A little late to the party here but this one should be shorted on any kind of pop until earnings. Went w/ March 22nd puts since IV made the 28s too expensive.
Looking for 0.5 retrace at completion of H&S at the bottom of the current down channel.
LULU tested 149.78 (fib 0.5) resistance and found support at 141.80.
If it cannot break 147.89 or 149.78 as we approach earnings then the inverted H&S pattern would not be confirmed and LULU can head south to 135.71 - 131.9 especially if it misses earnings at 3/28 (gap fill from Sep 19).
$LULU has been an exceptional stock; going up 79% the past year. We have a potential setup occurring for a profitable swing trade.
What to watch (1 week time frame):
- We see an incomplete head and shoulders - right shoulder can reach all time high (shown above).
- Ichimoku cloud shows bullish for next weeks or month to come - We will see the stock move higher...
This turd has a tendency to gap down at the open. H&S target should complete at under 139.20 which puts in the PRZ of a bullish butterfly (137-139). Target 146 or so @ .382 retrace. Textbook fib ratios all around on this butterfly.
Updating, now that it's tanking.
Goes to show why I don't like to short in this market, you never know when it's going to break. Looks to have one more leg down to $140 -141 area.
No position, watch out for earnings later this month.
LULU seems to be setting up for a crash, retracing most of what it's gained in the past year.
With earnings coming in a few weeks, I think it's time.
I expect it to hit 110, if not retrace all the way back to 90's
Looks like a bear flag on the intraday, H&S on the daily.
I still don't recommend shorting any stock, but looking to buy LULU before earnings on March 26th. If this pattern follows through, I'm buying at the 50 DMA and adding at 200 DMA. As stupid as the market has been acting, I would not be surprised if this double tops on earnings.