The F-M Long move is on with new month and O/N Gap Open UP. Curveball form Friday Close and late head fake. Again, the NAZ will have to use the O/N to lift it back up. Need to see how the Open Drive and Reg Session reacts to the low volume O/N lift. Run up to upper target above KL 26,290 and Short on reject of. Under 290 is a potential drop to 25k or 25,550.
Note
Open Range today and sideways inside to O/N with next move near the Close and next O/N. Looking for drop (pump/dump) at Open with Dead Zone lift back up.Note
Prior 4 O/N lifts sessions with selling in the Reg, used for propping up or stabilizing the NAZ (which is 40-50% of S/P returns). Concern is when we see a Reg Session heavy selling session that can't be held up in off session.Note
Potential M move should pattern continue.Note
173 is KL and appears to be a Flip drop to FA's at 100 and 080. Pump/Dump to pop should FA's bounce.Note
Here is what they did: KL 173 was actual Short or Flip Zone, at the last minute the O/N pumped it 100 points and at the Open the NAZ drops back to KL 173. The Upper turn was near KL 290, this is now the range and will go sideways to lower until the Off Session/O/N should we see a drop today.Note
M Update from 290 Turn.Note
This thing is juiced with 99% low volume off session bird seed (low quality). Still sticking with my flash crash on the way. Note
FA zones may or will have to pop this or lower we go. Note
Back LaterNote
Both FA's are hit and will need to get above or will drop or go sideways to O/N Rig Players. Note
O/N Pump/Dump day number 5 (in a row). BTD/FOMO next or lower we go (until next O/N SESSION).Note
Under 120 is short signal, NAZ may try and get back to near 290, has to get passed 120-140 1st. Note
Note
No pass at 120-140 and looking at 910 retest. Note
Needs to get under shade zone hereNote
With O/N up next and should it lift again, NAZ will never drop. Need to see a lower O/N that is followed up by a sell off in the REG.Note
100 point range break out for next moveNote
Stalled at ML of Range. Risk is shorting going into the O/N and that may be the Shake Out. Hard to play so wait or stay Short. Note
Still feel the drop on the way. The battle is with the BTD's, FOMO's, Captain Tweety, Dead Zone and O/N. Other than that, you are great. Or just go Long for the face lift. Note
415K on Futures volume, another lower volume day. Need to get some selling going (outside of the O/R).Note
Pop or Drop at 26,090Note
Diablo Pop/Drop into O/N.Note
Under Diablo, no real clues here. Have to get passed night 7 of O/N lift move.Note
Went to upper range and back in ML.Note
11/4 Update, NAZ under 30M Diablo and may pop some near 25,730. O/N selling on higher volume need to see Reg Session follow through.Note
25,483 is next support and Gap fill. No pop at 730.Note
What we may be seeing is scaling in on the short side. This is basically a 1 way move with no redirect, as usual. The NAZ will go 1 way in both sessions, nasty turn that is used to trap the BTD/FOMO's.Note
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Open Range is 25,640 - 795.Note
Note
Just watch 730-795 for break out and head fake at 795Note
The O/N is The BOSS, Reg Session will stall out or start selling under KL 795.Note
5M to Open NAZ has stayed in range with 730 the ML.Note
The O/N BOSS comment is the next signal. The O/N tends to drive direction or change it. Recent move up was primarily moved and maintained the upward move by the O/N. Today, we have a change and it is by way of the O/N. The Reg Session direction will be key today and has been lower, typically. The Reg Session also tends to move sideways and inside the KL's of the O/N. Should today's RS go South do not expect the automatic lift back up. Note
Over the past 3 years the Overnight Price Action has easily taken over the PA of the NYSE. Today will be a major clue as to if we are making a direction change and we will need to see another drop in tonight's O/N Session. I highly doubt that the Reg Session will lift this and maintain it. The other period is the Dead Zone which is after the 1st hour. Should the DZ sell off and not lift, we are heading lower. The DZ may try or provide some head fakes to the upside. KL 910 and under is next rejection test and time for some games. Note
910 - 730 is next range to watch.Note
840 to 875 is Turn Zone and head fake long time, will need to get above 910 or going back to 795 or 730. Looks Like a Hook Short.Note
Back later, Notice how the price barley moves. O/N is The BOSS and wants/change the direction to lower or at least we should see a few drop tests. Note
Note
