Gold Daily Outlook – Key HTF Levels to Watch

3 days ago

Gold is trading within a clearly defined higher-timeframe structure, reacting between three major zones marked on the chart. Each level represents an important part of the current market narrative.

🔴 4250 – Higher Timeframe Supply Zone

This zone has repeatedly acted as a major supply area.
Price has shown multiple rejections from here, indicating strong sell-side pressure at this level.
Whenever gold enters 4250, the market tends to slow down, consolidate, or reject, making it a crucial HTF reference point.

🟡 4100–4101 – Key Mid-Range Decision Level

This is the main pivot level in the current structure.
You noted correctly that “4101 crossed = bullish, below 4101 = bearish.”
This level acts as the midpoint of the broader range, where price often rebalances or shifts short-term direction.
It’s a clean boundary for identifying momentum change within the dealing range.

🟢 3968–3970 – Major HTF Support / Liquidity Zone

This zone is one of the most important areas on the chart.
Your observation — “3968/3970 break = further downside” — aligns well with the HTF narrative.
This region contains:

resting liquidity
]previous reaction points
structural support inside the larger range

A clean break below would typically signal deeper rotation within the higher-timeframe structure.

📌 Breakout Condition

All breakouts will only be considered valid after a closed candle on the 30-minute timeframe.
This helps filter fake moves, reduces noise, and confirms cleaner structure shifts.

📌 Market Overview

Gold is rotating between 4250 (supply), 4100 (mid-range), and 3970 (demand).
How price behaves at these zones — especially with confirmation from closed 30-minute candles — will guide the next narrative within the HTF range.

Notice: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.

13 hours ago

Trade active

4101 Doesn't cross and gave 1000 pips move