QQQ Generals (AAPL, MSFT & NVDA)

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Each stock is in a primary uptrend, but with slightly different phases of momentum - you’re seeing a bit of divergence among the “QQQ generals,' which is important
AAPL
  • Grinding higher, above 50d MA & within upper Bollinger band
  • Still trending, but upper wicks = supply around $275-$277; likely digestion area

MSFT
  • Pullback from $555 to ~$520 after new highs
  • Healthy retrace toward 50d MA so watch for higher low near $510-$515

NVDA
  • Leading - broke out above prior $195 resistance, holding gains
  • Most bullish of the 3; small-bodied candle near top = consolidation before next leg
  • All 3 show small bodies with upper wicks, meaning buyers pushed early, but met resistance - a pause, not yet reversal
  • No major bearish engulfing or heavy volume sell candle which suggests profit-taking, not panic

RSI
  • AAPL ~62 - mid-uptrend, not overbought
  • MSFT ~56 - cooling, but healthy
  • NVDA ~56 - steady strength
  • RSI readings between 55-65 indicate trend continuation (no exhaustion yet)

Stochastic
  • AAPL/NVDA are curling up - supports continuation
  • MSFT dipped, possibly a near-term bottom forming
  • Watch for cross-ups below 20 for next entry cues

MACD
  • AAPL is still positive, slight flattening = momentum pause
  • MSFT is bearish crossover forming (watch histogram near zero)
  • NVDA is bullish crossover confirmed - strongest setup technically

Volume Profile
  • AAPL is slight uptick but not blow-off
  • MSFT volume surge on red candle - likely earnings reaction fading
  • NVDA high participation, but stable = institutions still active

AAPL
  • Above $270 = breakout continuation
  • Bullish consolidation
  • Watch for breakout >$277 or retest
  • ~$258 support

MSFT
  • Needs hold >$515 to avoid deeper pullback
  • Neutral–Bullish (short-term digestion)
  • Accumulate on $510 retest if RSI holds >45

NVDA
  • Above $200 breakout zone; $212 = extension target
  • Bullish
  • Buy-the-dip setup above $188-$190 (AVWAP support)

Consolidation phase likely early next week, with NVDA likely to resume leading QQQ higher if $200-$202 holds
  • QQQ remains in a strong uptrend, trading above the 50d MA & well above the 200d MA
  • After an earnings rally (AAPL, AMZN, META) it pulled back slightly, but hasn’t broken support - meaning the trend is intact, but stretched
  • The chart resembles a bullish pennant/flag forming just below the prior high (~$637-$640)
  • Tight consolidation after a vertical rally = continuation potential

Friday's small real body, upper wick - suggests sellers faded late-day strength, but not heavy distribution
  • Strong breakout candles with solid volume confirm institutional accumulation
  • So far, more of a rest bar than reversal bar
  • Healthy momentum - RSI could cool near 60 without breaking trend
  • MACD shows momentum slowing, not reversing
  • Watch for histogram tick-up after 2-3 quiet days (potential signal for next leg higher)
  • Stochastic curling down from overbought (80-90)
  • Short-term pause likely, but still bullish mid-term unless it dips below 40
  • Volume was high during breakout (post-earnings), but tapered during the pullback - classic bullish pattern
  • No sign of distribution selling yet

Holding above $620 keeps the bull case fully intact & a breakout above $640 opens potential for $655-$665 targets (measured move from flag)
  • AAPL neutral-bullish = confirming broad tech strength
  • NVDA leading = risk-on sentiment still strong
  • MSFT softening = brief digestion phase; not yet dragging the index
  • VIX near cycle lows, TNX (yields) easing - macro tailwinds for growth stocks

AAPL, AMZN, META, MSFT & TSLA have already reported strong earnings, so now semiconductors & AI names like AMD & PLTR become the next catalysts
  • With NVDA earnings not until 19 November, AMD’s report Monday night effectively becomes a read-through for the AI/semiconductor complex, which heavily affects QQQ
  • Best-case for bulls is a strong AMD report = renewed AI momentum - QQQ clears $640 resistance

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