QQQ "Catch-up" Potential for Bullish Continuation

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This chart is a strong cup & handle breakout, pending confirmation above $600
  • If confirmed then target $633-$646

1. The double top (bearish) is only valid if price fails $600 & reverses sharply
2. Healthy bull trend with consolidation at resistance
  • Ascending triangle is tightening under $600, ready for breakout
  • Cup & handle is a longer-term bullish continuation pattern
  • The chart is shifting from a topping risk into a potential breakout setup, but $600 must prove itself; either, as a ceiling (rejection) or a launchpad (breakout)

The cup & handle is the more dominant pattern because the handle was shallow & orderly & price is retesting the neckline directly instead of rolling over, but the double top risk only disappears if QQQ decisively clears $600 with volume
  • Above $600 with strength = breakout
  • Rejection under $600 with bearish candles = double top still alive
  • Neutral small candles = consolidation, wait for direction

The candles suggest bullish consolidation under resistance
  • If NVDA joins, it could be the catalyst to print the breakout candle above $600

Why NVDA isn’t leading today?
  • Regulatory uncertainty/negative news spillover (from China restrictions) is creating hesitation among investors (future headwinds weigh on sentiment)
  • NVDA has had a very strong run recently so some traders are likely booking profits or rotating into other names perceived to have higher recent upside or less regulatory risk
  • Lower volume suggests weaker conviction among buyers
  • NVDA seems to be bumping up against resistance or nearing levels where sellers are more active so without a catalyst (positive news or breakout), it may just drift until something shifts

Also, since other tech/AI/semiconductor names may have more “catch-up” potential, capital might be rotating out of NVDA into them

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