Repeated failed highs, deep liquidity sweeps, and a tightly trapped range — the US100 is showing textbook smart money behavior.
Let’s decode how liquidity pockets, fake breakouts, and institutional accumulation are shaping the next 600+ point move.
🧭 Market Story – Where We Are Now
The US100 has been in a broad liquidity cycle after a strong rally.
Price is consolidating within a re-accumulation or distribution phase, hinting that smart money is positioning quietly before expansion.
🔹 Key Liquidity Zones
🟩 Breakout Level – 25,600
The make-or-break point.
Holding above 25,600 = bullish continuation potential.
Losing it = likely sweep back into liquidity below.
🔵 Liquidity Pocket – 26,150 → 26,350
This zone is loaded with stop liquidity.
Multiple failed breakouts = engineered liquidity traps.
A decisive breakout with volume could unleash a sharp institutional expansion toward 26,600–26,800.
🔴 Weekly Low Zone – 24,660 → 24,610
Where the market performed a major liquidity sweep before reversing.
Strong reaction = signs of accumulation.
A revisit here could form the final liquidity grab before the next rally.
🧩 Structure Breakdown
Sweep of Lows → Reaction — liquidity collected below prior swing lows.
Box Phase → Accumulation or Distribution — institutions building orders.
Trendline Rejections → Liquidity Creation — every “failed attempt” tells a story.
Compression Phase → Expansion Loading — pressure building before the breakout.
⚖️ Possible Scenarios
🚀 Bullish Breakout
Price holds above 25,600
Clean break above 26,150–26,350 liquidity pocket
Expansion move likely toward 26,600–26,800
🩸 Bearish Liquidity Trap
Rejection from 25,600 → 24,823 / 24,660 zone
Final liquidity sweep before strong reversal
Watch for aggressive bullish recovery candles
💡 Institutional Insight
Each failed breakout isn’t weakness — it’s intent.
Smart money builds liquidity where retail enters wrong.
When both sides’ liquidity is consumed, true direction begins.
👉 Liquidity is not just a zone — it’s market psychology visualized.
🧠 Educational Takeaway
The US100 demonstrates the full liquidity cycle at work:
Sweep → Trap → Accumulate → Expand.
Every fakeout clears inefficiency and builds the fuel for the next impulse.
Don’t chase — track where liquidity builds and follow the flow.
📊 Final Thoughts
The index is coiling between 25,600 and 26,350 — volatility is loading.
Above → Expansion Phase (trend continuation)
Below → Liquidity Sweep Phase (bullish trap setup)
Patience > Prediction.
Let the liquidity tell the truth — not emotions.
💬 Your Turn:
Do you expect a clean breakout or another trap before lift-off?
Share your bias below — let’s discuss how liquidity might play it out!
Let’s decode how liquidity pockets, fake breakouts, and institutional accumulation are shaping the next 600+ point move.
🧭 Market Story – Where We Are Now
The US100 has been in a broad liquidity cycle after a strong rally.
Price is consolidating within a re-accumulation or distribution phase, hinting that smart money is positioning quietly before expansion.
🔹 Key Liquidity Zones
🟩 Breakout Level – 25,600
The make-or-break point.
Holding above 25,600 = bullish continuation potential.
Losing it = likely sweep back into liquidity below.
🔵 Liquidity Pocket – 26,150 → 26,350
This zone is loaded with stop liquidity.
Multiple failed breakouts = engineered liquidity traps.
A decisive breakout with volume could unleash a sharp institutional expansion toward 26,600–26,800.
🔴 Weekly Low Zone – 24,660 → 24,610
Where the market performed a major liquidity sweep before reversing.
Strong reaction = signs of accumulation.
A revisit here could form the final liquidity grab before the next rally.
🧩 Structure Breakdown
Sweep of Lows → Reaction — liquidity collected below prior swing lows.
Box Phase → Accumulation or Distribution — institutions building orders.
Trendline Rejections → Liquidity Creation — every “failed attempt” tells a story.
Compression Phase → Expansion Loading — pressure building before the breakout.
⚖️ Possible Scenarios
🚀 Bullish Breakout
Price holds above 25,600
Clean break above 26,150–26,350 liquidity pocket
Expansion move likely toward 26,600–26,800
🩸 Bearish Liquidity Trap
Rejection from 25,600 → 24,823 / 24,660 zone
Final liquidity sweep before strong reversal
Watch for aggressive bullish recovery candles
💡 Institutional Insight
Each failed breakout isn’t weakness — it’s intent.
Smart money builds liquidity where retail enters wrong.
When both sides’ liquidity is consumed, true direction begins.
👉 Liquidity is not just a zone — it’s market psychology visualized.
🧠 Educational Takeaway
The US100 demonstrates the full liquidity cycle at work:
Sweep → Trap → Accumulate → Expand.
Every fakeout clears inefficiency and builds the fuel for the next impulse.
Don’t chase — track where liquidity builds and follow the flow.
📊 Final Thoughts
The index is coiling between 25,600 and 26,350 — volatility is loading.
Above → Expansion Phase (trend continuation)
Below → Liquidity Sweep Phase (bullish trap setup)
Patience > Prediction.
Let the liquidity tell the truth — not emotions.
💬 Your Turn:
Do you expect a clean breakout or another trap before lift-off?
Share your bias below — let’s discuss how liquidity might play it out!
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.