Offer Qubit Parlays. So I went to my interactive broker. Rigetti Computing (RGTI) reports earnings today after market close. While fundamentals may be stretched, quantum computing remains one of the hottest tech narratives right now. Trade Setup: Option Type: Call Strike Price: $16 Expiry: Aug 15, 2025 Reasoning: If...

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Lululemon shares fell almost 20% after the company warned tariffs and consumer caution would hurt profits. Here are some of my bold statements about this: Tariffs are sector-wide, not Lululemon-specific Nearly all premium athletic and apparel brands—Nike, Adidas, Under Armour, VF Corp (The North Face), Alo Yoga, Vuori—rely on Asia-based manufacturing,...

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I bought Call Option at strike 250 / Expiration May-30-2025 Again, not a typical trade. Just paid pennys to take possible huge RRR advantage. I also bought Put Bear Spread in the last trade: see This can be a a huge profit if we see big volatility in the next week. Up or down. Does not matter.

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I opened Bear Put Spread on UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) Expiration in 10 days. Risk-Reward-Ratio 1:10

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Keeping eye on possible 10-day option entry on 4% gap that is just irrational quick sell-off. reasons for gap to fill up: -nothing changes, Buffet was not making decisions single-handedly anyway and passing knowledge is his strong side, not the opposite - he will remain chairman of the board -honestly what do people expect? him trade until he´s 100 years...

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SELL PUT OPTIONS AT STRIKE 10.00USD (Lordstown Motors Corp.) Expiration 16-Apr-2021 at 09:00 PM GMT 32 days

litwizard

as described in the chart

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Budget 10,000USD Stocks covered: 666 No leverage. Received premium: 666USD Profit per day: 24,66 USD Pace at 90,03% p.a. Risk: this is up to you, you can close the position when you reach your max. desired loss. Its good to use discretionary approach and manage the risk from day to day. If the price will not fall rapidly than time is our friend and the profit...

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as described in the picture

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SELL PUT OPTIONS AT STRIKE 30 USD (NIO Inc.)