BTC is pausing mid-trend after a clean reclaim of ≈118 k. Structure remains impulsive (HH–HL). We map the path, mark the sweep zones, and let price confirm.
1W
• Near 121.4 k after reclaim of ≈118 k (old supply → support).
• Weekly close > 122 k opens 128–130 k liquidity shelf.
• Lose 118 k → 112–113 k retest window.
2D
• Displacement ≈114 k → 124 k, now mid-range consolidation.
• Breakout base 117.8–118.5 k respected.
• Acceptance > 123 k resumes markup; volume taper = cool-off, not distribution.
12H
• Micro pullback after 125 k sweep.
• 120–118 k OB = primary defense.
• Close < 118 k → corrective leg toward 114–115 k.
• POC ≈ 120.7 k (Binance perp) acts as a magnet.
📈 Orderflow / Derivatives (Binance + Bybit snapshot)
• POC: ≈ 120.7 k (Binance Perp)
• OI: ≈ $38 B, stable — no forced unwind
• Funding: +0.01–0.02 % (neutral / slightly positive)
• CVD: flat — spot buyers absorbing perp selling
• Liquidations: cluster below 118 k (≈ $220 M)
• 3-mo basis: 8 % → 7 % drift — cool-off, not risk-off
⸻
⚔️ Sweep Zones / Execution Boxes
🔶 Resistance Sweep Zone — 123.8 k → 125.4 k
Why: equal-highs on 12H + September wick cluster; last pockets of short liquidity.
Inside-box note:
• 12H close > 125.5 k with OI > $38 B and funding > 0.03 % → expansion to 128–130 k.
• Rejection + OI drop → short-term top → reversion to 120 k POC.
Execution bias:
• Swept + rejected → look for LTF BOS under 124 k → short to 120 k.
• Accepted → continuation leg to 128–130 k.
🟩 Support Sweep Zone — 118.2 k → 119.8 k
Why: last breakout base + weekly demand flip + 12H OB body alignment.
Inside-box note:
• 12H close < 118 k with rising OI and funding neutral / negative → shorts push → 114–115 k rebuild.
• Hold + delta absorption → reload → 123–125 k retest.
Execution bias:
• Delta absorption or reclaim of 120 k = safer long to 124–125 k.
• Break < 118 k → bearish expansion → 114–115 k liquidity shelf.
⚫ Optional Deep Sweep Zone — 113.5 k → 115.2 k
Why: prior liquidity shelf + weekly imbalance fill.
Inside-box note: Final demand defense; failure here risks 111–112 k HTF retest.
⸻
🔭 Summary Logic
• 125 k sweep → possible top unless clean 12H close above.
• 118 k sweep → reload if defended with absorption.
• 114–115 k = last liquidity shelf before weekly structure cracks.
Signals are posted only when triggers actually fire to keep execution reliable and precise.
1W
• Near 121.4 k after reclaim of ≈118 k (old supply → support).
• Weekly close > 122 k opens 128–130 k liquidity shelf.
• Lose 118 k → 112–113 k retest window.
2D
• Displacement ≈114 k → 124 k, now mid-range consolidation.
• Breakout base 117.8–118.5 k respected.
• Acceptance > 123 k resumes markup; volume taper = cool-off, not distribution.
12H
• Micro pullback after 125 k sweep.
• 120–118 k OB = primary defense.
• Close < 118 k → corrective leg toward 114–115 k.
• POC ≈ 120.7 k (Binance perp) acts as a magnet.
📈 Orderflow / Derivatives (Binance + Bybit snapshot)
• POC: ≈ 120.7 k (Binance Perp)
• OI: ≈ $38 B, stable — no forced unwind
• Funding: +0.01–0.02 % (neutral / slightly positive)
• CVD: flat — spot buyers absorbing perp selling
• Liquidations: cluster below 118 k (≈ $220 M)
• 3-mo basis: 8 % → 7 % drift — cool-off, not risk-off
⸻
⚔️ Sweep Zones / Execution Boxes
🔶 Resistance Sweep Zone — 123.8 k → 125.4 k
Why: equal-highs on 12H + September wick cluster; last pockets of short liquidity.
Inside-box note:
• 12H close > 125.5 k with OI > $38 B and funding > 0.03 % → expansion to 128–130 k.
• Rejection + OI drop → short-term top → reversion to 120 k POC.
Execution bias:
• Swept + rejected → look for LTF BOS under 124 k → short to 120 k.
• Accepted → continuation leg to 128–130 k.
🟩 Support Sweep Zone — 118.2 k → 119.8 k
Why: last breakout base + weekly demand flip + 12H OB body alignment.
Inside-box note:
• 12H close < 118 k with rising OI and funding neutral / negative → shorts push → 114–115 k rebuild.
• Hold + delta absorption → reload → 123–125 k retest.
Execution bias:
• Delta absorption or reclaim of 120 k = safer long to 124–125 k.
• Break < 118 k → bearish expansion → 114–115 k liquidity shelf.
⚫ Optional Deep Sweep Zone — 113.5 k → 115.2 k
Why: prior liquidity shelf + weekly imbalance fill.
Inside-box note: Final demand defense; failure here risks 111–112 k HTF retest.
⸻
🔭 Summary Logic
• 125 k sweep → possible top unless clean 12H close above.
• 118 k sweep → reload if defended with absorption.
• 114–115 k = last liquidity shelf before weekly structure cracks.
Signals are posted only when triggers actually fire to keep execution reliable and precise.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.