BTC Short-term Pullback or 20% Market Correction?We see BTC buyers exhaust themselves, as RSI momentum lose traction. The question now is whether, this is a short term pullback before retracing to near 100k or is this a significant correction to 80k territory before lifting off again?
My view is short term bearish, longer term to be decided later.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
A Look Again At RSI The RSI is beginning to print very bullish horizontal movement that is the print of a bull market
The left hand side of this pattern is already printed, with the white vertical line being the middle of the pattern, now what is emerging is the right hand side of this larger structural pattern on the RSI, also indicative of a bull market.
Early 2025 is going to be very bullish.
Little white circle is where we are now corresponding to the last pattern if they evolve relatively the same.
Shiba Prints a Triangle, When Will It Break?Here on COINBASE:SHIBUSD we can see recent Price Action is outlining a Triangle Pattern having Pushed up through the Sept. Highs after the Pro-Crypto Trump Administration won the Presidency, and being rejected from May Highs!
Price has been able to find Minor Support in the .000023 - .000022 area, but based on Tests 1 and 2 of the Falling Resistance showing Less Volume with each touch, Buyers seem to be losing their strength.
Every Trendline needs at least 3 Tests to Validate their Strength and Probability of holding Price and we are currently waiting on that 3rd Test potentially in the .000027 area.
-If the Falling Resistance is able to hold Price, we could see it decline to the nearest area of Structure being the Support from the Sept. Highs @ .000021 - .000020
-If the Falling Resistance is broken, Price creating a new Higher High must be followed by a significant amount of Volume Validating the Break otherwise it could be a False Break!
The 200 EMA and DSR have printed a Golden Cross increasing the probability of Bullish moves to come!
Indicators:
- Price Trading Above 200 EMA
- RSI Above 50
- BBTrend Printing Green Bars
PEPE Is Falling, Should You Invest?Lets break down CRYPTO:PEPEUSD on the Daily Chart!
After Robinhood & Coinbase listed CRYPTO:PEPEUSD on their platforms, we see the accumulation of Trading Interest rise which helps push price up, breaking the Highs of May!
Since having created the Higher High @ .000025676, Price has been falling and seems to be creating a familiar Bullish Pattern called a "Falling Wedge", formed by Lower Highs (Falling Resistance) into Lower Lows (Falling Support).
Wedge Patterns are considered Continuation Patterns so given the Uptrend move prior to the formation of the pattern, we can suspect Price to Continue Higher after a Bullish Break of the Falling Resistance!
The Retracement or Pullback to the 50% Fibonacci Level while Price is in the Consolidation State of the Pattern typically suggests the Pullback has ended. The 50% Fibonacci Level or .000016697 sits right in the middle of the Support Zone established by the May Highs.
The Last Low @ .000017309 just missed the May High @ .000017223 and the 50% Fibonacci Level, so with Price still trapped by the Falling Resistance, we could see more Downside for CRYPTO:PEPEUSD before getting the Confirmation of Pattern with the Bullish Break!!
Based off the Extension from the Lower Low @ .000007718 to the Higher High @ 000025676 giving us a .000017958 or 232.68% Increase, we can derive that a .000038 Potential Target with a Valid Bullish Break is possible!
Indicators:
- Price Trading Above 200 EMA
- RSI Above 50
- BBTrend Printing Green Bars
- DSR Aligning with 50% Level
VRAUSD - Bullish RSIAs we enter a strong bull market altcoins like this one pop up all over the place
The flat horizontal nature of the RSI suggests the trend is changing
This RSI has been flat for 853 days, being in a bull market its only a matter of time before the breakout occurs.
Keep an eye out for RSI's like this on other Monthly chart coins as it means they are most likely in the early stages of a moonshot.
Looking at ETHBTC's RSI The RSI on the Monthly for this chart is nearly in the oversold zone
This oversold zone is where I expect a strong recovery to form the right side of a W pattern on the RSI itself.
Right now ETH is underperforming compared to BTC and is a great choice for the alt season run.
The sloped green line is where the RSI line will find support.
Learn Mother, Father and small child theory and Parallel channelThis is an educational video explaining medium to long term analysis of Nifty for educational purpose through my Mother, Father and Small Child theory. I am also trying to explain what happens in the long run, also you will find insights of how to use and draw a parallel channel. I have also done an analysis of Nifty supports and resistances in the medium to long term. We are also trying to understand what can be the channel top in the long run. We are also trying to see how RSI works in brief. The attempt is to explain a lot of stuff in simple jargon free language in roughly 16 minute video so that you get lot of education. It is going to be a power packed 16 minutes once you watch it. Do not forget to like/ boost our video and subscribe our channel.
