2nd Day in the trade. VRT

Aug 19

Positions down, had an unexpected sell-off from the market. Position taken for a month, until next ER, will observe the price, volume, and participants. AI models have not changed, see you at $150

Aug 19

Trade active

1. Context of the Chart (VRT – Vertiv Holdings)

Recent Move: You experienced a sharp sell-off after a strong uptrend.

Current Price Zone: $134–$135 area (just under the 50-day MA on your chart).

Key Levels:

Support Zones: $124, $116, $108, and deep equilibrium at ~$104.

Resistance Zones: $144 short-term supply; $152–156 premium target (your AI model target aligns with this).

Volume Profile: Spikes suggest heavy participation in both rallies and sell-offs → institutions are active.

2. Trade Positioning Logic

Since your holding period = 1 month until next ER, your focus is not scalping but swing positioning with risk control.

Bullish Case (Base Case):

Price stabilizes above $132 and reclaims $140+ → pathway opens to $150 by ER.

You’re aligned with AI models: projected probability of retesting premium zone is intact.

Bearish Risk Case:

Breakdown below $128 → downside accelerates toward $120–116 demand zone.

That would test conviction before ER.

3. Trading Mindset

Don’t Panic on Sell-offs: Institutions shake out weak hands before the next leg.

Observe Smart Money Behavior: If volume builds in blue zones (demand) and rejection wicks form, that’s your confidence booster.

Patience Rule: If thesis = intact → avoid overtrading. Let the monthly narrative play out.

4. Action Plan

If Long:

Hold core position.

Consider scaling if price confirms reclaim above $140.

Risk Control:

Mental stop-loss: $124 breakdown (don’t let it slide into deep equilibrium unless you’re prepared for multi-month hold).

Targets:

First: $144–148

Stretch: $152–156

5. Trading Journal Note (what you just said, reframed)

"Unexpected sell-off tested conviction. Models remain intact with premium target at $150. Watching $132–$140 range for reaccumulation signals. Risk = $124. Target remains $150–156 into ER."

Aug 19

Note

Zoom out to SEE the BIG PICTURE.