Lower end of Range and will make a move here.Note
O/N is The BOSS and Open Range gave a Pump/Dump for Dead Zone Zombies. Lifts sell off are the signal.Note
Where is Tweety Bird? This Wash ST is going Short?Note
NDX Gap Open and may try another 500 points lower to KL below. Note
After seeing this selling PA movement, it is clear to me that both intraday buying and selling price action has changed. Both move slow and sneaky, this is new for selling. We see it snail lift, I have never seen it snail sell. New game and market structure.Note
Just noticed that 10/29 was an Outside Day Reversal. Watch 855 and under.Note
My Flash Crash comment is a half joke. We may not see a Flash or a Crash but something is cooking with a move lower. It just may take more time than usual. Back Later. Note
663 is KL to watch on lower end, below may drop to 483 and above back in the range 730-663.Note
NAZ back to DiabloNote
25600 is major support so above may pop and below should drop bigger.Note
Long Set Up and back under is drop.Note
Diablo Pop, back under set up. Needs to get above 1st arrow or will drop.Note
Note
U Turn or Danger Zone under 483Note
Reg Session SELLING, looking for a pop or O/N may go lower again. Think they will defend that by the Close.Note
Still above and we shall see.Note
NAZ retested Long set up and then dropped into the close.Note
Above 483, the Danger Zone and the Diablo. O/N will have to lift it or way lower we go.Note
On the 30M chart you will notice the 1 way stacking (minus the 1st 30m). This was slow and really not that deep. We may see a similar day this this again and can be tomorrow or even after a retracement day. Note
11/5 Update, The BOSS took the NAZ lower and into the Churn Zone immediately after the Reg Session close. We have 2 Turn Zones for today that are 200 points apart. Look at opposite direction trades near Top TZ and Lower TZ until breakout. Watch the Diablo on the 30m.Note
416 is lower channel supportNote
Drop from 540 and bounce near 416. Look Long near 300 and Short near 540 until we get a break out and should this turn and retest lower O/N level during Open Drive. Note
This may be Open Range and much of PA today.Note
Expected the Pop off the channel bottom and is a retracement day in the range. Note
KL 730 rejection will send it back to O/N High and ML O/RNote
Needs to get under 688 1st, if are looking short on Pull Back. Look for after a pop spikeNote
1st spike and blockNote
Early in the day and if it can't get above 730 it will go lower to create some points, any hold may pop back up and retest.Note
Idea under 730 and then 688. This is a TZ.Note
Where is Tweety?Note
Here we go, The idea is to Short at 730 with stop above and scalp it until it breaks. Note
Easy 40 point scalps and looks like it may drop some. Note
This pop has to get through 730 or this be a head fake long.Note
Dead Zone is in control and will keep trying to lift this, 730 is long above now.Note
Tricky here at 730, will see wiggles and noise and a move out on nowhere. No idea on direction. Back later. Note
This may help with targets and TZ's.Note
Under 860 may drop back into range below.Note
860 Rejection in the closeNote
May try 730Note
730 Hit, RiggedNote
Hard thing about trading is that you need to be a leader (taking trades against the crowd or followers). Then you need to be a follower (follow the trend). Flipping back and forth is the challenge. Many try to go short early (leader) and the crowd is following. Wait until the NAZ gets near KL's is best and can make things easier. Practice, you are correct usually, just early as the crowd is unaware and will change late and follow your lead. Note
11/6 Update, 860 drop yesterday retested both KL's 730 and 663 opening up a decent range. This chart will show TZ's and KL's for the range of breakout. Look for retesting of both today until breakout.Note
Arrow may be range to watch and Open RangeNote
May see Hook Short under 774Note
Spike to Hook Short, under 774Note
Battle at 774, one will break and watch head fake LongNote
Needs to pass 795Note
AP or pop today, back laterNote
Bingo BangoNote
425 is Churn Zone and Danger Zone.Note
Major APNote
1.5 hour 400 point move, watch lower TZNote
525-470 is range to watchNote
243 is next support, Flashy kinda crash hereNote
285-360 is rangeNote
291 held so farNote
360 is key and NAZ needs to get above and stay or will go sideways to lowerNote
Note
Long signal at 345, scalp RetracementNote
Head Fake so far use a stopNote
Set up or will tank hugeNote
285 pop or bustNote
Looking for this scalp.Note
Major Support here and should popNote
Trying just watch KL 243 for a bounceNote