To learn Mother, Father and small child theory to the deeper extent and to learn about RSI do read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is also available on Google playbook in E-version.
Disclaimer: Purpose of the video is for education. Do not treat this as a buy or sell call on Nifty. I am just trying to teach / throw light on Mother, Father and small child theory in brief along with the use of parallel channel. Hindi and English both languages are used in the video for wider audience to understand the same.
My brand new indicator-combos (100%free). Reversals+so_much_more
Youtube is littered with trading strategy's, as one strategy finishes another one is starting to play causing indicator-fomo, that's right, my new label and type of trader-FOMO which intentionally or otherwise keeps you going from strategy to strategy and in the process continually chasing your tail and leaving you to be diagnosed with analysis-paralysis through no fault of your own, too many indicator strategies dumped on you.
I don't do this on Youtube, I figure theres enough people regurgitating the same trading information, plus often the same talking heads who are promoting indicators in a paid endorsement. On the other hand, I am not afilated with ChartPrime, Bjorgum or any of the other indicator owners / developers whos' indicators I am simply borrowing for free to come up with my Strategy, which for all cents and purposes can be formed into varioius strategeies but all from the 1 Chart and indicator suite, sort of like a swiss army knife but only covering the strategies that are of interest to me,
1. Pullback trading with trend (200ema is below current price action) Or Reversal trading causing a new trend (riskier setups), but with additional confluences (that I offer) can be positive in finding a reversal. The first indicator I use for this is called.
Gold - Wave 5, plus CCI and RSI confirmationAt the trough we had the RSI close to oversold, and we can say that CCI showed an oversold condition.
The CCI that measures the deviaton its smoothed with an 14-ma and adding the RSI above we have the market confirmation.
The candles formed three white soldiers that seems very strong.
We are in the beginning of wave 5 with the objective to go to a new high above wave 3.
Gold’s Got Drama: Is the Shine Fading? Let’s Dive In!🚨 Gold’s Got Drama: Is the Shine Fading? Let’s Dive In! 💰
1️⃣ Medium-Term Trendline: The OG Support!
This trendline has been holding like your favorite pair of jeans—reliable and never letting you down. But here’s the tea ☕: the price has slipped below it and is now knocking on its door like, “Hey, can I come back in?”
🔑 Key Point: If the door slams shut (aka, the trendline holds as resistance), we’re looking at some spicy bearish action. Keep your eyes on this!
2️⃣ Price Making Higher Highs, But…
🎵 "The higher you climb, the harder you fall…" Gold’s been flexing with those higher highs, but the RSI isn’t buying it. It’s like Gold is posting gym selfies 📸 while secretly skipping leg day. The disconnect is real.
❗ Warning: When price says "up" but RSI says "nah," the universe is screaming reversal incoming.
3️⃣ RSI Bearish Divergence: Red Flag Alert 🚩
RSI is the wingman who sees the danger before you do. It’s whispering, “Bro, this trend is running on fumes.” Lower highs on the RSI + higher highs on price = the perfect cocktail for a pullback. 🍹
📉 Translation: Momentum is fizzling, and buyers are running out of juice. The bears might just be warming up. 🐻
4️⃣ Price Retesting the Trendline: Playing Hard to Get 😏
After breaking up with the trendline, the price is back, asking for a second chance. Will the trendline say, “No thanks, I’ve moved on” and reject it as resistance? 👋
💡 Pro Tip: If the price gets rejected here, it’s basically like Gold saying, “I’m tired of this relationship. I’m heading lower.”
5️⃣ Sell Big if It Breaches Again: The Money Shot 💥
If the price slips below the trendline again, it’s game on for the bears. That’s your signal to bring out the big guns—just don’t forget your stop-loss armor. ⚔️
🚨 Action Plan:
Sell below the trendline breakdown.
Targets? Look for levels like $2,400 or lower.
Keep stops tight above the retested trendline. Remember: trading isn’t a free-for-all. 🎯
TL;DR: Gold’s at a Crossroads ⚖️
This chart is giving all the signals of a potential reversal. 1️⃣ RSI divergence says momentum is tired. 😴
2️⃣ Price retesting the trendline screams, “Decision time!” 🕒
3️⃣ A breakdown could mean a juicy shorting opportunity. 📉
💥 Final Thoughts: Don’t YOLO into this trade. Wait for confirmation. Be disciplined. And as always, let’s bag those profits like a boss. 💼💸
What’s your move? Are you riding the bear train or waiting for Gold to prove it’s still got its shine? Let me know, and let’s crush it! 🚀
Spring '21 Resistance Halts DOGE, Retracement Coming??Here I have COINBASE:DOGEUSD on the Weekly Chart!
