Key Market Events – Friday, March 28
U.S. Data:
February PCE (Core & Headline): Key Fed inflation gauge—high impact on rate expectations.
Personal Income & Spending: Consumer strength insights.
March Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Regional business sentiment.
Europe:
UK February Retail Sales: Consumer demand check.
Germany March Unemployment, April GfK...
Key Trading Level: 95.70
Bearish Scenario:
The overall sentiment remains bearish, aligned with the longer-term prevailing downtrend. Recent price action suggests a sideways consolidation, indicating potential continuation of the downtrend. A bearish rejection from 95.70 could reinforce selling pressure, targeting 94.20 as the first support level, with further...
The GBP/CAD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action shows a corrective pullback toward the previous consolidation zone and the support trendline area.
Bullish Scenario:
The key trading level to monitor is 1.8400, which represents the previous consolidation range. A successful bullish bounce...
The GBP/JPY currency pair shows a bullish sentiment, reinforced by the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action appears to be a bullish breakout above previous resistance zone.
Bullish Scenario:
The key trading level to watch is 193.24, which represents the previous consolidation range. A successful bullish bounce from this level could target the 195.00...
Market Impact Dow Jones: The better-than-expected GDP and healthy labor market data suggest economic momentum remains intact, supporting corporate earnings and risk appetite. However, persistent strength may delay Fed rate cuts, potentially leading to market volatility.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42850
Resistance Level 2:...
US Q4 GDP (Annualized) came in at 2.4%, beating forecasts of 2.3%, signalling resilient economic growth despite higher interest rates. A stronger-than-expected economy supports corporate earnings but may also reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts.
Initial Jobless Claims (4-week average) declined to 224K from 227K, pointing to continued labor market...
The GBP/CHF currency pair shows a bullish sentiment, supported by the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action indicates a bounce back from the rising trendline support zone.
Bullish Scenario:
The key trading level to watch is 1.1366, representing the previous consolidation range. A corrective pullback to this level, followed by a bullish bounce, would...
The EUR/GBP pair continues to exhibit bearish sentiment, reinforced by the prevailing downtrend. The key intraday resistance level is at 0.8385, marking the current swing high.
Bearish Scenario:
An oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at 0.8385, would likely target downside support at 0.8340. A break below this level would open the...
UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves said the UK is in intensive tariff talks with the Trump administration, emphasizing the importance of free trade. She warned that trade frictions could slow economic growth and expressed a preference for lower tariffs. The comments added uncertainty to GBP/USD, as traders weigh potential trade disruptions.
The GBPUSD currency pair...
The U.S. announced a 25% tariff on all car imports starting next week, pushing automaker stocks lower. Meanwhile, the EU expects Washington to impose double-digit tariffs across the bloc when Trump announces reciprocal levies on April 2, sources say. Trump also warned of more tariffs on the EU and Canada if they act against U.S. economic interests. The news...
Macro Data Releases:
US: February pending home sales, advance goods trade balance, wholesale inventories, March Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity, initial jobless claims
China: February industrial profits
Japan: March Tokyo CPI
Eurozone: February M3 money supply
Central Bank Speakers & Policy Updates:
Fed: Barkin speaks
BoJ: March meeting summary of...
The USDJPY currency pair remains in a bearish trend, with the recent price action showing signs of an oversold bounce. While a temporary rebound is in play, the broader sentiment remains weak unless a decisive breakout occurs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 151.21 (critical level), 152.20, 153.04
Support Levels: 149.17, 148.26, 147.22
Bearish Scenario:
A...
The USD/CHF price action exhibits bearish sentiment, supported by the prevailing downtrend. The current intraday swing high at 0.8860 serves as a critical trading level, as the pair shows potential for an oversold rally before facing bearish rejection.
Key Levels to Watch:
Key Resistance: 0.8860 (current intraday swing high)
Immediate Support: 0.8760
Lower...
The USDCAD currency pair remains in a bearish trend, with the recent price action reflecting an oversold bounce. Despite the temporary rebound, the overall sentiment remains weak unless a decisive breakout occurs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 1.4338 (critical level), 1.4413, 1.4475
Support Levels: 1.4276, 1.4200, 1.4139
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection...
Russell INTRADAY muted reaction to positive durable goods data
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 2113
Resistance Level 2: 2131
Resistance Level 3: 2167
Support Level 1: 2060
Support Level 2: 2022
Support Level 3: 1987
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a...
The US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders increased 0.9% ($2.7 billion) in February, reaching $289.3 billion. This follows a revised 3.3% gain in January and beats market expectations of a 1% decline.
Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.7%.
Excluding defense, orders increased 0.8%.
Transportation equipment led the gains, up 1.5% ($1.4 billion) to...
The Brent Crude Oil price action remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downtrend. The recent move suggests an oversold bounce, but overall sentiment remains weak unless a significant breakout occurs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 74.25 (critical level), 74.90, 75.90
Support Levels: 71.70, 70.70, 69.13
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from the...
The WTI Crude Oil price action remains bearish, aligning with the prevailing downtrend. The current movement suggests an oversold bounce, but the broader outlook remains weak unless a significant breakout occurs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 70.50 (critical level), 71.30, 72.11
Support Levels: 67.95, 67.00, 65.40
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from...
