$SMCI Weekend analysis - 21st September, 2025

SMCI is starting to shape up an inverse head & shoulders. The neckline lines up almost perfectly with the 50D SMA around 47.7 - a pretty important level to watch. If we get a clean daily close above that, it could unlock the next leg higher toward 56.7. That target makes sense not only from the measured move on the pattern, but also because there’s a big price/volume gap sitting in that zone that often acts like a vacuum.

On the flip side, if price closes 41.5, the setup is invalidated and I’d step aside. For now, it’s all about whether SMCI can flip 47.7 into support with volume behind it.