Gold's risk-averse sentiment resonates with policy expectations,

15 hours ago

Gold's risk-averse sentiment resonates with policy expectations, sending prices soaring to record highs. 🚀

📰 In-depth Fundamental Analysis
🏛️ Political risks continue to escalate: The US government shutdown enters its 14th day, seven rounds of budget votes have failed, and federal payroll furloughs are exacerbating economic uncertainty.
⚔️ Escalating geopolitical conflict: Renewed tensions between Russia and Ukraine are driving continued safe-haven flows into the gold market.
💹 Monetary policy dilemma: Inflationary pressure from Trump's tariff policy clashes with expectations of a Fed rate cut. Markets are pricing in a 100% probability of an October rate cut and a 90% probability of a December rate cut.

📊 Multi-period Technical Analysis
🔸Daily Chart
📈 Moving averages are bullish, with MACD/RSI/KDJ indicators rising simultaneously.
🚦 Price is trading along the upper Bollinger Band, maintaining a strong overall structure.
🎯 Key resistance is at the psychological level of 4200; caution is advised against accumulating overbought sentiment.

🔸1-Hour Chart
⚡ After a sharp drop, the market found support at the 30-day moving average, forming a V-shaped rebound.
🛡️ Short-term technical support focuses on two key levels: 4120 and 4100.
🚀 If it stabilizes above 4170, it will open up upside potential to 4200.

🎯 Trading Strategy Planning
🟢 Main Approach: Buy on dips with the trend.
🎯 Entry Zone: 4100-4094, deploy in batches.
🛑 Risk Control Setting: Below 4070.
🎯 Target Outlook: 4180 → All-Time High.

🔴 Backup Plan
⏸️ Hold short positions for now, awaiting clear trend reversal signals.
📉 If it falls below the key support level of 4070, the short-term structure will weaken.

⚠️ Key Risk Warnings
🎤 Powell's speech tonight may trigger increased market volatility.
📊 Strict position control is required in extremely overbought conditions.
💡 We recommend adopting a phased position building strategy to avoid chasing high prices.

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13 hours ago

Trade active

[Gold Strategy Double Win!] Perfect profit-taking on short positions at 4130, and a new long position setup at 4100 begins a new journey.
🎯 Performance Review
Short Profit-Taking: Accurately entered the short position at 4130, perfectly reaching the 4100 target and capturing a 30-point profit.🎉
Long Position: Decisively entered a long position after the 4100 level stabilized, and is currently holding.📈

📊 Current Technical Structure Analysis

Key Pattern: Price formed significant support at 4100, and the initial W-shaped double bottom pattern is emerging.
Breakthrough Signal: A successful break above the 4145 neckline resistance would confirm the formation of a bottom.
Target Range: Theoretical gains after the breakout are expected to reach the 4180-4200 area.

🎯 Subsequent Positioning Strategy
🔸Long Position (Main Strategy)
Position Management: Continue holding long positions at 4100.
Timing to Add: Upon confirmation of a pullback after breaking through 4145.
Timing to Add: Upon a pullback after a breakout from 4090. Target: 4180 → 4200
Risk Control: Below 4070

🔸Breakout Follow-up Plan

Confirmation: 1-hour close above 4145
Entry Method: Invest in batches, first around 4145-4150
Defense Position: 4130

⚠️ Key Risk Control Reminder
A W-bottom pattern must break through the neckline to confirm.
If it fails to break through 4145, it may enter a range-bound trading range between 4100 and 4145.
Pay attention to position management during US trading hours.

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8 hours ago

Trade closed: target reached

[Gold W-Bottom Breakout Confirmed! Long Positions Embark on a New Journey to 4200]
🎯 Powerful Strategy Fully Proven
✅ 4130 Short Positions Perfectly Harvested 30 Pips
✅ 4100 Long Positions Accurately Positioned and Holding
✅ W-Bottom Breakout Officially Confirmed, A New Round of Upward Movement Begins!

📈 Accurate Market Capture
After accurately stabilizing at 4100 during the Asian session, prices consolidated between 4130-4145 during the US trading session, ultimately breaking through the 4150 neckline! The W-double bottom structure has now officially formed, and the technical pattern points to the 4180-4200 target area!

🚀 Trading Strategy Essentials
Position Management
Continue holding long positions above 4100, with a protective stop-loss raised to 4120.
Add to your position in batches upon a pullback to 4140-4145 after a breakout.
New Risk Control Strategy
Set a unified stop-loss below 4130.
Take profits in batches between 4180-4200.

💡 Current Opportunity Alerts
If you haven't followed up on your trading strategy in a timely manner, you can still seize the opportunity:
Enter with a small position upon a pullback to the 4140-4150 area.
Chase the upside opportunity after a breakout of 4160.
Restrict your position to less than 30%.

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❓ Uncovering trapped positions

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✨ Key technical indicators

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