Market analysis from tastyfx
USD/JPY is trading slightly higher on Friday after oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields moved higher. Lower yields over the course of the week hampered the U.S. Dollar, while on the Japanese Yen’s side of the equation rumors of a forthcoming rate hike from the Bank of Japan have propped up the funding currency. The U.S.-Japan 2-year yield spread fell to its lowest...
EUR/USD is trading higher on Thursday morning in the wake of the September European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision as well as the dual U.S. data releases, weekly jobless claims and the August U.S. consumer price index (CPI). From the ECB, upgrades to growth and inflation targets are helping reduce cut odds on the Euro’s side. While headline U.S. inflation was a...
AUD/USD is advancing on Wednesday, nudging above 0.6610 amid a softer U.S. dollar driven by growing optimism around Federal Reserve rate cuts. Investors are betting the Fed will deliver a 25-bps reduction next week, with growing expectations of a 50-bps move. Weaker than expected U.S. jobs revisions yesterday and a PPI reading that went into negative territory...
EUR/USD rates reversed from their yearly high on Tuesday as U.S. Treasury yields moved to their highs of the day. French President Emmanuel Macron announced that he would appoint Defense Minister Sebastien Lecornu as the next Prime Minister following the collapse of the government yesterday. Traders are now turning their attention to the PPI release out of the...
The EUR/USD pair has risen to 1.0457, its highest in five weeks, as markets react positively to President Trump's decision to delay implementing strict tariffs. Initially, investors were concerned about the potential impact of protectionist policies on global growth and US inflation. However, Trump's pivot towards pro-business measures has bolstered market...
The NZD/USD pair has shown significant resilience, climbing to 0.5631 this week, marking a solid recovery from its previous low of 0.5542. This upward momentum is largely driven by China's proactive economic stimulus measures, which have positively impacted New Zealand due to their strong trade relationship. The People's Bank of China’s commitment to maintaining...
The GBP/USD pair has seen a significant drop, plunging to 1.2191, a level last witnessed in November 2023. This decline comes despite rising UK bond yields, with the 30-year yield reaching 5.47% and the 10-year yield at 4.8%, both historic highs not seen in decades. Typically, such yields would support the pound; however, lingering fears of inflation and fiscal...
The USD/CAD pair hit 1.4379, reflecting a rebound from its earlier January 2016 lows, as traders react to the potential resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. This possible political shift has also strengthened the US dollar against the Canadian dollar, causing the loonie to pare some of its earlier gains. Trudeau's anticipated departure, amid...
The EUR/USD pair has slipped below 1.0400, reflecting a bearish outlook as recent macroeconomic and geopolitical developments weigh on the euro. The European Central Bank (ECB) has implemented a series of rate cuts, with more expected in 2025, contrasting sharply with the US Federal Reserve's decision to reduce its rate cut projections, thereby strengthening the...
The USD/JPY pair is experiencing notable movements, with the yen strengthening against the dollar at 156.72. This yen appreciation is driven by its status as a safe-haven currency amid growing geopolitical tensions and potential instability in Eastern Europe, following Russia's rejection of Trump's Ukraine peace plan. While the robust US dollar, supported by...
The USD/JPY pair has surged over 2% to reach 157.51, marking the yen's weakest level in four months. This significant rally follows recent interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Despite the Fed's 25bps rate cut, the US dollar has gained strength due to the market's anticipation of only two rate cuts in 2025, contrasting with earlier...
Currently, the USD/JPY pair is trading around 154.26, influenced by upcoming policy decisions from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The US Fed's anticipated 25bps rate cut could potentially narrow the interest rate gap, affecting the carry trade's immediate appeal. However, the strong performance of the US economy, with robust job growth and...
Recent developments have significantly impacted the USD/CAD pair, pushing it above 1.4200, marking the Canadian dollar's lowest level against the US dollar since March 2020. This decline is driven by the recent resignation of Canadian Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, sparking political and economic uncertainty amid ongoing tariff policy disputes with the US....
The Swiss National Bank's unexpected decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points to 0.5%, the largest reduction since January 2015, has sent the Swiss franc to its lowest value against the US dollar since November 2022. These aggressive cuts aim to bolster Switzerland's economy amidst rising unemployment and global uncertainties by making borrowing more...
The NZD/USD pair fell to 0.57592, reflecting significant pressure from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) ongoing monetary easing strategy, which includes recent interest rate cuts and the potential for further reductions in 2025. This easing is meant to stimulate New Zealand's economic activity by boosting consumer spending and investment. However, the...
EUR/USD has dropped over 0.6% to $1.04607, reflecting ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty in the Eurozone. In November, the euro experienced a 3% decline, its worst monthly performance in over a year, raising concerns about parity with the US dollar. Trump's recent threats to impose 100% tariffs on countries moving away from the US dollar have...
The USD/MXN pair has surged above 20.81266, marking its weakest level since March 2022. This sharp movement is driven by Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico, which poses significant risks to Mexico's economy, particularly affecting the crucial auto sector. With the US accounting for over 83% of Mexico's exports, these tariffs could disrupt...
USD/CAD is approaching 1.4180, its lowest since mid-2020, influenced by Trump's recent 25% tariff hike impacting Canadian exports like oil, gas, and vehicles. While these tariffs pose challenges, Canada's economy shows resilience with higher-than-expected inflation and strong employment data, reducing the likelihood of significant rate cuts by the Bank of Canada....