$MP — Macro + Technical Cumulative Outlook

⚡ MP — Macro + Technical Cumulative Outlook

Rare earths are heating up again. MP is positioned at the center of U.S. efforts to de-risk China’s dominance in critical minerals, giving it a strong policy-driven tailwind.

🧩 Technical Structure

Clean breakout from long-term accumulation base.

Rejection at 1.236 Fib (~97.5) led to a healthy pullback into 85–88 demand zone.

RSI broke the downtrend MA, confirming bullish momentum still intact.

Volume expansion supports a controlled retracement before a potential second leg.

🧠 VolanX DSS Outlook
Scenario Probability Bias
Rebound from 85–88 → next leg to 121 60% 🟢 Bullish
Range-bound 84–90 (reaccumulation) 25% ⚖️ Neutral
Breakdown to 75 (failed structure) 15% 🔴 Bearish
🌍 Macro & Catalyst Highlights

China’s export restrictions on rare earths continue to support U.S. domestic players.

DoD partnership with MP Materials adds strategic legitimacy and capital inflow.

Texas magnet facility ramp expected late-2025 → key proof for vertical integration.

NdPr price volatility remains a double-edged sword; upside if supply tightens.

🏁 My Take

Momentum remains bullish but extended. Watching 91 reclaim as a signal for continuation; failure to hold 83–85 would shift bias to neutral short-term.
Target zones: 121.6 → 146.9 → 156.3 (Fib extensions).

💡 “Patience before precision — let liquidity guide direction.”

#WaverVanir #VolanX #AITrading #RareEarth #MP #MarketIntelligence