ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 30

❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.

⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe .

👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after reaching its resistance area at $4510, it reversed from that zone and moved downward. At the same time, Ethereum had support at $4461; if this support breaks, it could enter a healthy correction and head toward its marked support levels, forming a new structure afterwards. At that point, we could consider entering an Ethereum position. However, since breaking the level highlighted in previous analyses, Ethereum has already gained 11% up to now.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, we see that for roughly a day it stayed above the 50 area up to the overbuy boundary near 70. The 70 zone then acted as a static resistance, preventing Ethereum from entering its overbought state. As a result, selling pressure started, and price is now heading toward its swing support around 44.

🕯 The volume, count, and size of buy candles during the recent upward leg were strongly increasing, but not as strong compared to Bitcoin, since Bitcoin dominance didn’t drop significantly. Consequently, now we see sell candles increasing after hitting the 4510 resistance, completing a pullback from its bullish leg.

💸 Looking at the ETHBTC trading pair, we see that it moved upward along with ETH/USDT, but the percentage move was weaker than the tether pair. Whale interest in this pair is currently low, and it may not hold strong weight for them, especially since Bitcoin dominance didn’t fall heavily in this phase. The next trigger level for a breakout and rally in ETH/BTC is around 0.03753; if that zone breaks, Ethereum’s relative value could increase significantly.

🧠 For an Ethereum position, I think we should wait until a new structure forms, with fresh support and resistance zones created by whales. Then, after a breakout of that new structure, we could enter a trade. Another reason I don’t have an immediate scenario for Ethereum is that it has already rallied 11% and is now within a corrective phase.

❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .