Ambuja Cements – Breakout on Record FY25 Performance

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📈Technical Analysis

Over the last decade, Ambuja steadily climbed from below ₹50 to peak around ₹700 by mid-2024, before slipping to ₹450.

Since then, it formed higher lows and faced resistance around ₹580. With strong FY25 results, it convincingly broke above ₹580, climbed to ₹620, and is now retesting that level.

If ₹580 holds as support with bullish candle confirmation, the next upside targets are:

🎯Target 1: ₹620

🎯Target 2: ₹650

🎯Target 3: ₹680–700

Stop Loss: Below ₹560. If it fails to act as support, the bullish thesis is negated.

💰FY25 Financial Highlights (vs FY24 & FY23)
  • Total Income: ₹35,045 Cr (↑ +6% vs ₹33,160 Cr; ↓ –10% vs ₹38,937 Cr)
  • Total Expenses: ₹29,074 Cr (↑ +9% vs ₹26,760 Cr; ↓ –14% vs ₹33,815 Cr)
  • Financing Profit: ₹5,971 Cr (↓ –7% vs ₹6,400 Cr; ↑ +17% vs ₹5,122 Cr)
  • Profit Before Tax: ₹5,922 Cr (↑ +0.4% vs ₹5,896 Cr; ↑ +59% vs ₹3,729 Cr)
  • Profit After Tax: ₹5,158 Cr (↑ +9% vs ₹4,735 Cr; ↑ +70% vs ₹3,024 Cr)
  • Diluted EPS: ₹16.92 (↑ from ₹16.26; ↑ from ₹13.01)
Key Takeaway: Ambuja delivered its highest-ever annual PAT of ₹5,158 Cr, complemented by record volumes (65.2 MT) and operational efficiencies. The company also crossed 100 MTPA cement capacity, establishing a strong foundation for future growth.

🧠Fundamental Analysis

Outstanding Q1 FY26 Performance
Ambuja delivered a substantial 24% YoY increase in net profit, posting ₹970 crore pushed by record quarterly sales and strong operational efficiency

Cost and Margin Improvements
EBITDA reached an all-time high of ₹1,961 crore with margins expanding to 19.1%, supported by better pricing and cost optimization

Bottom Line
Ambuja Cements has broken a long-term resistance level at ₹580, supported by stellar FY25 performance. A successful retest could propel the stock towards ₹700. Watch near-term support closely—break below ₹560 could derail the bullish setup.

⚠️Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before investing.

Disclaimer

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