This setup presents a potential bearish scenario underpinned by Smart Money Concepts, volume analysis, and structure invalidation at premium zones.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Weak High in Premium Zone:
Price failed to convincingly break above the last swing high, forming a weak high.
Rejection from this premium supply area indicates a lack of bullish follow-through.
Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bearish Bias:
Recent CHoCH printed after a bullish BOS earlier in the structure.
Suggests potential shift from bullish structure to distribution phase.
Volume Analysis:
Volume is declining on bullish candles while spiking on red – early distribution signal.
Imbalance zones remain unfilled.
Target Zones:
📌 Equilibrium Zone ~ $3,040–$3,080.
📌 Secondary Demand Zones: $2,960 and $2,880.
Stronger demand and liquidity pockets rest lower, potentially magnetizing price.
📉 Probabilistic Forecast:
🔻 65% chance of retracement to equilibrium zone within the next 5–10 sessions.
🔺 35% chance of bullish invalidation if price reclaims and closes above $3,350.
🔄 Strategy Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Look for confirmation of lower highs or liquidity grabs around $3,310–$3,330 for potential short entries.
Tight stop above weak high; target near equilibrium.
📊 Powered by: WaverVanir DSS | SMC | Volume Imbalances | Order Flow Bias
#GoldFutures #SMC #VolumeProfile #TradingView #WaverVanir #AlgoTrading #MacroTA
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Weak High in Premium Zone:
Price failed to convincingly break above the last swing high, forming a weak high.
Rejection from this premium supply area indicates a lack of bullish follow-through.
Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bearish Bias:
Recent CHoCH printed after a bullish BOS earlier in the structure.
Suggests potential shift from bullish structure to distribution phase.
Volume Analysis:
Volume is declining on bullish candles while spiking on red – early distribution signal.
Imbalance zones remain unfilled.
Target Zones:
📌 Equilibrium Zone ~ $3,040–$3,080.
📌 Secondary Demand Zones: $2,960 and $2,880.
Stronger demand and liquidity pockets rest lower, potentially magnetizing price.
📉 Probabilistic Forecast:
🔻 65% chance of retracement to equilibrium zone within the next 5–10 sessions.
🔺 35% chance of bullish invalidation if price reclaims and closes above $3,350.
🔄 Strategy Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Look for confirmation of lower highs or liquidity grabs around $3,310–$3,330 for potential short entries.
Tight stop above weak high; target near equilibrium.
📊 Powered by: WaverVanir DSS | SMC | Volume Imbalances | Order Flow Bias
#GoldFutures #SMC #VolumeProfile #TradingView #WaverVanir #AlgoTrading #MacroTA
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.