NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures
Short
Updated

NQ Targets (09-15-25)

1 614
Look for direction changes just above TZ. White is Long and Yellow is Short Target. Not much to say, now Wash ST Hedge Fund Services wants to push out quarterly reporting. Too much meddling, this may end very badly, let's see how Fed day goes this week.
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Short to TZ
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If you have the points, load up short all the way up.
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AP Below should drop, may be after today and after the O/N session tonight.
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Weak Rig, Go Fed.
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YTD NDX, watch these gaps. BTD/FOMO.
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Adding Short
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After today, we should see a up/down into Wed and then Drop Test below 23,700-800. Today is about Tesla pop, the machines will follow. VIX up, BCoin down and Dollar down. Mixed day, but a Monday.
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PT Barnum will get sucker punched, going to get real folks.
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Air Pocket, Divergence, have to be very patient or you will get the Shake Out. I could be wrong as we head into the Safe Long Zone of the rigged Overnight. Many times it just take a half or full day to drop test. BTD/FOMO with AI.
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9/16 Update, Get ready for sideways to lower over the next 2 days. The Gap is NQ contract change on way 9/19 (more upward tricks in O/N), the NAZ is near upper target and will U Turn back lower.
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The drop test should or will need to unravel the mess (O/N gap, lift, Reg Session Flat). PA has been like trading currency.
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Needs to get under 528.
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Reg Session sideways to lower
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Pure Garbage, nothing doing in Reg Session, again.
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Games just are not getting it done, up here. Need some new tricks, next thing to watch.
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Trick Alert, 500-530, pop or drop. Could see a Head Fake Long
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Here you go with range play, back tomorrow. Too slow for me.
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9/17 Update, The previous trade completed and we now have Rocket Move (1 way) Fed Day. Notice how long many calls take place, forever. We use to see Fed Days that would battle (up/down) in 200-300 point ranges, and then move 1 way out. I will stay with the clean out of fluff and go with the drop move, not a 1 way but an eventual (after all long attempts stall).
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Still think 23,050 needs a revisit prior to any big move higher, we shall see. AI, Crypto, BTD, FOMO, Wash ST, QE, etc. Time to get back to reality/basics.
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Typical NAZ struggling to get lower PA. May see pop redirect attempt at some point as the FOMO's only go long. After that and the Fed Decision any stall out may drop.
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Range of play over next week and half. Go Fed, O/N rig tricks, Tweets.
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Nothing but Push/Pull since yesterday close. Normal prior to some selling. Usually a sign of lift to exit moves from the Pro's. This picks up speed and lower we go with some gusto. Tweets may be needed form the UK.
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Expected FOMO move back up, stall drop or to top of white arrow. I like the stall drop option.
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IDS27 View
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1st Gap hit, 2nd and 3rd?
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Long Trap BAIT over past month or so.
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Keep going as the Mr. Retail is locked in his Straight Jacket.
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Word salad on the inflation, may work for a long move or not (if you are human in the real world).
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Chart of next Contract, Not NQ1 with recent Gap. 1st Target is line below.
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These mild Fed Days are puzzling. The no selling market is just not sustainable long term. the NAZ will have to balance out the 90% buying with some selling. That selling when it comes will be quick, heavy and deep. Just a warning.
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The yellow arrows are Reg Session sells, the past 8 of 11 days. These are followed by dead zone and O/N redirects back up. Just notice the hours per move. Each drop takes much less time while the lifts are much longer. When the redirect lifts stall out or fail to show up, the significant drop will be next. This one today is up/down in the range so far.
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Nothing new
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9/18 Update, The O/N again to push it up, need to see if Reg Session sells this off. Sam pattern, tricks and flow.
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NQ1 top target is 24,900
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IDS27 does show a narrow, divergence session, these usually drop back near Reg Session. Thing is that the low volume time periods are used to redirect any drop. Long in dead zone and overnight after any drop has been the pattern.
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I see Long Trap from 23,050 to current. Most of the lift has been with Tweets, O/N and low volume moves in O/N.
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Short
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NQZ, needs to get under 650
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NDX under 416 is key.
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View most Mag 7, they are just back to near ATH's/recent highs. The stall out and S/P drop test may be due as we have moved up with relatively small off session moves.
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AP below for drop test, adding Short 800-825 (stop at 865) zone for 2nd scalp. Looking for drop scalp to go deeper.
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Moving into sideways to higher lift, this has been working and may just keep lifting with some quick drops along the way. Back Later.
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650 and below is target. F-M Long Move may be off as we have moved quite a bit so far this week.
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Stop moved to 800
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Wash ST Hedge Fund has been playing games that retail is buying. Go back to the "Time To Buy" play, before the 10 minute 12% pop in the NAZ. Then the Intel "CEO should resign" Tweet. This was setting up the drop that then was followed up with the Gov't stake in Intel. Now we get the NVDIA news to boost it higher. These along with O/N lifting is setting up some clear signals, just waiting on the Drop Test of all this noise. All new territory for trader's and impossible to gage. Scalp Shorts until the bottom falls out.
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We are battling the O/N move here. Stop moved to 850 and zone range is 740-825 Drop/Turn to KL 24,092. Expect the counter long prior to the drop (or may just drop). Doubt the O/N will not lift prior to any drop.
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9/19 Update, 655 hiy and watch TL and wnder
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Watch this range near open or open drive
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NAZ in the range
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Short no pass
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Has to get under TL
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Showtime
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Trade closed manually
Just insane how the Reg Session rarely lifts up and most upward activity comes by way of the off session overnight. Staying with the Short play after stall outs. If NAZ keeps dropping, watchout for the Tweets and Dead Zone redirect tricks, these will shake you out. Have a great weekend.
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