U Turn TL, under this is the Abyss.Note
NDX Gap FillNote
U Turn is playing out, SOMENote
Needs to hit 320Note
320 Scalp hitNote
Looking like the AbyssNote
Needs to pass 260Note
260-360 is range and U Turn Zone may be retested again. Great fight.Note
NAZ may drop near this MANote
Watch for a drop or pull back at 360Note
Note
Back to 360 REJECTION is a potential major drop.Note
Here we go.Note
Nasty Games.Note
This is typical of a U Turn and I am not Long as the reverse may appear as we are seeing a Failed Auction lift. These usually get retested. Note
Since the drop a few days ago, we have not seen a 1 way drop and have had more happen in the O/N. Looking for this to drop by EOD or it just may go back up and the O/N may add on. Strange change in patterns so hang tight.Note
MA Test and will react or pass.Note
Under 410 is drop zone. To 370 or so. We do se divergence but FOMO's are buying the dip.Note
FYI, this PA looks very similar to the O/N lift and the lift during Reg Session yesterday, both dropped quickly. Not calling just a note.Note
Watch 370 and under may do this.Note
Google and Apple are now dropping some or giving back some gains. Note
Near Close, sideways No Trade Zone as it has flattened out. Gamble at this point. 380-415, stronger move lower under 340-20Note
25,400 and under may be only clue with a Short or drop into Close. I am Flat.Note
Huge Volume today, NAZ heading lower with 30m to go.Note
Needs to stay under 378Note
Needs to break under 320 or may pop back up.Note
Looking that way, will the O/N take it under the Danger Zone or redirect it away?Note
Back to the KL 243, should of played it.Note
11/7 Update, NAZ rotating mostly in O/N Session and is under Danger Zone level. Looking for the Friday-Monday Long play or not. This will be the clear signal should we not see a lift today. 25,220 is the Key Level to watch. This is the Mid Level of O/N and Danger Zone TL.Note
Watch range 125-220 for some up/down and then breakout. Shaded Zone on IDS75Note
Back above 125 may pop back to DZ TLNote
Retesting 125 for next move.Note
125 is key, 088KL will go with one of these. 125 retests then drop or pop through is set up, may drop/pop here off low 25060.Note
Potential plays above 125Note
NAZ supported on top of a Diablo here, may rotate some or move a decent move here.Note
ML CZ may bounce, 125 is revisit if so.Note
Just not see any real strong force on lower end, may see pop on on a Friday. This looks like a slow mop up on the lower side.Note
Back Later, NAZ above Diablo is Only POP.Trade closed manually
NAZ is slowing lifting and then rolling over. The change in pattern is Long Signal. I was expecting a strong heavy route lower. This appears to be a slow bleed. Not Short here and Looking for Long Entry for Retracement Trade. 24,800 is next pop target. Back Later but closing Post here, have to run out.Note
The NAZ is back to Starting level that was on 9/29 Week 1 Post/Forecast. Note
Back to 800. Pass is 24,900Note
No pass 800 get outNote
Close half.Note
This was 1st roll turn or change.Note
Long Signals. These may get a revisit. Scalp Time. Note
Stalling watch Dart DropNote
Dart, here is the range.Note
Revisit in the range and back upNote
Just not feeling major crash here, seems weakNote
Play lower range until breakout.Note
870 is pop or head fake.Note
25,900 hit trail it, do not closeNote
Target and Short at rejection or major stall close itNote
Tricky drop, your stop that was trailing should of protectedNote
Sideways chop may be until the close or we see a major move one way or other. Whichever we see it is most likely a fake trap. I am out and have a great weekend. Note
Watch 25,015 very closely. Note
Diablo POP, may revisit. Ticks are 1,500 Plus. Any drop in Ticks may turn this. NAZ almost back to KL 125, That would be next and through is ROCKETNote
This is huge, FA's on the way up and Hook Long. This may be a Long or set up to sell in the Close or O/N. Very Odd and not adding up this much. I was looking Long but the way up is sketchy, take profit before the drop or The Close. Note
This may explain today. The Orange TL is from late 2022 and below is not good. Seem like the Long Only Folks will try anything to get above. Note
NAZ went almost coast to coast today on the Churn Zone and is near Mid Level.Note
25102 is KL key, Needs to pass. This looks like yesterday and the day before.Note
Final Picture of Reg Session, Did not feel like strong Short and that is in the Chart. This may get propped by O/N into Monday. Tuesday we will need some good news or we retest the low. 
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.