Tradersweekly

Tradersweekly P Updated 

Yesterday, the S&P 500 Index succumbed to market pressures and fell below the critical resistance level of $4,200. By doing so, SPX invalidated a bullish breakout above the narrow range (the zone between $4,050 and $4,200) and retraced very close to the 20-day SMA. This development might suggest exhaustion for the rally, but it is still too early for bears to call...

Tradersweekly P Updated 

During the weekend, Bitcoin's value slipped under the $27,000 mark. Despite that, the overall trading environment was quiet and without any significant technical developments that we could point to on Bitcoin’s chart. Because of that, we just continue to wait patiently for our thesis to be confirmed or refuted. To confirm the thesis about Bitcoin reversing...

Tradersweekly P

In the last article, we expressed a bullish bias for gold in the long term. However, we also noted that we could not ignore certain worrying signs that were putting us on a high alert in the short term; in particular, we mentioned 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA closing the gap and low volume accompanying the price higher. Since then, the price of gold has slumped from...

Tradersweekly P Updated 

A few days ago, we introduced a setup with a bearish trigger coming after the breakout below the narrow range between $4,050 and $4,200. Despite that, the market decided to go in the opposite direction and broke to the upside. This development is bullish for the short term, and because of that, we will pay close attention to the index’s ability to hold above this...

Tradersweekly P Updated 

After peaking at $27,666 on Monday, Bitcoin drifted back below $27,000. This subtle fluctuation is not alarming, given the high volatility in the cryptocurrency market. However, what catches our attention is that Bitcoin seems to be finding growing resistance after pulling back from the 14th April 2023 high (and while trying to reclaim the $31 000 mark). After...

Tradersweekly P Updated 

The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) is a widely followed technical indicator used by traders and investors to assess the overall trend of an asset. When stocks rise above their 200-day SMA, it is generally seen as a positive sign and considered a bullish development. The logic behind this idea is that if the stock's price has been consistently higher than its...

Tradersweekly P Updated 

In the current financial landscape, gold continues to emerge as a resilient asset, demonstrating impressive growth year to date. With an 11% increase in value thus far, gold's performance surpassed last year's modest 1.3% gain during the same period. This remarkable appreciation can be attributed to a combination of multiple factors, including economic...

Tradersweekly P

Yesterday’s financial print in the United States indicated a 0.4% MoM and a 1.6% YoY rise in retail sales for April 2023. The data showed that industrial production increased by 0.5% MoM and 0.2% YoY during the same period. Business inventories shrank by 0.1% MoM, and manufacturing production jumped by 1% MoM (while showing a decline of 0.9% YoY). As this mix of...

Tradersweekly P

Since April 2023, the Standard & Poor's 500 index has been going sideways, primarily fluctuating between $4,050 and $4,200. During this time, ADX has declined substantially on the daily time frame, reflecting the lack of a directional trend. We continue to be bearish on the index while waiting for a breakout from the narrow range. Illustration 1.01 ...

Tradersweekly P

For some time now, we held the view that the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil would remain volatile, trapped within a wide range between $70 and $82. Then more recently, we stated that the oil price was likely to break below $70 as the U.S. administration sought to unload more crude oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserves. Today, we would like to...

Tradersweekly P

On Friday, Bitcoin dropped to $25,800, marking a fresh low since the peak on 14th April 2023. Following this drop, the price remained relatively stable on Saturday. Nevertheless, Bitcoin started to surge on Sunday, surpassing $27,000. Then today, it broke above $27,500. During this short period, several technical developments started to take place on the daily...

Tradersweekly P

Since the dip in Bitcoin's value in November 2022, we have consistently alerted investors to the fact that Bitcoin is going through another bear market rally. For months now, this opinion has been widely unpopular among the majority of the investment community. Despite that, we have repeatedly provided evidence to support our thesis, emphasizing growing...

Tradersweekly P Updated 

Bitcoin futures closed slightly below the $30,000 mark (at $29,910) last Friday. However, the price took a nosedive over the weekend as Binance temporarily halted Bitcoin withdrawals and transfers, citing an overwhelming number of pending transactions. On Monday, Bitcoin futures opened at $29,105 and continued lower toward the $28,300 price tag where they...

Tradersweekly P

Following the last FOMC meeting, notable developments in the stock market took place. First, volatility increased significantly among regional banks, seeing shares of companies like PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance, Metropolitan Bank, and Home Street plunging by high double-digits. These declines, however, did not last long, and financial institutions recovered...

Tradersweekly P Updated 

The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting has been eagerly anticipated by investors as the central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points. While this move is intended to combat high inflation, it will significantly impact the (already fragile) U.S. economy and have far-reaching implications for both businesses and consumers. One of the most...

Tradersweekly P Updated 

Recently, gold started to show serious signs of awakening. Just two weeks ago, it rose above $2 000, a level unseen since early March 2022. Currently, it trades near $2 027 per ounce, about 2.3% below its all-time high value. Overall, we would say that gold is performing very well against a backdrop of high inflation, monetary tightening, and worsening economic...

Tradersweekly P Updated 

Multiple interesting developments took place in the U.S. market yesterday. First, CPI and inflation rate came in better than expected (although the core inflation accelerated by 0.1% year over year), sparking a short-lived bounce in U.S. indices, followed by relative stabilization in the market ahead of the FOMC minutes. Then, once the report came in, the market...

Tradersweekly P Updated 

Just recently, we remarked on Bitcoin’s positive reaction to weakness in the U.S. banking sector. We said that, potentially, Bitcoin started to show the first signs of maturing as an asset Furthermore, we said that we would pay very close attention to its price action during the banking earnings season. Intriguingly, Bitcoin started to drop with solid earnings...