grumpa06

grumpa06

TMF to break out over next 2-3 months. The Bond Market is consolidating and something is about to break forcing Powell into a forced / Crisis Pivot. The Bond Market is the true Oracle of Delphi.

grumpa06

SP500 coiling up at major resistance. Looking at a Big Move either 10-15% downward unless Trump Tweets and pumps us 10% to 50 day moving average. The descending broadening wedge pattern should continue.

grumpa06

Bond Market Meltdown is approaching. Gold/Silver Ratio. Just like March/April 2020, the Federal Reserve is going to step in soon to rescue the Bond Market and Financial System.

grumpa06

QQQ Hopium Trump Waffle Rally Over. This melt up was an inevitable Bull Trap from stonks being over sold. Trump just gave it the excuse it needed. The Bear Market is still on the menu boys.

grumpa06

HYG - High Yield Bond Fund - MACD Rolling Over on the Monthly Chart. We are going into a Recession/Depression for the next 18-24 months.

grumpa06

My technical analysis of the Coreweave IPO. Never has an analysis been so in depth and revealing to the direction of a Stock.

grumpa06

NFCI is Turning Up Again. This time, it is the onset of a Global Recession. China, India, the EU all are falling into deep recessions. The Japanese "Yen Carry Trade" is going to unwind again due to the weakening dollar, demand destruction with Oil, and inflation resurgence in the USA.

grumpa06

NINE is going to continue to push up. Probably looking at a new 6-12 month climb upward as the domestic oil and gas markets realize how good it is going to be under Trump.

grumpa06

Bearish signals flashing with Apple. Triple Top forming on the Weekly Chart.

grumpa06

Golden Cross approaching for US 20 Year Bond Yields in advance of the Federal Reserve's Wednesday Meeting and Friday's Unemployment and ISM PMI Reports. TLT to low 80's over next few weeks?

grumpa06

TLT to $86 and 20 year yield to 5.2% by 5/3/24? I think the current break out by long bonds into the 5%'s has enough momentum to take the 20 year to 5.2% and TLT to $86. Bought into TMV on 4/24/24 and will hold until we reverse. The PCE report on 4/26/24 will confirm this move or invalidate it.

grumpa06

Another TLT play is about to start. The 20 year bond yields are rejecting off the channels resistance and will likely move back down to the 200 mda and maybe the bottom of the 4 months upward channel. TLT will respond inversely to this. I have been playing TMV and TMF back and forth since November. I'm up 70% over that time. I'll will likely buy into TMF...

grumpa06

HYG broke its' 200 mda - RUT is following HYG down. RUT will likely follow it through the 200mda unless the Plunge Protection Team at the Federal Reserve comes to save it.

grumpa06

LULU to $160 by end of the year. My Chinese Man-Servant showed me that he bought LuLu a few weeks ago. So I slapped him. That is the only reason I have this junk on my radar. Lulu just completed a Bear Flag pattern on the Monthly. It broke out of it in March. Don't hold this train wreck into "higher for longer".

grumpa06

20 yr Bond Yield attempting to break through a 4 month channel resistance. If we can get through and stay above it, Long Bond Yields should get into the Mid 5's and might even challenge 6%. TLT could challenge all time lows ( $80 ) if we can get up there. Great Swing Trade Opportunity both ways.

grumpa06

Monthly DXY is predicting a Hard Landing and Big Fed Pivot soon. We have been in a Descending Triangle since 2022. The pattern is coming to an end and DXY is likely to move to $90 or below.

grumpa06

SPY sideways until Mid-April and then we move down after hitting resistance at 528. 50 day moving average will bounce it back up and then down to 200 moving day we go.

grumpa06

Corporate Bonds continue in their Bull Flag Channel. Bond market keeps telling us that the Fed cannot remain higher for longer. Not sure on timing, however, it wouldn't surprise me if we see the Fed reverse course in the some what near future.