LULU has a consolidation that moved up above the previous recent new high. The stock gapped up on HFT action to the current level. Volume is rising. The support levels for the recent gap are the Sept high and the February high. This is weak support for swing trading or momentum style trading. Earnings are expected at the end of May.
The price action on the weekly chart clearly shows we have a double top on the candlestick bodies and a stark and merciless incidence of classic bearish divergence. The RSI does appear to have a resistance line it began to set in May of last year and that does give some more wiggle room for perhaps a couple of small green weekly candles.
A look at the daily...
Lululemon Athletica beat both earnings and revenue forecasts handily and announced a $500 million buyback. Analysts were bullish after its earnings report, with Oppenheimer calling it one of the fastest growing and healthiest brands in the consumer sector. Oppenheimer, Credit Suisse and JPMorgan have issued price targets ranging from $190 to $197. LULU...
LULU had a tremendously good ER. It has beat over the last 5 ER's, but this one came in way higher at 1.74 expected and 1.85 actual which is near 1.00 higher than the previous ER. Pre Market has it sitting right at its all time high. It could very well break out today into a new High and if so I believe we will see it head tword the 186.00 area within the next...
LULU tested 149.78 (fib 0.5) resistance and found support at 141.80.
If it cannot break 147.89 or 149.78 as we approach earnings then the inverted H&S pattern would not be confirmed and LULU can head south to 135.71 - 131.9 especially if it misses earnings at 3/28 (gap fill from Sep 19).
A little late to the party here but this one should be shorted on any kind of pop until earnings. Went w/ March 22nd puts since IV made the 28s too expensive.
Looking for 0.5 retrace at completion of H&S at the bottom of the current down channel.
$LULU has been an exceptional stock; going up 79% the past year. We have a potential setup occurring for a profitable swing trade.
What to watch (1 week time frame):
- We see an incomplete head and shoulders - right shoulder can reach all time high (shown above).
- Ichimoku cloud shows bullish for next weeks or month to come - We will see the stock move higher...