Last week COINBASE:DOGEUSD jumped .15 cents or roughly 102% following the final voting count electing Donald Trump the next President of the USA. Along his campaign, we saw a very heavy Pro-Crypto agenda along with the on-boarding of Elon Musk, known for his interest in COINBASE:DOGEUSD possibly being given a position running a "Department Of Government Efficiency".
Price on COINBASE:DOGEUSD after breaking the Aug - Oct '21 Highs has halted right at the Apr - May '21 Resistance. Now with all the speculations coming out about the imminent RISE of price, where is a good place to start investing before the boom?!?!
Based off the High @ .4398 to the Low @ .0805, just before the Break of Structure, We are given some Fibonacci Levels that align with Potential Buying Opportunities if Price needs Support to continue Higher to the All Time High @ .7605.
*Aug / Oct '21 Highs
.3550 - .3025
23.6% - 38.2%
*Mar / Apr '24 Highs
.2290 - .2067
*Golden Zone
.2178
61.8%
BTC DOMINANCE After a Trump victory the markets are booming, a new BTC ATH pushed bitcoin dominance to new local highs of 60.6%. Now we've seen a decent retracement on the daily candle and BTC is still in price discovery. This indicates to me that we have an altcoin resurgence on our hands, returning confidence in crypto and the green light for crypto support by America is a very important to this current rally.
I could see BTC dominance dropping to 59.5% before any continuation (bottom of the trend channel) higher and that's not particularly from a BTC selloff although that is possible as a SFP, but more likely is just BTC staying where it is and altcoins making up some ground.
RSI has dropped out of the oversold zone with this daily candle, a cool off is eventually inevitable as long as price stays flat while RSI cools it's very bullish.
A lot of that altcoin move needs to be from ETH imo, with BTC @ ATH Ethereum is 72% away from ATH... A massive difference and one that should close up going into Q1 2025.
The standard process for a crypto bullmarket is:
BTC --> ETH --> LARGE CAPS
--> MID CAPS --> SMALL CAPS
So far we're clearly still in the BTC phase, keeping a close eye on the ETHBTC chart to see if the momentum shifts towards Ethereum but that doesn't seem likely until next year at the earliest.
Bullish Gartley + Bullish Pennant Break Combo - XLMHere I have COINBASE:XLMUSD on the Weekly Chart!
After the 2.5 Year long Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern had finished forming this July 2024, we see Price has been working into a tight Consolidation Pattern called the Pennant!
This Harmonic Pattern has been quite the Rollercoaster for longtime COINBASE:XLMUSD investors but with the Bullish Rally brought on this week, we see Price Breaking Above the Falling Resistance of this Pennant Pattern to the .10 area!
-If Price can find Support upon retesting the Break of Falling Resistance and stay above, we could see COINBASE:XLMUSD bask in .10 range and Push Higher!!
-RSI is now pushing Above 50 after the period of Consolidation stuck just underneath, indicating Bullish Interest is building
**If Price is unable to sustain these Higher Prices, this current Bullish Break could become False and we could see Price play back down into the Pennant Pattern!
With the Trump/Vance Campaign, we heard a lot of plans and potential being put towards the Cryptocurrency Market and with the win of the Presidency, we could start to see more Interest in this financial area.
Further updates will be on Daily Chart!
PLUG Powering Up For A Breakout?!Here I have NASDAQ:PLUG on the Daily Chart!
We can see that Monday, November 4th gave us a Very Bullish break to the Falling Resistance Price has been contained by forming the Wedge Pattern and with the Bullish Volume following the Break, gives this pattern a Bullish Bias after the strong decline since Jan. 2021.
The push for Greener and Cleaner way of Living and Transportation has the world in High Search for Electric Alternative means of fuel and along the pathway of Lithium and Rare Earth Metals is a new theory of Hydrogen powered Fuel Cells!
Currently Price is at $2.52, struggling with a Local Resistance Level after Price reached a new 4-Year Low @ $1.60, close to All Time Low @ .1155 visited in Jan. 2013. With the tight consolidation underneath the Falling Resistance followed with a Break candle and Close candle Above of the Falling Resistance, Confirms a Valid Break of said Falling Resistance and indicates Bullish Sentiment entering the market.
