A question came in on TradingView about gold’s outlook after Friday’s news.
My analysis methodology is built on a holistic review of exchange data, where options flow plays a central role — something long-time followers of my posts are already familiar with.
So here’s what Friday’s options flow is quietly telling us:
🔸 The bearish put spread (on November option series ) targeting lower levels from October 8th onward is still intact — suggesting downside sentiment remains in play.
Now, let’s be realistic:
Sophisticated players can always flip this position mid-flight by adding futures to hedge — turning it into a neutral or even bullish setup if the rally continues.
After all, we’re dealing with pros with deep pockets — and they don’t like losing money.
They’ll adjust. They’ll hedge. They’ll exit clean.
🔸 Second, Friday’s CME activity leaned bearish (screen attached)— or at least, profit-taking (fixing).
We see call strikes above current price either being closed or re-sold.
Volume is present — but open interest is flat, declining, or even negative.
That tells a story:
No new conviction for higher prices.
Just closing old upside bets.
📌 Bottom line:
The flow doesn't scream "crash coming right now" — but it does whisper:
"Be careful with the longs."
My analysis methodology is built on a holistic review of exchange data, where options flow plays a central role — something long-time followers of my posts are already familiar with.
So here’s what Friday’s options flow is quietly telling us:
🔸 The bearish put spread (on November option series ) targeting lower levels from October 8th onward is still intact — suggesting downside sentiment remains in play.
Now, let’s be realistic:
Sophisticated players can always flip this position mid-flight by adding futures to hedge — turning it into a neutral or even bullish setup if the rally continues.
After all, we’re dealing with pros with deep pockets — and they don’t like losing money.
They’ll adjust. They’ll hedge. They’ll exit clean.
🔸 Second, Friday’s CME activity leaned bearish (screen attached)— or at least, profit-taking (fixing).
We see call strikes above current price either being closed or re-sold.
Volume is present — but open interest is flat, declining, or even negative.
That tells a story:
No new conviction for higher prices.
Just closing old upside bets.
📌 Bottom line:
The flow doesn't scream "crash coming right now" — but it does whisper:
"Be careful with the longs."
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.