ES Futures: Breakout or Fakeout? Trade Plan Inside

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🔥 **ES Futures Setup (2025-09-20)** 🔥

📊 **Market View:**
Leaning **BULLISH** (short/medium-term) ✅
– MA stacking + MACD support longs
– BUT: low volume + RSI \~70 + Stoch \~78 = risk of fake breakout ⚠️

🎯 **Trade Plan (Market Open):**

* Direction: **LONG**
* Entry: **6658.77**
* Stop: **6574.64** (-84 pts / \$4,207 risk)
* Targets:
• T1: 6742.91 (+84 pts / \$4,207)
• T2: 6784.98 (+126 pts / \$6,310)
• T3: 6826.99 (+168 pts / \$8,413)

📏 **Size:** 1 contract (risk \~4.2% on \$100k acct — scale responsibly)
💪 **Confidence:** 60%
⏰ **Timing:** Market Open

⚠️ **Risks:**
– Low volume (\~0.31x norm)
– Overbought oscillators
– Tech weakness could drag index

✅ **Rationale:**
Trend + MA stack favors longs. Use 1.5 ATR stop. Lock gains at T1/T2, let runners push to 2R.

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🚀 **ES LONG 6658.77 → TP 6826.99 | Stop 6574.64 | 60% Confidence** 🚀