


Same plan as prior Post, Short. The play is that the NAZ will try some FA's below (Shaded Zones) and then U Turn up during some late low volume Holiday session and attempt ATH retest. No U Turn, next SZ lower. Long above KL 365 and Short below. Price Action is all about Tricks, Tweets, Games and any low volume session opportunity (long side now). Still want to...
The Range of Games below will run until Tuesday 5/27. Looking for a drop between now and mid next week that will set up the Long to ATH or near 23,000. Look for the Memorial Day holiday low volume week (prior to holiday or after) to set up the lift higher in O/N or during the Dead Zone's of Reg Sessions. Should the NAZ lift prior to mid mid/late next week, look...
The move up from Danger Zone U Turn at KL 16,365 on 4/7 has been sketchy at best. These are better viewed on the NDX Daily chart. Below is YTD NDX, notice the multiple Gap moves up and away from the Danger Zone (16,790 on NDX). Looking back, gaps usually get revisited and when you have 3-4 there is higher probability of a gap fill. The NAZ 30M chart is showing...
Looks like it is "Rig in May and go Away". New range to watch would be the white arrow zone between the two orange TL's. The Channel below is a 2 standard deviation, NAZ should return to 19,750-18,750 at some point to retest. Looking for 21,256 to be next upper target for reaction. Flat NAZ YTD may do what, Run up 10-20%? or drop retest lower? Pick one. O/N group...
KL 20,341 is the level to stay Short under. The tricks in the O/N and 10 minute pop 300 point Tweets are loosing effect. Fed Day was strange and UK Deal was overrated. Existing longs may pick up some speed on stalling lifts. Yellow arrows to the left are short targets.
April 21 Post is at upper Target, looking for drop here after the most likely Monday lift to stall out. NAZ is still inside the Insignificant Range of Noise. 4/21/25 Chart
Sell in May on the way? Looks like the Insignificant Range is between the two orange TL's, NAZ will need to break out of range. Red arrow above, 1st Danger Zone cliff (view prior Post's). 4HR has an M developing. Anyway, Tricks/Tweet's can only get you so high. 714 is KL to watch should it lift back up (in the O/N, at 3am).
NAZ is mid range of the insignificant churn zone. Rejected yesterday at ML (rejection zone) 19,150. This chart will through Monday close and will we see some off session magic tricks (or not) with the Friday-Monday Long only move. That magic trick will set up the Short at KL 20,250. This is assuming the pass near 19,200-300. No pass (2nd rejection) would set up...
NAZ "Triangle of Churn", all Overnight with some Reg Session today. Seems more like knee jerk strength in low volume (or zero volume) zones. The U Turn off 17,750 was #39 or 40 since 1/22. The 2 Blue lines (upper) 2025 open price and (lower) 2024's. Danger Zones avoided, again (dash line channel below). 19,300 1st Short Zone, NAZ staying under or hitting with...
Sell in May should NAZ float back up or, Buy in May should it drop from here. The Buy in May would be near lower range or 17,000-500. Yellow Zone to left is the 10-15 minute "insider trading" move that was needed to get the NAZ away from the Danger Zone of death. Not much doing since so expect more of the same with tricks, games and O/N magic rides higher. Reg...
NAZ with some major help from the final 30 minute (Close) and Overnight as we see the 500 point retracement. Next play is with the extended weekend and the lift may continue. Big bounce (U turn) off KL 18,300 or Danger Zone, the lift comes when? The final minutes and O/N. Holiday volume next, Long may be the play should the Pump/Dump not show up or the NAZ can...
Staying with the Short, NAZ with a Gap up and a Gap down move in the off session (very little in the Reg). When the moves in the markets seem manufactured and happen in the O/N or off session, look Short. Looks like 18,400-300 is the Danger Zone here and below could be the express way lower. Should we get there, look Long 1st as the will U Turn it away (Gap, off...
NAZ rejected at the Diablo, again. No Pass go Short and a passing of KL is a Long. 19,400 is the zone to watch, should the Overnight Magic Traders get the NAZ that high. If O/N can't do it I highly doubt the Reg Session will as it usually sells off. NAZ on the edge of the channel and has not done much since the 20 minute 2,000 point pop from Uncle Bunker. NDX...
Will stay with Range and the Friday for Monday. The chart below is the NDX, red line is Diablo with yellow arrow, white arrow is Danger Zone. The move away from the DZ was a 20 minute 2,000 point move. One of the best U Turns in recent 5-10 years and well manufactured, to boot. Look at all Mega Cap Tech stocks, you can see they (major indexes also) are under a...
The forecast here is until the Monday Close, looking at the typical Long play from Friday - Monday. Expecting some games on this one, including some head fakes. Long to KL 19,389 and rejection would be the Short, pass hold Long. Short to any KL below will have the push/pull price action and will struggle to get lower. After Monday and should the NAZ still be...
Staying with the Range 19,400 - 18,200. Looking for 18,200 retest to hold or not. Was that insider trading yesterday? Seemed like it. Anyway, we can add that to the bag of tricks, curveballs, etc. Yesterday was a major Danger Zone, U Turn, Drop Offset, Info Leak, Algo Long Only move that happened during the Dead Zone. With O/N -400 points tonight, we may be...
NAZ Range, again. The range to watch is 16,700 - 18,300. This chart may be viewed as 2024 being a Long Trap set up, KL 17,500 is Long above and Short below for now. Look for the NAZ to retest the KL and rotate around inside the range. Lower yellow circle, lower range break out over the Danger Zone Edge (16,500-300). Looking move sideways than lower PA today and...
Staying with the Range forecast. NAZ is inside the Yellow arrow range (yesterday post). The Box is the range to watch, NAZ may go above and drop back inside to retest KL's 17,027-16,845. You can see new declining channel above. Below is 30M chart. Watch all moves in both directions with VIX this high. Yesterday (chart below) we had a tweet, leak, comment, etc....