-Now, we must wait to see if Price decides to retest the Break of Falling Resistance around ( $2.25 - $2.20 ) and if Supported successfully, would generate a great Buying Opportunity!
-If Price does found Support here, I suspect Price we will run into Resistance @ ( $3.55 - $ 3.22 ) then will aim for the Fair Value Gap formed @ ( $5.58 - $5.14 )
Indicators:
- RSI Crossing 50
- Large Bullish Volume
Dogecoin Primed For Liftoff?! Here I have COINBASE:DOGEUSD on Daily & 1Hr Chart!
A lot of Bullish signs are popping up on all Time-Frames for $DOGEUSD! Let's lay it out:
Daily Chart-
*Price made its Lowest Low @ .0805
*Price has created a Bullish Divergence on the RSI when price was able to make a Higher High @ .1321, disrupting the Downtrend Pattern.
*Fib Retracement Tool from the Lowest Low to Higher High places the Golden Ratio Zone @ ( .1033 - .1002 ) where Price has already Retraced to and is showing Exhaustion from the Bears!
1Hr Chart-
*Zooming into the Golden Ratio Zone, we see Price is exhibiting signs of a Bullish Wedge, potentially in the Reversal Variation!
*Lower Lows on Price creating Bullish Divergence with Higher Lows on RSI
I suspect we will see Price give us a Bullish Break to this Wedge and continue creating Higher Highs/Higher Lows continuing the Uptrend which will then contend with the Resistance Levels:
( .1355 - .1440 )
( .1700 - .1800 )
( .1990 - .2200 )
**If Price gives us a Bearish Break to the Wedge, Be Vigilant to False Breaks testing the .09 cent Support Level & Rising Support
3MINDIA - Nice Reversal?RSI is looking strong and closing is also above 20EMA Band.
Expecting it to fall a bit to normalize the RSI, which CAN BE the right time to enter.
For stop loss, closing below 20EMA band or previous swing low can be used. It is purely individual study and choice.
Currently market is very volatile and we also have earning of 3MINDIA in coming week, which can contradict my study and analysis. Hence do your own analysis and act accordingly.
Strictly follow Risk Reward management and strict SL is necessary.
Double Bottom with Billions of Metric Tons of Lithium - SLIHere I have AMEX:SLI on the Daily Chart!
Technical -
A Double Bottom Reversal Pattern has formed and with the Bullish Rally started from the ~1,800% increase in the Estimate to Reported Results for Earnings and Revenue on Sept. 24th, we see Price Breaking our Confirmation of Pattern @ 1.98!
This weeks Price Action has created a Volume Imbalance between ( 1.91 - 2.03 ) that Price may choose to Fill before it pushes Higher!
Now Price is struggling with the Resistance of Previous High @ ( 2.28 - 2.38 )
-If this rise can be sustained in becoming a New Higher High than our Confirmation of Pattern, we can expect Price to Retest this Break of Confirmation to find Support!
*If the Retest of the Break is successful, we can then suspect Price to find Resistance again at Previous Highs @ ( 3.59 - 3.89 )
Indicators:
- Golden Cross with 200 EMA and Dynamic S&R
- RSI is Above 50
- Strong Bullish presence in Volume leading to Confirmation of Pattern
Fundamental -
Under all this utter devastation that Hurricane Helene and Milton have done to North Carolina and Florida and now with the wildfires ravaging Wyoming, these disasters have uncovered massive Rare Earth Elements and Metal Deposits containing around Billions of Metric Tons of essential components needed to power our shift forward from the Industrial Age to what feels like the Digital Age.
-Adding potential future mining sites to the already known deposits in Nevada, Pennsylvania and California.
EV and other technology advancements will come soon now with these essential minerals and metals possibly on the Brink of Extraction!
LAC & GM Team Up for Thacker Pass! Here I have NYSE:LAC on the Daily Chart!
NYSE:GM plans to contribute $625 Million and seeks to claim 38% of the Joint Venture!
This remarkable announcement this week seen the Price of NYSE:LAC hit 4-Month Highs after Breaking Above the Falling Resistance that was keeping it down.
The rally seems to be tamed by the Resistance Level and Low that was created in February but is now testing the Break of Falling Resistance for potential Support to keep pushing Price Higher!
If Price can Push through this area, we could see Price make a move for the Gap @ ( 4.9 - 6.37 ) then find Strong Resistane @ ( 6.83 - 7.65 )
Indicators:
- Price will need to test the 200 EMA in $4 range
- RSI is Above 50 (Bullish)
- Strong Bullish Volume with Breaking Candle suggests Valid Break
- BBTrend Printing Green Bars